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 Property Bubble Burst or Deflate ? V14 (发), Cherroy Most Forwarded Thread

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Showtime747
post Nov 29 2014, 11:59 AM

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QUOTE(icemanfx @ Nov 29 2014, 11:44 AM)
No one could stop and better to stay clear off the charging herd. As per prof teaching, the herd will jump off the cliff one by one. It is better be alive at the back than dead in the front.
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You and bearbear are herd who stand on the same spot. These type of herd hope for food around them will be available indefinitely. But when the food around them finish, it is already too late and this type of herd will be starved to death.

Be flexible and adaptive to prof oswald's teaching. Dont just take it at face value.
Showtime747
post Nov 29 2014, 12:13 PM

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QUOTE(icemanfx @ Nov 29 2014, 12:04 PM)
Unless you are equally qualified like prof Oswald, you are no body to dispute prof Oswald's teaching.
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I did not dispute his teaching. You misinterpreted his teaching only.
Showtime747
post Nov 30 2014, 12:35 AM

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bearbearwong is a very interesting forum member in LYN. His behaviour brought us lots of fun and at the same time, he showed us many things which we should avoid. There are many mistakes he made, and below are 6 mistakes made by bearbear which I think home buyers and investors alike can "learn" from him and avoid them in their future purchases :

Mistake #1 Confused objective
bearbear's intention to buy a property is for own stay. For own stay, the objective is totally different from investment. For own stay, it is 1 of the 4 daily needs (clothing, food, dwelling and transport). Just like clothing, food and transport, we buy a house when we need it (like marriage). We should not delay because it is our need. We can always choose a budget that suits us. But bearbear wanted designer cloth and BMW instead of something more affordable. He wanted those mid-high end housing >RM600k instead of those RM300k+ which is his actual affordable budget.

Moreover, for own stay, the future rise and fall of market price does not affect him. He still have to own the house if the market price increase by 100%. He can't sell it for profit otherwise he has no roof over his head. Likewise, if the market falls by 50%, he will not sell either. A house for own stay is a need, not an investment which could turn into profit or loss due to price movement


Mistake #2 Buying a property is a 1 time decision
bearbear thought that buying a house is a 1 time decision (like marriage). But in fact, almost everyone have the opportunity to upgrade their house in the future. Therefore, we should buy a property based on our own financial ability at that time. We should not think that we will be stuck with a property for whole life. We can always sell it and upgrade to a better property in the future. Thinking buying a property and will stay in it for the rest of you life will make your purchase decision very difficult


Mistake #3 Timing the market
Nobody knows the timing of market ups and downs. It applies to any market including stock and property. So, it is foolish to time the market for best price. Instead, the best time to buy a property is when you are financially ready and comfortable. Timing the market is like gambling. If you time the market wrongly, the loss is substantial. Just like the DDDs for the last 5-6 years, they have missed the great opportunity of riding the super bull run which has never been seen in malaysia property market history

Over long term, in malaysia property market history, market price will increase between 5%-10% pa on long term average. So, in 20 years time and beyond, the property will appreciate at least 3 times. Of course, there are ups and downs during the 20 years period, but if a person holds a long term view, the price is on an upward linear trend as history has shown us


Mistake #4 want to wear too big a hat
bearbear's salary is only RM4k gross. His saving is only RM40k. But he aspire to buy property in the region of RM600k-RM700k. He has over-stretched his budget. The result would be catastrophic. A property buyer should not over-stretch their financial ability, unless he has backup from PAMA or spouse. With RM4k salary, bearbear should only be looking at property in the region of RM300k-RM400k. However, he even take into account his 3 credit card limit of RM50k in choosing his target property. Using credit card as part of the deposit is plainly a foolish decision

Be truthful to yourself. Weigh your financial ability objectively. Face and social status will be down the drain when repo man knocks on your door.


Mistake #5 getting influenced by his working life
bearbear has a "hazardous" job. His repomen job forces him to meet people who failed financially everyday. When he sees people bankrupt day in day out, he is influenced by them and giving him an impression that many people are facing financial trouble. This could have lead him to believe that most people are not prudent in their financial management and hence, most property buyers are vulnerable to fail. His mindset has become negative and pessimistic. Causing him to read any news and deduce his own findings negatively.

His world becomes doom and gloom and market will crash soon. He cannot see the market objectively anymore. As such, his market outlook causes him to think crash is coming and he should delay his purchase decision.

Property purchase is 1 of our biggest decision. We should be more objective when making such decision. Try to get advice from as many people as possible instead of being influenced by people around you.


Mistake #6 wish the environment to come down to meet his wants instead of working towards achieving his wish
He already has a job. He can work hard to improve his income. If he works towards improving his income by double to RM8k, buying the property of his choice is no more an issue. However, instead of working hard to achieve higher income, he blame the market instead. He whine about the UUU, the flippers, the government etc for causing the price to inflate exponentially until his current salary could not afford.

Instead of working hard, he spend a big proportion of his productive time from 7am - 12 midnight in the forum argue with the UUU and other property buyers. He did not realise he is spending his time unproductively and will not help in his career. He should have use his productive time to work towards how to achieve better career path instead.

We should always bear in mind in this cruel world, nothing will come to you unless you make an effort to achieve it. Ie. there is no free lunch and complaining wouldn't help you get what you wish



I am sure there are more bearbear's mistakes which we can learn. Feel free to add on thumbup.gif

p/s if I have time, I will examine the mistakes made by iceman....






Showtime747
post Nov 30 2014, 10:24 AM

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QUOTE(**** @ Nov 30 2014, 01:12 AM)
Very detailed analysis on the troubled bear bear. Very Spot On . Like hitting on the bulls eye . I feel like his biggest mistake is actually his job being the repomen. I once asked him how about being a doctor who is seeing people die on a daily basis. Should the doctor be crazy and cursing that the world is gonna end soon where human extinction is for real gonna happen? Nonetheless, he dodged my question.

His job actually some how poisoned his mind till he cannot analyze things clearly.
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Doctor actually saves life 90% of their time. So their job is very meaningful

Whereas repoman's job is not save life. He put the final nail into the coffin. He takes away the last hope from the bankrupt. He is the executor, the person who press the button on electric chair

So bearbear becomes very negative. He takes away hope. He everyday look at faces which are hopeless. And unconsciously, he also become hopeless of his own life
Showtime747
post Nov 30 2014, 10:25 AM

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QUOTE(jolokia @ Nov 30 2014, 07:56 AM)
Ok this one paste to 1st page as appreciation of forum member post with sense, keep up the good write up. rclxms.gif
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QUOTE(tnang @ Nov 30 2014, 08:02 AM)
rclxms.gif  rclxms.gif  rclxms.gif  rclxms.gif
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notworthy.gif

This post has been edited by Showtime747: Nov 30 2014, 10:26 AM
Showtime747
post Nov 30 2014, 10:28 AM

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QUOTE(bcpbeancounter @ Nov 30 2014, 08:05 AM)
Another mistake (or maybe weakness) is too naive yet refuse to listen and analyst what people said. This may due to too young in age. But he die die want to claim himself as old man. doh.gif
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That is a good point I missed. Too hard headed. Refused to listen to possibilities. When people trying to give good advice, he instead thought of all sort of conspiracy theories.
Showtime747
post Nov 30 2014, 10:40 AM

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QUOTE(bearbearwong @ Nov 30 2014, 09:33 AM)
really self troll also happy...  doh.gif  doh.gif  doh.gif
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Not trolling at all. I hope new home buyers and investors can learn from your mistakes. They can do their own analysis on your case study and hopefully can help them make more informed decision on their next property purchase.
Showtime747
post Nov 30 2014, 07:48 PM

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I think you guys are right. We are too truthful and that scare away bearbear. But we are just telling the truth, just that bearbear's ears cannot hear something not nice and against his plan.

He must be very very angry. That's why he go rage in other property thread. Other thread's people still don't know him inside out, so he still can bluff bluff a bit to act like expert. Here, he kena strip naked and kantoi big time

Hungry people is angry people. So is bearbear who is hungry to get a nice property, but he can't afford. Normal human behaviour. If in real life, he already slap and box us already tongue.gif
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post Nov 30 2014, 07:53 PM

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QUOTE(icemanfx @ Nov 30 2014, 07:46 PM)
As fate has it, the day bbw repo all of you one by one will be the day of reckoning.
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You sound like those kindy kid who lost in a fight and say "later my father come and beat you all 1 by 1 then you all know...." tongue.gif

Grow up. Talk about why property will crash. Not those kid's talk...
Showtime747
post Nov 30 2014, 08:24 PM

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QUOTE(jolokia @ Nov 30 2014, 08:05 PM)
Though I wouldn't paste this in front page but really damn Kxx funny, luckily there is no food in my mouth or else sure fly out...ROFL. laugh.gif
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tongue.gif tongue.gif tongue.gif
Showtime747
post Nov 30 2014, 08:28 PM

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QUOTE(icemanfx @ Nov 30 2014, 08:17 PM)
It seem you are afraid to meet bbw in person. As bbw is a professional, he won't give you any additional hardship or embarrassment.
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So many times we invite bearbear to come out but he just ignore like never see us. He still owe ManutdGiggs 1 kopi susu.

You convince him to come out lah. You are invited also....we casual talk only. Nothing to be afraid of...1 more friend better mah tongue.gif
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post Nov 30 2014, 08:29 PM

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QUOTE(party @ Nov 30 2014, 08:20 PM)
HAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA......................
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People in law line know a lot of stuff ok....
Showtime747
post Nov 30 2014, 09:02 PM

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QUOTE(icemanfx @ Nov 30 2014, 08:45 PM)
With your posts on bbw, you are a person better not to be friend with.
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Looks like you prefer friends who lie to you instead of pointing out your mistakes and help you to right direction

Dont worry, if you dont want me to write about your mistakes you committed in property investment, just let me know thumbup.gif
Showtime747
post Dec 1 2014, 05:17 PM

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bearbearwong sorry today very busy. Now only got time to check out LYN. Pick up a lot of bargain today. Hope tomorrow is same like today then cbhsl thumbup.gif

I see you mention my name many times. Very rage with me ? tongue.gif

I am just pointing out your mistake lah. Hope other readers can "learn" NOT to do the same mistake.

If any of the 6 mistakes (plus a few mentioned by others) you think is not correct, post here lah. So we can "learn" from you...
Showtime747
post Dec 1 2014, 05:27 PM

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QUOTE(musteng @ Dec 1 2014, 05:20 PM)
My gf and i not even middle income people. We have no knowledge on property investment or share market this and that. We don't have such complicated mind on future property market.
And now we own 2 properties that we are affordable & very satisfied with that.
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Usually DDD think and analyse too much. Scared this scared that. While most people don't think or analyse too much. Buy when financially affordable and comfortable with the loan repayment. Don't time the market. Because we can never buy at the bottom and sell at the peak.

You are a good example for DDD people to learn from you thumbup.gif

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