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Falling Oil Prices - Where it leaves Malaysia, Not too bad afterall
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AVFAN
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Apr 1 2015, 02:25 PM
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QUOTE(stanzai @ Apr 1 2015, 08:06 AM) Guys popcorn masuk angin.. strong resistance around USD55~ for brent and USD47~ for WTI. How did the Iran nuclear talk fair? Anyways, seems like Iran will benefit regardless of the outcomes. brent now breaking <55. iran talks went over time, likely a deal by end of day today. experts predicting usd5 fall!
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nexona88
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Apr 1 2015, 05:11 PM
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QUOTE(AVFAN @ Apr 1 2015, 02:25 PM) brent now breaking <55. iran talks went over time, likely a deal by end of day today. experts predicting usd5 fall! extra crude supply from Iran after the deal?
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AVFAN
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Apr 1 2015, 05:17 PM
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QUOTE(nexona88 @ Apr 1 2015, 05:11 PM) extra crude supply from Iran after the deal?  yup, that's the point. effect may be subdued in reality, but markets can react kneejerk. QUOTE Iran currently produces around 2.8 million barrels per day (bpd), according to Tchilinguirian, although Western sanctions limit exports to around only around 1 million bpd. The country keeps around 30 million barrels of crude on its fleet of oil tankers. "Which sanctions will be lifted and the uncertainty in the timing of lifting suggest that Iran will not be in position to significantly add to the current oversupply in the market," he said. http://www.cnbc.com/id/102551145
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nexona88
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Apr 1 2015, 05:22 PM
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QUOTE(AVFAN @ Apr 1 2015, 05:17 PM) yup, that's the point. effect may be subdued in reality, but markets can react kneejerk. I see...
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nexona88
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Apr 7 2015, 05:06 PM
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AVFAN
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Apr 7 2015, 06:24 PM
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oil price volatile, usd decline, rm recovered.
volatility will not go away, do what u need to do at the right time!
Jan 29 2015 usd44.50 3.6375 Feb 4 2015 usd52 3.564 Feb 11 2015 usd50 3.60 Feb 18 2015 usd54 3.595 Mar 4 2015 usd51 3.6475. Mar 10 2015 usd49.60 3.705 Mar 18 2015 usd44.12 3.709 usd46.13 3.6725 Mar 19 2015 7pm usd45.34 3.708 Mar 27 2015 7pm usd50.55 3.687 Mar 30, 2015 5pm usd 48.10 3.713 Apr 6 2015 6pm usd51.60 3.6395
This post has been edited by AVFAN: Apr 7 2015, 06:26 PM
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stanzai
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Apr 8 2015, 05:01 AM
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Getting Started

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US Crude up due to the surge in job openings. http://www.cnbc.com/id/102564300
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nexona88
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Apr 8 2015, 08:51 PM
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Oil falls on larger-than-expected U.S stock build, record Saudi output in March.
"We're going to need to see a very big uptick in demand to offset that supply," Ben Le Brun, analyst at OptionsXpress in Sydney, said. "There is a glut of supply in oil at the moment."
Adding to that supply, Saudi oil minister Ali al-Naimi said late on Tuesday that Saudi output would likely remain around 10 million barrels per day (bpd) after posting a record high of 10.3 million bpd in March.
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stanzai
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Apr 9 2015, 04:39 AM
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Getting Started

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QUOTE(nexona88 @ Apr 8 2015, 08:51 PM) Oil falls on larger-than-expected U.S stock build, record Saudi output in March. "We're going to need to see a very big uptick in demand to offset that supply," Ben Le Brun, analyst at OptionsXpress in Sydney, said. "There is a glut of supply in oil at the moment." Adding to that supply, Saudi oil minister Ali al-Naimi said late on Tuesday that Saudi output would likely remain around 10 million barrels per day (bpd) after posting a record high of 10.3 million bpd in March. I really don't know how effective is their strategy to flood the market trying bring down the oil price. Having said that, i personally thinks that it gave the Brent a harder blow compare to the WTI US Crude. The gap is narrowed to only USD 5 dollars. OPEC needs to be smarter than this!
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nexona88
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Apr 9 2015, 11:01 AM
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WTI crude dives 6% down http://finance.yahoo.com/news/oil-prices-f...-012045031.html]http://finance.yahoo.com/news/oil-prices-f...-012045031.html
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AVFAN
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Apr 9 2015, 11:11 AM
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crude down 6%... but still usd51, nowhere near 40.... so no big damage. if all these loud n soft noises about iran, saudi, iraq, shale, conspiracies, etc. are cut out... the baseline is intact - there is simply too much oil!  and will remain so for months, maybe years. for us consumers, since we now pay more taxes with gst, cheaper petrol can help.
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pustapazik
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Apr 9 2015, 01:39 PM
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Getting Started

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Be cautious
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SUSsupersound
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Apr 9 2015, 02:32 PM
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QUOTE(AVFAN @ Apr 9 2015, 11:11 AM) crude down 6%... but still usd51, nowhere near 40.... so no big damage. if all these loud n soft noises about iran, saudi, iraq, shale, conspiracies, etc. are cut out... the baseline is intact - there is simply too much oil!  and will remain so for months, maybe years. for us consumers, since we now pay more taxes with gst, cheaper petrol can help. Now I keep my eyes close on the price, reach 35 do wake me up
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nexona88
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Apr 9 2015, 04:51 PM
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Crude oil may rebound to US$80 in 3-5 years -Franklin Templeton Investments http://www.theedgemarkets.com/my/article/c...nklin-templeton
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AVFAN
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Apr 9 2015, 06:48 PM
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QUOTE(nexona88 @ Apr 9 2015, 04:51 PM) Crude oil may rebound to US$80 in 3-5 years -Franklin Templeton Investments http://www.theedgemarkets.com/my/article/c...nklin-templetoni like this one better: our int rates are nowhere near 0. bnm should cut interest rates to exploit cheap oil prices for economic growth! http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/201...ct-of-cheap-oil
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nexona88
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Apr 9 2015, 08:00 PM
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QUOTE(AVFAN @ Apr 9 2015, 06:48 PM) i like this one better: our int rates are nowhere near 0. bnm should cut interest rates to exploit cheap oil prices for economic growth! http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/201...ct-of-cheap-oilu know what.. frien of mine told tat BNM will cut OPR rate at next policy meeting
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nexona88
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Apr 14 2015, 05:14 PM
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Oil above $58 on US shale output report, Mideast QUOTE The U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) said on Monday it expected U.S. shale production to fall by 45,000 barrels per day (bpd) to 4.98 million bpd in May http://www.thestar.com.my/Business/Busines...east/?style=biz
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stanzai
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Apr 16 2015, 05:12 AM
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Getting Started

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Wall Street speculations etc. is definitely playing a role in this crisis. Despite report crude inventory in the states went up, the crude is still post a bullish trend. http://www.cnbc.com/id/102587037I personally dont see strong fundamentals though for this long term bull run with current oil out put, iran's uplift , etc. What are your thoughts guys?
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AVFAN
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Apr 16 2015, 11:23 AM
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QUOTE(stanzai @ Apr 16 2015, 05:12 AM) Wall Street speculations etc. is definitely playing a role in this crisis. Despite report crude inventory in the states went up, the crude is still post a bullish trend. http://www.cnbc.com/id/102587037I personally dont see strong fundamentals though for this long term bull run with current oil out put, iran's uplift , etc. What are your thoughts guys? only demi gods will know as the variables are too many. moreover, hedge funds moves can flex it in a major way. afaik, the massive longs haven't unwound yet: http://www.theedgemarkets.com/my/article/l...sking-new-slumpso, i'm with you - this run is probably temp, a lot more volatility ahead.
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AVFAN
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Apr 16 2015, 06:41 PM
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oil rallied, so did rm.
Jan 29 2015 usd44.50 3.6375 Feb 4 2015 usd52 3.564 Feb 11 2015 usd50 3.60 Feb 18 2015 usd54 3.595 Mar 4 2015 usd51 3.6475. Mar 10 2015 usd49.60 3.705 Mar 18 2015 usd44.12 3.709 usd46.13 3.6725 Mar 19 2015 7pm usd45.34 3.708 Mar 27 2015 7pm usd50.55 3.687 Mar 30, 2015 5pm usd 48.10 3.713 Apr 6 2015 6pm usd51.60 3.6395 Apr 16 2015 6pm usd 56.06 3.6550
This post has been edited by AVFAN: Apr 16 2015, 06:57 PM
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