1. RM18m is only the finished stock. There is a balance RM187m WIP coming on stream. How much of these are "sold" ? I couldn't find any disclosure in the annual report and quarterly announcement. Especially the main on-going GVH is a build first and sell later project, so the stock amount could be very significant.
That could be the reason why they must get the sales going, otherwise they will be stuck with a huge amount in unsold units in the coming months/year
2. Of the RM305m cash as at 31/3/2016, RM63m is under HDA account. So the free cash is actually RM242m. Let's take RM42m out for the daily operational cashflow. They are left with RM200m. That is not really a huge amount for a property development company especially for a company with not much land bank (see below #3)
With only cash in hand of RM200m, SHL can forget about acquiring large parcel of land bank in Cheras area. Let's talk about Kajang and Semenyih area. Setia in 2011 acquired the SEH land in Semenyih for around RM566k per acre. How much is land price now in 2016 ? Let's say RM800k/acre. With RM200m cash (assuming without borrowing), they can only potentially add 250 acres of land and their cash is dried up. Bear in mind smaller plot of land is much more expensive than a big piece of land.
To put into perspective, Setia's land bank in Semenyih is about 1,600 acres, and for EcoWorld, their land bank in Semenyih is about 1,500 acres
SHL in comparison, is only a medium size developer which is very geographically focused.
3. What is the current land bank for SHL ? The biggest piece is the on-going GVH. Beyond that, they only have only 2 pieces of land above 15 acres (in Batang Kali and Kuala Pilah). Other than that, left are only 4-5 small pieces of land around 10 acres each
After these land banks are depleted, perhaps they have to eye on their golf course land in Sg Long. It is only a matter of time they have no choice but to buy out the existing club members so they can continue to survive in property development business
1. The current asset of trade receivables (item 10.4) can somehow reflect the sales performance (exclude the unbilled sales) because it indicates the billing for the property. It reduces from RM 44 million in Mac to RM 38 million in June, billing as receivables apparently reduced. If compare to 2015 audited account, billing receivable is amounting to RM 114 million, which I believe majority is contributed by the sale Cassia East of GVH.
2&3. The strong point for SHL in managing the cash flow is they very seldom to do borrowing/loan to finance the project. This move would be able to assist the company to be resilient to any potential economy crisis but at the same time also reduces the expansion/development of the company in a good progressive pace. Currently the land held for development value for SHL is only about RM 4 million, clearly indicates that their land bank for development is already exhausted and they may need to replenish the land bank for subsequent development. In order to do that, they have to clear the stocks in hand so that can move on to other project using the profit/cash they earn from GVH.
I think there is pointless to compare SHL with SP Setia as they are totally in different league. SP Setia land bank value that held for development is exceeding RM 5.5 billion currently.. 4 million vs 5.5 billion, how to compare?