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 Fundsupermart.com v13, Merry X'mas and Happy 牛(bull!) Year

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lukenn
post Jan 24 2016, 02:14 PM

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QUOTE(kkk8787 @ Jan 24 2016, 12:37 PM)
y ah bro, too Malaysian centric ah. I did that because long long time ago, a great some1 in this forum said Malaysian funds are better with Malaysian equities? They are not so good at picking overseas funds
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Really depends on the individual. No one size fits all. The behaviour and the strat of the portfolio should be customized to fit you. So if you're taking ideas from everywhere sure rojak. ngiam ngiam ngiam ....
lukenn
post Jan 24 2016, 11:29 PM

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QUOTE(dasecret @ Jan 24 2016, 05:18 PM)
Maybe for some transparency purposes, indicate the price tag? Else everyone would expect free consultation; or people would not contact you in fear that you would charge them a bomb. Just not sure if it violate any of the Lowyat rules

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Iif you're interested in my services you can PM me directly. My rates are very reasonable rclxm9.gif biggrin.gif biggrin.gif rclxm9.gif

QUOTE(kimyee73 @ Jan 24 2016, 05:28 PM)
I need to constantly remind myself not to fall to this trap. I have my own buy/sell signal but hand itchy when most in this forum going in with recent 0.5% SC. Every time I don't follow my signal but FSM SC signal, I make less profit or worst going into the red from get go. Thanks for the reminder.
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Actually this happens to a lot of ppl. Its just a matter of whether they realize, and do something about it. biggrin.gif biggrin.gif

This post has been edited by lukenn: Jan 24 2016, 11:34 PM
lukenn
post Jan 24 2016, 11:32 PM

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QUOTE(dasecret @ Jan 24 2016, 11:11 PM)
I think the platinum members have that service. But platinum status is rm750,000 AUM. I'm no where near that
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dasecret is mutli diamond studded platinum status. Min AUM is RM10,000,000. icon_rolleyes.gif icon_rolleyes.gif
lukenn
post Jan 24 2016, 11:35 PM

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Vanguard, are you in the same category as dasecret ?? RM30K loss no feeling... biggrin.gif biggrin.gif

This post has been edited by lukenn: Jan 24 2016, 11:35 PM
lukenn
post Jan 24 2016, 11:46 PM

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QUOTE(dasecret @ Jan 24 2016, 05:18 PM)
But what I completely agree is, not everyone should DIY. One might benefit substantially by engaging specialist. Unfortunately there are not many capable specialists in town, at least I've not have the honor of meeting one.

If you have been doing it for 5 years and the result is less than desirable, perhaps you should get specialist to do it instead of leaving it to fate? It's hard earned money after all, better give it to someone who does the work to you than the market crocodiles
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There are at least a few good ones in town, and after a conversation with them, you'll know if they're worth your time. If you look at my previous (non sarcastic/bullshit) posts, you can tell where I'm at.

Malaysia has been in one of the longest bull runs ever (2009-2014). 5 very good for UT. If anyone has been invested during that time, and not doing well, I think they should PM me for professional services lor ! biggrin.gif biggrin.gif biggrin.gif

This post has been edited by lukenn: Jan 25 2016, 02:11 AM
lukenn
post Jan 24 2016, 11:49 PM

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QUOTE(kkk8787 @ Jan 24 2016, 11:38 PM)
Lukenn u work in which line. Initially tot u FMS sorry
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I dont work for FSM ... tongue.gif tongue.gif
lukenn
post Jan 24 2016, 11:57 PM

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QUOTE(dasecret @ Jan 24 2016, 11:38 PM)
Oi! Touchwood. My losses tak sampai 5 digit la. Not even 4 digit actually 😅
But I'm expecting a call from my mum after she look at this month's statement 🙈
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QUOTE(aoisky @ Jan 24 2016, 11:41 PM)
Isn't @Vanguard is the one that mention 30K loss no feeling ?
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Not sure who is who, but for dasecret RM30k is wet wet water. less than 1% drawdown. rclxub.gif rclxub.gif
lukenn
post Jan 25 2016, 12:08 AM

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QUOTE(kkk8787 @ Jan 24 2016, 11:53 PM)
Haha does FSM actuallybread this page. Anyway what is the qualification to be a consultant in lets say fsm. Because i have colleague. They are definately better than usual public mutual agents right
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Good sales/people skills? FIMM license college kid also can pass la.
lukenn
post Jan 25 2016, 12:11 PM

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QUOTE(Vanguard 2015 @ Jan 24 2016, 11:18 PM)
Lukenn, I agree 100% with your view. Unfortunately a public forum like this will attract the good, the bad and the ugly.

For some forumers here to expect 100% accurate FREE special tailored advice from a professional financial adviser in a public forum to enhance their portfolio? Wow. I am just dumbstruck.

I hope you will not be put off by this and will continue to contribute to this forum. I think the forumers here including myself have benefitted from your insight. Based on my calculation, we have less than 5 real sifus in this forum. We could benefit by having more sifus.
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I really don't mind giving my RM0.02, some of the forumers here can attest to that. I just got a little annoyed the when one fella was demanding this and that.

QUOTE(Vanguard 2015 @ Jan 24 2016, 11:51 PM)
Maybe because it is paper loss and not realized loss? smile.gif

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Paper loss is not yes realized its a loss .... ?? laugh.gif
lukenn
post Jan 25 2016, 12:59 PM

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QUOTE(kkk8787 @ Jan 25 2016, 12:16 PM)
We appreciate your input Lukenn notworthy.gif  rclxms.gif
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rclxm9.gif rclxm9.gif

QUOTE(Vanguard 2015 @ Jan 25 2016, 12:38 PM)
Well I guess it depends on the degree of positive correlation. We can use the Morningstar Asia X-Ray portfolio to find out. If the positive correlation is 0.80 and above between 2 funds, then I think it will have some effect on the long run performance of our portfolio.
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high correlation and high overlapping coverage is not necessarily a bad thing. Just remember to adjust the allocation..

eg :

local equity allocation 40% ==> KGF 20%

- or -

local quitey allocation 40% ==> KGF 20% + EISC 20%
lukenn
post Jan 25 2016, 01:12 PM

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QUOTE(kkk8787 @ Jan 25 2016, 01:02 PM)
Lukenn sorry just want to ask regarding these investment consultants in FSM. Are they just normal fund advisors like those we get in premium banking who keeps asking you to buy funds or they are even more professional than that, like roughly can tell u when market is not that optimistic in near future. Those in premium banking sometimes you feel like a fund salesman only
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Dunno wor... never spoken to them before.

The premium banking ones, some are good, but depending on where you go to the choice of funds may not be what you want.
lukenn
post Jan 25 2016, 01:14 PM

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QUOTE(kkk8787 @ Jan 25 2016, 01:10 PM)
N I dun mean the customer service like front counter people but the one called CIS,  can they analyse a portfolio thoroughly and tell you what went wrong
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You try first and see lor. Then let us know. Doesn't cost anything right ?

Share your questions and their feedback. Then let the forumers have an idea of how it works.

This post has been edited by lukenn: Jan 25 2016, 01:18 PM
lukenn
post Jan 25 2016, 01:28 PM

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QUOTE(kkk8787 @ Jan 25 2016, 01:23 PM)
Well I can share past experience, I asked them their view on my portfolio, there was a guy called Andy, he said overdiversified, otherwise no other issue. And discourage timing of market. Then will end with the sentence at FSM, we encourage investors to stay invested via RSP, this will avoid timing of market and also average out any volatility.
They will tell you opinion but will avoid to tell you exactlt which fund to let go at which time, and which funds to buy now, that is our own job to decide usually. But then again this was 2 years bacl .
Ill update again if I get successful reply this time
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Did that conversation help you ?
lukenn
post Jan 25 2016, 09:59 PM

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QUOTE(guy3288 @ Jan 25 2016, 07:27 PM)
lukenn. Are your clients getting 20% pa return?
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I can absolutely, certainly, 100%, confirm and reaffirm, unambiguously, absolutely, perfectly, confidently, concretely, explicitly, directly, genuinely, inarguably, kon-l@n-firm beyond a shadow of a doubt that I cannot get a CAGR of 20% and above. That is beyond my ability. Am-kong once every few years, maybe.

I know 2 fellas who maybe can la. One American, one British. Mr. Buffet and Mr. Harding. Forgot to mention they dunno who I am la.

Actually my clients must be the old uncle and aunties who dont know how to use the internet these fellas are talking about. Their portfolio down less than 2% since 01/12/15 they are very, very happy already.

This post has been edited by lukenn: Jan 25 2016, 10:19 PM
lukenn
post Jan 26 2016, 09:20 AM

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QUOTE(guy3288 @ Jan 26 2016, 12:36 AM)
j.passing.by and lukenn seemed  reluctant.
Add 1 more, " past performance is no guarantee of future results", i wont expect more.

Not that i dont believe in UTs, i am yet to see for myself.
Perhaps we can have a show of hands see how many people in here get 20% pa return past 1 yr,
3 yr, 5 yr?
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guy3288 I'm not even reluctant. Like I mentioned earlier, for 3Y to get CAGR above 20% is beyond my ability. This is simply because I would never recommend that my clients take on so much risk. Why? Here's the math.

10% loss = 11% gain to break even
20% loss = 25% gain to break even
33% loss = 50% gain to break even
50% loss = 100% gain to break even

The larger the loss, the harder it is to recover. In lay terms, a portfolio with good risk management will eventually outperform a volatile high yield portfolio.

As for 5Y and 10Y, even with a 100% allocation in the top performing fund would yield less than CAGR 20%.

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Having said that, my primary goal is to manage down side risk. The up side will take care of itself. My secondary task is to keep the clients discipline. Making the hard decisions to keep them on track, and preventing any emotional knee jerk reactions.

This is probably why my views and strategies differ from the rest of the consultants/forumers/individuals.

Even my clients with the highest risk profile I would cap stddev to 10~12%. I'm guessing if I hit 20% losses, I'd be out of the business. Since I started, I have only had 1 full redemption due to illness, 1 full redemption due to the client leaving the country, and 1 partial redemption during rebalancing for profit taking.

lukenn
post Jan 28 2016, 01:50 AM

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I don't know what your life circumstance is, so it's difficult to comment further.

QUOTE(kkk8787 @ Jan 27 2016, 03:47 PM)
... Also he thinks Its overweighted in local equity, he adviced to increase global exposure and cut down on local.
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This however is probably not a good idea.
lukenn
post Jan 28 2016, 01:49 PM

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QUOTE(dasecret @ Jan 28 2016, 10:57 AM)
As expected, RHB Asian Total Return Fund fell off the cliff due to strengthening ringgit. fell 2.66% in a week

Anyone picking it up?
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QUOTE(Vanguard 2015 @ Jan 28 2016, 01:24 PM)
Well, I am using RSP for the RHB Asian Total Return Fund for one of my beneficiary/secondary accounts. Hope it will work out in the long run.
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IMO, RHB ATR is not going to do well in the medium term. Most of the recent performance are FX gains. When the MYR (eventually) swings back its going to be painful. The coupon rates are going to be dwarfed by the FX.

MY MYR0.02.
lukenn
post Jan 28 2016, 02:59 PM

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QUOTE(cybermaster98 @ Jan 28 2016, 02:34 PM)
My portfolio as of 26 Jan 2016:

1) CIMB Global Titans (32%) - bought in April 2015 - up 0.79%
2) Ponzi 2.0 (29%) - bought in April 2015 - down 13.01%
3) Big Cap China (22%) - bought April 2015 - down 27.46%
4) Aberdeen Islamic (17%) - bought Feb 2015 - down 7.90%

Any advise on how to balance out the losses especially on Big Cap China?
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bro, i think you need to rebalance your entire portfolio. You're holding 100% equities, mostly foreign. Your risk is kinda through the roof right now.

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lukenn
post Jan 28 2016, 03:15 PM

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QUOTE(Vanguard 2015 @ Jan 28 2016, 01:55 PM)
Lukenn, what about the RHB Emerging Bond Fund? Got hope in the medium to the long run?
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My feeling would be about the same. Bond tenures are a bit long for my liking, but the yields are not bad. Size is good too. Unfortunately I'm too lazy to read the annual report to see what else they holding. HAHA

Have a read and see what conclusion you come up with lor.

Feeder : http://www.fundsupermart.com.my/main/admin...eetMYOSKEMB.pdf
Mother : https://secure.fundsupermart.com/main/admin...sheetUBGEMS.pdf
lukenn
post Jan 28 2016, 03:18 PM

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QUOTE(T231H @ Jan 28 2016, 03:07 PM)
i think, if i can recall correctly....UT is abt 20% of his invest able assets.....
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No clue, but I hope its layered with a lot of cash and FI. Some (conservative) local equity exposure would be good too.

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