QUOTE(KTCY @ Oct 19 2015, 08:27 PM)
What is a 'good' budget?USD/MYR drop, V2
USD/MYR drop, V2
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Oct 20 2015, 08:46 AM
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#21
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All Stars
12,268 posts Joined: Oct 2010 |
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Oct 20 2015, 11:59 AM
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#22
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All Stars
12,268 posts Joined: Oct 2010 |
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Oct 22 2015, 11:32 AM
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#23
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All Stars
12,268 posts Joined: Oct 2010 |
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Oct 26 2015, 02:12 PM
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#24
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All Stars
12,268 posts Joined: Oct 2010 |
Malaysian five-year credit- default swaps (CDS) have risen to the fourth-fastest in the world year-to-date as traders bet on the country’s possible default rate.
The cost of compensating Malaysia’s creditors in the event of a default has jumped 118.18 basis points (bps) over the last 12 months, surpassed by only Brazil (+289bps), Greece (+333.59bps), and Venezuela (+2548.28 bps), according to a Bloomberg data. Data also show Malaysia’s five-year CDS spread was traded at 209bps at 8.46pm last Friday, the fifth-highest in the world after Turkey (253.62 bps), Brazil (460bps), Greece (1,063.98bps) and Venezuela (4,512.5bps). Brazil is grappling with a corruption scandal embroiling state-run Petrobras as well as accusations that President Dilma Rousseff doctored fiscal accounts, while Venezuela’s fundamental has been rocked after crude oil prices dropped 60% and impacted the country’s revenue. CDS insuring Malaysia’s local currency bonds rose to its highest since the 2009 financial crisis, with the 10-year government bond yields increasing as high as 4.3% this quarter. About RM166.1 billion of Malaysia’s foreign-owned debt is in Malaysian Government Securities and Government Investment Issues, making up around 30.4% of the government’s total debt. Negative news have caused speculators to hedge bets on Malaysia’s default rate, said Lee Tien Xiang, an analyst at Fundsupermart.com, an international retail investment advisory. “CDS traders are speculating on an increased probability that Malaysia will default,” said Lee. The situation is exacerbated by the drop in ringgit’s value and high fund outflows from the equity market, the analyst said. These developments, however, are making Malaysian government debt papers more attractive to foreign investors, who are betting on a ringgit rebound. “The ringgit is undervalued,” said Gerald Ambrose, who oversees some US$3.6 billion (RM15.57 billion) in assets as CEO of Aberdeen Islamic Asset Management Bhd in Kuala Lumpur. Aberdeen holds Malaysian Government Securities within its regional funds, Ambrose said. “Malaysian government debts are an attractive investment for the long term and current yields might go up a bit higher,” said Ambrose, adding that short-term investors could lock in profit from the exchange rate. The ringgit has dropped about 16% this year alone. The ringgit rose 1.06% to 4.2382 against the US dollar last Friday as Prime Minister Datuk Seri Mohd Najib Razak announced measures to combat declining oil revenues through the introduction of increased “rich taxes” on individuals with annual incomes of more than RM600,000. http://www.themalaysianreserve.com/new/sto...h-fastest-world |
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Oct 29 2015, 08:50 AM
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#25
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All Stars
12,268 posts Joined: Oct 2010 |
1.00 USD = 4.29856 MYR
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Oct 29 2015, 09:22 AM
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#26
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All Stars
12,268 posts Joined: Oct 2010 |
Fed has a fetish on a rate hike. However, its all crystal ball gazing.........if they are so shite sure, they would have tightened already.
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Oct 29 2015, 09:54 AM
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#27
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All Stars
12,268 posts Joined: Oct 2010 |
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Oct 29 2015, 03:25 PM
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#28
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All Stars
12,268 posts Joined: Oct 2010 |
QUOTE(Hansel @ Oct 29 2015, 02:27 PM) As of this moment, and from what I was told by my RM since this morning, the world press is now detecting that : The feds are hinting of a December hike. A hike won't be coming soon. End of. What I watched and detected early this morning at 2+am was : January 2016. The reading of the hint has since evolved to December now. Getting a bit tired of this,.... Patience- Yellen |
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Nov 11 2015, 09:09 AM
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#29
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All Stars
12,268 posts Joined: Oct 2010 |
1.00 USD = 4.36278 MYR
Syukur? We didn't hit 4.40? |
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Nov 11 2015, 10:27 AM
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#30
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All Stars
12,268 posts Joined: Oct 2010 |
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Nov 12 2015, 08:37 AM
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#31
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All Stars
12,268 posts Joined: Oct 2010 |
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Nov 12 2015, 08:46 AM
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#32
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All Stars
12,268 posts Joined: Oct 2010 |
QUOTE(wil-i-am @ Nov 12 2015, 08:41 AM) Was watching bloomberg last nite, it said loss of 560mil because of impairment loss.Also said it was 2nd loss in last 4 qtrs. Even so, 91% plunge is worrisome to say the least This post has been edited by prophetjul: Nov 12 2015, 08:47 AM |
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Nov 12 2015, 09:49 AM
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#33
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All Stars
12,268 posts Joined: Oct 2010 |
QUOTE(AVFAN @ Nov 12 2015, 09:33 AM) that petronas profit plunge figure is awful. very roughly, it indicates petronas breakeven is about usd55/bbl. Yeahbrent at 46 now, next qtr will hv massive loss? low commodity prices hurt currency, whether rm or aud. aud today gained much, not due to commodity prices up but creation of jobs. can putrajaya do the same? or add to the current >300,000 unemployed grads? This bloody Aus economy is still so good! AUD so strong vs MYR |
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Nov 12 2015, 11:10 AM
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#34
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All Stars
12,268 posts Joined: Oct 2010 |
QUOTE(Showtime747 @ Nov 12 2015, 11:09 AM) Following the "rumours" last time, the update says the "domestic issues" will be solved by 1H16 when "the company" passes the debt to other companies and wind down the exposure. This is the only worry by foreign funds now. Other fundamentals like current account, budget deficit, inflation, unemployment, etc will go back to the "old normal". By then, RM will back to stable like past few years and only the usual external factors like oil price, USD rates hike, Euro/Japan/China QE will affect the RM drastically After wiping 1MDB's arse and cleaning it, ALL will be well. And they are using the perceived increase in NTA to clean up the mess.The above is from my "source", who predicted <4.00 by 1H16. Sounds plausible to me |
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Nov 12 2015, 11:20 AM
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#35
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All Stars
12,268 posts Joined: Oct 2010 |
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Nov 12 2015, 11:30 AM
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#36
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All Stars
12,268 posts Joined: Oct 2010 |
QUOTE(Showtime747 @ Nov 12 2015, 11:23 AM) He told me that is the single most important issue to solve now. And they are facing a "do or die" maneuver because "someone" is chasing them hot on their arse. Foreign funds and rating agencies do not care about other "domestic issues" like 2.6b, but this "systematic threat" to them will affect the whole financial system. SorryYes, "the company" will eventually be downsizing, make some decent profits and is asset rich instead of deep in debt after the restructuring I believe there will be other new issues crop up after the conclusion of this episode. Which will bring up a new set of drama. Until then, it will be a big sigh of relieve for everyone Are you saying its not 1MDB, but something else? |
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Nov 12 2015, 11:33 AM
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#37
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All Stars
12,268 posts Joined: Oct 2010 |
QUOTE(Showtime747 @ Nov 12 2015, 11:30 AM) Don't know leh....I think Fed rates hike and oil price will still affect the RM very much. According to my source, the restructuring will be done, just a matter of time. If he is true, then RM will be back to <4.00, all else being equal Our gomen thrives on DEBT. They have to be pleasing the foreign ex colonists of rating agencies.With the recent obvious government moves to cut down subsidies, mooting GST rate increase, tol rates, sin taxes rise and all those unpopular policies, they seemed to be more interested to please the foreign funds and rating agencies than their voters. Maybe they think there is still time before the next election If all these are taken into account, I think RM will not be worse off than now Otherwise its high borrowing coming in. |
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Nov 12 2015, 11:34 AM
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#38
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All Stars
12,268 posts Joined: Oct 2010 |
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Nov 12 2015, 11:48 AM
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#39
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All Stars
12,268 posts Joined: Oct 2010 |
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Nov 12 2015, 11:55 AM
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#40
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All Stars
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