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 USA Stock Discussion v8, Brexit: What happens now?

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Hansel
post Apr 9 2025, 12:28 PM

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Two material events seen now after 12 midnight now in The USA :-

1) Yuan drops to lowest on record, Offshore Yuan.
2) Oil falls below $60 per bbl.
Hansel
post Apr 13 2025, 03:18 PM

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QUOTE(ChAOoz @ Apr 12 2025, 11:03 PM)
Play by ear policy from US, rife with possible insider trading and manipulation.

Better just buy vix or to avoid the market all together for now.
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Yeah,... I was abt to comment too,... these people never think properly before they do anything,... and they're the highest govt in the world,....

After doing it and things don't turn out well,... just reverse,... no need to apologise too.

It's good to be in govt.......

Many kena forced-selling,... but I guessed this is what they call risks-lar,...
Hansel
post Apr 13 2025, 03:34 PM

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QUOTE(Cubalagi @ Apr 12 2025, 11:46 PM)
Can do some short term trading Monday, US and even some Bursa Malaysia ones.
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Made a killing on Friday with a DLC instrument :-

1) Bought BYD 5xLongSG250904 on 10 Apr 2025 13:00:08. The filled price is SGD 0.156.

2) Then Sold BYD 5xLongSG250904 (SG) has been filled on 11 Apr 2025 16:53:50. The filled price is SGD 0.205. Ie Taken profit before mkt close on Friday.

Win percentage was (0.205-0.156)/0.156 = 31.41%.
Hansel
post Apr 13 2025, 03:49 PM

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QUOTE(MGM @ Apr 13 2025, 03:39 PM)
Good for u, saya baca apa pun tak faham, hehe. Options?
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No bro,.. this is DLCs - Daily Leverage Certificates. KInd of an instrument in the exchange.

Options-man is Ramjade,... I wonder what is he experiencing now with the current mkt turmoil ?
Hansel
post Apr 13 2025, 04:52 PM

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QUOTE(Cubalagi @ Apr 13 2025, 04:27 PM)
Closest is Structured  Warrants but without the time value.

Or one of those 3x Leverage ETF,.
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I think these two instruments need to depend on the general mkt to provide the liquidity. But DLCs have the 'issuer' too providing the liquidity, hence, the spread will not be too big.
Hansel
post Apr 15 2025, 06:08 PM

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QUOTE(engineer @ Apr 15 2025, 02:35 PM)
F*** Trump, I lost USD30k a day when he paused the tariffs ranting.gif  ranting.gif  ranting.gif
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If you had an opportunity to hold your shorts open for 90 days,... then you would have had a chance to make back,... smile.gif
Hansel
post Apr 15 2025, 07:06 PM

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QUOTE(Medufsaid @ Apr 15 2025, 06:41 PM)
Hansel this downturn meant i was able to makan a couple more covered call options..

but of cos, if u don't mind to short, can earn more. covered call is for u to "collect rental" while you HODL your shares
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Understood, yes, collecting Premiums from your Options. Emm,... if the mkt turns, then it's against you,...

Yeah,... I have done many shorts in life.
Hansel
post Apr 16 2025, 02:22 PM

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QUOTE(danmooncake @ Apr 16 2025, 07:08 AM)
Selling covered calls not too bad. Worst case scenario is just base price went above your sold call price
and your common stocks get called away.

But, shorting common stocks are dangerous. Loss can be unlimited if market continues upward.
As traders, just have to cut losses if the loss target are breached.  sweat.gif
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You make more from successful shorts. You just have to ensure you win more than you lose. And you prevent losing too much by placing stop-losses at proper positions.

For covered calls, from personal experience, if we wish to earn a larger premium, we need to place the price quite near to the spot price. Otherwise, the risk/return reward is not worth it. Then when the mkt behaves 'wrongly', against what TA predicted,... you lose the shares which you have accumulated. I love to collect shares,... good shares,...


Hansel
post Apr 16 2025, 02:30 PM

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QUOTE(danmooncake @ Apr 16 2025, 07:10 AM)
Yes, unfortunately, his tariffs not done yet. For the next 90 days, things are murky.
Not sure how many negotiations are there..

The main street numbers will be out in about 4-6 weeks time when they realized
everything became so expensive again after all the existing imports are gone and no more shipment coming back in.

Not sure how J.Powell will be able reduce rate if inflation ticks back up.  hmm.gif
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Frankly,... things are all up to one man. His 90 days are just for the Reciprocal Tariffs. But will he really adhere to the said 90-day period ?

And then,.... there are other 'Tariff Buckets' which he can employ, egs for semiconductors and basic consumer electronic equipment. Yesterday, Scott Bessent said in Buenos Aires that they've started working on this tariff. Probably will have ann't by this week.

And then there are Sectorial Tariffs which he can employ, egs for autos and automotive parts.

China's tariff is called Retaliatory Tariffs,.... biggrin.gif

So many different names,... biggrin.gif

Feds' main duty is to Ensure Maximum Employment. If the jobs numbers on any coming Fridays start showing bad things, they can start thinking abt cutting. Managing Price Stability comes second.
Hansel
post Apr 16 2025, 03:00 PM

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QUOTE(annoymous1234 @ Apr 16 2025, 02:33 PM)
trump today: 90 days pause
trump later today: FAKE NEWS!
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Yeah,... I think,... kena twice already this event, right ? No, three times,...

Reciprocal Tariff launch and no pausing, then paused.

Semiconductor Items no tax, but then said to move to another 'bucket'.

And something abt Auto Tariffs against The EU,....

Oh yeah,.. one more,... at the very initial start,... U-Turned against Mexico, said sure to go, but after a phone-call with the pretty Mexican President, said paused for,.. how long ?

So,...... four times. And Canada paused too since pausing Mexico's,...
Hansel
post Apr 19 2025, 07:31 PM

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QUOTE(danmooncake @ Apr 18 2025, 03:21 AM)
Ouch! That's horrible.
Hopefully, you guys can come back from this.

Market is not forgiving. Playing options sometimes can be like juggling dynamite especially in a very volatile market.  sweat.gif
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Somehow,... our fellow forummer Ramjade is highly successful in this game,... how did he do it ?
Hansel
post Apr 20 2025, 07:58 AM

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QUOTE(Medufsaid @ Apr 20 2025, 07:01 AM)
in the right market conditions (i haven't found a way to find this "right conditions", u can easily see how it'll turn out badly), doing a wheel strategy is very profitable

wheel strategy = sell calls, get stocks pulled away, sell puts, get stocks back. and repeat forever. hence why it's called wheel
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The way Ramjade describes his tactics,... he does not need any right mkt conditions. He has a list of a few tactics that is able to defeat ALL mkt conditions,... no need to even see current mkt conditions. biggrin.gif
Hansel
post May 12 2025, 06:21 PM

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QUOTE(ipohps3 @ May 12 2025, 04:12 PM)
so all in?
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All in & quickly out before President's tone changes. Take maximum profit.
Hansel
post May 17 2025, 04:14 PM

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Been holding the following US ctrs for 2 -3 yrs,... never sold. Latest average prices :-
1) Nvidia : 129.02
2) Tesla : 250.21
3) Apple : 197.00
4) PennantPark : 11.67 (pays out dividend every mth )
5) Proshares Short BTC ETF : 8.82 (bought last year when BTC ETFs started to get clearance from the Biden Administration).

So,... no profit taken for me,... guessed I'm not a good trader.
Hansel
post May 19 2025, 07:29 PM

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QUOTE(mois @ May 17 2025, 06:02 PM)
Is this referring to SBIT? This week I bought some $7.6. The volume for the past few months are astronomical.
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QUOTE(Medufsaid @ May 17 2025, 06:31 PM)
mois i bought IBIT @ $27 on day 1 (sold @ $35). never was @ $8

most definitely BITI (don't forget BITI had a reverse split in Q4 2024. 1-for-5) so his entry price is $44.10
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Yes,... I have just managed to open my Tiger Brokers to refer for your guys,... since I have the time.

Yes, it's BITI,... bought twice, opened at $8.60 and at $8.82 last year,... still holding,... saw some big numbers there,... yeah, reverse split, I guessed,...

I have also bought IBIT last year, twice too, opened at $29.75 and at $41.57,... still holding.

Thank you for alerting me to this,... otherwise, I wouldn't open my Tigers acct at all.
Hansel
post May 19 2025, 07:33 PM

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QUOTE(Ramjade @ May 18 2025, 09:34 PM)
I will repeat what xuzen have said. The world index have like 60% US. So you cannot run away even if Is US not doing well. Only way around it is avoid US market altogether. But US market have always been the one who which is easy money and whole world depend on US so if you go world index thinking of trying to reduce your risk, with a 60% holdings you cannot run away

In short don't bother. Stick with US.
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Bro,...

I have just re-opened my Tigers acct,... would like to ask you : What are the pros and cons of using Tiger Brokers to do Sell options ? I see that most Option traders would go for IB.
Hansel
post Jun 1 2025, 03:02 PM

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QUOTE(TOS2 @ May 30 2025, 09:37 AM)
Section 899 is all over the news. Your dividends from US stocks will be taxed a further 5% per year for the next 4 years. And for the first time, treasuries earnings will be taxed. 

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/202...ll-street-angst

https://www.ft.com/content/b400009a-9a0e-4e...ed-2a25c2de0d8f

https://www.economist.com/united-states/202...igners-for-cash
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Thank you, bro TOS2 for this update. More taxes then for divvies earned in The US. More investors will shift to SG divvy ctrs after this.
Hansel
post Jun 2 2025, 01:56 PM

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I thinking,... not only will US stock dividends be hit, capital gains and options premiums earned will be hit too soon. Basically,... anything that has to do with US instruments will be hit with taxes and deductions so long as the beneficiary parties are not US Persons..

And US REITs listed in the SGX too,... they may not have the REIT privileges soon. There will be withholding taxes imposed on the dividend payouts from Prime and Utd Hampshire REIT,...
Hansel
post Jun 3 2025, 04:11 PM

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QUOTE(danmooncake @ Jun 2 2025, 11:30 PM)
Why need to offload VOO/QQQM since the divi are so low?

US-T-bills - probably so, 'coz they're considered dividends. Some of them are as high as 5%.
If they want to increase the tax on dividends, heck, even sovereign wealth funds won't want to buy Treasury any more.
Maybe consider US growth equities with cap gains only from now on.  hmm.gif

The Big "F**kup" Bill is with the US Senate now.. hoping they'll nix it.  mad.gif
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Good pts in the above, dan,....

Hmm,... cap gains earned by non-US Persons are not taxed yet ??
Hansel
post Jun 4 2025, 05:05 PM

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QUOTE(ipohps3 @ Jun 4 2025, 02:07 AM)
hey

it is the big beautiful bill
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Yeah,... whole world getting taxed more and Americans getting taxed less,...the perspective of the US President,...

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