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 ringgit Malaysia drop , how to I change my RM to USD

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AVFAN
post Jun 8 2015, 01:55 PM

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QUOTE(Pink Spider @ Jun 8 2015, 01:46 PM)
and buy more stocks of exporters with massive USD revenue brows.gif
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that may be.

but i kinda distrust these local counters - tend to be syndicated, manipulated to favor the big shareholders only...

QUOTE(wil-i-am @ Jun 8 2015, 01:46 PM)
U use Continental?
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current ones are.

actually, where are they imported from?

any other recommendation?
AVFAN
post Jun 8 2015, 06:05 PM

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QUOTE(nexona88 @ Jun 8 2015, 04:31 PM)
not forgetting those have USD Income.. happy laughing all the way to the bank  tongue.gif
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for that... yen, sgd, tbh also not bad.

5pm, usd... 3.772. lost 1.4% in 1 day.

no intervention by bank negara?

This post has been edited by AVFAN: Jun 8 2015, 06:07 PM
AVFAN
post Jun 8 2015, 07:13 PM

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QUOTE(nexona88 @ Jun 8 2015, 06:30 PM)
Ringgit slumps to nine-year low as funds exit on Fed rate bets

http://www.theedgemarkets.com/my/article/r...-0?type=Markets
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32% foreigners holding rm denominated bonds, selling.
usd bonds... probably worse, pay more rm for usd interest.
oil prices drop, gas price drop.
exports drop, trade balance drop.
budget deficit will have to incr.
big unknown is legal and illicit outflows.

quite a nightmare, isn't it?
AVFAN
post Jun 8 2015, 08:41 PM

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QUOTE(wil-i-am @ Jun 8 2015, 07:50 PM)
Dun think BNM will intervene so early
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right, i think they will intervene only at next stop, 3.80. the reserves appear untouched yet.

we'll see soon enough.

QUOTE(danmooncake @ Jun 8 2015, 07:30 PM)
BNM still got that interest rate ammo but I don't they want to intervene.
Lower Ringgit is good for the Malaysia (as exporters of manufactured products).
But, unfortunately, Malaysia consumers will suffer more.  nod.gif
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the traditional thinking is weak currency helps exports.
does not work for msia at this time, imo.
problem is rm has been weak for months, and exports are dropping.
gas prices, cpo prices no good. the rest are so-so.
i.e. commodity based and low value exports at a time of a slowdown in mfg powerhouses like china will not do any good.
yet, we keep getting cheap foreign labor for such industries.
if it stays that way for another few years, the 5 mil foreign workers (and millions more citizens not really working) will exert a tremendous strain.
http://www.matrade.gov.my/en/malaysia-expo...thly-trade-2015

the tricky part now is with large sums to be spent on the budget, there will be a need to borrow more, at higher cost.

well, there are thousands of highly paid brains in powerful positions, they should see all that coming and hv solutions ready, right. so, let's relax... biggrin.gif

AVFAN
post Jun 9 2015, 09:54 AM

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QUOTE(MR_alien @ Jun 9 2015, 08:28 AM)
made in malaysia bro...we export them
our rubber are world class..so those tyre maker chose to make them here...hence the cheap price of the tyre that we're paying
if its imported...it would cost more than RM200/tyre+-
continental is a good choice
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ah... thanks for info.
i will check this local-imported thingy.
sometimes, local stuff can cost more!

QUOTE(danmooncake @ Jun 9 2015, 09:14 AM)
The strange thing about weakening Ringgit, I thought I would see imported stuff from Malaysia will go down in prices but I haven't seen that yet.  For example, no drop in Durians price in Singapore.  sad.gif
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very likely the smart exporter sells in sgd! laugh.gif

This post has been edited by AVFAN: Jun 9 2015, 09:54 AM
AVFAN
post Jun 9 2015, 11:14 AM

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QUOTE(MR_alien @ Jun 9 2015, 10:01 AM)
i've seen those made in japan/made in thailand tyres before...it will be stated on the side of the tyre
it cost double of what we usually paid for
quality should be the same since rubber also came from malaysia anyway
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u r right, i just checked.

for my car, local continental rm216, bridgestone thailand rm243.
AVFAN
post Jun 9 2015, 11:23 AM

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QUOTE(MR_alien @ Jun 9 2015, 11:21 AM)
buy local
i trust local rubber better and its somewhat also newer
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yep, will do continental. been happy with the current ones.
AVFAN
post Jun 10 2015, 12:43 AM

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this article says 32% local currency bonds held by foreigners.
QUOTE
Malaysia is vulnerable to outflows spurred by higher U.S. interest rates as central bank data show global funds hold 32 percent of the nation’s government bonds, compared with 18 percent for Thailand. Overseas investors sold a net 2.5 billion ringgit ($663 million) of the nation’s shares last month, stock exchange data show.
http://www.theedgemarkets.com/my/article/r...-0?type=Markets


now, this one says 47%, highest of 10 emerging markets. good read article.

QUOTE
So far, the currency declines have been benign in most of the developing countries. While the average 30 percent drop in emerging-market currencies since early 2011 has failed to boost exports and growth, it helped cut imports and narrow current- account deficits in the economies of Turkey and India among others.

As of April, overseas investors held an average 30.5 percent of local-currency bonds in the 10 largest emerging markets, compared with the all-time high of 31.2 percent in January, according to Credit Suisse Group AG. Malaysia has the highest foreign ownership with 47 percent, followed by 39 percent in Poland and 38.5 percent in Indonesia.

Capital outflows have already started. Investors pulled $577.7 million from U.S. exchange-traded funds that invest in emerging markets last week, the first outflow in almost three months, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.
http://www.theedgemarkets.com/my/article/o...trong-greenback



looks like more pain coming...
AVFAN
post Jun 11 2015, 06:27 PM

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QUOTE(danmooncake @ Jun 8 2015, 07:30 PM)
Lower Ringgit is good for the Malaysia (as exporters of manufactured products).
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2 ministers happily agree with u.
QUOTE
"The point is why we didn’t think of this earlier, i.e. depreciate our ringgit earlier to get the perceived benefits."
Full article: http://www.malaysia-chronicle.com/index.ph...2#ixzz3ckUYhPzZ


nz cut int rate by 25bps today, nzd lost 2.6% in 1 day.

if bnm cut rate in 2h2015 as forecasted by merrill lynch, we hv an idea what rm will become.

yr nasi lemak will become cheapy cheapo cheap. tongue.gif

This post has been edited by AVFAN: Jun 11 2015, 06:41 PM
AVFAN
post Jun 11 2015, 09:56 PM

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QUOTE(Hansel @ Jun 11 2015, 09:53 PM)
Somehw I just cant belief tht our local goods will become cheaper after the BNM cuts the OPR by 25bps.
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ah.. sorry about that.

that message was for dan with power foreign money. laugh.gif

This post has been edited by AVFAN: Jun 11 2015, 09:56 PM
AVFAN
post Jun 12 2015, 07:10 PM

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QUOTE(Hansel @ Jun 12 2015, 06:40 PM)
Agreed for most of the currencies in the world (incl the mighty USD), HOWVER, in my many years of chasng passve income, I have come to realise that the SGD has NEVER failed me. In the long run, it has always been up, up and up against the RM. The MAS has always advocated a gradual appewciation of the SGD.
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laugh.gif

true, sg's mas focus on sgd gradual appr against its major trading partners.

today, rm lost 0.44% with usd, sgd lost 0.3%. so, u gain, once again! tongue.gif
AVFAN
post Jun 13 2015, 02:03 AM

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QUOTE(Showtime747 @ Jun 13 2015, 01:12 AM)
1. Put S$1000 in FD renew on maturity from 1997-2015 = S$1208.84

2. Put RM1790 in FD renew on maturity from 1997-2015 = RM3652.44

3. S$1208.84 x 2.78 (2015) = RM3360.57
RM wins. Malaysia Boleh. Bercukur ada Barisan Nasional
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differential of 8.7%...

an indication more rm depr towards 3.0 ex rate coming?

This post has been edited by AVFAN: Jun 13 2015, 02:20 AM
AVFAN
post Jun 13 2015, 09:38 AM

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QUOTE(wil-i-am @ Jun 13 2015, 06:48 AM)
Shld b 3.80 rite?
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it's sgd/rm.

3.00 is not impossible in the next 24 months given all that we know at this time.

if that happens, usd/rm will be 4.0.
AVFAN
post Jun 13 2015, 02:26 PM

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QUOTE(xuzen @ Jun 13 2015, 12:10 PM)
If US raise their rate, then USD/RM will reverse the trend. Watch this space.

Xuzen
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us raise rate, rm gets stronger?

i doubt it. it may stabilize for a while but will continue to decline (assuming no major changes) until the global markets are assured usa will not raise rates anymore.

at this time, the expectation is usa will raise rates once or twice this year and then another once or twice in 2016.

meanwhile, bnm been leaving the rates unchanged meeting after meeting.

merrill lynch's been expecting bnm to cut rates since last year, but they have been proven wrong so far.

indon, oz, south korea, nz all cut rates in the last 6 months - the currencies dived, off course, each time a cut is made.

cutting int rates makes a currency weaker with another currency but the idea is to spur growth, improve employment and production, trade and budget balances so that the currency is in demand again which then allows int rates to be increased to strengthen the currency further - that's what's going on with usa now. if rates stay low and protracted, and economy does not improve, something will give way eventually - a devaluation plus a massive hike in int rates - like what we saw recently in venezuela or ukraine.

interest rate parity does catch up over time.

This post has been edited by AVFAN: Jun 13 2015, 03:02 PM
AVFAN
post Jun 13 2015, 04:40 PM

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QUOTE(supersound @ Jun 13 2015, 04:29 PM)
So far US already call the wolf is coming since end of last year. And each time they call, rm gets weaker whistling.gif
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that is true. big economies can do a lot what small ones cannot. today, only usa, germany and japan can sneeze, others catch a cold.

china and india will rise to the level in time.

small cats can meow, get eaten up by hyenas faster. biggrin.gif
AVFAN
post Jun 13 2015, 07:10 PM

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QUOTE(supersound @ Jun 13 2015, 05:25 PM)
That's why US try to push for TPA, the president even talk openly that if those small countries(like Malaysia) will suffer the most if don't sign TPA agreement and let China dominate the economy doh.gif
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no need to doh.gif , u will only get hurt.

"everybody wants to rule the world".

mathir tried to corner the tin market in 1981, lost billions.
http://www.themalaysianinsider.com/malaysi...s-bad-as-najibs

russia's putin may hv tried to corner the gold market in recent years.

saudi is still trying to control crude price, battling shale and getting hurt.



so, u can decide if doh.gif is worth it. laugh.gif
AVFAN
post Jun 13 2015, 07:35 PM

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QUOTE(supersound @ Jun 13 2015, 07:28 PM)
Not really, Saudi's only need to spend 1-5 to dig oil out while shale oil need to use 40-50 to produce. That's why Saudi dare to sailang to have oil price of 20 rclxub.gif
But again, at 50, almost all O&G suffers cry.gif
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it's good, really. that's what free market capitalism is about - lowest cost producer wins, all consumers win.

let oil get to usd10/bbl!

whoever produces something at lowest cost wins - as long as it last.

f those who want to gouge and rob!

now... u get me upset with unifi. mad.gif


AVFAN
post Jun 14 2015, 01:46 PM

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QUOTE(KenYoung @ Jun 14 2015, 01:47 AM)
Is it a good time to change most of my foreign currency now? I.e. My sgd... Got few Thousands in hand...
Or just keep monitoring?
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few thousand sgd in cash...

if u want to buy some imported stuff, not a bad idea now to change to rm, before prices increase.

good time or not, who knows? some blame it on m... so, if m's attacks get stopped somehow, rm will strengthen auto?!


QUOTE
Dr M’s attack on Najib bad for economy, says Ahmad Maslan

Asked about the continued decline of ringgit, Ahmad said if the situation continues, prices of imported goods will eventually increase.

- See more at: http://www.themalaysianinsider.com/malaysi...h.fwyokPrG.dpuf

AVFAN
post Jun 15 2015, 02:31 PM

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stock market is a leading indicator.

QUOTE
Foreign investors offloaded RM852.7 million last week, says MIDF Research
By Surin Murugiah / theedgemarkets.com  | June 15, 2015 : 11:06 AM MYT  KUALA LUMPUR (June 15):

The heavy foreign selling on Bursa does not seem to be abating, with foreign investors have now been net sellers on Bursa for seven consecutive weeks, according to MIDF Research.

In his weekly fund flow report today, MIDF Research head Zulkifli Hamzah said that for the third week running, the amount offloaded was more than RM850 million a week.

“It has been the longest undisrupted stretch of “intense” selling so far this year.

“Last week, investors classified as “foreign” sold equity listed in the open market on Bursa on a net basis amounting to RM852.7 million,” he said.

Zulkifli said it was only a small let up from the RM926.1 million sold the week before.

He said that for the third week in a row, foreign investors were net sellers every single trading day of the week.

“All in, they had been selling for the past 19 straight trading days.

“As was the case in the preceding week, the amount exceeded the RM200 million mark on Tuesday and Thursday, making it 20 days so far this year that the amount had surpassed the threshold,” he said.

Zulkifli said that in comparison, daily foreign sale exceeded RM200 million on 23 occasions in 2014.

He said that last week’s selldown increased the cumulative net foreign outflow in 2015 to RM7.5 billion, surpassing the RM6.9 billion outflow for the entire 2014.

“We estimate that there is still an overhang of about RM15 billion-RM20 billion of foreign portfolio liquidity on Bursa.

“Foreign shareholding on Bursa should be close to 23%,” he said.

Zulkifli said that foreign participation (daily average gross purchase and sale) declined 16% to a moderate RM846m, the third lowest this year.

He explained that local institutions mopped up RM852.0 million last week but participation rate fell further to RM1.56 billion, the
lowest this year.

“Retailers were hardly in the market, with only RM700,000 change in net position. Participation rate of RM508 million was also the lowest this year,” he said.
http://www.theedgemarkets.com/my/article/f...s-midf-research


This post has been edited by AVFAN: Jun 15 2015, 02:35 PM
AVFAN
post Jun 15 2015, 04:29 PM

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QUOTE
Ringgit Nearing Asia-Crisis Peg as Zeti Optimism Not Shared

“As with other currencies, the ringgit will face a number of pressures including a strong dollar and higher U.S. rates,” said Mitul Kotecha, head of Asia Pacific foreign-exchange strategy at Barclays Plc in Singapore, who predicts the ringgit will end the year at 3.95. “Given that Malaysia is still the only net oil exporter, any rally in oil prices may alleviate some of the pressure on the currency.”

http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/201...mism-not-shared


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