QUOTE(Garysydney @ Feb 24 2019, 03:40 AM)
This is the first time in the history of Sydney that rent is going down. It is due to increased dwellings (main high rise units) coming onto the market and thus increased supply. A lot of landlords have never seen this before and are very reluctant to lower rentsĀ - as a result some properties are left without a tenant for yonks!!
Yesterday i had a look at the auction results and it is showing a lot of sellers are dropping their prices to meet buyers - sellers have been very reluctant to drop prices before. There is a slight wind-change now as sellers realise that buyers are no longer going crazy like before. Luckily interest rates are still very low and Reserve Bank has indicated that there may be no rate rises for a long while now (possibly 1-2 years).
What i find funny about the situation in Sydney and Melb is the Reserve Bank is worried that lower house prices will trigger the 'wealth-effect' syndrome where people spend less because they feel poorer now as property prices drop. Doesn't this mean that 'speculation in properties' has gone crazy? Reserve Bank wants property prices to drop slowly so that the effect is not as pronounced. This shows that speculation in the last few years was never sustainable as people bought because of easy loans (such as interest-only loans) and not because of a strong economy.
Yes, plenty of articles going around mentioning what you have said, but I think if it does happen, it's probably a cut down on more expensive/luxury based items that the people used to buy. It's all about the lifestyle anyway, especially if you live to impress. Some articles writers are expecting the property prices to drop from another 10% up to 50%(!), which doesn't sound right, but could possibly in the middle depending on the suburb and how much of an oversupply there is at the moment.
I'm just hoping the interest rate retains as is for longer than the 1-2 years mentioned.
QUOTE(teikwing @ Feb 24 2019, 06:14 AM)
Interesting you mentioned Doonside - area used to be full with housing comms (kinda like Mt Druitt) no? Woodcroft is probably better.
If that side of town is what you are looking at why not Quakers Hill/Schofields side? Likely to be slightly pricier but a much better area overall (depending on what you are after).
I can't recall the exact project name but there is a townhouse project (about 150-170 units, 3-4BR) a mate just recently bought (he paid like c. $800k) can be had for low $700k these days for the unsold units, obviously due to the market sentiment.
On a side note, another paid just paid $795k for a 10yrs old 3BR townhouse in Castle Hill, within 500m of Castle Towers and the new metro. Owner was asking $859k initially, went for auction with $820k reserve and highest bidder came in at $770k and passed-in and finally sold at the said price. Comes with a huge 100m2 lawn too which is a steal really given that it ticks all the boxes in terms of locale. I remember during the good times it will definitely not be sold below $900k
Just proven how bad the market is these days.
I was researching on Doonside for a few good hours till past midnight, and it paints an overall bleak picture about Doonside. The housos are slowly being moved out of the area, but gentrification may not be coming anytime soon, hence the bad impression stays. There are pockets of areas that okay,and pockets of areas to be avoided - which may be outdated.
Woodcroft is definitely better, you get a pretty big change in feel to the suburbs when one crosses into Doonside from Woodcroft. That being said Woodcroft has a slightly better rep than Doonside from my research, but it's not way better - Doonside's presence seems to be linked to increased crime and safety concerns. I think the presence of more indians and philippinos in that area makes it feel somewhat more asian (though still lacking a lot of chinese/oriental population).
Missus dislikes Schofields or parts of the more affordable places due to its proximity to new developments. Quakers Hill seems okay but some of the houses have shown break-in signs - same ass some townhouses in Woodcroft bordering Doonside. The reason we like Woodcroft was that we liked the feel of the suburb, not too busy & quiet with an express train to city if required. It's also close to Old Toongabbie where my missus is working.
We were looking for a unit initially, then townhouse, followed by a 3 bedder. Then we saw these 4/2/X houses in Doonside and thought might as well just pay about first home buyer prices for a house in great quality which we can probably live in for a good 10 years, then see how it goes from there. However, schools will be a concern in the future and I'm still checking on the Doonside area before we commit to anything. There were no other people checking out the house, and I think that's a shame. On the plus side might get better negotiating power. Haha...
*Edit: Messed up quotes
This post has been edited by kagenn: Feb 24 2019, 07:07 AM