Welcome Guest ( Log In | Register )

Bump Topic Topic Closed RSS Feed
49 Pages « < 13 14 15 16 17 > » Bottom

Outline · [ Standard ] · Linear+

 Bursa Traders V5

views
     
TSBoon3
post Jun 6 2014, 07:57 AM

10k Club
********
All Stars
15,942 posts

Joined: Jun 2008
QUOTE(spring onion @ Jun 6 2014, 01:15 AM)
AHealth? high PE with saturation growth detected  sweat.gif

pharmaniaga? need to understand the rapid surge during last year

FD? i have always thought FD is a good place to save my money, but yep it was wrong... however having asset in terms of currency is the most flexible during emergency times

need more studies, will be back soon... going holiday with friends before settling for another job again thumbup.gif
*
Waaaa..... another holiday. tongue.gif

... and congrats ..... new job! thumbup.gif thumbup.gif

pharma was a 'special' case.
It had been suspended for a long time, due to shareholder spread issue (or something like that. tongue.gif)....
based on the earnings... the suspended price at that time was rather cheap... low PE... below 10 inm... whistling.gif
after exiting its real coma status.... it just erupted.... lol... went limit up couple of times inm too.
rest is history.

Anyway... point is... in a small sector (actually in any sector) ... you always need comparisons.

Simple reason is that you want to be in the best stock in that sector.
In your stock basket, you do not want to put everything (or over invest) into one sector...
you just want to choose the best...

And as you know, PE means price over earnings.
Price equals the traded stock price.
If the PE is high, it means the demand for the stock is high despite its earnings....
which crudely can means the stock is LAKU.
So high PE means LAKU.
Low PE means TADA LAKU or whack the fly. laugh.gif

Now take governmental contracted pharmaceutical companies like Pharma and CCMD.

Why is Pharma trading at PE multiples over 20... whereas CCMD is in the low teens?
why is Pharma more laku? rolleyes.gif


TSBoon3
post Jun 6 2014, 08:34 AM

10k Club
********
All Stars
15,942 posts

Joined: Jun 2008
QUOTE(Tripod @ Jun 5 2014, 11:56 PM)
its good to see many here willing to share knowledge  thumbup.gif

i'm also new to this stock market thing....just starting to get interested.

just wondering about your remark above...about the free float of 11% and tightly held.

so is this a good thing or a bad thing?

is it better to buy shares with larger free float or less free float?
*
The checking of the free float is a simple exercise of awareness for the investor/trader.

There is always good and bad.
I don't think there is a one shoe fit all.

Now for a tightly held share.
One well known risk is the company could be taken private.
Yup, the big shareholder telan the rest of the shares.
They do this by making a general offer to buy the rest of the shares.

Now the obvious question is why would the big shareholder do this?
Isn't being a listed company very glamorous?
Isn't there many 'benefits' for a company to be listed? whistling.gif

If that's the case, why do the big shareholder want to chiak all the shares?

The simple reason always is to make BIG money. laugh.gif laugh.gif laugh.gif

Jokes aside... this is very real.
Small shareholders always get cheated every single time when it happens.
Big eat small. sad.gif
Big bully small.

These cases usually happen in stocks where the float is small.
Smaller float means less shares not belonging to the big shareholders.

Take this recent example which I have read, Delloyd.

Read this: http://klse.i3investor.com/blogs/kianweiaritcles/52834.jsp

Quote: Delloyd's jewel is a large oil palm estate Sungai Rambai Estate which is about 20km from KL. It has an area of 1,448ha. The proposed WCE will run right through the middle of this estate. The market value of this estate is about RM1.55bil at RM10psf. This represents RM15.5/share.

Hidden value is worth 15.5 per share.
This jewel (or land) exists because the land has not been properly valued. doh.gif
ie the cost of the land in the account books is very cheap.

Let me paste these here from that posting...
QUOTE

Delloyd had on 16 May 2014 received a privatisation offer from its major owner. The privatization plan at MYR4.80 is via a selective capital reduction and repayment exercise. Major shareholder Chung & Tee Ventures Sdn Bhd, and parties acting in concert with them, own a total of 61.41 million shares or 63.58% stake in Delloyd.


At a price 4.80, Delloyd market capital is 480 million. (100 mil shares x 4.80)
or in simpler English, at 4.80, the whole of Delloyd is only worth 480 million.
ie if ever you can buy up all the shares, you only pay 480 million!
And since, the big fish already owns 61%, the big fish only needs to pay some 187 million to completely own that palm oil estate which has a market value of 1.55 billion.
Steal of the century????

This is one of the big risks in stocks which has a small free float.
Big fish eats small fish.

The advantage is, smaller float shares is more stable.
Big fish is in control of the share price.
But this itself has its good and bad.
The more sly big fish..... they can easily move the share price. tongue.gif
But then... there are some lazy big fish. laugh.gif
They tend to just manage the company and not the share....
and when that happens...
the share tends to be in coma.................. sweat.gif

Everything will have its pros and cons.
Most important, the stock player should be aware.
They need to know what they are getting into when they trade a share.....

Trading blindly and buying just cos someone else said so.... is extremely dangerous for your money.
TSBoon3
post Jun 7 2014, 08:58 PM

10k Club
********
All Stars
15,942 posts

Joined: Jun 2008
QUOTE(Tripod @ Jun 7 2014, 04:51 PM)
thank you to the sifus here for a detailed reply  thumbup.gif

you guys give good examples that a layman like me also can understand  rclxms.gif 

but seriously, now i get a better picture of a large and small free float.

but being taken private is not always a bad thing right?

for example, jt inter after annoucement, the price of the shares shot up to RM8 something now where previously it was mostly below RM6.5.

or is there another story behind this counter?  hmm.gif
*
When it comes to offers, it's all about valuations.
The traded share price is not a fair indicator what a company is worth.

Using same Delloyd example, and if one uses traded share price as the indicator, one would assume that the offer is best cos Delloyd never traded so high before.

Takeover speculators would love the deal.
Quick, easy profit.
Nice.

However, those who knows about value, would feel they have been cheated big time.
TSBoon3
post Jun 8 2014, 10:28 AM

10k Club
********
All Stars
15,942 posts

Joined: Jun 2008
QUOTE(Tripod @ Jun 7 2014, 04:51 PM)
thank you to the sifus here for a detailed reply  thumbup.gif

you guys give good examples that a layman like me also can understand  rclxms.gif 

but seriously, now i get a better picture of a large and small free float.

but being taken private is not always a bad thing right?

for example, jt inter after annoucement, the price of the shares shot up to RM8 something now where previously it was mostly below RM6.5.

or is there another story behind this counter?  hmm.gif
*
hehehe.... I give you a much more simpler layman perspective.

You own a house.
You purchase it say 500,000.00
I come up to you and offer you 700,00.
A cool 40% gain from your purchase price.
Would you take it?

Or would you do your own value research, in which you come to realise that a new LRT station would be build nearby and there's a new proposed high end property project to built next year, hence raising your home property to be worth at least 1.6million?

Yes, would you sell by value or would you sell just cos someone offered you a profitable price?

Which is why ....

when it comes to offers, it's all about valuations.
The traded share price is not a fair indicator what a company is worth.

And when you come to think all these over...
you would probably find it a bit all too strange...

People tends to buy and sell shares without much of a second thought....
but when it comes to say.. properties, cars, businesses... they want to do so much more homework...
and they demand 2nd opinion...
3rd opinion... etc etc etc....

laugh.gif
TSBoon3
post Jun 9 2014, 10:46 PM

10k Club
********
All Stars
15,942 posts

Joined: Jun 2008
QUOTE(Tripod @ Jun 9 2014, 10:23 PM)
thanks to boon3 again for the easy to understand analogy thumbup.gif

if you conduct lecture on investing in the market, i'll be your first student  tongue.gif

but i think your main point is that you want us to be more careful in our buying and selling of shares right?

do more research before we start investing into a company.
laugh.gif

nah.. I tend to talk wind most of the time. tongue.gif

Yeah, whether you are trading or investing, there's so much preparation you need to do

You need to know yourself and then you need to know all the tools of the trade and then you need to do constant homework.


TSBoon3
post Jun 11 2014, 09:51 AM

10k Club
********
All Stars
15,942 posts

Joined: Jun 2008
QUOTE(spring onion @ Jun 11 2014, 12:37 AM)
hmm.gif not bad to have such share at the price of 0.7x for last few months, now gone up to 1.1x, must see any potential in this stock or not? wait for it to consolidate 1st?
Dah goreng-ed already....... tongue.gif

TSBoon3
post Jun 11 2014, 09:57 AM

10k Club
********
All Stars
15,942 posts

Joined: Jun 2008
QUOTE(foofoosasa @ Jun 10 2014, 09:37 PM)
You can start mentoring / boon secret trading methodology class liao.  laugh.gif

Maybe better income than trading shares itself. brows.gif
doh.gif

Trading shares can make money. icon_idea.gif
Trading for KFC? rclxub.gif rclxub.gif rclxub.gif


TSBoon3
post Jun 11 2014, 10:08 AM

10k Club
********
All Stars
15,942 posts

Joined: Jun 2008
sweat.gif

this thread can go into PN17 jor..... sweat.gif
TSBoon3
post Jun 11 2014, 04:05 PM

10k Club
********
All Stars
15,942 posts

Joined: Jun 2008
QUOTE(lambethwalk @ Jun 11 2014, 03:55 PM)
Homer kiam-ku-ku...

Come back to life!!
*
It's in coma jor. tongue.gif
TSBoon3
post Jun 11 2014, 04:17 PM

10k Club
********
All Stars
15,942 posts

Joined: Jun 2008
QUOTE(lambethwalk @ Jun 11 2014, 04:09 PM)
my water stocks resuscitated  sweat.gif

gark ok ar? went to Timbuktu?

how's your portfolio doing? smile.gif
I became a stock seller in one stock.
Almost... finish selling. whistling.gif

Now, look see only.


Any tipsy?

laugh.gif
TSBoon3
post Jun 11 2014, 04:25 PM

10k Club
********
All Stars
15,942 posts

Joined: Jun 2008
QUOTE(lambethwalk @ Jun 11 2014, 04:19 PM)
cartoon stock  drool.gif
*
hehehe... don't have. tongue.gif

I saw it broke out of its recent range but ... the oomph doesn't seem to be there. wink.gif
TSBoon3
post Jun 11 2014, 07:19 PM

10k Club
********
All Stars
15,942 posts

Joined: Jun 2008
QUOTE(lynetnonyma @ Jun 11 2014, 04:51 PM)
Careful, don't ask for tips. That Boon3 fellow will scold....
doh.gif

Bartender also get tipsy.

Carry luggage bag also get tipsy.

Why I cannot get one? sad.gif sad.gif
TSBoon3
post Jun 11 2014, 08:57 PM

10k Club
********
All Stars
15,942 posts

Joined: Jun 2008
QUOTE(lynetnonyma @ Jun 11 2014, 08:52 PM)

Why nowdays very quiet here. Other stock thread also quiet. Where is everyone? Everyone must be making money, only me left looking for tips...
hmm.gif

You know what I think?



I think hor.....


everyone.... hiding from you lor...... laugh.gif laugh.gif laugh.gif laugh.gif laugh.gif

TSBoon3
post Jun 11 2014, 09:12 PM

10k Club
********
All Stars
15,942 posts

Joined: Jun 2008
QUOTE(lynetnonyma @ Jun 11 2014, 09:02 PM)
Hmmm.... so nobody want to give me tips. Ok, so sad.... Everybody come back, I go away now....
*
laugh.gif


Poor thing you.

Ok. I give you one fast fast.

Buy the stock that will go up.

flex.gif



Good?



hehe... so what stock you watching la?
TSBoon3
post Jun 11 2014, 09:51 PM

10k Club
********
All Stars
15,942 posts

Joined: Jun 2008
QUOTE(lynetnonyma @ Jun 11 2014, 09:40 PM)
Why you force me to come back to answer you??
Good tip. I give you one too. Don't buy the stock that will go down.

I watching the one you watching. You tell me which you watching, I confirm if its the same one. Can? Hahah.
*
doh.gif

Your tai chi too geng. icon_rolleyes.gif
TSBoon3
post Jun 11 2014, 10:42 PM

10k Club
********
All Stars
15,942 posts

Joined: Jun 2008
QUOTE(Tripod @ Jun 11 2014, 10:36 PM)
me can only become an investor...a small time investor.

not enough money to become a trader  sad.gif
There's nothing wrong to be an investor. biggrin.gif

A good investor can make good money too.

icon_rolleyes.gif




TSBoon3
post Jun 12 2014, 08:21 AM

10k Club
********
All Stars
15,942 posts

Joined: Jun 2008
QUOTE(starwai stock exchange @ Jun 11 2014, 11:09 PM)
boon... you really provided good explanations... salute *_*

i registered this account to salute you.. haha...
Waaa....... TQ la.

Err... no need salute.... just come in more often and talk (talk 3 talk 4 also can la)

biggrin.gif

TSBoon3
post Jun 12 2014, 09:07 AM

10k Club
********
All Stars
15,942 posts

Joined: Jun 2008
QUOTE(twhong_91 @ Jun 12 2014, 09:00 AM)
while the start-up of the paper making
machine is scheduled for the second half of 2014. Due to the high initial
investment cost as well as administrative and set-up costs, operations
in Vietnam are expected to incur a loss in the next financial year
and
may be subject to certain risks in terms of political, legal, economic,
and foreign exchange developments moving forward. In fact, profit
contribution from the Vietnam operations are expected to remain
negligible for at least another 3 years.


second half of 2014 - means the second quarter of 2014?

operations in vietnam are expected to incur a loss in the next financial years - so the profits in FY2014 will be affected, and it was already informed in 2013, so my question is when the quarter reports for FY 2014 are announced and indeed their profits are decreased, will it affect the share price?

profit contribution from vietnam opearations are expected to remain negligible for at least another 3 years - meaning the operations are expected to incur loss for 3 years to break even?

second half of 2014 - means the second quarter of 2014?


Not exactly clear. In this case, since the statement does not specifically says FY 2014, I would assume that it means exactly what it means in English, which is from June to Dec 2014.

operations in vietnam are expected to incur a loss in the next financial years - so the profits in FY2014 will be affected, and it was already informed in 2013, so my question is when the quarter reports for FY 2014 are announced and indeed their profits are decreased, will it affect the share price?


You need to check if profits come mainly from its operations in Vietnam. If the answer is yes, profits will decrease and YES, logically (but sometimes, market not very logic one), the share price will fall.


profit contribution from vietnam opearations are expected to remain negligible for at least another 3 years - meaning the operations are expected to incur loss for 3 years to break even?


My interpretation here is that negligible means earnings are so small it's not meaningful. Does not neccessary mean it will incur loss.

My 3 sen nia. icon_rolleyes.gif
TSBoon3
post Jun 12 2014, 09:20 AM

10k Club
********
All Stars
15,942 posts

Joined: Jun 2008
QUOTE(twhong_91 @ Jun 12 2014, 09:15 AM)
Thanks boon gor. the main contribution is from Malaysia not vietnam, they are setting up a new plant in vietnam to penetrate vietnam market. Btw, this company is a tissue maker company.  biggrin.gif

boon, for question 3, what i mean is they are gonna take 3 years to break-even their operations in vietnam, but as u said, the loss is negligible, which is very small and not meaningful. so, i might accumulate more if the price do drop in the future.

smile.gif  biggrin.gif
Wish you all the best of luck smile.gif

However, do note, starting an overseas ventures operation does not mean sure success.
Many times, overseas ventures, like overseas plants ends up in failures one.
For example, you can take the case of JCY.
Last time, it spent big bucks to setup their plant in Thailand....
then.... what happen next?
Floods came...... sweat.gif sweat.gif sweat.gif
TSBoon3
post Jun 12 2014, 09:30 AM

10k Club
********
All Stars
15,942 posts

Joined: Jun 2008
QUOTE(twhong_91 @ Jun 12 2014, 09:26 AM)
I see. maybe i was too optimistic  tongue.gif ya, I still remember what happened to JCY. need to do some research on JCY later. thanks for pointing out Boon.  notworthy.gif need to know whether any natural disasters happen in vietnam before to make sure it is safe from natural disasters.  rolleyes.gif  rolleyes.gif
*
Recent case was some factories being attacked. sweat.gif

Of course, lots of conspiracy theories....
some included that the attacks were staged by the Chinese themselves... rolleyes.gif tongue.gif

49 Pages « < 13 14 15 16 17 > » Top
Topic ClosedOptions
 

Change to:
| Lo-Fi Version
0.0268sec    0.79    7 queries    GZIP Disabled
Time is now: 5th December 2025 - 07:50 PM