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 ringgit Malaysia drop , how to I change my RM to USD

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AVFAN
post Aug 11 2015, 01:27 AM

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QUOTE(nexona88 @ Aug 10 2015, 09:03 PM)
die la if reach 4.10,
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that can happen quickly if this comes true:
QUOTE
Dr Mahathir expects Bank Negara governor to be investigated next - See more at: http://www.themalaysianinsider.com/malaysi...h.KzDqB60X.dpuf


This post has been edited by AVFAN: Aug 11 2015, 01:46 AM
AVFAN
post Aug 11 2015, 11:39 AM

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QUOTE(wil-i-am @ Aug 11 2015, 11:13 AM)
1.00 USD  = 3.94857 MYR 
The pressure is so strong n gonna break RM3.95 barrier by today
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cutting it like cheese cake... 3.956.
AVFAN
post Aug 11 2015, 12:53 PM

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QUOTE(Showtime747 @ Aug 11 2015, 11:51 AM)
Wow !!

But SGD, AUD, GBP depreciate against RM  rclxub.gif
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ya, watch the china yuan devaluation effects...

u may be quick, bnm may not be. tongue.gif
AVFAN
post Aug 11 2015, 01:37 PM

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QUOTE(nexona88 @ Aug 11 2015, 01:29 PM)
Ringgit fundamentally oversold, says UOB Research hmm.gif
http://www.theedgemarkets.com/my/article/r...ys-uob-research
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why is it that our local houses always say rm is oversold, bursa is over sold, props still cheap, food still cheap, etc...

since when have any of them said otherwise? laugh.gif
AVFAN
post Aug 11 2015, 05:43 PM

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QUOTE(Hansel @ Aug 11 2015, 05:30 PM)
MYR4,...announce when hit,... Here it comes.
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here:


10 Aug 2015 21:40 UTC - 11 Aug 2015 09:40 UTC
USD/MYR close:4.00155 low:3.92730 high:4.00155
http://www.xe.com/currencycharts/?from=USD&to=MYR&view=12h
AVFAN
post Aug 11 2015, 06:11 PM

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for the faint hearted, better dun look at usd but look at aud, u'll be happier.

aud is rm2.93x only, still cheap. laugh.gif

This post has been edited by AVFAN: Aug 11 2015, 06:14 PM
AVFAN
post Aug 11 2015, 07:18 PM

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QUOTE(Showtime747 @ Aug 11 2015, 07:11 PM)
Just <2 weeks ago it was 2.7xxx  tongue.gif
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so, you bought aud or not today?

i took yr advice to buy a bit of sgx stocks today.

rate should be 2.840. now it's showing 2.861.

looks like any currency u buy now, it's ok. tongue.gif

This post has been edited by AVFAN: Aug 11 2015, 07:18 PM
AVFAN
post Aug 11 2015, 08:56 PM

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QUOTE(Showtime747 @ Aug 11 2015, 07:34 PM)
No I didn't buy anything today tongue.gif  This morning, AUD drop to 2.89xx, SGD 2.82xx. But quickly went up

Last week, was expecting Aud to drop further, but BANG !! it went up instead. I actually missed the SGD/AUD parity because I didn't return call to my bank RM. Was asking her to call me if it went parity. Missed the boat  sad.gif 

I think the whole of malaysia demoralised with US$/RM4. Very malu and angry. Everyone I met also Ptui Ptui Ptui !  tongue.gif
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aud is highly dependent on iron ore exports to china.

china isn't going to buy more so soon, rmb just devaluated.

i doubt the aud can stay strong for too long, will have to adjust soon, imo.
AVFAN
post Aug 11 2015, 09:51 PM

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QUOTE(Showtime747 @ Aug 11 2015, 09:09 PM)
But business which export will make more RM selling overseas ---> good for bosses and government who collect more tax from these businesses

Are you a ordinary people or a boss who export overseas ?
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actually, i m curious what are the biz that have >90% cogs local rm sourcing and >90% usd revenues...?

gloves n condoms come to mind but isn't much of the latex now imported from thailand? thai baht isn't cheap anymore.

local fruits, maybe... but that is miniscule, no?

belacan, chili, sauces... not much i think, thailand's got a lot lot more going.

overall, not much, not many "bosses" laughing to the bank, no?

This post has been edited by AVFAN: Aug 11 2015, 09:52 PM
AVFAN
post Aug 12 2015, 10:19 AM

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QUOTE(Showtime747 @ Aug 12 2015, 06:41 AM)
Maybe difficult to find business with >90% COGS local components because business now is global it may be cheaper to get imports. But there are companies which are mainly export oriented in USD like CPO, O&G, agri base like fruits, manufacturing like IT service, electronics.

Economics fundamental shows we have a current account surplus. So, export > import and RM should appreciate gradually as demand of RM > supply. But the real situation is  doh.gif  doh.gif  doh.gif

Zeti also give up already  tongue.gif
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yes, i am aware of o&g and cpo exporters - it's really only petronas and the large plantations. usd yes, but falling prices and demand... net earnings in rm also drop badly. if not, petronas won't be cutting dividends to putrajaya.

others... i think all very small. so, there really is little joy in the statement "exporters are happy".

current/trade account surplus - primarily driven by bigger reductions in imports. this can become a problem later - shortage of certain goods.


zeti will speak tmrw. i doubt she has much to say except the usual, "undervalued".
https://www.malaysiakini.com/news/308181

This post has been edited by AVFAN: Aug 12 2015, 10:24 AM
AVFAN
post Aug 12 2015, 11:34 AM

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QUOTE(Showtime747 @ Aug 12 2015, 10:51 AM)
I have a business which export to china. Initially late last year beginning this year we gain on weak ringgit. Profit doubled. But the last few months, the sales really slow down and we were only gaining on the exchange rate. Sales volume has come down. Still ok, but not as good as before when china market is still good. 
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from the horse's mouth, this confirms what cnbc, bloomberg and forbes been reporting. thumbup.gif

what is unclear to me now is with the yuan devaluation and weak china factories, what will the final impact on the rm as china is msia's largest trading partner.

with sgd now at 1.41, and sg being major trading partner with both msia and china, i see more downside in the coming days for the mr vs usd.

now, is bnm still intervening and try to cap at 4.0?

that's the question, isn't it?
AVFAN
post Aug 12 2015, 01:17 PM

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something to digest, worse to come...

QUOTE
The magnitude of the selloff in Asian currencies is reflective of a couple of factors, say analysts: a weaker yuan hurts the export competitiveness of China's neighbors and erodes China's purchasing power, potentially reducing imports.

"Most countries like their currencies weaker if the dominant player in the region is weakening its currency," said Emma Lawson, senior currency strategist at National Australia Bank, adding that central banks are less willing to defend their currencies in this sort of environment.

"If there's a perception that there will be an allowance of currency depreciation, this tends to heighten capital outflows, and these sorts of selloffs tend to get a life of their own," she said.
http://www.cnbc.com/2015/08/12/asian-curre...se-to-come.html

AVFAN
post Aug 12 2015, 03:02 PM

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QUOTE(sootienann @ Aug 12 2015, 03:00 PM)
i thought gdp 4.5% is worse compared to past few years ?
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take note mr freeze speaks satire.
AVFAN
post Aug 12 2015, 07:06 PM

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QUOTE(Showtime747 @ Aug 12 2015, 06:55 PM)
So, as much as they want to stabilize their currency, they run out of bullet and surrender
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as the world gets globalized and money and information goes at speed of light, the idea of pegging and intervention is way past obsolete.

such futile attempts will only hurt you more.

even the russians did not try - they know "resistance is futile", so they just managed with interest rates while expecting the economy to slump, which it did - in recession now.

worse cases - venezuela, ukraine and greece... which u already know.

i am not sure our menteris understand it. tongue.gif
AVFAN
post Aug 12 2015, 07:16 PM

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QUOTE(Showtime747 @ Aug 12 2015, 07:10 PM)
So they wasted $10b of the country's reserve. That is close to the $11b 1MDB owed

Zeti should resign and strip off the "A+ banker" medal she received for the past few years  tongue.gif
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no, i dun blame zeti.

she did what is expected of her - from the cabinet and the people at large - to try.

but i think she knows it will not work.

more so when there is no way to know what the largest central bankers in usa, eu, china and japan will do.

did not u not read the numerous posts saying "we can peg", "we have plenty of reserves", "this is not 1997" and "even soros dare not come"?!!
AVFAN
post Aug 13 2015, 12:38 AM

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QUOTE(Showtime747 @ Aug 12 2015, 11:04 PM)
It is more towards psychology played on the currency traders. To smooth out the price, central bank gives warning to the traders that they will defend the currency, so please don't mess with me or you will lose out. I have 100b in the bank, how much do you have to fight me ?
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the swiss national bank did that not so long ago, tried to maintain swiss franc peg to the euro, issued poker type warnings.

too much pressure, gave up and had to let it rise from 1.2 chf/euro to 1.09.

pegs and intervention don't work for long!
AVFAN
post Aug 13 2015, 12:56 AM

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QUOTE(nexona88 @ Aug 12 2015, 10:16 PM)
I think someone monitoring all we post here..

1.00 USD  =  3.98 MYR

would reach back @ 4 MYR next few hours? hmm.gif
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china's double devaluation now cast doubt on us rate hike, usd down.

that also drove money into bonds and gold, pulling commodity prices up with it.

rm fall will likely take a breather, dunno for how long...?



what if zeti announce a surprise rate cut tmrw?!! laugh.gif

This post has been edited by AVFAN: Aug 13 2015, 01:18 AM
AVFAN
post Aug 13 2015, 08:53 AM

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QUOTE(wil-i-am @ Aug 13 2015, 06:47 AM)
On wat basis?  hmm.gif
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was just joking... but zeti is speaking today.

then again, i do not discount possibility of a rate cut by year end.

this is very possible if gdp growth stalls to <4% with all that's happening - gst, shrinking rm, lower exports, nervous...
AVFAN
post Aug 13 2015, 12:35 PM

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QUOTE
Bank Negara Malaysia (BNM) governor Tan Sri Zeti Akhtar Aziz broke her silence today and dismissed speculation that she will be resigning anytime soon. She told reporters she intends to see out her five-year term, which ends next year. “I certainly will remain in office until my term ends,” she said at a press at a briefing at the BNM headquarters in Kuala Lumpur today. – August 13, 2015. - See more at: http://www.themalaysianinsider.com/malaysi...h.MkHcfz1T.dpuf

AVFAN
post Aug 13 2015, 06:57 PM

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QUOTE(nexona88 @ Aug 13 2015, 05:59 PM)
1.00 USD  = 4.02 MYR

looks like stabilized at tis level  hmm.gif
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biggrin.gif

12 Aug 2015 10:50 UTC - 13 Aug 2015 10:52 UTC
USD/MYR close:4.04100 low:3.95403 high:4.06568

maybe more reaction tmrw to zeti's "dun ask me".

QUOTE
RM2.6 billion donation to Najib not within Bank Negara’s purview, says Zeti - See more at: http://www.themalaysianinsider.com/malaysi...h.ZWsNY7F7.dpuf


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