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 USA Stock Discussion v6, Midterm Elections! U.S. Jobs Report!

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AVFAN
post May 21 2015, 01:55 AM

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QUOTE(danmooncake @ May 21 2015, 01:02 AM)
ERX has the same holding info as XLE but they also use treasury swap to achieve the financial wizardry of 3x leverage.
They (the company Direxion) claims ERX will try to mimic the percentage move of Oil services sector (XLE) in 3 times percentage (either direction) for a single day. It reset itself the next day. It isn't 100% but close to it. Go ahead and track it for a couple of days and see if is true or not. Needs to be careful here if you want to play this.  The volume is low because it doesn't matter how many buyers or sellers, the machine simply creates these ETF on the fly and daily rebalance at the end of the day. There aren't a limited supply or demand..on these instruments. 

Also, the options for this leverage vehicle are quite juicy...  drool.gif  and  the margin requirement for ERX is kinda high too.. so check with your broker.  They may not allow you to short it but  you can use ERY (the bear side of ERX) instead.  nod.gif
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thanks for the details. good to know.

these highly leveraged counters, i am too chicken to try. biggrin.gif
AVFAN
post May 21 2015, 01:55 AM

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QUOTE(mikehwy @ May 21 2015, 01:33 AM)
nymex hitting.59 soon.
xle, give me 80! or more!
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cheers.gif
AVFAN
post May 21 2015, 02:07 AM

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QUOTE(danmooncake @ May 21 2015, 01:56 AM)
Waah.. am I seeing the birth of little groupers here??  drool.gif
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on steroids now, fed minutes just out.

looks like the bull's back!

This post has been edited by AVFAN: May 21 2015, 02:07 AM
AVFAN
post May 21 2015, 02:27 AM

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all green!

spy.. attempting 214? brows.gif

xle will pass 80. tongue.gif

can go to sleep now. biggrin.gif
AVFAN
post May 21 2015, 10:22 AM

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QUOTE(yok70 @ May 21 2015, 04:36 AM)
can't fight the bull at least in short term....bull is all around the world actually....i mean, US and China. well, others....stays as "others" only.  laugh.gif
however, Yellen recently kept reminding investors US stock market is expensive....she plans to call out the bears, it seems.... unsure.gif
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yeah, don't fight the bull, however small!
china pmi is not great but the news seems to be pushing oil prices up now.

QUOTE(Brother J @ May 21 2015, 04:26 AM)
The real bear force will commense if ES 2110 is being taken out but again we have auntie Yellen to save the market  again this Friday at 1pm CST  tongue.gif
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right, auntie so far has never failed there! laugh.gif
AVFAN
post May 21 2015, 10:06 PM

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QUOTE(mikehwy @ May 21 2015, 09:38 PM)
looks an uneventful early evening with flat data such as unemp claims +10k ....
caught my little sune ikan kicit.
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existing homes sales below expectations + plus jobless incr a bit = delayed rate hike.

add oil price nearing 60 due to iraq.

BULL. laugh.gif


AVFAN
post May 21 2015, 10:24 PM

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QUOTE(mikehwy @ May 21 2015, 10:13 PM)
strange 2- sided debate about rate hike. when data are poor, delayed rate hike and many shout 'bull'!
but the pessimists argue that poor data signal poor economy and these people shout 'bear' !
i think it all depends on their calls > up or down.
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i dunno about the rest, but i do see this behavior - if data is not too good, it is reasonable to expect a delay in rate hike. so, bull.
if the data is too good, rate hike is see to be accelerated, bears will take over.
if data is way too bad, we can be sure it will be 3 big bad bears!
so, stock investors are always looking for the goldilocks zone to cry bull.

the thing is there has been so much qe, rates low over extended time, yet bond yields rising - the fed knows this can't go on forever, recipe for big disaster. they have to hike rates before they run out of options. say, if the economic data is bad, one after another, that's the time to be very afraid - int rates already low, can't do more qe - backs against the wall, nowhere to hide, everyone will run for cover! biggrin.gif

This post has been edited by AVFAN: May 21 2015, 10:45 PM
AVFAN
post May 21 2015, 10:36 PM

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ooo... oil shooting up...
http://www.cnbc.com/id/102696579

xle +1%, oih +2.x%...

groupers arrived! rclxms.gif
AVFAN
post May 21 2015, 11:09 PM

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all the gains are in oil, tech and s&p500, pretty handsome!

the mighty fruit is back! biggrin.gif

dow is flat. maybe catch up later...?
AVFAN
post May 22 2015, 01:46 AM

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about rm, besides oil price, watch bursa's foreign inflow/outflow as well as the developing 1mdb saga. there was quite a selloff today.

http://www.theedgemarkets.com/my/article/k...l-1mdb-concerns

http://www.thestar.com.my/Business/Busines...ursa/?style=biz

This post has been edited by AVFAN: May 22 2015, 01:55 AM
AVFAN
post May 22 2015, 10:56 AM

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tonite will be fun - yellen speaks, inflation data, 3 day holiday ahead.



i like this. wub.gif
QUOTE
Morgan Stanley explains why Apple could rise 50%
http://www.cnbc.com/id/102698349

AVFAN
post May 22 2015, 11:30 AM

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QUOTE(Brother J @ May 22 2015, 11:27 AM)
Market profile indicates the market is ready for another new all time high ahead of long weekends. Seeing the poor double-distribution structure from two days ago were being repaired last night.

God helps the Bears  icon_question.gif
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that's good to know!

u still bear? biggrin.gif
AVFAN
post May 22 2015, 11:54 AM

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QUOTE(Brother J @ May 22 2015, 11:42 AM)
Hedging is no fun, it's literally slapping your face on the left while sayang-ing the other side of your face. No wonder those hedge fund managers out there take drugs and having big fun with prosti-X.
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laugh.gif
AVFAN
post May 22 2015, 12:02 PM

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QUOTE(yok70 @ May 22 2015, 01:34 AM)
my target of 3.55 almost hit in past 2 weeks, should have bought some USD that time, then only wish/hope for more to come, perhaps 3.40-3.45. If USD rebound to breakout 3.70, most likely gotta wait much longer to get good deal.  unsure.gif
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something to share with u since i think u use cimb like i do.
i recently took profits with sg stocks. cimb allows direct sgd->usd to pay so it's not bad since sgd has been holding up well.

btw, for mid/long term hold, i'll buy if the price is attractive paying little attention to fx.
selling and needing the rm for expense, that's when fx is impt.
for trading, fx doesn't matter - but that's not with cimb but some other broker.


AVFAN
post May 22 2015, 01:22 PM

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QUOTE(mikehwy @ May 22 2015, 12:16 PM)
i deposit rm into usd at hlib by using its foreign trade acc facility. so i have been using my 'foreign' money at dows when necessary. still waiting for rm to be bit lower for more rm-usd deposit.
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makes sense to convert rm->usd when rm strong.
but the drawback is keeping usd in trust in local banks earn no interest.
keeping in rm in trust earns 2-3% p.a., i believe.

can't have it both ways... best fx and int bearing.

me, i rather not let fx bother me too much when i want to buy at right usd price. biggrin.gif
fx is not something we can control...
AVFAN
post May 22 2015, 05:34 PM

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QUOTE(yok70 @ May 22 2015, 04:08 PM)
thanks for sharing. Not sure if hkd<->usd got this feature or not. I only trade these two at the moment.
however, since i am still in the process of transferring my RM stocks into HK/US stocks (aka foreign currency asset in a way), strong RM is my major concern. LOL. Still long way to go. Now at 4:6  (FF:Local), target at 6:4 or 7:3  laugh.gif
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I think can, with any currency pair.
But as you said, that is not much use if u want to sell RM.
I was 1:1 for a long time, now 4:1.
AVFAN
post May 22 2015, 08:18 PM

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QUOTE(mikehwy @ May 22 2015, 12:16 PM)
i deposit rm into usd at hlib by using its foreign trade acc facility. so i have been using my 'foreign' money at dows when necessary. still waiting for rm to be bit lower for more rm-usd deposit.
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u gotta read these:
http://www.fundsupermart.com.my/main/resea...?articleNo=5873
http://www.bloombergtv.my/video/malaysia-c...itch-colquhoun/

This post has been edited by AVFAN: May 22 2015, 08:50 PM
AVFAN
post May 22 2015, 10:16 PM

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quiet, slow...

there is the mighty fruit, again! rclxms.gif

oil looks edgy...

better go watch a movie come back later...
AVFAN
post May 23 2015, 01:37 AM

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yellen spoke, small losses pared, nothing else happened.

think can sleep early... biggrin.gif
AVFAN
post May 25 2015, 07:21 PM

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QUOTE(danmooncake @ May 22 2015, 01:24 AM)
No wait.. one more round of touching 1USD = RM3.70, let me buy more Ringgit first, then Ringgit can go up.

We need more US rates hike fear, or 1MDB debt bursting fear stories to cause more Msian bond rates to go up or Ringgit to fall first.  brows.gif
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us markets closed tonite.

but be aware the $ is in vogue again- rm3.616/usd today closing.

buy RM or USD now, buy later...? biggrin.gif

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