QUOTE(lambethwalk @ Apr 16 2014, 10:35 AM)
Gark, what is the easiest way to calculate fair value for a stock?
This one ah....
There are many ways to calculate fair value one, it is more of an art than science... so it depends on each individual expectation of the stock growth.
The most basic will be PE.. BUT it has a lot of limitations...My back of the envelope (ie. fast method) FV calculation will be...
FVPE = (5 Year FUTURE Growth% + DY% p.a.)*100
FV = FVPE x TTM OR better future expected EPS (if you have)
Example : Stock A, you expect it to have growth of 10% p.a. and currently yield 3%. You expect FY14 EPS to be 20 cents/share
FVPE =(10%+3%)*100 = 13
FV = 0.20 x 13 = RM 2.6
Please note this is just the fast method, if it looks interesting to you, you NEED to investigate further on the free cash flow, net cash/debt, profit margin, growth sustainability, RNAV, DCF, management etc etc...
There is NO sure way of calculating FV one... if you put super high growth expectations, everything will also look very cheap, so be very very conservative.
Again I repeat, getting FV is an ART not a calculable SCIENCE because the market, company and profits change all the time... and more often than not you will wrong MOST of the time.
This post has been edited by gark: Apr 16 2014, 10:52 AM