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 USA Stock Discussion v8, Brexit: What happens now?

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AVFAN
post Aug 16 2016, 11:20 AM

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wti... 10 sessions, 16% rise, incredible.

some profit taking now.

but if api/eia data tmrw is positive, it can continue rally until $50.

becos there is no negative news at all at this time while "opec talks in sep" still reign.

tread carefully!
AVFAN
post Aug 16 2016, 11:26 PM

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QUOTE(danmooncake @ Aug 16 2016, 11:11 PM)
Here we go guys.... I think we're in new game range here: 46-50.  biggrin.gif
*
man this is scary shit... short or long! biggrin.gif
AVFAN
post Aug 17 2016, 10:50 AM

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QUOTE(danmooncake @ Aug 17 2016, 02:23 AM)
I know this sounds crazy (despite over supply) but we need to stay long because of OPEC optimism.
I think we got a few more upside points to climb here.
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the "opec talks" optimism worked wonders, push wti up 18% this round!

question is will it last for another 5 weeks until the actual meeting.

api just reported draw in crude, buildup in gasoline.

eia data tonight will jolt things again, no doubt.

profit taking will happen but the upward momentum is still there.

supposedly production problems in venezuela and nigeria helped prices rise too.


QUOTE(yok70 @ Aug 17 2016, 03:46 AM)
50 revisit coming.....it seems.... notworthy.gif
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if there will be no bad-bad news, that's where it wants to go, i think.

but overall, very risky to short big or long big, imo.

play small ok. biggrin.gif
AVFAN
post Aug 17 2016, 10:49 PM

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and the oil rally continues...
AVFAN
post Aug 18 2016, 01:10 AM

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QUOTE(danmooncake @ Aug 17 2016, 11:29 PM)
Got small pull back here.. but the bulls will BUY this dip!

I think XLE is safe here above 67.50. Must hold by Friday.
Just two more days to go.
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safe la...

wti will be 50 by fri. tongue.gif
AVFAN
post Aug 18 2016, 01:41 AM

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QUOTE(danmooncake @ Aug 18 2016, 01:37 AM)
In that case, UWTI should jump way above 27. 
BUY BUY BUY!  drool.gif
*
should! laugh.gif

2am fed minutes... if dovish or not as hawkish as feared, it will shoot up.
AVFAN
post Aug 18 2016, 02:27 AM

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well... fomc minutes weren't exactly dovish.

oil price should now rise or fall with what comes out next from the mouths of the saudis-russians-iranians. biggrin.gif
AVFAN
post Aug 18 2016, 12:58 PM

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QUOTE(danmooncake @ Aug 18 2016, 02:34 AM)
The technical chart is good. Buy buy buy!  thumbup.gif
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good:
QUOTE
The relative strength of WTI in Thursday trading was a result of a flood of new orders to ship U.S. crude to Europe in order to take advantage of arbitrage opportunities resulting from the WTI/Brent price spread.


bad:
QUOTE
Saudi Arabia is sending signals that it could boost its crude oil supplies in August, even higher than its record 10.67 million barrels per day reached in July, as it gets ready for tough talks next month for a global output freeze pact.



just gotta be very careful if there will be another leg down in the making. biggrin.gif


AVFAN
post Aug 18 2016, 09:34 PM

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QUOTE(danmooncake @ Aug 18 2016, 01:37 AM)
In that case, UWTI should jump way above 27. 
*
that, u got it right. biggrin.gif
AVFAN
post Aug 18 2016, 10:56 PM

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i think it will attempt 48 tonight.

but won't be easy to stay above it.

maybe take a breather after such hefty gains...

This post has been edited by AVFAN: Aug 18 2016, 10:57 PM
AVFAN
post Aug 19 2016, 01:57 AM

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this oil rally is spectacular.

news has it that hedge funds are now taking major long positions.

and comparing wti vs brent charts, wti should be near 50 already!
AVFAN
post Aug 19 2016, 11:27 AM

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this oil bull rally is so steep that it is scary. biggrin.gif

but it does look unfazed, determined to get to 50-51 come what may.

gotta be very careful as it approaches it.
AVFAN
post Aug 19 2016, 01:29 PM

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QUOTE(mikehwy @ Aug 19 2016, 12:51 PM)
Crude is hitting 50 anytime. It looks real this time as any decline is well supported. To me, its still puzzling. Me ready to give a good short soon. Crude cant keep on moving up this way...unless the arabs r pushing it !!!
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seems hedge funds are pushing it.

from the patterns of the last few days and now, it looks like it will attempt to cross 50 tonight.

rig count data at 1am.

will be fun tonight.
AVFAN
post Aug 19 2016, 11:33 PM

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taking a pause from the market? biggrin.gif



olympics badminton... fabulous matches this evening.

lee chong wei beat lin dan, will go for gold.

spanish woman wins singles gold.

coming up... malaysia men doubles going for gold!

(msia has never won an olympics gold, maybe holiday monday if they win! laugh.gif )



ok... back to stocks, oil... tongue.gif

all wound up, all eyes on rig count at 1am.

if count decr or small incr, i bet it will shoot past 50.
AVFAN
post Aug 20 2016, 01:46 AM

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QUOTE(yok70 @ Aug 20 2016, 01:42 AM)
the single is very nice (both man and woman), but the double sucks (both team played too safe and scare, not manage to power the game up).
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quite true... both pairs became very nervous towards the end of the 3rd set.

the winners won not becos they were better but becos the other side were more nervous, made more mistakes. biggrin.gif
AVFAN
post Aug 20 2016, 01:52 AM

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with this, wti likely to take a pause.


Oilfield services firm Baker Hughes reported the number of rigs operating in U.S. fields rose for an eighth consecutive week, increasing by 10 to a total of 406. The report marked the first time the count has exceeded 400 since February.

AVFAN
post Aug 22 2016, 06:55 PM

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fireworks in the making...

wti down 3%.

back to <40?! laugh.gif
AVFAN
post Aug 22 2016, 07:58 PM

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hehe... to long or to short...? biggrin.gif


QUOTE
OPEC Ignites Biggest Short Squeeze In History: Hedge Funds Cut Oil Shorts By Most On Record
http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2016-08-21/o...rts-most-record

AVFAN
post Aug 22 2016, 11:23 PM

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QUOTE(danmooncake @ Aug 22 2016, 10:54 PM)
Didn't get the chance to short.. but took all profits last Friday.
I'll wait to see if it can pull back to 45.xx, if can hold here.. I'll long again.
*
i took 1/2 profit on fri, took the rest at opening.

then went short.

will see later if it was profitable move. biggrin.gif
AVFAN
post Aug 23 2016, 02:29 AM

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pretty boring session.

but got some ikan bilis in the end.

off to bed... yawn.gif


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