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 Bursa Traders V5

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gspirit01
post May 13 2014, 02:43 PM

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..

This post has been edited by gspirit01: May 13 2014, 02:45 PM
gspirit01
post May 13 2014, 02:43 PM

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.double post.

This post has been edited by gspirit01: May 13 2014, 02:44 PM
TSBoon3
post May 13 2014, 02:44 PM

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QUOTE(gspirit01 @ May 13 2014, 02:42 PM)
Chart can be misleading, especially the last one.

Altho it show big fluctuations, but if u look carefully, the difference is only 20 cents in 7 months.  Btw, the big long white candle is probably a fund buying.
Excellent point. smile.gif



spring onion
post May 13 2014, 02:50 PM

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QUOTE(Boon3 @ May 13 2014, 02:33 PM)
» Click to show Spoiler - click again to hide... «
exactly. stagnant 2.10 to 1.50 to 1.60, i'm sure francis have to do something about it. and the time is about now :/ call me a speculator but i would like to think this way

worth a buy? with the current divvy yeild is around 2% doh.gif while the growth of company is really really stagnant. so i really don't know. from a TA point of view, probably will buy if a breakout from 1.70 is seen

currently mid cap and small cap stocks not gaining any investor sight, holding this little so called "gem" might worth the investment

however i don't know what are they going to do with the 12 bil doh.gif

This post has been edited by spring onion: May 13 2014, 03:00 PM
spring onion
post May 13 2014, 02:52 PM

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QUOTE(Boon3 @ May 13 2014, 02:40 PM)
Let me dig out some stuff for you to study....

go see if you want to do some fake trading in it. tongue.gif
give ma an hour or so...
*
okay... can show me the method of your 555 book recording also? tongue.gif
TSBoon3
post May 13 2014, 03:06 PM

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QUOTE(spring onion @ May 13 2014, 02:52 PM)
okay... can show me the method of your 555 book recording also? tongue.gif
Outside now..

You take a lookie at Benalac.

Give me your study on it. smile.gif
spring onion
post May 13 2014, 03:52 PM

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QUOTE(andrekua2 @ May 13 2014, 02:38 PM)
It's not rare to have a low PER. Bear in mind YTL is a diversified holding company. It's hard to give a true value for investment holding company. Just look at Insas for example.
*
so i heard you are a YTL owner holder as well, what causes you to buy huh? wink.gif

QUOTE(Boon3 @ May 13 2014, 03:06 PM)
Outside now..

You take a lookie at Benalac.

Give me your study on it. smile.gif
*
BENALEC last price 0.98. resistance 1.05, support 0.90

financial wise
2010- na
2011- 56,017
2012- 82,670
2013- 56,017
TTM- 21,xxx

profit has been dropping

revenue was bad at quarter end at 2013-09-30, now in recovering period

healthy asset: liabilities ratio but their differed revenue rclxub.gif rclxub.gif rclxub.gif project was delayed or its their nature of business? they are putting their revenue ahead, isn't it counting the egg before it hatches?

This post has been edited by spring onion: May 13 2014, 03:53 PM
TSBoon3
post May 13 2014, 03:57 PM

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QUOTE(spring onion @ May 13 2014, 02:50 PM)
exactly. stagnant 2.10 to 1.50 to 1.60, i'm sure francis have to do something about it. and the time is about now :/ call me a speculator but i would like to think this way

worth a buy? with the current divvy yeild is around 2% doh.gif  while the growth of company is really really stagnant. so i really don't know. from a TA point of view, probably will buy if a breakout from 1.70 is seen

currently mid cap and small cap stocks not gaining any investor sight, holding this little so called "gem" might worth the investment

however i don't know what are they going to do with the 12 bil  doh.gif
2.10 to 1.50 = fall la.

A fall is a fall... not same as stagnant. tongue.gif

Stagnant means... something like.... 160-170-160 ..... tongue.gif

It's ok to speculate one....
speculate is just a word only.....

smile.gif

Yes, there's nothing wrong to speculate what they might do with the 'big cash war chest' they have....

but you have to evaluate yourself how good such a speculation is.

.... and you really need to rid yourself that 12 bil cash mindset... hehe... not healthy... it will only blind your good judgement.... tongue.gif
... remember if you view their 'fixed deposits' and 'cash balances'... yes the total is more than 13 billion.... whistling.gif
... but if you view back their borrowings,,, their total borrowings (not counting their bonds) is over 18 billion....
... so from that perspective... it's no big deal really... they have the cash but they have lots of borrowings also.

if you ask me... I probably would not call this a 'gem'.


TSBoon3
post May 13 2014, 04:06 PM

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QUOTE(spring onion @ May 13 2014, 02:52 PM)
okay... can show me the method of your 555 book recording also? tongue.gif
also pay attention to gspirit01's comments. smile.gif

The liquidity issue.

Remember YTL is a 10.7 billion share company.

This is a big mama share and it will take MUSCLES to move the share....

so if there's not a strong catalyst, it's not going to be easy to push this share up at all. smile.gif

TSBoon3
post May 13 2014, 04:13 PM

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QUOTE(spring onion @ May 13 2014, 03:52 PM)
so i heard you are a YTL owner holder as well, what causes you to buy huh? wink.gif
BENALEC last price 0.98. resistance 1.05, support 0.90

financial wise
2010- na
2011- 56,017 
2012- 82,670 
2013- 56,017
TTM- 21,xxx

profit has been dropping

revenue was bad at quarter end at 2013-09-30, now in recovering period

healthy asset: liabilities ratio but their differed revenue  rclxub.gif  rclxub.gif  rclxub.gif project was delayed or its their nature of business? they are putting their revenue ahead, isn't it counting the egg before it hatches?
Good stuff.

You did some digging. rclxms.gif rclxms.gif rclxms.gif

This is what might catch some attention.

user posted image

see the trading on 6/5......


and this is where some traders/punters let their imagination run wild.... they start thinking....

if this movement is for real.... what if.....

the bigger picture....

user posted image

..... and what you need to do is to start digging out what's causing the change of sentiments towards this stock...

yes.... the profit track record is in fact terrible....

profits declining since 2012.....
it is indeed terrible.....
Poor fundamentals....

ok... last quarterly profits was decent (is this a turnaround?) .....

but that's about it....

so what's causing change of sentiments towards this stock? tongue.gif




can you dig?


ps: I have zero position in this stock.




andrekua2
post May 13 2014, 04:19 PM

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QUOTE(spring onion @ May 13 2014, 03:52 PM)
so i heard you are a YTL owner holder as well, what causes you to buy huh?
*
Hahahaha...

Erm. One fateful day, came back to office around 445pm. Nothing do to and I take a look at klci components. Saw YTL. Click click checking historical price and some general info, followed with a buy before closing.


TSBoon3
post May 13 2014, 05:56 PM

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QUOTE(Boon3 @ May 13 2014, 04:13 PM)
but that's about it....

so what's causing change of sentiments towards this stock? tongue.gif
spring onion

And the reason?

Share buybacks or some pasar traders would describe as 'company goreng sendiri' ... laugh.gif laugh.gif laugh.gif

user posted image

See the transaction? It started on 6/5

refer to the earlier chart....

user posted image

See how the volume increased on 6/5?

The active share buybacks from the company is driving the stock higher.


.... and this is what I will call 'an event' (share buybacks) driven trade.

smile.gif



ok.. let me find you a possible 'chart driven' trade. tongue.gif

This post has been edited by Boon3: May 13 2014, 05:56 PM
spring onion
post May 13 2014, 06:07 PM

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QUOTE(Boon3 @ May 13 2014, 05:56 PM)
» Click to show Spoiler - click again to hide... «

*
ok ok. interesting fact smile.gif i'll dig up later which causes the down turn of this stock

will get back to you later. dinner with family at 7 laugh.gif
TSBoon3
post May 13 2014, 06:14 PM

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QUOTE(spring onion @ May 13 2014, 06:07 PM)
ok ok. interesting fact smile.gif  i'll dig up later which causes the down turn of this stock

will get back to you later. dinner with family at 7 laugh.gif
laugh.gif

Just giving you some 'case' stocks for you to look see only.


TSBoon3
post May 13 2014, 06:46 PM

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QUOTE(spring onion @ May 13 2014, 02:52 PM)
okay... can show me the method of your 555 book recording also? tongue.gif
Here's a 'chart driven' sort of trading..... tongue.gif

user posted image

See the big jump in volume on 9/5?

This chart event would probably trigger some alert chart traders.

Zooming out...

user posted image

and out....

user posted image

.... so what's causing the sudden interest?

Ok, there's one non independent director, Hassan bin Hussain disposing some 1,200,000 shares at 30 sen on 5/5.
This is an off market transaction as the highest traded price on 5/5 was only 26 sen.
Some party was positive enough about the stock to buy the stock 4 sens higher....

Time to dig other info?

Profit track record...

2010 - 1.9 million
2011 - 16.7 million
2012 - 7.8 million
2013 - 17.2 million
ttm - same as 2013...

LOL!

The skeptical perspective?

One year good, one year bad....
would this up-down-up profit trend continue? laugh.gif
How to trust this stock?

The optimistic perspective?
The company had recorded 5 consecutive quarters of positive earnings trend.
Company's profit increased from 7.8 million to 17.2 million.
Fantastic growth.
At 28.5 sen, the company EPS is 2.61 and a pe of 10.92x.


Option for the speculator?

Wait for T+3 and observe how the stock digest that big volume.
If it holds or if it makes a move up, time to jump in?

Your opinion spring onion ?

This post has been edited by Boon3: May 13 2014, 06:49 PM
TSBoon3
post May 13 2014, 06:48 PM

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spring onion .... and how about 'observation based' trading?

too much for one day?


sweat.gif


laugh.gif


tongue.gif
spring onion
post May 14 2014, 12:15 AM

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QUOTE(Boon3 @ May 13 2014, 06:46 PM)
» Click to show Spoiler - click again to hide... «
QUOTE(Boon3 @ May 13 2014, 06:48 PM)
» Click to show Spoiler - click again to hide... «
just back from the dinner laugh.gif

ok about benelac

ben was a victim during the correction period, they change their management or the board which causes some unhappiness within the shareholder. furthermore they sold some of their asset. their profit fall short and thus making the share price lower

This post has been edited by spring onion: May 14 2014, 12:15 AM
spring onion
post May 14 2014, 12:20 AM

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QUOTE(Boon3 @ May 13 2014, 06:46 PM)
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my opinion, up or down really depends on jones taikor, if he want down, want break is like challenging god. if up then depends on punters. but on T+1 the counter seems unable to support

there is also possibility that the stock may stay stagnant after T+3
TSBoon3
post May 14 2014, 06:25 AM

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QUOTE(spring onion @ May 14 2014, 12:15 AM)
just back from the dinner laugh.gif

ok about benelac

ben was a victim during the correction period, they change their management or the board which causes some unhappiness within the shareholder. furthermore they sold some of their asset. their profit fall short and thus making the share price lower
shocking.gif shakehead.gif

7-12 dinner?

laugh.gif

Well done!
Keep up being objective when lookie at stocks! nod.gif
This is the way to go. thumbup.gif

QUOTE(spring onion @ May 14 2014, 12:20 AM)
my opinion, up or down really depends on jones taikor, if he want down, want break is like challenging god. if up then depends on punters. but on T+1 the counter seems unable to support

there is also possibility that the stock may stay stagnant after T+3
There are some traders out there who specializes on T+ trading.
They are pretty good at it too.

On your T+1 observation.
Yes, it was not able to hold support.
But that's normal.
It's part of a healthy pullback for now........
What happens the next 2 days is what's that is important. tongue.gif

And 'Observation based' trading....

This one..... sweat.gif

Ok, currently with KLIA 2 up and running, some are 'seeing' lots of traffic for AirAsia.

More travelers means good business ma.... (Is this observation even valid? )


But then the chart ..... rclxub.gif

user posted image

user posted image

Will you trade it based on this so called observation?
aylwyn paul
post May 14 2014, 09:19 AM

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morning huat huat huat

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