Some positivity to those investing:



Continue hodl strong.

Something happening in China?

Salute to them if they really did it. What courage:
https://www.indiatoday.in/world/story/xi-ji...4296-2022-09-24

Hope the same thing will happen to Russia soon. 🙏

This post has been edited by Davidtcf: Sep 25 2022, 08:44 AM

Ukraine war to stop is also a good sign. Hope it will be over soon.
In case Putin suddenly crazy decide to use nukes against Ukraine.. gg stock market that time also due to panic.

This post has been edited by Davidtcf: Oct 5 2022, 10:11 AM

few months ago we thought those prices were already very low.. mana tau this month dropped even more.

better to wait it out first.. low can go lower.. Fed not done with raising interest rates yet. Inflation no improve also. If I can turn back time I would keep those money in MMF funds or FD.. later sure really hit bottom and inflation improving only start buying en masse.

This post has been edited by Davidtcf: Oct 17 2022, 01:40 PM

can't turn back time so for me will just hold on DCA for time being. Money getting smaller too with all the inflation going on around us.

building up my emergency funds for time being, in case lose job later due to recession incoming.

next year looks like another roller coaster ride.. as long the below signs persists

1. Ukraine war not stopping - both sides stubborn continue to shoot each other.
2. US inflation - due to Ukraine war and too much money for past 2 years causing high inflation now.
3. Fed might increase interest rate up to 1% every few mths, and will continue all through next year as long no. 2 no improvement.
4. OPEC not helping with Saudi now siding with Russia to cut oil production. Resulting in high oil prices causing even higher inflation.

end of this year no need see d.. all doom and gloom for stock market. Everywhere all red now, can't escape.

This post has been edited by Davidtcf: Oct 18 2022, 03:39 PM

went down again.. relief rally la. doesn't last.

market will keep trending sideways or slide even more with hawkish Fed and ongoing Ukraine war. Need either one to stop to see big improvement to US stock market.

you will be surprise it works for some people:



need to start question some of the things we do daily.. could be "brainwashed" by the large corporations wanting to earn a quick buck from us.

bought the stocks too earlier after Fed announced tightening / raising interest rates.. should have waited.
It is true the saying "don't fight the fed".

next time if another tightening happens, will stop buying stocks, instead buy ETFs that short on treasuries. See how much these ETFs have went up this year thanks to the Fed:

TTT, TMV, and TBT
https://etfdb.com/etfs/bond/treasuries/#etf...der=desc&page=1

if DCA now, stock prices fall lower later, end up more paper losses.

better to wait first till outlook improves a bit (hint: US CPI index). Problem is nobody knows when this outlook will improve. Fed will keep pump up interest rates till it could bloody hit 8% for all we know. Now it's only 4.25%. If they really pump to 8%, huhu get ready for 2-3x more downside potential of any stock prices due to falling earnings of companies. Consumers have less money to spend due to interest paid to car, house etc loans. Companies need to pay more for loans.. affects everything.

finally if buy at "peak", it could take years before an investor can recover back their paper losses.. in the past it took some stocks 5 years or more to recover back to previous prices after a recession. So don't simply assume DCA is safe. Too much marketing by youtubers and those investment websites liao. Source: https://www.sjp.asia/discover/news-insights...ly-and-mentally

Quote from the article:
"In the worst case, the Great Depression of the 1930s, investors lost over 80% of their money. It took over 15 years for them to make their money back – if they remained invested.

Other stock market falls were not quite so calamitous. In seven of the 11 episodes, investors would have recouped all losses in two years or less if invested in the S&P500 index. In the other four – 1893, 2001 and 2008 – the period to breakeven was four to five years."

Do your own research by reading more is best. Now is uncertain times. Inflation too high and Ukraine War making things worse - with sanctions on Russia affecting the world (food & oil prices). Also remember there is Covid that could mutate to some crazy strain again.. this one not fully resolved yet with a sure cure. Later more lockdowns could affect manufacturing - hint: China.

This post has been edited by Davidtcf: Oct 27 2022, 10:49 AM

should just go for 1% or more rate hike.. make it faster in taming inflation. Keep delay doesn't help.. economy all in bad shape already anyways.

good la he is making them more efficient.. forcing them to come out with new features working 12 hours shift this week to see who makes the cut and who else to fire.

efficiency is what makes Elon and his company successful the first place.

who knows after a few years under Elon, Twitter will boom and get listed again

imo don't need 7.5k employees for a simple app like Twitter.

If Facebook or Youtube then yea, need much more to do its coding and daily management of the apps.

A quick search found that Youtube only has 2.8k employees:
https://www.linkedin.com/company/youtube/about/
https://earthweb.com/how-many-employees-does-youtube-have/

Meta has 80k employees but that is spread across all its apps and departments such as facebook, instagram, whatspp, oculus etc.

marketing strategy by those brokers to make us throw money at the stock market.

Youtubers also end up buta2 follow these people keep ask us to DCA.

Should be when Fed announce start of tightening.. they should have warn us to STOP investing instead (and even sell if u think u need the money). Hence this guy gain a new respect from me for warning us:

Now seems like a good time to buy.. inflation seems to be improving in the US with the latest CPI report.
Stock prices start to go up a bit.

Russia war now losing steam also.

Invest what you can and make sure have emergency funds also.

Today US big rally after Fed announces slowing of rate hike:
https://finance.yahoo.com/stock-market-news...-130006947.html

seems like Xmas rally possible..

This post has been edited by Davidtcf: Dec 1 2022, 10:38 AM

stock buyback by Meta la.. sell while you can.

should I buy some stocks now like S&P500, Amazon etc or wait?

Prices keep going up these few days. Feel they will crash back down again soon. Due to this news:
https://www.barchart.com/story/news/1559468...-pressures-ease

Now suddenly got extra cash.. Earlier don't have. Nvm I'll wait a while and see. This bullrun won't last imo. Just a short burst before dropping again.

Russia-Ukraine war still ongoing (affecting global food and commodity prices), Fed still increasing interest rates, albeit at a lower % now. It is rumored May 2023 will be the last rate hike by them.

However just yesterday OPEC plans to cut oil production (Saudi dislikes US), so more chance of inflation going up again due to oil price:
https://www.reuters.com/business/energy/why...put-2023-04-03/
Oil predicted to jump back to the $100 price range.

All these factors doesn't make it convincing that a solid bullrun is ongoing.

lucky I waited, end of month/beginning of month usually pumped up by big wallstreet players.

job report lower than expect. Recession fears now inbound:
https://www.investing.com/news/stock-market...bs-data-3048442

This post has been edited by Davidtcf: Apr 5 2023, 09:45 AM