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 ringgit Malaysia drop , how to I change my RM to USD

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AVFAN
post Apr 30 2015, 06:21 PM

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QUOTE(Artus @ Apr 30 2015, 06:18 PM)
No job but prices drop good for you or not?
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i m not worried about my job.

that's why i can't say that for u n others.
AVFAN
post Apr 30 2015, 07:16 PM

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QUOTE(Hansel @ Apr 30 2015, 07:07 PM)
In economics theory, in an inflation, wages shld rise in tandem too with the good economy. In a deflaton, there will be job cuts. Hence, in theory, inflation SHLD BE better than deflation. But not in the real world.  sad.gif  sad.gif
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that should happen in an efficient economy. and there are reasons why that does not happen in boland.

it is the prolonged distortions arising from economic policies, gomen intervention, corruption and excessive use of cheap foreign labor that has and will continue to negate it completely.

in other words, nothing will improve with whatever conditions. unless with a total overhaul.

This post has been edited by AVFAN: Apr 30 2015, 07:24 PM
AVFAN
post May 12 2015, 05:12 PM

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QUOTE
The ringgit is likely to remain weak in the near-term due to the large foreign holdings of fixed income instruments in Malaysia.


QUOTE
(May 11): Global holdings of Malaysian government bonds rose to a record in April, taking overseas ownership of the debt to 32 percent.

Foreign investors purchased a net 11 billion ringgit ($3 billion) from a month earlier, the biggest inflow since at least 2006 and bringing the holdings to 168 billion ringgit, according to central bank data. The figure includes both conventional and Islamic sovereign bonds. When corporate notes are taken into account, they bought a total of 2.9 billion ringgit for an overall 216.4 billion ringgit.
http://www.theedgemarkets.com/my/article/g...nds-rise-record

AVFAN
post May 14 2015, 07:02 PM

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QUOTE(nexona88 @ May 14 2015, 04:54 PM)
Ringgit depreciation unexplained, says expert

http://www.theedgemarkets.com/my/article/r...ned-says-expert
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QUOTE
"The only reason I can think of is capital outflow," he said, while ruling out market speculation as a factor.

actually, if this fella is right, bnm would be the first people to know and been seeing it for some time.

the fact that bnm has never said anything about that, how big the amounts, who, when, what methods, increasing or decreasing quantum, legal or illicit leaves much to be desired.

even when int'l watchdogs report m'sia in top 5 every year in global illicit outflows, bnm/gomen keeps mum, basically say "all is good".

so, i guess bnm/gomen assume either we are all too dumb to understand or all very smart, can figure it out.

This post has been edited by AVFAN: May 14 2015, 07:11 PM
AVFAN
post May 29 2015, 01:11 PM

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today noon, usd1=rm3.650/3.653.

light read, but i doubt a peg is in consideration:

QUOTE
29 May 2015 01:00 PM   
Is it time for the government to peg the ringgit again?

0 Shares  0 Comments Share:         
by Sonia Ramachandran
PETALING JAYA: Should the depreciating ringgit once again be pegged to the US dollar (USD)?

Considering its position as one of the worst performing currencies in Asia this year, there is speculation that it would be pegged.

- See more at: http://www.theantdaily.com/Main/Is-it-time...h.VnqFupap.dpuf

AVFAN
post May 29 2015, 07:09 PM

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watch inflation post gomen suka tax too:

rm closed 3.666/3.669.

QUOTE
Malaysia’s inflation accelerates to 1.8% in April
By Chester Tay / theedgemarkets.com   | May 29, 2015 : 6:41 PM MYT  
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KUALA LUMPUR (May 29): Malaysia’s April consumer price index (CPI) grows twice as fast as at 1.8% in April compared with barely 0.9% in March, mainly due to the implementation of the goods and services tax (GST).

In a statement today, Bank Negara Malaysia said eleven out of twelve categories of consumer goods and services registered higher rate of inflation in April compared with March.

“These price increases were most evident in the food and non-alcoholic beverages, communication and miscellaneous goods and services categories,” the central bank stated.

The food and non-alcoholic beverages category represent the highest weightage of 30.3% among the twelve other categories in the CPI basket. The category’s inflation growth was 3.15% on-year in April, as compared with 2.27% in March, according Bank Negara today.

On the other hand, communication category’s inflation growth rate was 2.35% last month, in contrast to a retraction of 0.92% in March.

Meanwhile, miscellaneous goods and services category’s inflation topped at 4.08%, highest since January this year.
http://www.theedgemarkets.com/my/article/m...erates-18-april


This post has been edited by AVFAN: May 29 2015, 07:17 PM
AVFAN
post Jun 4 2015, 11:16 AM

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gst/inflation + 1mdb + potential fitch downgrade + potential bigger budget deficit = rm down...?

think fx markets today reacting to menteri speech and continued 1mdb saga. rm at 3.70 today to a relatively weaker $.

QUOTE
KUALA LUMPUR: The rationalisation efforts of 1Malaysia Development Berhad’s (1MDB) assets is a restructuring exercise more than anything else, says second finance minister Ahmad Husni Hanadzlah who has insisted that said efforts are not meant to “save” the controversy-laden strategic development company or the government.
“In our context, the main thing is that we must solve the issue of debt so that the people do not have to worry,” he said in a live interview on national television channel TV1.
In the interview, Husni focused instead on the larger picture, saying that there was a need for the country to resolve the 1MDB debt issue to avoid sparking a negative chain of events.
He opined that Putrajaya’s being forced to take on the RM42 billion debt in addition to next year’s development expenditure of RM52 billion would cause it to fail to meet the targeted Budget 2015 deficit of 3.2 per cent and revert to over 4 per cent instead.
“What will happen? Our ratings will drop. When our ratings drop, our companies borrow from abroad, our currency value will drop like in 1998 then when our ringgit at one point was over RM4. How to pay debts?” was the rhetorical question.
The Malaysian currency dipped in value during the 1997-1998 Asian financial crisis, at one point going over RM4 against the US dollar.
http://www.freemalaysiatoday.com/category/...-restructuring/


This post has been edited by AVFAN: Jun 4 2015, 11:36 AM
AVFAN
post Jun 4 2015, 01:14 PM

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QUOTE(Hansel @ Jun 4 2015, 12:50 PM)
When is the official ann't date of the Actual 2015 Budget Deficit result ?
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actual 2015? that will be when full yr 2105 is known in 2016.

still, can track the actual qtrly results and when/if parliament amends/approves more money for budget deficit.

"plan" budget 2015 deficit is 3.2% gdp. actual, we'll see... was a high 6.7% in 2010.

http://www.themalaysianinsider.com/malaysi...-changed-to-3.2
http://www.tradingeconomics.com/malaysia/government-budget

This post has been edited by AVFAN: Jun 4 2015, 01:39 PM
AVFAN
post Jun 4 2015, 06:51 PM

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rupiah has overtaken ringgit as the worst performing asian currency for 2015. no prizes, i suppose.

QUOTE
The rupiah is the worst-performing Asian currency so far this year, dented by corporate demand for the dollar as well as concerns over Indonesia's economic slowdown and its chronic current account deficit.
http://www.theedgemarkets.com/my/article/r...fx-broadly-down


This post has been edited by AVFAN: Jun 4 2015, 06:52 PM
AVFAN
post Jun 4 2015, 06:58 PM

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QUOTE(nexona88 @ Jun 4 2015, 06:57 PM)
jokowi is pushing hard for some economic reform.. I guess it's not working  rolleyes.gif
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monumental task for the man.

will take 50 yrs at least.

we know, from here.
AVFAN
post Jun 5 2015, 05:28 PM

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QUOTE(cute_miao @ Jun 5 2015, 03:38 PM)
About rm2000 each
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for that amt, just go change when u need.

will be ok with rupiah, not so good with baht.

today, got worse. usd... 3.720.
check the rest here:
http://www.bnm.gov.my/?tpl=exchangerates
AVFAN
post Jun 5 2015, 06:03 PM

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QUOTE(Croner @ Jun 5 2015, 05:30 PM)
Rm4 coming.
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u must hv just read this!

http://www.theedgemarkets.com/my/article/b...15?type=Markets

This post has been edited by AVFAN: Jun 5 2015, 06:03 PM
AVFAN
post Jun 6 2015, 01:32 AM

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QUOTE(wil-i-am @ Jun 5 2015, 11:08 PM)
Breaking news...
1.00 USD = 3.76108 MYR
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where do u get this?

i had thought the rm is only traded until 5pm? hmm.gif

becos the data stops at 5pm in:
http://www.bloomberg.com/quote/USDMYR:CUR
http://www.bnm.gov.my/?tpl=exchangerates


AVFAN
post Jun 6 2015, 10:56 AM

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QUOTE(stanzai @ Jun 6 2015, 01:53 AM)
Yup got it from my bank too..its 3.76 now.
GST effect and 1MDB kicked in yo.
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This one I think is due to last nights US jobs report which was good, fueling rate hike fears again.
USD rose 1% against almost all currencies at the same time.

GST, 1mdb, inflation, effects, budget deficit, int rate cut.... We will see next quarter.
AVFAN
post Jun 6 2015, 07:09 PM

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QUOTE(nexona88 @ Jun 6 2015, 04:48 PM)
USD1.00 = MYR 3.76090  shocking.gif  shakehead.gif  doh.gif

3.80 is coming very soon... maybe on Monday  cry.gif
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now that it has gone to 3.76... 3.80, 4.0 does not seem that impossible, right?

we'll see if bnm will intervene or let it slide with market forces.

xmdb's, gdp growth, inflation, potential int rate cut, trade balance, budget deficit and borrowings for the rest of the year will determine the rm.
AVFAN
post Jun 7 2015, 08:19 AM

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QUOTE(AVFAN @ Jun 6 2015, 06:57 PM)
QUOTE(Showtime747 @ Jun 6 2015, 08:02 PM)
Ya, it is broad base. Not only USD. For USD drop I understand. But the drop vs SGD is more than USD over the past week. That's why my "conspiracy theory" is that the business / rich people knew something is happening and taking quick steps to preserve their wealth. When I made my transfer over the last few weeks bit by bit, my bankers are telling me such transactions are getting more and more.

Just that the sudden surge over this week caught me by surprise. I am too slow my RM kena stucked that's why I butthurt  tongue.gif
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a bit more, a bit less... but same trend against all major currencies. remember the early 1990's? at that time, there was so much fdi, hot money that a lot of people thought they were demi-gods - anything they touch - stocks, properties, import/export, manufacturing, retailing - turned into gold.
the ringgit was in demand. usd 2.5, sgd 1.7, aud 1.95, same with yen, pound, renminbi.
http://www.tititudorancea.biz/z/fx_myr_19970306.htm

well, after after 1998, everything changed. today, only currencies of south africa, brazil and the like are weaker. also debt has gone >5 times since.
http://www.themalaysianinsider.com/sidevie...y-2020-pak-sako

we would hope the rm will strengthen, but what will make it strong and in demand again? i find this elusive when i look at debt, budget deficits, exports, oil price. add the continuous wastage, bailouts, certain agendas, productivity, foreign illegals repatriating money, illicit outflows... what probability in the next decade rm will gain over major currencies?

This post has been edited by AVFAN: Jun 7 2015, 08:37 AM
AVFAN
post Jun 7 2015, 02:46 PM

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QUOTE(Zanmai0146 @ Jun 7 2015, 11:37 AM)
Yes, very true I agree with you. But this sudden drop is not logically for me. In short term from 3.4 to 3.7 that's a huge difference.
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it was 3.4 in nov 2014, so 3.4->3.7 took 7 months.

if u look at this 10 yr chart, u see the spikes and ebbs.
in was not so long ago in 2009 when rate was 3.7.
http://www.xe.com/currencycharts/?from=USD&to=MYR&view=10Y

for rm, aug 2014 at 3.15->june 2015 at 3.76 = 20% in 10 months.
http://www.xe.com/currencycharts/?from=USD&to=MYR&view=1Y
during same period, sgd sank 9%, aud 22%. the big reason is commodities like oil and iron ore in poor demand or oversupply. all nations exporting commodities are hammered, incl m'sia n australia. that's on top of a surging usd due to expectations of an int rate hike this year.

natural gas prices tend to lag that of crude oil by a few months, so say the experts. this is probably adding to the rm pressure now:
http://www.straitstimes.com/news/business/...prices-20150605

and this kind of news tells u foreign funds aren't flowing into bursa anytime soon:
http://www.theedgemarkets.com/my/article/k...solidation-mode

of course, many other factors already mentioned.

This post has been edited by AVFAN: Jun 7 2015, 03:18 PM
AVFAN
post Jun 7 2015, 06:02 PM

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QUOTE(wil-i-am @ Jun 7 2015, 04:30 PM)
At the height of the 1997/98 Asian financial crisis, the ringgit hit a high of 4.7125 against the US dollar on Sept 1, 1998
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what a reminder... sweat.gif but yes, things aren't going well for the rm.

one factor, trade balance - maybe due to weekend (and that's why u never buy bursa stocks on a friday tongue.gif ), this hasn't been reported widely yet. we'll probably get more comments tmrw, monday - april trade balance declined to 6.89 vs mar's 7.82 but better than 5.7 expected. question what's it going to be for may and june?
http://www.tradingeconomics.com/malaysia/balance-of-trade

another factor... below is what the brits heard from menteri. so, do follow the 1mdb saga if u think rm fx is impt.
QUOTE
Malaysia must resolve 1Malaysia Development Berhad's (1MDB) debt issue or risk a negative chain of events, second finance minister Datuk Seri Ahmad Husni Hanadzlah had said on Wednesday.

If the country has to find RM42bn to pay back the troubled company's debt in addition to the budgeted RM52bn of development expenditure for next year, then the fiscal deficit will shoot up to 4% from the target of 3.2%, according to the minister.

The ringgit could fall to Asian crisis levels when the USD/MYR pair had risen above 4.0 and the country could face rating downgrades if the debt issue is not solved, he added.

The Malaysian currency has fallen 1.37% so far this month, adding to the 2.8% loss happened in May.

In April, the unit had made a good reversal, moving off the 6-year low in March, and had hit a 3-month high of 3.5315, but now these gains have been erased almost entirely.

Technically, the USD/MYR pair has strong resistance near the 3.75 area which it failed to break through in March. In 2009 too, the attempt to break above that region failed at 3.7550. So breaking that level will push the ringgit to its lowest since early 2006.

Charts also show that the chances for the ringgit plunging to a nine-year low remain technically strong as long as the USD/MYR pair holds above the 3.65 region.
http://www.ibtimes.co.uk/malaysian-ringgit...aunting-1504560


This post has been edited by AVFAN: Jun 7 2015, 06:11 PM
AVFAN
post Jun 8 2015, 10:51 AM

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QUOTE(wil-i-am @ Jun 8 2015, 10:04 AM)
The Malaysian ringgit hit a nine-year low against the dollar on Monday after strong US employment data bolstered expectations for an interest rate hike by the Federal Reserve before year-end.

The ringgit hit 3.7510 versus the dollar, its lowest level since February 2006 according to Thomson Reuters data. The ringgit last stood at 3.7500, down about 0.8 percent on the day.
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bnm reported 3.7585/3.7615 at 9am:
http://www.bnm.gov.my/?tpl=exchangerates

bloomberg... it hit a low 3.7630, now 3.7618.
http://www.bloomberg.com/quote/USDMYR:CUR
AVFAN
post Jun 8 2015, 01:45 PM

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QUOTE(nexona88 @ Jun 8 2015, 01:39 PM)
who knows end of the week reach that level  sad.gif
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no point worrying too much.

nothing u and i can do.

even our powerful politicians and bankers can do nothing but watch now.

better prepare for 4.0 by year end.

this week, better go buy yr fav imported food, imported phones, etc. fast.

i better go change my 4 botak tyres tmrw. biggrin.gif

these prices will go up 10% + GST very soon.

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