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USA Stock Discussion v8, Brexit: What happens now?
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AVFAN
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 Sep 20 2016, 11:45 PM
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QUOTE(zacknistelrooy @ Sep 20 2016, 11:14 PM) Yeah, just imagine if they agree to a supply cut or cap on production. really, almost all opec is at full capacity. so, a "freeze" is rather meaningless. production cut... will have a temp effect after which shale and non-opec will pump more as soon as prices rise. the fundamental issue is there IS plenty of sources now, no monopoly like before. i think the days of the mighty petro$ are over. for us, small time traders, it will be just just another commodity... eventually. |
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AVFAN
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Sep 21 2016, 07:04 PM
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boj says more easing... stocks up. fed at 2am? anyway... eia data 1030pm... wti 45, uwti 20.30. ikan bilis datang.  |
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AVFAN
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Sep 21 2016, 09:45 PM
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does anyone here think fed WILL raise rates tonight?  |
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AVFAN
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Sep 21 2016, 10:34 PM
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BREAKING: Oil extends gains as EIA reports US crude inventories fell by 6.2M barrels
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AVFAN
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Sep 22 2016, 01:05 AM
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QUOTE(yok70 @ Sep 21 2016, 11:57 PM) bulls want 50 back..... can... no rate hike. then opec meeting need to declare "we shall potong". |
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AVFAN
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Sep 22 2016, 02:15 AM
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rally!
all markets will rally tmrw.
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AVFAN
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Sep 22 2016, 02:28 AM
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wti hovering at 45.50.
next stop...46?
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AVFAN
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Sep 22 2016, 10:09 PM
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QUOTE(yok70 @ Sep 22 2016, 05:08 PM) this year strange, could it be all the way bullish until year end (rate hike by year end very high chance)? i think almost sure 25bps in dec. but oil... how far can it go? 47, 48? before it returns to 42-43? |
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AVFAN
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Sep 23 2016, 06:22 PM
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this, will be fun! QUOTE Saudis offer oil cut for OPEC deal if Iran freezes output: Report http://www.cnbc.com/2016/09/23/saudis-offe...put-report.html |
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AVFAN
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Sep 24 2016, 12:14 AM
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wti bled 3% in less than 30 min.
iran told saudi to take a hike?
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AVFAN
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Sep 24 2016, 12:26 AM
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first, "we may discuss". then, "we offer to cut". now, "we don't see a deal". die or not? Oil prices fell about 3 percent on Friday, paring weekly gains, on a report that Saudi Arabia did not expect an agreement at talks next week among major crude exporters aimed at freezing production.very lucky me... sold all uwti last night, then went dwti and just sold all. better enjoy the weekend.  good read: QUOTE The oil and gas industry worldwide will have to show "character" to excel in an open-ended, low-price, extreme-efficiency environment. The fight for clean kilowatts is on. This is good news for consumers everywhere. And bad news for those who are solely banking on high prices and hoping for tail winds of high volatility. http://www.cnbc.com/2016/09/23/oil-is-hitt...commentary.html |
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AVFAN
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Sep 24 2016, 12:31 AM
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...
This post has been edited by AVFAN: Sep 24 2016, 12:33 AM
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AVFAN
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Sep 24 2016, 01:36 AM
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QUOTE(zacknistelrooy @ Sep 24 2016, 01:16 AM) Baker Hughes US oil rig count 418 vs 416 prior. neutral... after falling 4%, maybe next week, opec twist again... maybe iran will say, "we may cooperate"... and it goes wild again. |
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AVFAN
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Sep 24 2016, 02:09 AM
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looks stable now.
will likely sit around 44.50 until some opec fella speaks.
or shock nos. from api/eia.
next tue-wed will be fun.
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AVFAN
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Sep 24 2016, 08:01 PM
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QUOTE(danmooncake @ Sep 24 2016, 07:00 AM) Waah... saved by the bell. 14c above that line. Phew!  Next week, another game. we all need the luck. so, that's good. i had some luck in the last few days. will see if mon-tue will provide opportunity to long anything. like u, i see 43-48 range still in play. until some major opec fella says or announce something major. but even the russians aren't optimistic. http://www.cnbc.com/2016/09/23/dont-bank-o...e-minister.htmlit's all traders' emotions, little else. while the tankers get fuller and fuller. |
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AVFAN
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Sep 26 2016, 07:54 PM
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QUOTE Oil Speculators Abandon Hope of OPEC Reaching Supply Accord Speculators boost wagers on lower WTI oil prices by 50%: CFTC OPEC members meet for informal talks on Sept. 28 in Algiers http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/201...-support-prices |
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AVFAN
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Sep 26 2016, 11:05 PM
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QUOTE(zacknistelrooy @ Sep 26 2016, 11:02 PM) Looks like short covering or could be someone knows something. i think both shorts and longs are at their heights. it's all a wild speculative game now, lots of new players, i read. and what better time to gamble than during an OPEC meeting?! |
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AVFAN
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Sep 27 2016, 01:12 AM
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QUOTE(danmooncake @ Sep 27 2016, 01:06 AM) Sold a lots of Puts... hopefully, we can get some bounces by mid-week. you are confident the opec fellas will agree to potong? |
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AVFAN
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Sep 27 2016, 01:37 AM
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QUOTE(danmooncake @ Sep 27 2016, 01:26 AM) I am only confident even if they do nothing, Oil should not drop below $43 by end of this week. Maybe a small dip to 42.50 if all else fail because of Iran, but it should hold. At near $43, it seems the buyers will step in. I got some room to maneuver from last week gains but if Iran continues to be defiant and wanted to double their production instead of holding at same level or sudden US rigs count increases, then, I'll be caught holding a lot of shares of XLE by end of this week. 43 should be safe. but opec... i can't see them agreeing on anything except, "we agree to talk again". besides iran, there are libya and nigeria - both trying to get back to normal production, unlikely they will agree to even freeze at this time. i wait for 2am and see how it goes... may go dwti if it stays higher than 46. |
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AVFAN
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Sep 27 2016, 04:35 PM
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markets seem buoyed by clinton's debate "win".
crude... all ears on first words coming out of opec meet, i'm sure.
reuters seem to be always the first one to report anything.
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