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 USA Stock Discussion v6, Midterm Elections! U.S. Jobs Report!

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AVFAN
post Jun 22 2015, 10:59 PM

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QUOTE(Brother J @ Jun 22 2015, 08:52 PM)
I consider China stock as - "BUG stock". Neither do I have the appetite for it nor I would willing to spare my hard-earned cash risking on them.

Allow me to share you the truth behind this 10% plunge.
The VIPs investors group already got the warning and preparing to constantly dump the stocks two weeks ahead.

A common cantonese idioms to paint this entire Chinese stock picture ->
"死左都唔知咩事" (English - You won't even know what's going on even after your death)
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alright, thanks.

QUOTE(mikehwy @ Jun 22 2015, 09:58 PM)
latest ...

Malaysia foreign reserve is at 105b (only!). our scandal is 42b wor ...
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this is actually a small increase from 1-2 months ago, after a significant decline before that.

would be impt to watch may and june exports (and trade balance) as apr declined 8.8% yoy when everyone was expecting incr since "weak rm is good for exports". fitch is probably waiting for may data to confirm if their rating will change or not.

QUOTE(danmooncake @ Jun 22 2015, 08:46 PM)
Tonight got lots of grouper meals right at open.. so better get the rods and net ready to fish them out.
I think it may not last.  biggrin.gif
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i have a grouper in the net in 2 day old dwti but will wait for 59 oil, then reverse gear. tongue.gif

This post has been edited by AVFAN: Jun 22 2015, 11:05 PM
AVFAN
post Jun 22 2015, 11:33 PM

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QUOTE(mikehwy @ Jun 22 2015, 10:59 PM)
Emm? not as explosive as i would have thot. maybe showtime a wee bit later...into midnight show? else an early bed time for me.
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ok lor.... quite explosive. biggrin.gif

aapl, qqq, spy, xlv, all good gains.

even xle made gains with oil price flat.



finally...amba losing 16%... my platform showed a red sign - "shorting not allowed"! must have triggered something...?

This post has been edited by AVFAN: Jun 22 2015, 11:38 PM
AVFAN
post Jun 23 2015, 08:44 PM

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greece - the force is still strong with this one.

on the other hand, the $ bulls might take the stage tonite.

baby bull or big bear?

Fed's Powell sees conditions for rate liftoff as soon as September

oil under pressure, so will rm tmrw...
AVFAN
post Jun 23 2015, 10:12 PM

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QUOTE(mikehwy @ Jun 23 2015, 10:08 PM)
as at 4pm loacl time.

S$ - RM : sell 2.81 buy 2.791
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5pm till now:

usd gained 1.6% against euro, about 0.5% vs pound, sgd.

u can calc usd/rm...
AVFAN
post Jun 24 2015, 01:35 AM

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all "official" reports and comments i read say it will return to 3.50-3.60 by year end. sweat.gif

This post has been edited by AVFAN: Jun 24 2015, 01:35 AM
AVFAN
post Jun 24 2015, 10:48 PM

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QUOTE(Brother J @ Jun 24 2015, 09:43 PM)
That makes my unofficial-laymen-outsiders data analysis which show a high probability of hitting 3.82-3.95 on July insignificant. I like it when my data is wrong

wub.gif
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that is still very possible, by year end. tongue.gif

QUOTE(yok70 @ Jun 24 2015, 10:41 PM)
so bullish. no show. can watch tv already.  cool2.gif
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ya, i am surprised with the greek drama and other news, it's still bullish.

and the mighty fruit is running away today...
AVFAN
post Jun 24 2015, 10:56 PM

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QUOTE(danmooncake @ Jun 24 2015, 10:53 PM)
Back to XLE fish.. I can see it's growing into small grouper. haha!  Not bad at all!  rclxms.gif
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i been watching xle and ery for days now... biggrin.gif

was expecting one to wash out the other in a big way.

but no... both rangebound so tight, boring! laugh.gif

looks me me oil price (wti) will bounce around 60-62 for weeks to come.
AVFAN
post Jun 25 2015, 01:56 AM

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never ending yo-yo.... +1xx one day, -1xx the next.

oil looks like sticking around 60 again.

and yes, the fruit is the lone hero today.



tmrw may get explosive:

European officials set a Thursday deadline so Greece's parliament has time to pass any required reforms before the repayment is due.

This post has been edited by AVFAN: Jun 25 2015, 02:37 AM
AVFAN
post Jun 25 2015, 10:16 AM

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QUOTE(yok70 @ Jun 25 2015, 04:06 AM)
as expected, just said it yesterday, bear comes today. hopefully can be a "more" sustainable one this time. give me 8% correction can ah?  biggrin.gif
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with 8% correction and rm at 3.78, it's same as buying with no correction at 3.4-3.5. laugh.gif

really, with prices flat since jan, feels almost like a waste of time.... except for exchange rate effect...
AVFAN
post Jun 25 2015, 09:51 PM

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dicey, dicey...

Eurogroup meeting 'indefinitely' suspended, awaiting new Greek proposal: Report
AVFAN
post Jun 25 2015, 10:06 PM

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QUOTE(davidcch07 @ Jun 25 2015, 09:59 PM)
Got live? When finish hmm.gif
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live blog:
http://www.cnbc.com/id/102783602
AVFAN
post Jun 25 2015, 10:43 PM

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greek horror show over for the day.

QUOTE
That's it for today. Institutions and Greece to continue work. #Eurogroup back later, but not today.
Jun. 25, 2015ReplyRetweetFavorite

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5 minutes ago
Reuters now reporting that the next Eurogroup meeting is expected for Saturday morning.



i'll go watch my show. biggrin.gif
AVFAN
post Jun 26 2015, 10:02 AM

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QUOTE(danmooncake @ Jun 26 2015, 01:52 AM)
what? I was getting my popcorn ready.. oh well.
Maybe tomorrow.

I think market wants to puke..
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it did puke! biggrin.gif


i reversed gear on oil, so now joined you to cheer xle/erx and rest up tonite.

but being fri... things can get dicey again...
AVFAN
post Jun 26 2015, 10:49 AM

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QUOTE(jerrychoo2004 @ Jun 26 2015, 10:14 AM)
so any thoughts on this time puke? based on previous months....everytime puke for a few days....then the bull can erase the puke in just 1-2 days to regain all the lost ground hahhaa
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ya, the simple pattern has been down 2-3 times, then up 1-2 sessions.
that explains djia <1800, flat for year...
and oil seems to find support at 59.60.
my bet tonite - up. laugh.gif

with rm now at >3.76, costly to buy.
just trading with coins, catching ikan bilis... a grouper once in a while. biggrin.gif

This post has been edited by AVFAN: Jun 26 2015, 11:05 AM
AVFAN
post Jun 26 2015, 04:34 PM

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QUOTE(Brother J @ Jun 26 2015, 04:28 PM)
Glad I didn't invest hard-earned money into chinese stocks. Crazy it can be. -8% today the index, still overbought region.
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glad u reinforced my decision NOT to go in. biggrin.gif
AVFAN
post Jun 26 2015, 09:56 PM

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QUOTE(mikehwy @ Jun 26 2015, 09:49 PM)
strange, dax turning green as the pre opening future was red...? beggars greek becoming good by this saturday (last day for imf in asking for money back)?
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something else strange too...

djia +70, >1/2 my watchlist is red! sad.gif


oil is down n down... i lost my coins. laugh.gif

xle near 75 - big chance to buy if wanna buy...
AVFAN
post Jun 27 2015, 12:52 AM

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QUOTE(danmooncake @ Jun 27 2015, 12:43 AM)
I'll hold playing XLE but join the bears to attack China stocks is better.

Yesterday, China's aunties/uncles/taxi drivers and peanut sellers continue to puke blood on the streets.  brows.gif
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right, xle can hold, it'll come back.

china, my heart is faint. can't take 3x8% in one session... if there is something like that. sweat.gif
AVFAN
post Jun 27 2015, 12:54 AM

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QUOTE(yok70 @ Jun 27 2015, 12:52 AM)
finally, it's coming, my 75.... icon_rolleyes.gif
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better buy quick!

before it returns to 76.xx, and rm 3.80. it broke 3.78 earlier this evening.
AVFAN
post Jun 27 2015, 01:14 AM

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QUOTE(yok70 @ Jun 27 2015, 01:01 AM)
oil shares....i have no idea what to buy actually. As for the XLE, as i mentioned before, i still think the blue chips oil shares valuation are not that cheap. While small to mid cap fell 50% or more, they just fell 15-20%. I need more safety margin to bet on them.  hmm.gif

rm is damn weak, ya. too bad. otherwise i could have bought more hk shares.  shocking.gif
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xle is a composite of oil cos., oil service cos., gas infra, pipelines operators, etc.

it will not dive like say a drilling contractor and it won't rise that fast either against oil price.

that's why i keep xle and trade with erx/ery, 3x. tongue.gif

dan is right - xle has a lag with oil price movements, u have time to buy or sell if u track big oil price movements.



rm... i see 3.80 next week with the fitch thingy, 4.0 by year end. sweat.gif
AVFAN
post Jun 27 2015, 01:19 AM

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here we go...

uwti, uso moved up fast.

xle yet to move...

US oil rig count decline enters 8th month, down by 3: Baker Hughes

biggrin.gif
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