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 STOCK MARKET DISCUSSION V150

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joeblow
post Dec 28 2020, 04:43 PM

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Just sold my CSCSteel at RM1.41... Slowly sell all my inherited shares because I don't know what's the original purchase price...

FYI, I think a major market correction overdue and some bros here talked about it. Reasons etc.

However what's strange is that most bank RMs and Fund Managers actually bullish on Equities 2021.

May sell my bank stocks soon, missed the last peak. All bros huat ah!!!
joeblow
post Dec 28 2020, 05:51 PM

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QUOTE(HereToLearn @ Dec 28 2020, 04:46 PM)
Rich guy. Anyway congrats biggrin.gif.

If there isnt any major crash, you can hold banks at least until OPR stops rising.
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Please lah, what rich guy. I am just your average joeblow. Just some leftovers which they bought at near peak and hanging there over many years. Even got Matang which got delisted and now listed back and one stupid stock that's already delisted (bankrupt I think) and still got transferred over. Hoping for a Matang miracle... LOL!

QUOTE(skty @ Dec 28 2020, 04:50 PM)
oh hi, glad to know what's your findings  smile.gif
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No findings. Just want to share despite general feelings of a major correction as discussed in this thread, yet those RMs etc saying their fund/bank views are bullish in Equities 2021. Goldman Sachs also bullish, especially on Gold which has dropped quite a bit these few weeks. Let's just hope this virus doesn't mutate until vaccine no more useful and no wars.

joeblow
post Dec 28 2020, 05:53 PM

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QUOTE(andrekua2 @ Dec 28 2020, 05:11 PM)
I see many prefer to buy cscsteel.

Current trend should favor HRC... Melewar and mycron really quite crazy today
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Missed this post. Actually my broker said if can wait then wait. But always better to take money first. This is one of the very few steel counters that pay good dividend actually. I think this is not a goreng stock like Lion Industries.
joeblow
post Dec 30 2020, 04:36 PM

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https://www.reuters.com/article/health-coro...c-idINKBN2940QJ

Hmm... let's hope vaccine works... If not 2021 will be another gone year. Really feel like disposing all of my UT and equities.
joeblow
post Jan 6 2021, 11:44 AM

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QUOTE(AVFAN @ Jan 6 2021, 11:41 AM)
democrats leading.

drump will throw more fits tonight. biggrin.gif
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Nope, now is Republican after 87% reporting for both seats.

https://www.google.com/search?q=us+senate+e...chrome&ie=UTF-8
joeblow
post Jan 18 2021, 02:33 PM

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More stimulus hopefully...

https://www.chinapress.com.my/?p=2365052


joeblow
post Jan 19 2021, 02:05 PM

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QUOTE(HereToLearn @ Jan 19 2021, 12:43 PM)
Tenaga electricity discount until June 2021 though. No need so early to enter?

Tenaga cheapstake FA entry, entry 1: 8.2, entry 2: 7.3

9.2% gone
https://www.soyacincau.com/2020/12/25/tnb-l...-jan-june-2021/
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I notice your entry price is quite low. Even at height of the current crisis tnb not gone below 9.
joeblow
post Jan 19 2021, 03:35 PM

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QUOTE(statikinetic @ Jan 19 2021, 03:32 PM)
Here are the numbers for ease of reference.
Financial year against Net Profit ('000).
Tenaga

FY 20
30-Sep-2020      1,001,900
30-Jun-2020      676,000
31-Mar-2020      736,700

FY 19
31-Dec-2019      584,100
30-Sep-2019    1,209,600
30-Jun-2019      1,130,100
31-Mar-2019    1,521,200
Against the original :

FY 13
31-Aug-2013 916,900
31-May-2013 1,756,700
28-Feb-2013    1,261,500
30-Nov-2012    1,415,400
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Wow thanks for numbers. Seems like TNB performance is going down big considering inflation... But then again has the net assets value TNB hold gone up? If not then really bad. Sad I own TNB bought near RM11....
joeblow
post Jan 25 2021, 07:24 PM

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QUOTE(HereToLearn @ Jan 25 2021, 07:18 PM)
http://ptttube.com/video340242.html#next=1

Not sure if this is the same tropicana. IF it is the same, whoever has tropicana share, run

Eh sorry wrong link  doh.gif
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... I thought you posted a porn link... lol. I have tropicana bond, heavily vested. So if the company is in trouble, then... that's why I am rooting for Top Glove... haha.
joeblow
post Jan 26 2021, 07:50 PM

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QUOTE(AVFAN @ Jan 26 2021, 06:30 PM)


i am not in a hurry... i want to collect my dividends! tongue.gif
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When will TP release the declared Special Dividend plus normal dividend? Any dates confirmed? Thanks.
joeblow
post Jan 27 2021, 12:12 AM

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QUOTE(AVFAN @ Jan 26 2021, 10:02 PM)
whichever counter, nobody knows if any kind of dividend and how much will be announced until it is announced.

if u mean TG, just wait for next QR, around early March.
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Paiseh I meant top glove. Didn't they declared special dividend some weeks back? Still not announced exact ex dates right?
joeblow
post Jan 27 2021, 01:07 PM

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QUOTE(HereToLearn @ Jan 27 2021, 11:25 AM)
TRUE, but I think all the growth has been reflected in its spectacular 1xxx% increase in a year.

Small cap is always the best, easy to double the market cap flex.gif
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So your bet on RHB and AMBANK? These 2 almost merged some time back. I think AMBANK can be a speculative merger play. But key is does it have more room to drop before someone buys it. Hell, I am hoping one day Maybank buys CIMB...
joeblow
post Feb 3 2021, 03:46 PM

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QUOTE(ChAOoz @ Feb 3 2021, 01:53 PM)
I don't think so. After is acquisition of Daibochi, i can confidently say it is trying to be a conglomerate with focus on plastic and property as separate division.

Like how IOI still keeping with its core of plantations but going into property as well.

If my guess is correct, i believe TopGlove will soon go into property as well. Property from a business perspective is a high margin but capital intensive business. If you got good cash flow, its worth a shot.
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If your guess is right, TopGlove can merge with Tropicana. They already good friends with shares in each other...
joeblow
post Feb 5 2021, 01:11 AM

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QUOTE(AVFAN @ Feb 4 2021, 11:22 PM)
the focus shift may be due to one or more reasons:

.. TG shorts already >3%, cannot find more lenders.

wannabes... with nitrile in tight supply and price rising, no surprise if some of them will abandon their plans.
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RSS short max 4%, so that's about it. Meaning if all things remain same and gloves still in demand with not much additional supply, TG should go up. But I doubt short squeeze will be a factor like those heavily shorted shares in US.
joeblow
post Feb 6 2021, 12:00 AM

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QUOTE(HereToLearn @ Feb 5 2021, 10:37 PM)
Speaking of the devil, the stimulus just appeared - https://www.theedgemarkets.com/article/bnm-...disaster-relief

Contrary to most investors' thoughts, I think next QR for some banks (especially those that have preloaded a lot of the loan loss provision) will register a high QoQ increase. I am expecting that they cut down a lot of the loan loss provision for this upcoming QR. But we will see if I am right in another 3-4 weeks.
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I agree with you too. Some of the banks have provisioned tons of NPLs in their last QR. But if they anticipate more NPLs for the rest of the year, as opposed to our FM's positive GDP growth, then GG. Seriously our covid cases number look serious. Daily count even higher now than Philippines.
joeblow
post Feb 8 2021, 04:03 PM

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QUOTE(Vanguard 2015 @ Feb 8 2021, 03:28 PM)
Looking for tipsy? 😃

1.  Supermax
2.  Top Glove
3.  Zhulian
4.  Cheetah

Please use your own judgment. Vanguard a bit gila one.

I bought Eita again last Friday and sold it today for fun. One  bottle of black label profit.
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Wow Cheetah!!! Brings back good old memories when I was working part time promoter for Forest, next to me was Cheetah... I wonder if Forest also public listed company or already got bought up?

Thinking of going in Top Glove today, just went bank and deposited money. If I buy tomorrow will go withdraw... lol.
joeblow
post Feb 9 2021, 03:24 PM

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This market is strange.

Genting Malaysia is up for 2 days, despite it being closed down until 18th Feb, CNY rush no more. Not sure what's the catch here. TM also up 3% plus, not sure for why. 5G news or just plain stable cash cow? I guess people complain about electricity bill but not broadband. Our broadband still remains one of the slowest and most expensive in the region.
joeblow
post Feb 15 2021, 04:39 PM

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QUOTE(Vanguard 2015 @ Feb 15 2021, 04:15 PM)
Sad but true. FA/TA doesn't seem to work in this Bursa de casino. It calls for the Art of Intelligent Tikam.

I have to warn you....I went out drinking beer and wine during lunch today. CNY mood. So I may not be very coherent now. So, please bear with the rambling of a middle aged man if I sound like a broken tape recorder.


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LOL. You are funny. Namewee style. Now no one can sue you for wrong information etc.


QUOTE(icemanfx @ Feb 15 2021, 04:28 PM)
Likely to rise before reduce.
Incidentally, bursa tech sector e.g  M, Gene, Great and Uni  is bullish, price will keep rising.
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Another LOL. Very evil, not sure if you meant it or just playing him.


========

On a separate note, just sold EUROSP at almost 0.87. Got it from "inheritance" so I do not know entry price. Just some CNY pocket money. Slowly selling those goreng stocks of yesteryears where I do not know entry price.

Looking to go in Top Glove below RM5.80. Keeping BAT (30%), TNB (2%), Maybank (10%), CIMB (2%) for long term. Will add more Tenaga if it goes below RM9.70. Electricity will be the next big play, especially if electric cars become the norm. Maybe in another 5 to 10 years time. LOL.

HAPPY CNY EVERYONE!



joeblow
post Feb 18 2021, 03:53 PM

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QUOTE(infiniti123 @ Feb 18 2021, 03:30 PM)
been a silent reader for a long time and was thinking to share my story,

biggest unrealise loss was -86k just few months back when everybody was selling away blue chips to pump into gloves (portfolio was mainly oilgas + bluechips). panicked for a quick few weeks but ended up averaging more during that time. thankfully all came back good in the end of the day!
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My biggest paper lost in Bursa is over 200k, mainly bank stocks like CIMB. US ones more. Yes I do suck in share trading. My return for US shares over the past 2 years only 10 to 12%. Considering if you buy UT or ETF or FAANG or TSLA/SQ etc, the returns are in high double/triple digits...

No choice, sometimes you get bitten, really pain until you don't dare to make more risks...
joeblow
post Feb 24 2021, 07:09 PM

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QUOTE(AVFAN @ Feb 24 2021, 06:50 PM)
not just volatile... the politics-mco thingy is simply unattractive to all investors, foreign or domestic.

.. mco forever but cases not coming down... today 3500 cases.
.. no parliament, no need to discuss anything.
.. 5G launch also via SPV = corruption?
.. fitch, moody's about to downgrade country rating.
.. bloomberg also feel sorry for gloves - good sustainable profits but nobody want, let foreign hedge funds rape them.
https://finance.yahoo.com/news/5-billion-ro...-031253000.html

in short, bursa, we retailers will be f'ed for a long time... until the greedy politicians get fat and full, leave the arena.

dark days may get darker before they get bright.
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Personally I believe most major stock markets are near or at all time high is because of the reason everyone is printing money and no better alternative to park your money. That's why even bitcoins going crazy because it is supposed to replace gold as a safety place. Time will tell.

MCO forever indeed, but Israel is a hope. They are recovering very nicely with the vaccines almost done. Hope no cases of vaccination gone wrong there. If not really GG. I do think Singapore will be the next since they clearly ahead in vaccination and their population not huge to have most vaccinated by the next few months.

Agong just gave blessing for parliament, Next Best PM to be (Khairy) just announced we can have election after Sep? Maybe earlier if Moo now has no other moves.

5G launch via SPV another total BS. Which other somewhat advance country does this. Not to mention we have Huawei as the partner. Granted they are the best in 5G now, but 5G is more than about connectivity. It is also about the 5G related possible tech resulting in a whole diff standard and ecosystem. Unless US let water to Huawei, I foresee we will get stuck with a white elephant. Maybe we will adopt the China standard moving on for those 5G enabled technology. Hope not. Technology really is about future roadmap. Huawei now very restricted due to chips and other countries avoiding it.

The "good" news is that most foreign funds are out by now, the damage with their pullout may not be as great. We are at the near bottom. Now it is retailers plus govt agency at play. As long as interest rate remains super low, our Bursa still has hope.

But long term definitely not good for Malaysia. I no longer know what's our competitive advantage. Maybe someone can enlighten us. Vietnam, Indonesia and even Thai all ahead of us now.

This post has been edited by joeblow: Feb 24 2021, 07:11 PM

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