Welcome Guest ( Log In | Register )

25 Pages « < 9 10 11 12 13 > » Bottom

Outline · [ Standard ] · Linear+

 USA Stock Discussion v8, Brexit: What happens now?

views
     
Ramjade
post Apr 11 2022, 10:45 AM

20k VIP Club
*********
All Stars
24,382 posts

Joined: Feb 2011


QUOTE(dwRK @ Apr 11 2022, 09:28 AM)
manipulated up to give false hope n security to retailers biggrin.gif

timing for the stocks splits just when market is turning south will trap a lot of moms, pops & noobs fomo into "cheap" tsla n goog... smile.gif

commercials will definitely be shorting the market... weak hands will capitulate into their order books... laugh.gif
*
I don't care about stock split as it nothing. But with Google stock split, if you can get 5 google shares once it split, can start doing covers calls already. Imagine trying to do covered call on Google now va post split.

Google is actually cheap if you look at historical valuation. Welly target is anything below usd2600.

Let them short. Like I said the redder the market, the happier I am.
Ramjade
post Apr 11 2022, 11:14 AM

20k VIP Club
*********
All Stars
24,382 posts

Joined: Feb 2011


QUOTE(Lon3Rang3r00 @ Apr 11 2022, 10:56 AM)
I watched the Wheel Strategy from Kelvin learn investing Youtube video, I macam understand what he's saying but still don't know how it really works. But to be able to do what he shared, it still go back to the first thing that you've mentioned= which is to be comfortable buying the 100 shares of the stock you wanna put for option. Which Stock Splitting is actually good in this case, as the overall price to own 100 shares of the stock is significantly reduce after the split.  :thumbsup: Still i'll have to put on hold of this Options ideas until i know what am I doing.

Do I need a margin account for trading Options?
*
Don't bother with "Singaporean investor/YouTube/guru". All of them want to sell you course except with chicken genius.

I learned my options via Benjie options, dream green show.

Yes and no. Margin helps you to sell puts when you don't have enough cash to do a covered put but not needed if you have enough cash.

But as mentioned as long as you are not assigned and your cash remain positive, you will never be charged any margin interest. You will get charged margin interest if your cash turns negative.
Ramjade
post Apr 11 2022, 12:24 PM

20k VIP Club
*********
All Stars
24,382 posts

Joined: Feb 2011


QUOTE(Davidtcf @ Apr 11 2022, 11:22 AM)
what happens if example you're so confident Palantir will have its price drop, and you short on it...

then suddenly Wallstreetbets reddit people come in and pump the price.. that will not be good for your shorts and incur losses on your end? like what happened to Gamestop few years ago.
https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/st...entioned-2022-3

seems like calls is a safer bet.
*
Like I said, if you are not confident, don't bother selling puts on it cause you are not comfortable with buying 100 shares of it.

That's why first rule of selling put is very important. Are you ok with buying 100 abc shares at xyz price? If no, don't bother.

Btw, palantir have zero debts, usd2bln in cash, super high gross margin and they have rich sticky customers like US govt and UK/European govt.
You don't need to worry about them going out of business anytime soon. tongue.gif

If you don't like palantir, don't buy it. I like the fundamentals of palantir and I am looking to buy more.

I never shot any stocks.

This post has been edited by Ramjade: Apr 11 2022, 12:24 PM
Ramjade
post Apr 11 2022, 01:18 PM

20k VIP Club
*********
All Stars
24,382 posts

Joined: Feb 2011


QUOTE(dwRK @ Apr 11 2022, 12:31 PM)
anyways we digress biggrin.gif  goog is not a defensive stock per stock market norms/definition... current market pullback isn't indicative and invalidation of it... will have to wait for the real recession...
*
Buffet have always been market timer. He buys when it's cheap/lots of fear aka market timing.

Let's see who's right or wrong when it comes to real recession for Google. Can't wait. I stand by my thesis on Google it's defensive.
Ramjade
post Apr 11 2022, 01:46 PM

20k VIP Club
*********
All Stars
24,382 posts

Joined: Feb 2011


QUOTE(TOS @ Apr 11 2022, 01:43 PM)
Of course you will be correct because your definition of "defensive" is not the market's definition in first place. laugh.gif
*
I think you misunderstood what I said. What I meant is come real recession let's see if Google fall a lot or little.

All will fall but question is by how much.

This post has been edited by Ramjade: Apr 11 2022, 01:46 PM
Ramjade
post Apr 11 2022, 02:29 PM

20k VIP Club
*********
All Stars
24,382 posts

Joined: Feb 2011


QUOTE(TOS @ Apr 11 2022, 01:48 PM)
Ok, so you are using the "market" definition of defensive. Got it.
*
Er actually that and see who get affected by inflation/recession. Will revenue, earnings drop.

So if a price drop drastically but earnings and revenue goes up but cost remains the same or increase slightly, it's still defensive in my books. This shows that they have pricing power.

QUOTE(dwRK @ Apr 11 2022, 01:57 PM)
ok... walmart vs google...  let's play... biggrin.gif
*
Let's go. Can't wait. biggrin.gif

QUOTE(Lon3Rang3r00 @ Apr 11 2022, 02:12 PM)
So what if recession really happens? Can't we just hold and wait it up? Continue to DCA in the stock we believed in, minimize the losses while waiting for it to recover from it. Or because recession has higher impact on those who used leverage and options, that newbie like me couldn't comprehend at this point of time.
*
Of course that's what I will be doing. Some people can't hold as they see their portfolio losing 1-2% a day.

You need to experience one for yourself and then see if you still have stomach for it.

Some people might not have so much cash so they want to exit the market and buy back in.

This post has been edited by Ramjade: Apr 11 2022, 02:40 PM
Ramjade
post Apr 12 2022, 12:51 AM

20k VIP Club
*********
All Stars
24,382 posts

Joined: Feb 2011


QUOTE(The Nomad @ Apr 12 2022, 12:33 AM)
Looks like I'll have to chance to put my RM10k EPF withdrawal to good use!
*
Let's hope it continues.
Ramjade
post Apr 12 2022, 09:33 AM

20k VIP Club
*********
All Stars
24,382 posts

Joined: Feb 2011


QUOTE(Lon3Rang3r00 @ Apr 12 2022, 09:18 AM)
*scratching hand*, see all red red feel like chipping in. I wonder how Options can perform during downtrend? Buy low sell lower earning premium in between.
*
When market is red, selling put increase in premium price.
Ramjade
post Apr 12 2022, 06:51 PM

20k VIP Club
*********
All Stars
24,382 posts

Joined: Feb 2011


QUOTE(Toku @ Apr 12 2022, 05:25 PM)
Walmart      vs    Google
PE                     31.68x                23.14x
Index PE            31.37x                33.76x

I think what Ramjade meant is how much it will drop to nominal PE value.
In case of above 2 candidates, if say they need to drop to 15x PE, Walmart will need to drop 52% in price while Google drop 35%. In this definition, Google has less fat than Walmart and has less room to drop (regardless of what industry they are in. Just purely analyse from its quality)?
*
Compare PS ratio as well. That's why I said it's cheap.
Daniel pronk and the investor channel did a deep dive into Google.

QUOTE(dwRK @ Apr 12 2022, 05:51 PM)
I'm a simple man... so if I spent $100k now... how much are they worth during the depth of the recession? a defensive stock should drop the least, continues to pay dividends and may even increase in price/value...
*
What dividend you want from US companies with US govt already makan 30% of your dividend. biggrin.gif

That's why I don't focus on dividends for US companies. I use options as my dividends instead.

This post has been edited by Ramjade: Apr 12 2022, 06:54 PM
Ramjade
post Apr 12 2022, 10:36 PM

20k VIP Club
*********
All Stars
24,382 posts

Joined: Feb 2011


QUOTE(dwRK @ Apr 12 2022, 07:31 PM)
if they give dividend... I take... never say no to money biggrin.gif

options is a separate story... don't confuse the two... laugh.gif

you can collect dividends AND play options... wink.gif
*
Their dividend is peanut and combine ith with the tax, the peanut gets smaller. Not worth it for me.
Ramjade
post Apr 12 2022, 11:13 PM

20k VIP Club
*********
All Stars
24,382 posts

Joined: Feb 2011


QUOTE(TOS @ Apr 12 2022, 10:56 PM)
Yup.
*
Been there and done that tongue.gif
Ramjade
post Apr 12 2022, 11:39 PM

20k VIP Club
*********
All Stars
24,382 posts

Joined: Feb 2011


QUOTE(TOS @ Apr 12 2022, 11:27 PM)
Which stock? When? How much "loses"? Can share details?
*
Square. I set strike price at usd100 and it shot up to usd12x. But let's see in this high inflation. How high it will go up.

Can't do anything as it was bad luck when market rebounded fiercely. But square was a stock I want to let go.

Same with visa. I let go at 220 as it shot higher than 220. Now selling covered put on it at 215. Hopefully it expired in the money so I can buy back at 215.

This post has been edited by Ramjade: Apr 12 2022, 11:40 PM
Ramjade
post Apr 13 2022, 08:29 AM

20k VIP Club
*********
All Stars
24,382 posts

Joined: Feb 2011


QUOTE(dwRK @ Apr 13 2022, 07:22 AM)
when your stocks you bought to play options pay dividends... you give them dividends to me ok? smile.gif
*
By selling calls on stocks I own, I get to collect the dividends and the options premium. For me the dividend is basically negligible. But free money is money.

QUOTE(ChAOoz @ Apr 13 2022, 08:01 AM)
Same here. Dividend after taxes is really not worth it, especially when you see the deduction.
So there is really not much incentives to hold dividends stock unless you really like a particular company like 3M, J&J.
*
Yup that's right. That's why dividend for me in US market is negligible and meaningless.
Ramjade
post Apr 13 2022, 10:54 PM

20k VIP Club
*********
All Stars
24,382 posts

Joined: Feb 2011


QUOTE(Lon3Rang3r00 @ Apr 13 2022, 08:36 PM)
hmm.gif  Regards to this, i got a question. Isn't Irish Domicile ETF more expensive? I saw in IBKR that cost $1.7 per transaction, can't really DCA every month as LSE doesn't allow fractional shares.
*
For me I collect until rm10k then transfer over. Convert into USD via IB and just keep money inside IB and buy when it's cheap.
Ramjade
post Apr 19 2022, 01:56 AM

20k VIP Club
*********
All Stars
24,382 posts

Joined: Feb 2011


QUOTE(TOS @ Apr 19 2022, 12:25 AM)
More WSJ reads (Heard on the Street):

Netflix Needs to Handle Its Freeloaders Delicately

Crackdown on password sharing could boost revenue as subscriber growth slows, but alienating viewers could be costly too

https://www.wsj.com/articles/netflix-needs-...share_permalink

--------------------------------------------------------

Indulge Your Sweet Tooth Beyond Easter to Fight Inflation

Unlike most food commodities, cocoa has been remarkably stable when it comes to price. Chocolate might remain a more affordable snack than savory treats.

https://www.wsj.com/articles/indulge-your-s...share_permalink

-----------------------------------------------------------

Bank Stocks Have to Reckon With the Downside of Higher Rates

Rising interest rates have many benefits for banks, but some of the burdens are front and center now

https://www.wsj.com/articles/bank-stocks-ha...share_permalink

------------------------------------------------------------

Stock Splits Show Less is More in Today’s Market

Sudden resurgence of stock splits shows importance of individual investors to U.S. listed companies

https://www.wsj.com/articles/stock-splits-s...share_permalink

------------------------------------------------------------

A Downtick Is Coming for Online Advertising (This one for Ramjade  smile.gif)

Google’s search business expected to stay resilient while social platforms grapple with challenges

https://www.wsj.com/articles/a-downtick-is-...share_permalink
*
Let's see Google earnings next week. I just added another Google share recently at 2545
QUOTE
Michael Nathanson of MoffettNathanson wrote in a note last month that Google is “the strongest and safest part of the marketing funnel and has benefited from shifting spend due to changing privacy standards.”

This is one of the reason I invest in Google. Why go for 2nd beat online advertising when it's the king?

Also Google is quite cheap in terms of valuation.

Edit for typo and google earnings next week.

This post has been edited by Ramjade: Apr 19 2022, 11:15 AM
Ramjade
post Apr 19 2022, 09:37 AM

20k VIP Club
*********
All Stars
24,382 posts

Joined: Feb 2011


QUOTE(dwRK @ Apr 19 2022, 09:22 AM)
2445 typo?...2545?
*
Yup. Typo on my part. 2545. Anyway looking to load up more f it drop. Let's see earnings.
Ramjade
post Apr 19 2022, 01:15 PM

20k VIP Club
*********
All Stars
24,382 posts

Joined: Feb 2011


QUOTE(ozak @ Apr 19 2022, 12:59 PM)
Collecting at a low price before the bonus split is a bargain.
*
I just need 5 Google shares so that once it split I can start doing covered calls on Google hence gettig extra "dividends" from Google.
Ramjade
post Apr 19 2022, 01:28 PM

20k VIP Club
*********
All Stars
24,382 posts

Joined: Feb 2011


QUOTE(ozak @ Apr 19 2022, 01:22 PM)
The price will double very fast after the split. That is how to accumulate the shares without paying a cent.

The more split qty the better.
*
I agree. That's why I want to accumulate now while it's cheap.
Ramjade
post Apr 19 2022, 03:54 PM

20k VIP Club
*********
All Stars
24,382 posts

Joined: Feb 2011


QUOTE(Lon3Rang3r00 @ Apr 19 2022, 03:34 PM)
ohmy.gif  Congrats in advance.  just realized it's 20:1 split..  but 5 share = 12.5k ouchs.
*
If you are working, it's not impossible not to save up usd12.5k in one year.

That's why I focus my purchasing power. I don't buy like 30 stocks. I keep it to max 15 stocks.
Ramjade
post Apr 19 2022, 10:53 PM

20k VIP Club
*********
All Stars
24,382 posts

Joined: Feb 2011


QUOTE(Lon3Rang3r00 @ Apr 19 2022, 05:01 PM)
bangwall.gif If i didn't spent my last 10-15 years over spending without any saving, $12.5k per year might be possible. My field of work don't earn me much since I'm not from Peninsular. I'm currently only able to invest at most Rm1k/month, and will increase the amount when I'm able to. :thumbsup:
*
You need high savings rate. My pay is only RM5k.
If you got no money, do with cheap stock like palantir. It's only usd12.xx which is equal to USD1k+

You can easily earn usd10/week from palantir. One year easily usd520. Concentration helps if you have small amount. I am an advocate for concentration investing and not diworsification. That's why my portfolio is concentrated and I don't buy so many things.

Yes palantir is one of my main holdings.

QUOTE(ChAOoz @ Apr 19 2022, 06:14 PM)
Alphabet is one of the most defensive FAANG out there.

It's moat on core services like google search, youtube and mapping services (waze/maps) is near unreplaceable position.

Even Apple might have device change cycle, but for Google they are so entrenched that if we have recession or inflationary pressure there will still continue to be advertisers and consumers using its services on daily basis.

Can't go wrong with this one. If you buy, just keep it till the day Google search algorithm starts to fail you.
*
One of the reason why I decided to add it into my Portfolio. Doesn't depend on hardware, not affected by Apple change in OS.

This post has been edited by Ramjade: Apr 19 2022, 11:08 PM

25 Pages « < 9 10 11 12 13 > » Top
 

Change to:
| Lo-Fi Version
0.1244sec    0.52    7 queries    GZIP Disabled
Time is now: 13th December 2025 - 04:46 AM