QUOTE(AVFAN @ Jan 8 2016, 02:54 AM)
Don't mind me asking, if China devalue their currency some more, would it put pressure on the USD or it will give the USD a boost?USD/MYR drop, v3
USD/MYR drop, v3
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Jan 8 2016, 03:02 AM
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#41
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Jan 8 2016, 07:43 AM
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#42
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QUOTE(Showtime747 @ Jan 8 2016, 06:48 AM) I think you misunderstood me. I was replying to cherroy. He said there's no problem in malaysian banking system. Saying some of our banks are on par with developed countries bank. So I said what's the use of best banking system in the world if your currency loses out to indon and Thai? In the long term, keeping money in Malaysia will make us poorer (price of stuff increases to match usd-myr exchange rates) |
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Jan 8 2016, 10:10 AM
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#43
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Jan 8 2016, 10:27 AM
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#44
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QUOTE(AVFAN @ Jan 8 2016, 10:17 AM) well, imagine what would have happened if the banks are in bad shape! Well I am not in malaysia. So I can't keep tab of what will increase. as for price increases, watch post CNY - some price increases will be shocking. But I know last time I was back for Christmas, things are ridiculously expensive like normal pens! |
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Jan 11 2016, 06:54 PM
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#45
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QUOTE(mred02 @ Jan 11 2016, 02:29 PM) i cant expect for 6.5% changes in year.. haha. so u mean better put at fd is it? but fd must be keep for >1yr right? You want stable 6.x, your best bet is ASX FP. but it will even out the drop in MYR only. But that's off topic. Anyway, one should always buy, USD if it drops. Short break for you to buy before it rises again. Then you sell it off. |
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Jan 11 2016, 09:18 PM
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#46
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QUOTE(Hansel @ Jan 11 2016, 08:42 PM) Bro,... the evening-out will be in the following forms :- Of course will increase. Who are we to kid? Prices are getting ridiculous. I noticed buying stuff like oats online and ship to Malaysia could be a better option than buying from the shelves (futurewise - which if it gets to that extend, I will do it). Why else do you think I am going to stop putting ASX once my target is reached? 6.x% maybe high last time. But now, I feel 10% is a must if one were to outrun inflation and myr depreciation. 1) MYR depreciating by >= 2.5%. 2) Inflation increasing by >= 2.5%. 3) GST increasing by >= 2.5%. If, at the very least, any of the above three exceeds the 2.5% quantum, there goes our MYR investment in the ASX. So, do you think any of nos 1), 2) or 3) above will exceed 2.5% this year ? Or will drop below ? Furthermore, the compliance issue between the SC and PNB remains a worry,.....unless, you have that thing called : trust the Gov't. Well,......I don't, and I believe I have better choices out there besides the PNB FP funds. Like I said, one doesn't need to trust them. Just know that there will be blood on their hands if something were to happen to those funds and they cannot afford that to happen or else you know As for USD, I don't think this high USD will last. Sooner or later it's going to crash. When it crash, things are going to get ugly. I maybe a student without any foreign exposure experience but somehow I am feeling something is not right with the USD. Not to mention tension in the middle east, Russia & China involvement in the middle east, china's growing powers in the south China Sea. Maybe it's just me, but I wouldn't trust us in the time being. Besides they are practically broke. They cannot afford to "intervene" in another country anymore. |
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Jan 11 2016, 10:25 PM
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#47
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QUOTE(Hansel @ Jan 11 2016, 09:43 PM) Reply for your first para : you said it,... and I don't think it will be 6.4% anymore this year. Very likely, around 6.0 to 6.2 % only if we are lucky. Well I still believed in getting min 6.3-6.4%. For me is still better than any FDs the Banks can give.Reply for your second para : if you continue putting inside the ASX, then you are continuing to trust them. Why ? Because we can see very clearly now that they are not following what they committed in their Master Prospectus (MP), and they are doing as and how they like it. This is not right. Track record ? Come on,... first of all, I do not recall the time previously when they had to reveal the true price of a fund as according to those two MFRS rulings. Never,.. this event has never taken place before, so what track record are you talking about ? Then you talk about the demand being always there,.... always sold out,... you know why ?? It's because we Malaysians are NOT aware of those statements in the MP. Secondly, for those who are aware, many do not know where else to put their money for supposedly 'safe' returns. That's why,....... many of us Msians are still going after these funds. So what do they do ?? Just trust the Gov't and hope for the best-lar,... what else can they do ??? It all goes back to the point of : trust the Gov't. Not trusting transparency, not trusting that rules and governance are in place to protect investors, but : just trust the Gov't. Like what you are doing now. Reply for you third para : I wouldn't speculate too much if I am not able to gove a timeline of when will something happen. However, look at historicals, here we can look at historicals. Has the USD appreciated against the MYR throughout the years ? Has the SGD appreciated against the MYR throughout the years ? What are the fundamentals that will support the MYR in the long run ???? Strengths in the MYR ?? Sure,. just a very short period, then it wil turn around again and weaken,... Finally, for me,... I have no intention to trust the Gov't just to earn a return that will be wiped out by the three factors which I have mentioned in my previous posting. You said it : judging by the way the value of our MYR is going, even earning 10% against our MYR is debatable. Don't look at money in its absoluteness,... that is wrong mathematically, as well as practically,... we have to look at money in terms of the value that it brings. I am not talking about transparency here. I am talking about the returns given by asnb. If you want transparency, you got the wrong fund. I would give it 5-10 years for something to happen. Something will snap. Russia and China are now like hungry lions prowling a caged pen while the US is like a defanged and declawed tiger (broke) to do anything. Well younever know. Something interesting might happen if we continue down this path. There's only so much something can stand before it will snap. Basic law of physics. Like I said again, one does not need to trust. Just keep enough of whatever you have to generate returns to support your life in malaysia (Hoe much you need a month - passive income - that's what I am planning to do) the rest you can dump overseas. |
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Jan 14 2016, 07:18 PM
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#48
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QUOTE(Hansel @ Jan 14 2016, 07:06 PM) Well,.. nobody will notice since we don't do it all the time. Went with friends, after changing from one money-changer, brought to the car, drove off to the safe dep box company, and repeated this cycle until all changed. Ladies are even more unnoticeable. How are you going to carry rm500k worth of SGD pass malaysian customs? That's a lot of money. You can't be carrying 166 notes of SGD1000 right? Not to mention SG banks sure going to ask the source of your money. This post has been edited by Ramjade: Jan 14 2016, 07:41 PM |
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Jan 14 2016, 08:08 PM
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#49
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Jan 14 2016, 08:19 PM
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#50
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QUOTE(Hansel @ Jan 14 2016, 08:13 PM) Wrong, bro,... savings in exchange rates always outweighs transport charges for such sums. And I always have somewhere to go, or something to do, or someone to visit when I am there. It;s like going home for me,... so, no issues there. Banks in SG won't asked source of fund? |
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Jan 14 2016, 11:00 PM
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#51
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Jan 15 2016, 12:40 PM
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#52
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Jan 15 2016, 02:32 PM
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#53
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QUOTE(wil-i-am @ Jan 15 2016, 02:31 PM) Hong Kong Dollar Headed for Biggest Weekly Decline Since 2003 I thought HKD is pegged to USD?http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/201...line-since-2003 HKD (aka strong like steel) can't hold on any longer |
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Jan 24 2016, 03:22 PM
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#54
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QUOTE(Showtime747 @ Jan 24 2016, 03:10 PM) Reply my question with a question again Just out of curiosity, I have 2 questions for youI have already said a few times here in this thread. Buy when it drops to ~4.20 for short term (1-3 months). For long term (1-3 years), convert your RM to forex whenever you have the money at the best window. The simple reason being I have no confidence in malaysian economy and the politics See, I have just reiterated my prediction with quantum and timeline. I am not afraid to be wrong. Being wrong is part of life. A successful person makes right decision because he is not afraid to be wrong. On the other hand, a failed person is afraid to be wrong and hence on many occasion makes the wrong decision. So, what is your prediction ? Are you going to answer me with a question again ? 1) where do you keep your converted money (banks, house)? 2) where do you convert your money (banks, money-changer)? |
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Jan 28 2016, 12:29 PM
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#55
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Jan 29 2016, 01:47 PM
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#56
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Money changer at my place put the rate as USD1-RM4.24
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Jan 29 2016, 01:59 PM
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#57
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QUOTE(star_bucks @ Jan 29 2016, 01:52 PM) The selling back to them rate is 4.1. Was thinking of buying at 4.1x and sell to them back at 4.3-4.4. But if USD does increase back to 4.3-4.4 again, no profit as the money changer rates will be 4.2-4.3. I aim for minimal differences of 0.2 for profit. |
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Feb 1 2016, 12:12 AM
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#58
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QUOTE(Hansel @ Jan 31 2016, 11:36 PM) Bro Showtime,... someting just occured to me this evening. Referring to part of Unker's statement earlier,... he said that holding on to the RM would erode purchasing power. If, say,.. even if the RM manages to strengthen, will purchasing power come back ??... Meaning, will the stronger RM vs the USD be able to buyback the same amount of goods that it used to command earlier ? It won't. But if you are buying goods from the US, then it's a all new story. Eg, the item was usd10 at 4.4 and now say ringgit is at 4.1 and the item is still usd10, you will get it a cheaper price.Personal experience shows that online stores from US seldom increase in price. They do once a while but like once a blue moon. So if you are buying straight from US, you will get back your purchasing power. |
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Feb 1 2016, 11:05 AM
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#59
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QUOTE(AVFAN @ Feb 1 2016, 10:39 AM) this will be the case. And people still don't want to maximise the tax returns. even if rm move back to 4.0, the local purchasing power damage is done. petrol price been coming down. do we hear biz people lowering prices? at the base, there has been a stagnant income or income trap problem for years. add gst, toll hikes, weak rm, etc., the pressure for price inflation has been high and will stay high. biz people will seize any opportunity to make more profits; taxman will keep trying to get more tax. low income groups and retirees will bear the brunt for a long time. |
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Feb 4 2016, 10:33 AM
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#60
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TPPA signed. MYR to drop now?
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