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 Property Bubble Burst or Deflate ? V14 (发), Cherroy Most Forwarded Thread

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Showtime747
post Nov 19 2014, 10:08 PM

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QUOTE(bearbearwong @ Nov 19 2014, 09:56 PM)
what do you think? this market to mee looks like like a falling pit.. today news Cimb bank and UOB bank cost cutting... later citi, & hsbc very soon, now bank out open tap water is RHB wor.. got any news or not?
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I told you at any point in time, there are bad news which lead DDD to think the market is going to crash. Subprime, Euro crisis, malaysia MNC closed factories and move out of malaysia, malaysia oil price up to RM2.70 etc etc. All these happened for the past 5-6 years. But property price still high up there

If you really want to see property crash, you have to expect economic crisis like Asian Currency Crisis in 1997/98.

Even crisis happen, only bad property will drop price. Good ones will not be affected much. In 97/98, the effect on price drop is not like 50%. So, your dream house may not be within your reach.
Showtime747
post Nov 19 2014, 10:21 PM

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QUOTE(bearbearwong @ Nov 19 2014, 09:57 PM)
what is the advise for having only those FD's?
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If you really have those amount in hand, you got to be realistic

1. Buy something within reach first for your wedding. You can always upgrade later. Buying house is not a 1 time affair. Pr1ma is not a bad choice
2. Work harder. Instead of spending so much time here (Read the story below)
3. Find ways to improve your income. Work part time while you are still young
4. Make something happen that is within your control. Don't expect something happen that is not within your control (like property crash)

Same advice as I always say to you - don't time the market on your first house. You are gambling you and your family's future. Buy something which is financially comfortable to you. Don't ever stretch your financial because people tend to think they can afford something they don't. That's why you still have a job because it is these people who keep your busy





Story :

God gives everyone 3 x 8 hours per day. 1st 8 hours everbody needs to sleep. 2nd 8 hours everybody needs to work. It is how a person spend on the 3rd 8 hours that determine the success and failure of a person
Showtime747
post Nov 19 2014, 10:26 PM

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QUOTE(gunplakk @ Nov 19 2014, 10:09 PM)
yeah, then it needs me to  move my funds here and there between banks to maximize the returns... hence put in SD, u get about 5-6% depending on the offer... principle guranteed... the other thing is that now, put some of your eggs in overseas SD for longer term... still can get abotu 4% but u get capital appreciation... (assuming MYR depreciates over the years). Diversify.

dont compare balls... but its also prudent to keep your balls hidden!
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What is SD ?
Showtime747
post Nov 19 2014, 10:30 PM

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QUOTE(gunplakk @ Nov 19 2014, 10:17 PM)
for this I beg to differ, I really think the prices of property is too high, it "Should" come down. For some reason, Msia has alot of holding power and therefore, my "should" has never come true so far...
But seeing how SG and other countries are doing now, property prices are on the down side.

http://www.thestar.com.my/Business/Busines...rket/?style=biz

Its simple... I look at my own house and the price it is now, I cant afford to buy back my own house, so in my simple mind, there will be others like me... and therefore, the price is too high. at some point something has to break! of course I have yet to be right!! tongue.gif
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Don't get me wrong. I also think the price is high now tongue.gif

I also "wish" price could come down.

As you said, "For some reason..", we got to be realistic. What would cause the price to come down ? I can think of 1 possible scenario - economic crisis, which will cause property crash.

Other than that ? Can you name it ?
Showtime747
post Nov 19 2014, 10:34 PM

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QUOTE(gunplakk @ Nov 19 2014, 10:29 PM)
Structured deposits
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Oh....that is long term like 5 years locked with auto call right ?


Showtime747
post Nov 19 2014, 10:38 PM

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QUOTE(gunplakk @ Nov 19 2014, 10:32 PM)
Sound advise, the only variable is the measure of success, which to each it's own.
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Yes. That is how a person spend their 3rd 8 hours that determines their success
Showtime747
post Nov 19 2014, 10:45 PM

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QUOTE(bearbearwong @ Nov 19 2014, 10:32 PM)
bank raise interst or new measures lor, like 5 years flat RPGT from vp date...
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bearbear,

People will change their lifestyle to adapt to new interest environment. I have seen interest in >10% and low 3%.

But most countries are having low interest rates. How you expect malaysia to raise ? Somemore next year GST coming already add inflation to all goods. If government increase interest some more, the inflation will be sky high. Interest rate hike next year is not likely lah.

Remember the UXXO people ? How likely they raise RPGT ?
Showtime747
post Nov 19 2014, 10:48 PM

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QUOTE(bcpbeancounter @ Nov 19 2014, 10:37 PM)
don't think this is a good investment. better go for FD or share.
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Different product. Each has its supporter tongue.gif

I also don't like something that put a clump on my funds for years

I think we all keep cash as emergency or while waiting for right investment
Showtime747
post Nov 19 2014, 10:53 PM

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QUOTE(gunplakk @ Nov 19 2014, 10:40 PM)
Yup... They get snapped up very fast. So need ur banker to inform u when got. But now year end, so bonds and sd returns not so good, wait for jan
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I don't like to lock in my cash for years. I don't even have FD for >3 months. Just my preference lah. Different products have difference pros and cons. All about risk and return.

I think we are off topic tongue.gif
Showtime747
post Nov 19 2014, 10:57 PM

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QUOTE(gunplakk @ Nov 19 2014, 10:43 PM)
Yeah so if a person measure of success is happiness, and posting on lowyat makes him happy, the fact that he is happy, I would say he is successful. Success is not just about money.
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Very good point thumbup.gif

But for bearbear, he has to get his first house. I can sense his anger towards the high property price and his imaginative enemies - the flippers, the UUU and everyone and everything that gets in his way from his dream house.

So, we are here to help him a little. But so far, our effort is futile tongue.gif
Showtime747
post Nov 19 2014, 11:01 PM

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QUOTE(bearbearwong @ Nov 19 2014, 10:49 PM)
low interest promote debt taking, banks now really empty no money.. why you need all tekan interest rates so low, debt on top of debt..

cant we just live in a non inflated  days? growth pace by pace..still can rich, still can success, still can prosper, some lazy ass decide to take short cut.. target property lor...
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bearbear,

I also wish goodview is RM400k. Green Terrain RM300k. But that is just dream. Reality is always cruel. We got to accept it.

Work towards something you want is more practical. Instead of hoping something you want comes to you

Don't blame other people. No use one....
Showtime747
post Nov 19 2014, 11:11 PM

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QUOTE(gunplakk @ Nov 19 2014, 10:57 PM)
Denominated in myr?
U have so much cash, not all needs to be near cash liquid ma. Some long some short some super long and some far even. Equity? No la, ppl like me no time to jaga and cannot resist monitoring, better stay away from equity. If u wan equity maybe good to put in Sg like Singtel with good dividend payouts.
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REITS is good mah. Don't need to monitor. 4%-10% dividend. Capital appreciation is bonus. Just notice PAVREIT appreciate 10% for the past year thumbup.gif So, I suspect PAVREIT perform very well for the past 1 year. Like 15% maybe

If you like SGD, then get SREIT. Many choices too

Ya Singtel is good. Also Starhub, SPH etc. You go for dividend also ?

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post Nov 19 2014, 11:13 PM

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QUOTE(bearbearwong @ Nov 19 2014, 11:03 PM)
blame? awareness to the young generation... heavy debt taking due to the market price of property are the same as they are inflated everywhere... it not right
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bearbear this thread only a few hundred people read. No effect on the market one lah. Don't talk about awareness. Everybody knew property price is high. But few people believe it will come down
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post Nov 19 2014, 11:14 PM

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QUOTE(bearbearwong @ Nov 19 2014, 11:02 PM)
dog eye bearbear izzit? 4 k logical or not?
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If your salary 4k, you should only budget RM1.2k for bank instalment. Then buy the property based on that instalment amount
Showtime747
post Nov 19 2014, 11:17 PM

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QUOTE(gunplakk @ Nov 19 2014, 11:06 PM)
You are very patient. I have difficulty following his argument, not very cohesive
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We tried to give him advice in the beginning. But later, I started to get less serious with him tongue.gif
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post Nov 19 2014, 11:26 PM

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QUOTE(AppreciativeMan @ Nov 19 2014, 11:22 PM)
Most of us started in that way..... But I went into zero seriousness shortly..... U are good.... Still less seriousness only...... tongue.gif
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We all have fun is most important tongue.gif
Showtime747
post Nov 19 2014, 11:29 PM

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QUOTE(**** @ Nov 19 2014, 11:26 PM)
if bear bear salary is 4k and his monthly installment is about Rm 1300,only a handful of choices available to him.

No wonder he every second also dream about property crash. crazy kid .
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Last time I said he wants BMW at Camry price.

I think now should be BMW at Proton price

This post has been edited by Showtime747: Nov 19 2014, 11:58 PM
Showtime747
post Nov 19 2014, 11:30 PM

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QUOTE(PeriPeri2014 @ Nov 19 2014, 11:28 PM)
wat fun?? can share??
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If you have to ask, then you are not having fun tongue.gif

Join here as a UUU or DDD everyday and you will know

But here no post count.... tongue.gif
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post Nov 19 2014, 11:33 PM

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QUOTE(bearbearwong @ Nov 19 2014, 11:32 PM)
that is all meh?  still dog eye mode...  biggrin.gif
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zuiko is giving good advice, but you say people dog eye you doh.gif
Showtime747
post Nov 19 2014, 11:34 PM

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QUOTE(PeriPeri2014 @ Nov 19 2014, 11:32 PM)
post count useless.....can not change money  biggrin.gif
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you join 4 months, already 3000+ post. You no need to work ?

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