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 Property Bubble Burst or Deflate ? V14 (发), Cherroy Most Forwarded Thread

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Showtime747
post Nov 25 2014, 11:22 AM

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QUOTE(icemanfx @ Nov 25 2014, 10:26 AM)

If one find the overloaded boat unlikely to survive stormy weather ahead, deboard at earlier port is not missing the boat.

The more the boat overloaded, the less likely it will survive the stormy weather ahead.
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People who board the boat 4-5 year ago already high and dry tongue.gif

They bought RM200k apartment now RM500k. It takes a 60% discount to reach back to just break even, not even loss.

60% crash in malaysia with this current economy ? In your dream....

Bro, you have missed the boat. Admit it tongue.gif
Showtime747
post Nov 25 2014, 11:28 AM

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QUOTE(Jen1 @ Nov 25 2014, 10:15 AM)
Can't resist dropping a few words here, hope you guys won't mind.

Just saw bbw's CCRIS, looks good!

After reading all the advices here, then only I realised I am at high risk, having committed all the following crimes:

1. High DSR 70%
2. 4k income buying 600+k property
3. No extra money or savings left every month

Too late for me to get off the boat. If sink gotta swim or get repo by bbw.

So bbw you are in much better shape than me, with your income double of mine, why are you still waiting?
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Can you still service the loan as long as you have a job ?

bearbear claim this and that. But from what he showed us,

1. he has no money to pay the deposits. He has only RM40k now.
2. His salary is only RM4k+ (he include millage claims which the bank don't consider). Not double of yours
3. He wants RM700k goodwill heights while the bank only approve loan for him to buy max RM400k property. So, he hope goodwill heights will drop price to RM400k when the market crash.

That is the reason why he is still waiting.
Showtime747
post Nov 25 2014, 11:33 AM

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QUOTE(ManutdGiggs @ Nov 25 2014, 11:28 AM)
Boss u forgotten the rental income, in case, just in case so happen the units r rented out.

Not to mentioned those join the party few yrs ago. Those has been in market for sibeh the long oledi laugh til need to spend money go c doc due to stomach pain. Laugh too much I guess.

Anw the above is just a joke. For fun nia. Dun take it siliosly hor.
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Ya rental income also increase for the past 4-5 years. More than enough to cover a <RM200k loan already.

Iceman and bearbear are very pessimistic guys. They only think of the negative side. They think too much. Like the chinese old saying "before go to war, they think of what to do if they lose". How to win like that ? doh.gif


Showtime747
post Nov 25 2014, 11:37 AM

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QUOTE(ManutdGiggs @ Nov 25 2014, 11:33 AM)
I oso hope char kuey teow is stil 1.50.
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Unless char kuey teow can defy gravity and economic theory, the price will drop back to long term equilibrium level. The hawker's cost is only RM1.00 per plate and they earn excessive profit of 400%-500%. The government will bulldoze the price for the sake of 70% of the rakyat who earn average RM3k pm
Showtime747
post Nov 25 2014, 11:57 AM

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QUOTE(Jen1 @ Nov 25 2014, 11:45 AM)
Really like your sharing, showtime747.
Yes, can service as long as my job is intact.
If job is gone, I think my reserves will last me another 1-2 years to buy time to sell the property.
High risk of ending up selling cheap2 to bbw? Hehehe...
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Unemployment in malaysia is not a problem with our current economy. And you have 1-2 years of reserves ! Impressive ! thumbup.gif Even if the property crash, it will recover. In long term, property price in malaysia is a linear upward trend.

Moreover, your salary will increase over the years, so your DSR will improve by the year. In another 1-2 years, I am sure you will consider buying another property

Of course, investment always is risky. Take some risk, you have good return. Take no risk ? Don't expect any good return <-- this one for bearbear and iceman


Showtime747
post Nov 25 2014, 12:38 PM

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QUOTE(icemanfx @ Nov 25 2014, 12:07 PM)
Provided they don't buy more recently else will be in a fix.

People chose to leave the boat is not missing the boat but abandoned voluntary. Are you jealous as you are stuck?
Few punters survived end of bull run, current punters in kV property is no exception.
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Property investment is a long term game. I am not speaking on behalf on those flippers who borrow 110%. They are high risk group, but they are the minority.

I have been in property investment for >20 years. The time when a DSL in KL area is <RM200k. Apartment & Condo only RM150k. Now it has appreciated to at least RM1m and RM600k respectively

My point is in property investment strategy, nobody can buy at the lowest point and exit at the highest point. It is actually a long term game. Buy when you are financially capable. Don't time the market. Yes, property price may drop, but if you have holding power, at the end, it is still profitable.

Eg. the DSL I bought for RM200k. It appreciated to RM500k at 1 point, then stagnant and drop back to RM400k+. Then for the past few years, it shoot up to RM1m. Property has its ups and downs. But eventually, the value will shoot up. It will not drop back to RM200k unless there is Nuclear World War 3.

Whereas you gambled a wrong strategy. You are too short term. You treated property investment as stock market. When you exited too early and took your RM200k and then wait for the crash. Crash didn't happen, and your property have appreciated to RM400k-RM500k. Too bad you missed the boat. You may interpret your case as getting off sinking ship. But from outsider point of view, you missed out RM200k-RM300k profit.

Bro, for all it is worth, take it as a lesson. Review your strategy in property investment. If you still have short term view in property market, you will be better off heading to the stock market. Property investment is not for you
Showtime747
post Nov 25 2014, 12:39 PM

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QUOTE(bearbearwong @ Nov 25 2014, 12:19 PM)
showtime747, whatever . more on mother in law, GF..
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As expected, you can't refute my points because they are facts and with substance thumbup.gif
Showtime747
post Nov 25 2014, 12:44 PM

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QUOTE(bearbearwong @ Nov 25 2014, 12:39 PM)
that joker is out already...refrain from this mind pollution session, this is how he educated his children... ask him to show proof where did I hope, mention 723k goodview to fall below 400k?

he will be silence, he physco already , working on assumptions, I never intended to put CCRIS one, there was one joker called JOlokia, he saw me write somewhere else that I bought car first, he immediately say I cant buy house coz got car loans bound

see, these are frivolous assumptions , many are in hallucinating stage... till assume me got car loan, CCRIS one slap, hide also cannot see face.. doh.gif

lucky I had one..this joker worse... made up facts.. Jolokia I boast got car , he assume car loan still got some link.. this joker made it out 723k goodview expected drop 400k..

proof lar
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So bearbear, initially you said you are buying in 2015. Then you say you want to delay to 2017. Then last few pages, you say you cannot wait ?

When are you buying actually ?
Showtime747
post Nov 25 2014, 12:50 PM

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QUOTE(bearbearwong @ Nov 25 2014, 12:41 PM)
made up facts got lar... where did I mention goodview 723k drop to 400k? show

20 years means no wrong? 20 years property crashed before what...

dis fella still dreaming property boom... already over..
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bearbear you are too pre-occupied with market crash. There are no major crash you wish to see before. Those commercial property suffer some price adjustment during 1997/98 currency crisis. But eventually was bailed out by Danaharta. Residential properties weren't affected much. Other than that period, there is no "property crash" happened before in malaysia. Google if you don't believe. You can't find much about it

You are still in school in 1990s ? So you are not aware of it. Don't get emotional.

Like I said so many times, identify what is your purpose of buying a property. You are buying your house for your family. Not for investment. Don't gamble on the timing. You and your family's future is at stake
Showtime747
post Nov 25 2014, 12:54 PM

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QUOTE(bearbearwong @ Nov 25 2014, 12:45 PM)
proof first.. where I say 730 goodview drop to 400k? U made up?

I recall looking for 10-20% discounts from asking price...
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bearbear, if you hold so strongly the market will start drop price in 2015, then you shouldn't buy in 2015. It will drop further because it takes crash to reach bottom in years. 2017 is a better year to buy for you

But that is just if your gamble is correct. If you bet wrongly, you will face more difficulty to buy in 2017. Price will be more expensive by 15%-30% (3 years). And most importantly your face got no where to hide. People will laugh at you.

Again, it is very important for you to know to buy your 1st house, don't time the market. You will be at the losing end no matter what...
Showtime747
post Nov 25 2014, 01:00 PM

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QUOTE(bearbearwong @ Nov 25 2014, 12:56 PM)
hallucinating... America, Singapore, China need not have neuclear war to crash in price..

this joker is mentioning 200k properties, few months ago he say wont touch such low value properties for rental.. if you hold 200k prop, giving advise to 500k & 700k that property are on UUU? Mad or what?

joker also says property price is not based on demand, based on how strong holding power is...
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I can see a lot of anger. Nowadays even weekdays bearbear is restless. Take care brother....we are here to have fun only.... thumbup.gif

I notice the more I mention my property, they more angry you are. Just like last time I showed my bank statement to you...
Showtime747
post Nov 25 2014, 01:07 PM

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QUOTE(bearbearwong @ Nov 25 2014, 01:01 PM)
whatever showtime747, I will let this unrebutted with point too, instead of mother in law & GF
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bearbear, at this point in time, you may find our comments sound very offensive to you. That is because our comments go against your wishes. Nobody seems to be on your side.

But in 10 years time, you will realise our comments are after all, not wrong. You will regret for not listening to our comments

I understand it is very difficult to listen to us now. Because you are in a spiralling vortex which is very hard to crawl out from. Only time can save you and make you understand property market. Good luck, bro ! thumbup.gif
Showtime747
post Nov 25 2014, 01:09 PM

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QUOTE(bearbearwong @ Nov 25 2014, 01:03 PM)
no worry, mention after GST maa... these ppl are trolling so hard for you to buy now instead after GST...
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bearbear, she bought already....people already go to another level. You are still running on the same spot...
Showtime747
post Nov 25 2014, 01:11 PM

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QUOTE(**** @ Nov 25 2014, 01:09 PM)
You are wasting your gas talking to the brick-fields graduate. 
Whatever we have been saying here is fact and already proven. Each of my parents bought 1 property when they were young. They just bought that for sake of owning a property. Now, both unit is worth 4 times they bought 20 years ago.

With that amount of cash they have in hands,can barely buy one unit only for now if they had not bought 20 years ago.

Even both of my parents always lament that salary increment
Will never catch up with the property price hike.
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I think I was replying to the student.

But bearbearwong replied tongue.gif
Showtime747
post Nov 25 2014, 02:39 PM

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QUOTE(icemanfx @ Nov 25 2014, 01:33 PM)

If you have over 20 years investment experience, you should know all bull run ended up in disaster.

Everyone has his own investment strategy. Unless you could proved your net worth is worth to emulate or could give profit guarantee, your investment strategy is just like another herd member.
I showed bearbear 1 of my bank accounts. But he still don't believe me. What good if I show you my portfolio ? You won't believe anyway.... tongue.gif



QUOTE(icemanfx @ Nov 25 2014, 01:33 PM)

To me, it is better to miss 100k additional profit than 100k in the red. As a student, i live a simple life, can i contented with what I made and have?
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If you don't intend to buy property, you won't be here. The fact that you are here, you are hoping for some assurance the price will crash

Just like if you don't intend to buy a ferrari, you won't go to their forum and talk about price drop tongue.gif

The sooner you admit you miss the boat, the better chance you can buy a property. The 5 stages of grief - acceptance of mistake is your solution, bro
Showtime747
post Nov 25 2014, 03:18 PM

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QUOTE(icemanfx @ Nov 25 2014, 02:47 PM)
Like in gold thread, as the herd dont listen to alternative opinion, I am here to study the herd behaviour.

Given property price crash is inevitable, prefer to wait for foreclosure sale.
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How come you study herb behaviour for so long one ? Your must have failed your exam repeatedly tongue.gif
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post Nov 25 2014, 03:22 PM

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QUOTE(bearbearwong @ Nov 25 2014, 03:09 PM)
4k? what is your intention? that is all I have.. you can go Semenyih there and troll

can't afford semenyih project leh
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Can lah bearbear....wait for the price to crash to RM400k then you can afford...
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post Nov 25 2014, 04:06 PM

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QUOTE(bearbearwong @ Nov 25 2014, 03:27 PM)
cc swiping amount to subprime? they approved wor.. loans how? not subprime? both approving system are from the same banks right?
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bearbear, never never never swipe credit card to buy house....You die very fast like that. The interest is 18% vs 4%+ for house loan.

If you have to swipe credit card to get the 10%, then you should not buy. You are not financially ready yet.

Buy something you can afford without credit card. I start to worry about your way to buy property. A bad example
Showtime747
post Nov 25 2014, 07:19 PM

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QUOTE(bearbearwong @ Nov 25 2014, 05:47 PM)
1-2 months after GST will see the effect... investors now still dun believe in property price drop , they will hang on, transaction few months pre GST would be a very good bench mark of market health especially demand...

if situation is still so screwed up like now, you can practically guess what is going to happen after GST... I mean the demands, to investors both strong , alleged strong, and weak, this is still investment, long holding not more than 5 years is detrimental..

agents also lazy post those more than 1 year..
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bearbear, even if price crash, if you have to use credit card for the down payment, you are not advisable to buy.

Your head too small. Don't wear big hat
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post Nov 25 2014, 07:21 PM

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QUOTE(Jliew168 @ Nov 25 2014, 05:51 PM)
I also swipe card buy property leh..just for the sake of cc point n I will pay full amount on the next day..
Too bad most developer only accept card for first 10% tongue.gif

I hope Bearbear swipe cc only for sake of cc point la not for cash advance or for installment
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Ya, if swipe for points, by all means. But bearbear is using credit card as deposit. That's how he come up with the RM200k. FD RM40k + CC RM50k + gf RM100k

He is stretching his financial. Formula for bankruptcy

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