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 STOCK MARKET DISCUSSION V150

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BliitzkrieG
post Apr 16 2021, 09:32 AM

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QUOTE(AVFAN @ Apr 15 2021, 11:51 PM)
FYI...

shortie did another 1.259 mil shares or 9% day vol, avg rm9.79.

very obvious it could not rise more, unlike the others which shortie did not touch.

good news is it closed 10.00 with no SBB, no directors purchase.

shortie now 1.37% avg price 10.95 - still in the money.

we'll see tmr!

also, 12 apr, EPF added 1.2 mil, now 7.582%.
https://www.bursamalaysia.com/market_inform...?ann_id=3148322
interesting data compiled by ben tan below:
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shortie now aggressively shorting it. from red turn to green and they decided to kick in.

spmx - 1,000,000 units
top glove - 620,000 units
harta - 204,500 units
kossan 402,100 units
BliitzkrieG
post Apr 16 2021, 10:21 AM

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QUOTE(AVFAN @ Apr 16 2021, 09:57 AM)
thanks for update.

looks like shortie is bent on continuing to the max! biggrin.gif

the pattern i see since jan is they are now becoming exhausted with TG; perhaps not much more they can borrow to short.

kossan and harta, they seem to buy buyback and then short again.

but from current situation, prices are still on uptrend for now.

my records show total 4 gloves, shortie is no longer in the money.

incl transaction costs and interest, it's already incurring losses with TG.

so, let's hope to see a squeeze soon! tongue.gif
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guess you are the one and only here having the statistics thumbup.gif

Update :
TG shorts has been increased to 1,346,100
kossan to 1,093,500
harta to 681,400
spmx remains the same

hopefully they are suffocated with the uptrend (let's hope its not temporary) and buying power now. probably they have to recycle or come out with some negative news again tongue.gif
BliitzkrieG
post Apr 16 2021, 11:01 AM

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QUOTE(jinj @ Apr 16 2021, 10:59 AM)
Bro why not 2nd tier? The price increase so much compared to the big 4.

As for the big 4, I have a bit of TG. Would spmx be a better buy for faster profit?
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If tier 1 / big 4 daiko down, tier 2 follow as well. so they just have to focus on the big 4, aka leader of Healthcare indices
BliitzkrieG
post Apr 16 2021, 04:20 PM

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QUOTE(AVFAN @ Apr 16 2021, 01:54 PM)
speak of the devil, here it comes... JPM today... same jeffery 3.50 ng.

guess the shorts will come in full force next week.... can try with another m3 billion. biggrin.gif
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Here we go again. Sooner than expected.

TG shorts are now at 2,699,900. Double up right after lunch time ; when this news came out
Kossan at 2,000,000
and harta at 802,400

supermax still maintain at 1,000,000
BliitzkrieG
post Apr 16 2021, 04:22 PM

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QUOTE(nauticat99 @ Apr 16 2021, 02:15 PM)
thumbup.gif  spot on. Without fail like a well run clock
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didnt expect them to make the same old predictable move lightning fast doh.gif
BliitzkrieG
post Apr 16 2021, 05:00 PM

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QUOTE(AVFAN @ Apr 16 2021, 04:25 PM)
kossan's 2mil or 15% is damaging... same with harta... that explains they r so depressed.

2.7 mil for TG is drowned by the other 52 mil... same spmx... bulls win.

interesting buildup battles for next week. biggrin.gif
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TG is now 3,169,600. just 10 mins before market closes
getting desperate now. so aggressive right after the article was published

user posted image
BliitzkrieG
post Apr 16 2021, 05:32 PM

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QUOTE(AVFAN @ Apr 16 2021, 05:26 PM)
3.2 mil is 5% of total 62mil - can see they r trying to stop the momentum, block it at 5.60.

i am curious who r the big buyers today... LWC et al, EPF or some other foreign or local fund.

will be most interesting next week!
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Most probably retailers + local fund in view of spike in number of covid cases. (my views only haha). Right after the unofficial numbers were released, it rebounded.
BliitzkrieG
post Apr 16 2021, 07:54 PM

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QUOTE(AVFAN @ Apr 16 2021, 05:42 PM)
such vol... i doubt retailers... many burnt, went for maybank-tenaga-genting.

local funds... maybe EPF incr... other IBs, esp maybank, they hate gloves. tongue.gif
we know some FF been buying... perhaps we will read some names soon.

maybe norges..?
https://www.theedgemarkets.com/article/worl...include-genting
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Yeah, can only know the market participant for today on Monday. We shall see.

Probably time for some minor zig zag healthy correction before going up again. At least this around its longer than a one day show tongue.gif
BliitzkrieG
post Apr 16 2021, 07:55 PM

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QUOTE(skty @ Apr 16 2021, 07:05 PM)
yea but too bad I no time to monitor the market today so I had to give up this intraday trading opportunity.

painful because I miss out a warrant that I wanted to enter this morning and it close at +100%!  bye.gif
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Lexus warrant? 😁
BliitzkrieG
post Apr 19 2021, 11:01 AM

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QUOTE(AVFAN @ Apr 19 2021, 10:23 AM)
QUOTE(BliitzkrieG @ Apr 16 2021, 07:54 PM)

calling u! biggrin.gif

any rss short on TG so far this morning?

it looks so.

spmx now >TG!
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Yes of course. In fact they shorted more aggressive on TG compared to last Friday. No shorts on spmx.
Here you go biggrin.gif
user posted image

This post has been edited by BliitzkrieG: Apr 19 2021, 11:02 AM
BliitzkrieG
post Apr 19 2021, 11:05 AM

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deleted - not updated yet

This post has been edited by BliitzkrieG: Apr 19 2021, 11:06 AM
BliitzkrieG
post Apr 19 2021, 11:46 AM

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QUOTE(AVFAN @ Apr 19 2021, 11:04 AM)
ah, 1.7mil... about 10%.

good, can buy more if they short more later. laugh.gif
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its now 2,045,300 for TG. As usual they short it aggressively right after they publish some old recycled news or rather baseless one whistling.gif
BliitzkrieG
post Apr 19 2021, 11:51 AM

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QUOTE(Boon3 @ Apr 19 2021, 11:30 AM)
Jokes aside, will you be factoring the Tropicana factor?

Well, the reasoning is since Tropicana has now shown it's displeasure and its willingness to dispose the portion of Top Glove shares it bought at a loss, what about the 12.425 million of shares it still possesses?

Are they gonna dispose more? Or will they hold?

See the issue?
... and if Top Glove were to fall... sooner or later, the sector will follow suit.........................
do factor in this risk.  icon_rolleyes.gif
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..." disposal will also generate working capital for its property development activities that will contribute positive earnings.."

but at the same time also to minimize losses.

Anyhow this wont bring much impact as people assume Tropicana = Tan Sri/TG. Different sentiment and story if the headline is changed to EPF disposed shares at loss
BliitzkrieG
post Apr 19 2021, 01:47 PM

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[quote=collingwood,Apr 19 2021, 01:29 PM]
Yes of course. In fact they shorted more aggressive on TG compared to last Friday. No shorts on spmx.
Here you go biggrin.gif
user posted image
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[/quote]
what website/app do u use for this dark screened graph

thanks!
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[/quote]
Im using Mplus to trade. Other trading platform have this as well. My primary one rakuten doesnt have this feature. Check with your remisier.
BliitzkrieG
post Apr 20 2021, 09:37 AM

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QUOTE(AVFAN @ Apr 19 2021, 01:36 PM)
thanks for info.

the jpm rinse&repeat job was on 16/4 afternoon.

incl today, shortie is at 256.5mil shares or as 3.13%.
lets' see if they will do the last 0.87% or 68mil shares... maybe over the next 2-3 weeks before harta/spmx QRs?

fyi, some of the bigger shorts:

19/4 morning, 2mil/24.8 = 8%
16/4 3.17/62.3 =5.1%
30/3 2.48/68.1 = 3.6%
23/3 3.43/20.5 =16.7%
22/3 1.02/38 = 2.7%
19/3 5.85/30.1 = 19.4%
18/3 2.05/20.4 =10%
17/3 2.89/27.3 = 10.6%
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No shorts as at now except Harta 119,700 units
Probably some minor correction / profit taking after going up for 4 days. need some rest tongue.gif
BliitzkrieG
post Apr 20 2021, 11:56 AM

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QUOTE(AVFAN @ Apr 20 2021, 09:43 AM)
last spmx QR was on 29 jan 2021.
ya, today, weak sentiments after wall street decline.

let's watch the vol...
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glove is rebounding now. but as soon as it rebounds, shorties start to kick in biggrin.gif

user posted image
BliitzkrieG
post Apr 20 2021, 07:33 PM

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QUOTE(AVFAN @ Apr 20 2021, 03:59 PM)
who's been buying what? and selling what?

again, ben tan has compiled some useful data:

https://klse.i3investor.com/blogs/bursainve...ying_Gloves.jsp
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Are you Ben Tan? tongue.gif thanks for sharing the article BTW. Good one.

On a side note Kossan's QR is superb! Slap on morgan's face and prove their "research" the other way round. For now..
BliitzkrieG
post Apr 21 2021, 12:18 PM

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user posted image

Current shorts for the big 4
BliitzkrieG
post Apr 21 2021, 05:30 PM

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QUOTE(AVFAN @ Apr 21 2021, 12:23 PM)
half hearted try with small amounts - pressure mounting on the cooker! tongue.gif
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wow closing RSS esp spmx

Supermax - 2,275,000
Top Glove - 295,000
Harta - 952,300
Kossan - 993,800
BliitzkrieG
post Apr 22 2021, 02:21 PM

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QUOTE(AVFAN @ Apr 22 2021, 12:11 PM)
if one has read such industry and 3rd party independent reports, one would know.

only naysayers choose not to read and go with JPM's ulterior motived reports, rinsed and repeated.
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Well said! If JPM is really confident with RM3.50 they wouldnt need to defend by shorting it from time to time. In fact, each time when the price start to soar high they will start to short aggressively.
Trying hard to recycle old news over and over again.

Gotto thank Kossan for releasing their QR that defy all naysayers and contradict JPM's "research". And also thank JPM for providing liquidity in glove stocks rclxs0.gif give 2nd chance to those missed the first wave. I might be wrong tho if its short term uptrend. But lets hope its indeed a reversal trend now.


Current shorts
Top Glove - 121,000
Harta - 10,700
Spmx and Kossan - Nil

This post has been edited by BliitzkrieG: Apr 22 2021, 02:22 PM

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