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 USA Stock Discussion v6, Midterm Elections! U.S. Jobs Report!

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AVFAN
post May 8 2015, 10:11 PM

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QUOTE(danmooncake @ May 8 2015, 10:09 PM)
Frack!!  mad.gif  I'm dumping 'em as soon as this short covering rally is over for the general market.

I think bigger correction is coming.
*
oil/energy is getting very touchy. sweat.gif

i try not to hold too much; fast trading still manageable.
AVFAN
post May 8 2015, 10:13 PM

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QUOTE(mikehwy @ May 8 2015, 10:12 PM)
yes. oil tiring. got out with 1% profit before brokerage  rclxub.gif
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bro, if 1% brokerage, better stay away.
$1 ok. laugh.gif
AVFAN
post May 9 2015, 01:06 AM

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QUOTE(mikehwy @ May 8 2015, 10:20 PM)
i am using local HL Investment Bank. very heavy brokerage at 0.75 for 2 ways. That is why i usually stay aside, unless i lplan to hold it. thanks
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right, ok for holding only. i do the same.
trading, need something else.

QUOTE(danmooncake @ May 8 2015, 10:09 PM)
Frack!!  mad.gif  I'm dumping 'em as soon as this short covering rally is over for the general market.

I think bigger correction is coming.
*
turns out all sectors good.

everything on my screen is 1.5%-2.5% green.

next week, probably roller coaster once again. biggrin.gif

have a good weekend!
AVFAN
post May 11 2015, 06:32 PM

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QUOTE(oneeleven @ May 11 2015, 12:13 AM)
Has there been any charting to show if a big up Friday, then down Monday?
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u looking for big gap down? biggrin.gif

it can happen anytime, juts be around n not "sell in may n go away"! laugh.gif

tonite...looks flat/dip... at least for opening.

oil flat, greece defiant... probably "boring".
AVFAN
post May 11 2015, 11:02 PM

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QUOTE(mikehwy @ May 11 2015, 10:55 PM)
flat flat flat evening. no fumes nor fire and no good news. just another hour can head to bed. Kaboom, sleep early right?
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i'm going to watch a tv show, come back later... maybe caught ikan bilis. laugh.gif
AVFAN
post May 12 2015, 12:44 AM

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yep, looks like even ikan bilis hard to catch. biggrin.gif

it is noticeable that major etf's have been pretty flat in recent months:
QUOTE
What caused ETF flows to hit 16-month lows?
http://www.cnbc.com/id/102667597

AVFAN
post May 12 2015, 10:05 AM

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QUOTE(mikehwy @ May 12 2015, 12:48 AM)
just heard in US there is huge selloff in treasury. so higher yields due to lower market price. Good or Bad in near term. anyone?
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the way i understand it, recovering commodity prices particularly oil takes the pressure off deflation fears.
hence investors dump bonds/fixed income to go elsewhere causing prices to fall and yields to spike.
but the money have not gone into stocks as per great rotation theory - bond prices go down, stock prices go up.
there is strong indication that a lot of that money has moved into european equities incl dax, emerging markets equities like china and risky debt in countries like nigeria, brazil, etc.
that is consistent with us markets not gaining so far this year with etf flows lowest in 16 months.

the pertinent question is do we expect the great rotation to arrive in us equities soon? in the middle of a rate hike scenario which looks increasing going to be delayed?

keep in mind that due to qe's and more qe's , there is a lot of cash around. with equities possibly at full or near full values against their income and a strengthening usd, the risks are real.

but, my bet...yes, keep buying us stocks! laugh.gif

these may be helpful:
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/videos/2015-...-t-happened-yet
http://www.cnbc.com/id/102658879

This post has been edited by AVFAN: May 12 2015, 10:11 AM
AVFAN
post May 12 2015, 05:15 PM

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as expected, roller coaster every week! biggrin.gif


but... if no volatility, no fun. tongue.gif
AVFAN
post May 12 2015, 10:51 PM

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poor opening. so, went to watch a tv show.

came back, expecting to catch ikan bilis but caught a small lobster instead.

can do. laugh.gif

This post has been edited by AVFAN: May 12 2015, 10:51 PM
AVFAN
post May 12 2015, 11:11 PM

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i actually think it'll go green later! biggrin.gif

oil looks like moving up and up albeit slowly.

energy or oil stock holders, cheers.gif
AVFAN
post May 12 2015, 11:50 PM

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QUOTE(danmooncake @ May 12 2015, 11:32 PM)
As long as general market hold up here...  I think it's will hold at $80... (hopefully, double bottom)
up 60c now but still got long day.
*
u might get $1 gain today!

Crude extends gains after OPEC raises demand forecast
http://www.cnbc.com/id/102669381
AVFAN
post May 13 2015, 12:08 AM

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QUOTE(danmooncake @ May 12 2015, 11:55 PM)
Going to hold till I see it make another attempt at breaking up above $82 or touching $83.
My calls now are moving up nicely.. too.
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with recent oil prices yo-yo but on way up, all energy n oil stocks make good trading stocks, even intraday! biggrin.gif

i have been trading a couple of them, hence the ikan bilis. laugh.gif


AVFAN
post May 13 2015, 09:30 AM

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QUOTE(Brother J @ May 13 2015, 04:57 AM)
Stock rallied when bonds rallied: proportional instead of inverse correlation compare to the past, what could go wrong?
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a temp blip, the great rotation is about to begin. laugh.gif

QUOTE(danmooncake @ May 13 2015, 06:59 AM)
Well, starting at ikan bilis.. first... but one day, it can turn into Blue Fin Tuna that will be worth $1 mln USD.  biggrin.gif
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start with anchovies, hopefully grouper later. will be happy enough to finish with cod.
blue fin... too far away, can't even smell it. biggrin.gif
AVFAN
post May 13 2015, 04:31 PM

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good read about current bond meltdown:
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/201...hat-explain-why

oil up, futures up, eu up.

bull! tongue.gif
AVFAN
post May 13 2015, 10:04 PM

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baby bull.

still, caught a grouper, good for dinner. biggrin.gif
AVFAN
post May 13 2015, 10:17 PM

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oil price is holding but i see oil stocks retreating... hmm.gif
AVFAN
post May 13 2015, 10:47 PM

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QUOTE(mikehwy @ May 13 2015, 10:35 PM)
latest...

crude oil weekly inventories drops by 2.19m barrels.
other gases also drops over 2m ....
*
but oil prices fell at the news! biggrin.gif

will watch a bit more n see if worth jumping in... laugh.gif
AVFAN
post May 13 2015, 11:29 PM

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i was watching oil for last 2 hrs. see oil price n stocks yo-yo... red-green-red-green. managed to buy a tiny bit, the prices were jumping all over too quick. definitely going to be ikan bilis. laugh.gif

ok, i better go catch a tv show, come back later... biggrin.gif
AVFAN
post May 14 2015, 12:52 AM

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QUOTE(danmooncake @ May 14 2015, 12:30 AM)
My eyes are playing tricks on me...  that grouper turns out to be still ikan bilis.  cry.gif
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my grouper already in the freezer.

the ikan bilis... now looking like 2 ikan billis. laugh.gif
AVFAN
post May 14 2015, 02:47 AM

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despite lower stocks, oil's down becos of profit taking and recognition of a still over supply situation - cnbc.

my 2 ikan bilis now is back to 1. biggrin.gif

ok, gotta call it a night. fight again tmrw. biggrin.gif

g'nite.

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