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 Goodview Height @ Semenyih, New launch from SHL

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samkps
post Sep 13 2016, 04:41 PM

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QUOTE(daniel125 @ Sep 13 2016, 03:28 PM)
Unlikely for dev to inform their buyers that price will goes down bah. If that's the case everyone will just wait and no one will be buying from the dev as they dont want to be the idiot for buying the same product at a premium price  hmm.gif
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If not, then it is no more willing buyer and willing seller, don't you think so? hmm.gif
samkps
post Sep 13 2016, 06:32 PM

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QUOTE(Neoh1979 @ Sep 13 2016, 06:16 PM)
it's quite common to see dev to give disc to offload unsold units due to certain conditions. That's basically what all the dev are doing now, it's hard to hold on. But they cannot simply drop the discounts for no reason. We also don't have proof that they did, unless we can find buyers who show that they bought diff prices within certain months. Like the forummer xin said the disc was given based on the unfavorable units. So it makes sense. If they drop price just to get rid of it, then it will spoilt the market....dont think they are so stupid.
Also don't get into gvh for flipping coz it doesn't work, the bns concept also attractive  to buyers coz there's no progressive payment and u can view ur own house. u need to be here for long term...otherwise u look deeper to semenyih beranang.
However, SHL shld add more value by putting more commercial, access points, flyover etc. They are slow in this area, unlike seh and em already started the infrastructures...
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Can you name a few projects that developer give additional discount to offload unsold units while the early purchasers can accept it without any complaint? hmm.gif

As been mentioned by other forummer, initially all sold with same price (no discount), only after developer cannot sell the unit, then only give discount with some unreasonable justifications.

This post has been edited by samkps: Sep 13 2016, 06:34 PM
samkps
post Sep 15 2016, 09:06 AM

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QUOTE(Neoh1979 @ Sep 15 2016, 08:04 AM)
Like i said u never did your homework. Dont work ard the discussion. Q is are u a victim ?
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Can you share the homework you have done so that we understand further?

I believe the shortcomings that have been shared here are factual and something really happened in GVH. It is something worth to be discuss, regardless you are current/prospective purchasers or victim or whosoever.
samkps
post Sep 16 2016, 12:37 PM

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QUOTE(Palmwalker001 @ Sep 16 2016, 10:16 AM)
To acquire land bank can be through cash, bank borrowing, right issue of shares, debentures or combination of all, no need just cash alone.  Ecoworld very good on this method.
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I doubt SHL will do so. SHL is a very conservative company and dun want/dun dare to take risk on loan/borrowing to expand their land bank or for development. They just want to do the project based on own saving/cash on hand. This is clearly reflected in GVH development. You can check SHL 2015 annual report, the cash/saving reduced by almost RM 100 million, which is believed to be used for pushing the development of GVH.

The current asset for land value that held for development for SHL is only about RM 4million, which looks to me is a very pathetic value for a developer company listed in Bursa. sweat.gif

This post has been edited by samkps: Sep 16 2016, 12:40 PM


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samkps
post Sep 16 2016, 01:00 PM

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QUOTE(Showtime747 @ Sep 16 2016, 01:36 AM)
1. RM18m is only the finished stock. There is a balance RM187m WIP coming on stream. How much of these are "sold" ? I couldn't find any disclosure in the annual report and quarterly announcement. Especially the main on-going GVH is a build first and sell later project, so the stock amount could be very significant.

That could be the reason why they must get the sales going, otherwise they will be stuck with a huge amount in unsold units in the coming months/year
2. Of the RM305m cash as at 31/3/2016, RM63m is under HDA account. So the free cash is actually RM242m. Let's take RM42m out for the daily operational cashflow. They are left with RM200m. That is not really a huge amount for a property development company especially for a company with not much land bank (see below #3)

With only cash in hand of RM200m, SHL can forget about acquiring large parcel of land bank in Cheras area. Let's talk about Kajang and Semenyih area. Setia in 2011 acquired the SEH land in Semenyih for around RM566k per acre. How much is land price now in 2016 ? Let's say RM800k/acre. With RM200m cash (assuming without borrowing), they can only potentially add 250 acres of land and their cash is dried up. Bear in mind smaller plot of land is much more expensive than a big piece of land.

To put into perspective, Setia's land bank in Semenyih is about 1,600 acres, and for EcoWorld, their land bank in Semenyih is about 1,500 acres

SHL in comparison, is only a medium size developer which is very geographically focused.
3. What is the current land bank for SHL ? The biggest piece is the on-going GVH. Beyond that, they only have only 2 pieces of land above 15 acres (in Batang Kali and Kuala Pilah). Other than that, left are only 4-5 small pieces of land around 10 acres each

After these land banks are depleted, perhaps they have to eye on their golf course land in Sg Long. It is only a matter of time they have no choice but to buy out the existing club members so they can continue to survive in property development business
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1. The current asset of trade receivables (item 10.4) can somehow reflect the sales performance (exclude the unbilled sales) because it indicates the billing for the property. It reduces from RM 44 million in Mac to RM 38 million in June, billing as receivables apparently reduced. If compare to 2015 audited account, billing receivable is amounting to RM 114 million, which I believe majority is contributed by the sale Cassia East of GVH.

2&3. The strong point for SHL in managing the cash flow is they very seldom to do borrowing/loan to finance the project. This move would be able to assist the company to be resilient to any potential economy crisis but at the same time also reduces the expansion/development of the company in a good progressive pace. Currently the land held for development value for SHL is only about RM 4 million, clearly indicates that their land bank for development is already exhausted and they may need to replenish the land bank for subsequent development. In order to do that, they have to clear the stocks in hand so that can move on to other project using the profit/cash they earn from GVH.

I think there is pointless to compare SHL with SP Setia as they are totally in different league. SP Setia land bank value that held for development is exceeding RM 5.5 billion currently.. 4 million vs 5.5 billion, how to compare? sweat.gif

This post has been edited by samkps: Sep 16 2016, 01:11 PM
samkps
post Sep 16 2016, 01:04 PM

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QUOTE(Neoh1979 @ Sep 16 2016, 11:36 AM)
He is good in reading financial statements doesn't mean he is a good investor ...those more successful ppl is those who are more daring, take risk and an eye for an opportunity . Not just like to talk bad again n again smile.gif
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Lol... It looks to me SHL is very conservative and not a dare to take risk company woh... So are they successful or not? biggrin.gif

This post has been edited by samkps: Sep 16 2016, 01:09 PM
samkps
post Sep 17 2016, 11:48 AM

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QUOTE(Showtime747 @ Sep 16 2016, 02:08 PM)
Bro, they have more than RM4m in land bank. Their land is classified under different headings.

GVH is 100+ acres and still on-going. Then Batang Kali and Kuala Pilah is ~80 acre and ~100 acre (either or). Then with 4-5 pieces of land 7-12 acre each in Kajang/Semenyih/Sepang maybe they can build some highrise. The golf course is also 100+ acre (this one is valuable). And also the Sepang brick factory land may also be developed in the future, but that is kinda far away

Ya, perhaps I shouldn't compare against SP Setia. But I was making the point that a property development company need land banks to be sustainable like you said. And also a company with RM300m cash can still throw prices to clear stock because finished stock is a cost to a company. Rather hold cash and ready to buy more land for future development
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Bro, what I meant the RM 4 mil plus land bank held is those under development and not those for future development.

The land for their office, commercial, club house, or for future development of course not only RM4mil+, but the land currently under development now is almost exhausted. That's mean SHL is stuck with current limited land for development and they must clear their stock as soon as possible so that can use the profit/cash earn to move on to other new project.

For other project either they want to use back the land bank currently on their hand or look for another new land, then it is up to the SHL consideration and discretion.

This post has been edited by samkps: Sep 17 2016, 12:10 PM
samkps
post Sep 17 2016, 12:10 PM

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QUOTE(Palmwalker001 @ Sep 16 2016, 06:36 PM)
Apart from RM4m their land bank was in PPE  RM190m, property development cost RM213m n inventory RM13m

Total value about RM424m

The reduction of cash in 2015 was due to increase in inventory
n property development costs as well as dividend RM46m paid to shareholders quite generous from investor's point of view.

It is shame for Shl not use the debt financing and equity financing for land bank acquisition given its strong balance sheet and PLC status😭
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Inventory for 2015 just slightly increased from RM 10m to RM 13mil, but the cash is reduced by almost 100 million. I believe the money has been used for GVH development and not for inventory.

Dividends is part of the profit that management distribute back to the shareholder, not from the cash in banks. It depends on the generosity of the board or else the profit will be included in the equity reserve anyway. As a matter of fact, if SHL didn't throw price on their unit, there maybe more dividend shall be given to the shareholder anyway.

From the past experience, instead feeling shameful, SHL actually feeling very proud for not take financing and loan from the bank, either for their land bank or project development, no? hmm.gif

This post has been edited by samkps: Sep 17 2016, 12:33 PM
samkps
post Sep 17 2016, 12:15 PM

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QUOTE(Showtime747 @ Sep 17 2016, 11:15 AM)
Setia alam has much better location. Its in Shah Alam, between PJ and Klang. A lot of population sandwich the place

Semenyih is just a small town. Need another 10 years to grow.
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Erm, then how about Bandar Mahkota Cheras and Bandar Sungai Long? Because sandwitch between Cheras and Kajang? If that's the case Balakong property price should be much better than BMC and Sungai Long? hmm.gif
samkps
post Sep 17 2016, 12:16 PM

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QUOTE(bearbearwong @ Sep 17 2016, 09:46 AM)
I tink u are getting d wrong facts... my family is poor nth to give or etc..

And please confine to topic.. and spare d GVH threads owners .. clearly they bought for ownstay.. EM&SEH flip..showtime747.. u .. and etc never buy any oso in EM &SEH..samkps has secret with me..
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Bear... I dun have any secret relationship with you woh.... laugh.gif laugh.gif


samkps
post Sep 17 2016, 01:26 PM

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QUOTE(Showtime747 @ Sep 17 2016, 01:07 PM)
That is just accounting classification. You can download their annual report and in the last few pages, they list down their land bank

Just a double entry to reclassify
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Yeah, that's why land bank for future development normally categorized under Property, Plant and Equipment category in the spreadsheet and only the land under development is categorized to Land held for development, which can be transferred to project development cost assets depending on the stage of development, no?

It is stated in their annual report clearly.

This post has been edited by samkps: Sep 17 2016, 01:50 PM
samkps
post Sep 17 2016, 01:31 PM

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QUOTE(Showtime747 @ Sep 17 2016, 01:10 PM)
Compare to PJ, Subang, Shah Alam, these area are still lagging behind

In terms of capital appreciation and ease of tenancy, Semenyih will not be as good.

Just my opinion. Nothing set in stone
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Indeed, Semenyih is still lagging behind and currently on the proper stage of development.

Nonetheless it gives a comfortable entry price which might generate more room for appreciation and development if compared to matured areas, opportunity is always there.

My 2 cents.
samkps
post Sep 17 2016, 02:15 PM

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QUOTE(wl_n @ Sep 16 2016, 11:03 PM)
GVH commie no chance to survive if solely depending on consumer fr GVH alone. Current occupancy is very low. Very pathetic.
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Developer promised upgrade connectivity by providing two alternative roads for commuting, until today still janji kosong, what else can be expected? sweat.gif
samkps
post Sep 17 2016, 02:43 PM

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QUOTE(NagaViper @ Sep 17 2016, 02:20 PM)
Showtime747 has his point as Shah Alam & Klang has huge verity of facilities & amenities.

Eg. Many big/mid/small corp office & factory is there, not forgetting lots of malls.

MC & SL more of residential & small business.
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Indeed, Shah Alam & Klang already can considered as matured areas with many amenities. However, MC and SL still can grow until today stage and more and more amenities going on there. Property appreciation in these 2 areas also very decent as a function of time. It proves that not only an area must be sandwiched between 2 big mature cities then only can grow.

This post has been edited by samkps: Sep 17 2016, 02:44 PM
samkps
post Sep 17 2016, 02:47 PM

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QUOTE(NagaViper @ Sep 17 2016, 02:25 PM)
Why would the other developers wanna let SHL GVH Ong by allowing them to access to their facilities ?

If i were them I'll do the same, unless SHL willing to pay a fortune. . Lol
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SHL made the promise in their marketing material by relying other developer to build the access? shocking.gif shocking.gif
samkps
post Sep 17 2016, 02:49 PM

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QUOTE(Neoh1979 @ Sep 17 2016, 02:38 PM)
the road has been tarred and it's matter of time that they open...will snap some pics to share soon. The current access point will not work...they will definately open it thru kj perdana.
Better if shl provide fly over...but they didn't promised that though
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Heard the same about half years ago, so need to wait another 6 months again?

Shall SHL open only one or two access roads?
samkps
post Sep 17 2016, 02:54 PM

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QUOTE(JPSB @ Sep 17 2016, 02:29 PM)
Actually, some developers try their luck to do something in Balakong now. If you travel from Mines till AEON, left right has new commercial projects & service apartment. Hap Seng Land will have the Condo opposite their Masilly showroom soon.

However, Balakong by default is an Industrial area, a bit susah to promote residential. nearest is Hussien Onn which more or less fully built.

Sg Long BMC Twin Palm probably is the nearest township which can be developed further. With SILK & up-coming new h/way. these 3 areas should be a good potential.

my half cent opinion.
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You mentioned the key point here, BMC & Sungai Long probably the nearest township which can be developed further.

What will happen if BMC & Sungai Long also running out of land for another township development? Developers won't stop there, and that's what happening to Semenyih now.


samkps
post Sep 17 2016, 03:03 PM

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QUOTE(Neoh1979 @ Sep 17 2016, 02:57 PM)
Is that so....then need to check with them again ...will get the progress and photos
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Purchaser should ask an actual date lah, otherwise need to drag till dunno how many years later. sweat.gif sweat.gif
samkps
post Sep 17 2016, 03:20 PM

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QUOTE(JPSB @ Sep 17 2016, 03:09 PM)
SHL still hv last card in Sg Long. Convert the golf course. If ever they do that, the new property should be above RM1.5M min. Again my own opinion only.

BMC, it will be further deep inside which will be close to the new h/way. Vantage new prices are quite steep for its superlink.

Twin Palm still hv some area to develop i believed. Last but not the least, BRDB project in Sg Long, it is on-hold or KIV now? if BRDB start in Sg Long, i think the whole area will hv different perception.
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From what I can see, those are pocketed development scattered here and there, rather a township development, no?
samkps
post Sep 17 2016, 08:48 PM

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QUOTE(NagaViper @ Sep 17 2016, 08:44 PM)
Soon !

No dateline no estimate time frame.

If it is so easy by just removing the road block I am sure it aleady open in day 1.

As without the access road GVH turn many potential buyer away.

Never seen a property with total zero amenities. . Lol

Maybe just maybe lah (my guess) the other developers asking for something SHL not willing to spends... wink.gif
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That's bad, without confirmation already so dare to put in printed marketing material... sweat.gif sweat.gif

This post has been edited by samkps: Sep 17 2016, 08:48 PM

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