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 M Reits Version 7, Malaysia Real Estate Investment

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Hansel
post Sep 3 2019, 01:42 PM

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QUOTE(Boon3 @ Sep 3 2019, 12:49 PM)
Share your exact same sentiments.

I find his gloating of his SReits dividends on this thread here rather annoying too.
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Bro,... emm, thank you for agreeing with me,... BUT,.. emm,... I must say DW did list down his dividend stock holdings and I did see they are all in the green, with better margin-of-safety than mine in some counters.

I bought many of my counters prior to the GFC in 2008/9, but later had to take profit because the counters started to fall in quality,... egs Singpost, Starhub and First REIT,... After selling-off these counters, I re-entered into the current ctrs I'm holding, but I became a 'late-enterer' then.

I saw many other dividend bloggers in SG not declaring their stock positions, hence, there is no complete information as to whether they are in the green in their dividend stocks.
Hansel
post Sep 3 2019, 02:53 PM

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QUOTE(Boon3 @ Sep 3 2019, 02:31 PM)
... I was purely against his gloating. End.

This thread is for MReits and not SReits.
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biggrin.gif Sure bro,...

Perhaps DW could reply with his (your) opinions over mine over at the SREITs thread if so,... Thank you,....
Hansel
post Sep 12 2019, 09:41 PM

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QUOTE(cherroy @ Sep 12 2019, 05:04 PM)
If one is selecting reit based on higher dividend yield, then one can easily fall into so called yield trapped, similar to low PE trap story in ordinary stock.

Those with high yield one, generally their properties lease is more risky.
Those are more susceptible to glut problem or downturn time, that's why they are higher risk, because investors demand higher yield to compensate the risk taken.

In fact, if we look back, those performing reit generally are those so called low yield reit, because those reit have prime properties and has no problem to secure lease.

Reit is all about "rent it out", a simple story to tell.
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Actually, bro Cherroy,... I look at it in another way,... a GOOD REIT may have higher yield, but the price will soon catch-up with it when investors start to notice it.

I am vested in SG REITs,... let me use these as examples to illustrate here,...

1) When First REIT first started listed in 2005, I think, the yield was quite high, being a hospital REIT. But of course, tere will be arguments saying that this REIT had higher yield because of the props being in Indonesia (prone to volcanic disruptions, etc),... but as time ges by, it proved to be good, and the price rose.

2) The Mapletree group of REITs,... the dpu grew, the price grew together,... another eg,.. Frasers Centrepoint Trust,.. the dpu grew, the price grew too, causing the yield to drop.

I believed,... as a REIT investor, one can only try to take a risk to GO IN TO A REIT early, before the price runs away.

When the fundamentals of a REIT start to chg, good egs here would be First REIT, Sabana REIT, Cache Logistics Trust and ESR-REIT today,... one should then be able to trap this happening, and hopefully, with a good margin-of-safety built from many years of holding, TAKE PROFIT instead of cutting loss.

The jurisdiction is also important,... and how the regulators manage the REITs,...

IF a jurisdiction is such that it is hard for the landlord to impose proper rules and habits for tenants to pay rents, then,... I must say chances of defaults would be higher,... this would be one of the weaknesses posed by a jurisdiction.

Perhaps,... this is another risk factor of investing in REITs,... Jurisdictional Risk.
Hansel
post Sep 13 2019, 01:48 PM

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QUOTE(Boon3 @ Sep 12 2019, 09:57 PM)
Just curious Hansel, have you stumbled on a SReit whose dpu was declining? If yes, could you do a back test and see if the Reit investor of that Reit made or lose money.

I made several real data tests on several reits recently. It showed clearly reits with declining reits caused investors to lose money.
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Bro Boon,... losing money,.. as a live example from my very own experience - HPH Trust !

The dpu is falling, causing the unit price to fall in tandem...

I attended the AGM once a few years ago. The price then was around 50c. Some investors there told me : This ctr IPO'ed at 1.00, you know.... Now dropped to half already,... where can drop some more ??!!??,....

I have lost a small amt by then, which prompted me to attend the AGM.

I cutloss immediately after that, losing a few cts per unit against my Buy Price of 54.56c...

So,... yes,... lost money myself.

As a matter of curiosity, this afternoon, I checked,... the price of HPH Trust now is at 15.7c and based on my earlier Buy Price of 54.56c, I have lost 72.11%. I held on to 100 units in my portfolio to study this ctr !
Hansel
post Sep 16 2019, 12:14 AM

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QUOTE(Boon3 @ Sep 13 2019, 04:01 PM)
This is what I noticed with mreits like Hektar, Amfirst and Twreit. Despite their rather high DY, for example hektar is currently trading with a DY of 8.38%, Amfirst 7.92%.. if one look at their dpu, its declining yearly.. and so is their stock prices.

Which means despite their high DY, an investor will still lose money despite getting these so called juicy dividends!

Yup, one can still lose money despite getting high DY!
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Yes bro,... if we are going to look in absolute sense into the DY of a yield only, then a high DY can still make one lose money after sometime be eating up into the principal. It's just like in a war,... one army may win a particular battle, but it can also lose the whole war.

We have to fight the war in totality, ie by winning as many battles as possible to capture the war.
Hansel
post Sep 16 2019, 11:51 AM

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QUOTE(cherroy @ Sep 16 2019, 10:37 AM)
High div yield is not a "magic figure" or foolproof figure.

How well the reit is doing, aka its DPU level is the key.

So investors need to constantly monitoring about it, just like any ordinary stocks, profit level of the company always dictate the share price.

Basically for reit, it is DPU and interest rate environment that dictating the reit price.

1) DPU up, reit price up
2) DPU constant, interest rate environment down - reit price up.
3) DPU constant, interest rate up = reit price down.
4) DPU down, reit price down.

Those performing  generally because of factor 1), and lately 4)
While those poor performing one are generally due to factor 4).
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I used to think like the above. but as the years went by,... I discovered it's not so simple as that,....
Hansel
post Sep 16 2019, 05:36 PM

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QUOTE(Hansel @ Sep 12 2019, 09:41 PM)
Actually, bro Cherroy,... I look at it in another way,... a GOOD REIT may have higher yield, but the price will soon catch-up with it when investors start to notice it.

I am vested in SG REITs,... let me use these as examples to illustrate here,...

1) When First REIT first started listed in 2005, I think, the yield was quite high, being a hospital REIT. But of course, tere will be arguments saying that this REIT had higher yield because of the props being in Indonesia (prone to volcanic disruptions, etc),... but as time ges by, it proved to be good, and the price rose.

2) The Mapletree group of REITs,... the dpu grew, the price grew together,... another eg,.. Frasers Centrepoint Trust,.. the dpu grew, the price grew too, causing the yield to drop.

I believed,... as a REIT investor, one can only try to take a risk to GO IN TO A REIT early, before the price runs away.

When the fundamentals of a REIT start to chg, good egs here would be First REIT, Sabana REIT, Cache Logistics Trust and ESR-REIT today,... one should then be able to trap this happening, and hopefully, with a good margin-of-safety built from many years of holding, TAKE PROFIT instead of cutting loss.

The jurisdiction is also important,... and how the regulators manage the REITs,...

IF a jurisdiction is such that it is hard for the landlord to impose proper rules and habits for tenants to pay rents, then,... I must say chances of defaults would be higher,... this would be one of the weaknesses posed by a jurisdiction.

Perhaps,... this is another risk factor of investing in REITs,... Jurisdictional Risk.
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Following are further initiatives to strengthen on governance for REITs, and hence, to protect investors' money,...

This is the Jurisdictional Risk I was talking abt last Thursday,...

http://www.theedgesingapore.com/news/regul..._eid=89d8698c85
Hansel
post Sep 26 2019, 06:02 PM

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For REITs, for myself,... primarily,..my main focus would be on its distributable income, and then if there has been any activities that increased or decreased the number of units in circulation.
Hansel
post Sep 26 2019, 07:30 PM

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QUOTE(moosset @ Sep 26 2019, 06:06 PM)
I read on investopedia that we need to look at FFO, but I can't find FFO on Malaysian reits.
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Hansel
post Oct 25 2019, 12:35 PM

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The recent pulbacks of the MREITs could be because of the anticipation of BNM not cutting rates anymore this year.
Hansel
post Oct 25 2019, 05:23 PM

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QUOTE(Cubalagi @ Oct 25 2019, 04:23 PM)
Could be the reason. I see Malaysian bond price index also has started to dip. But I don't see Malaysian bank prices go up tho..
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Can't comment much abt bond prices,.. but logically, bank shares couldn't go up if the BNM OPR stays put due to interest earnings. If BNM cuts the OPR, chances are bank sp's will drop,... unless, of course, we say lower OPR will decrease loan rates and there will be more loan growth. But loan growth needs to be matched with loan quality too,... no point if lots of defaults later on.
Hansel
post Oct 29 2019, 02:46 AM

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Got source, bro ? This is good : Kg Baru REIT,... hehehe,...
Hansel
post Oct 29 2019, 05:43 PM

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QUOTE(nexona88 @ Oct 29 2019, 03:26 PM)
It's all over FB 😂

One so called investment sifu hard selling it...
Maybe some would pick it up later on 🤣
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Hansel
post Oct 29 2019, 08:54 PM

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QUOTE(nexona88 @ Oct 29 2019, 06:07 PM)
Only in Malaysia when u use religious, can sell well...
They proposed shariah compliant REITs to attract more investment 💪
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Ok. That's this country then,... shakehead.gif
Hansel
post Dec 11 2019, 12:04 PM

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Parkway group of hospitals too,... under Parkway Life REIT,...
Hansel
post Dec 28 2019, 04:22 AM

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QUOTE(ShinG3e @ Dec 28 2019, 02:19 AM)
Too expensive and above my valuation boss. 😪

If not sure snap already.
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Yes bro, you are right !

At today's price, if you are not holding any at lower prices, it's not worth it anymore,... I was saying earlier,.. for REITs which we think are good, we have to buy-in early,... otherwise, shld the price runs away, then it's not worth it anymore.
Hansel
post May 25 2020, 02:45 PM

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QUOTE(woonsc @ May 24 2020, 04:27 PM)
I'd stay away from Office,
Singapore 80% employers is okay for employees to work from home.
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Very true,... this is the phenomenon today after employees all over the world started working from home and telecommuting.

I read many articles in the last many days mentioning :-
1) big city employees in the USA started shifting to the suburbs just so that they can work from their homes in the suburbs.
2) Credit Suisse in Switzerland saying they need to layoff employees and would not need so much office space anymore.
3) 4 out of 5 emplyees in SG preferred to work from home.

I wonder how will all the above affect the Office REITs in the world ?
Hansel
post May 25 2020, 04:04 PM

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QUOTE(woonsc @ May 25 2020, 02:59 PM)
Do SG or MY have residential Reits?  hmm.gif
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I'm not sure abt MY, but SG had a residential REIT earlier. It had assets in Japan, and the REIT goes by a Japanese name.

It had since been delisted.

The closest today would be Ascott REIT, which has serviced residences among its assets.
Hansel
post May 25 2020, 04:11 PM

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QUOTE(cherroy @ May 25 2020, 03:50 PM)
The working from home and video conferencing affect the most on Airlines and travelling industry due to reduction in commercial travelling.
But still, it may resume to normal once pandemic is over.
WFH and video conferencing are not something new, it has been there for years, just the pandemic force people to adopt it.
Just like online shopping is available, still people like to go to malls even just for window shopping.
They co-exist.

Impact on office, yes, it does, but should be minimal. Offices are still needed due to confidential and security for company information. Let every company confidential info being stored at home PC even with cloud computing, may pose a lot of security issue.
What if the employee decided to quit time, headache to retrieve back the data also.
Certain industries can WFH, but not every industry can. WFH has its limitation. Offices nowadays are not only a place for employee to work, but a place for servers as well.

Now matter how, offices demand is still highly correlated with economy growth. So the risk is on economy growth, WFH threat should be minimal.
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Looks like office space is going to be directly-correlated with economic development then, going by your narrative in the above.

Think I'd start to stop loading-up on Office REITs and Diversified REITs which has a big percentage inside Office space.
Hansel
post May 26 2020, 12:33 AM

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https://www.channelnewsasia.com/news/asia/m..._uid=F8ClKV7TQA

Extra costs need to be borne by employers if the Office continues to be used as a working place rather than telecommute.

Hence, if Office rental is high, this will certainly push employers to encourage the WFH concept.

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