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 V12 - Property prices discussion, For non "UUU" and "DDD" campers only...

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SUSAmayaBumibuyer
post Jul 28 2013, 03:04 PM

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QUOTE(hondaracer @ Jul 28 2013, 01:12 PM)
I am assuming it is the Amaya Condo in Saujana.

What was the asking price of Amaya then at 2010?

What is the asking price of the same unit in 2013, assuming that there is one?

Thanks in advance for sharing info.
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No it is amaya maluri in taman maluri

If 719 sq ft last time cheapest 300k. Now its 500k.

This post has been edited by AmayaBumibuyer: Jul 28 2013, 03:15 PM
SUSAmayaBumibuyer
post Jul 28 2013, 06:05 PM

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QUOTE(all blacks @ Jul 28 2013, 03:14 PM)
I like ur take on the matter... But wat I am more worried about is "Wat happen in 2008"... All this while I am attached to big MNC's, wic r making hell a lot of money, but back in 2008 everyone was having the same thought as you increase salary that we should be expecting as the years gone by but ended up, 2008 no bonus and no increment  unsure.gif .. then the worse was in 2009, salary cut, and many job was slashed especially those earning close to 5 figures doh.gif ... Many of them had to find job with low salary which basically means they went backwards n lost all the increments wic they worked their ass off for, couple of years worth of increment  cry.gif ... n things continued up to 2011.. Only 2012 we got back the increments but again nt great and 2013 is a gud year.. The lesson here, dun take everything for granted n assume things gone be fine..

Most of us when we take loans, we assume everything gone be fine n work as usual so we tend to over leverage and when things go the other way round, we might end up at the wrong end... I am nt married so im nt sure on the wifey thing but most of my friends, their spouse own separate property... so it really depends on the situation I guess...
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Are u saying 2008 or 1998?
Because to tell you d truth, 2008 was good for me. Good bonus and increment as well. I dont believe 2008 had any effect in Malaysia..well in banks. I dunno about other industry.

If it is 1998, might be a different story but for 1998 to happen again is actually quite remote. The banks is fully prepared nowadays for it not to happen again.

This post has been edited by AmayaBumibuyer: Jul 28 2013, 06:06 PM
SUSAmayaBumibuyer
post Jul 28 2013, 11:25 PM

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QUOTE(all blacks @ Jul 28 2013, 09:48 PM)
Im talking bout 2008 bro... Im from IT/Consulting background n would say most of the US based multinational companies suffered badly which indirectly hit UK companies too as business was quite bad since most of the revenue was flowing from US region.. Tats including semiconductor field as well as my frens were working in that industry.. I am assuming u r attached to a local bank? or even if an international bank I guess ur KPI would be based on ur regional or maybe only Malaysia performance? if tats the case u wouldn't have felt it.. Thanks to our weak RM, even though we were doing quite well here but the revenue was too small n even that went to 0 when local based MNC companies started to feel the impact..
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Yeah if u r based in us and uk, then it will affect u. But u know, a malaysian from citibank in usa managed to get a job in our bank. Yeah, malaysian banks need prioritising hiring malaysians. BNM requirement. In that sense, malaysian working abroad were kind of lucky during that time. usa banks were downsizing but malaysia were more than happy to accept them.
Yeah generally local banks in malaysia wasnt affected.

This post has been edited by AmayaBumibuyer: Jul 28 2013, 11:26 PM
SUSAmayaBumibuyer
post Jul 29 2013, 01:09 PM

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Anybody heard this? Diesel is missing all over Malaysia.
And what type of gasoline do the machinery that works on property? Diesel right?

This is a precursor to increase in diesel price ladies and gentlman.... and I guess property will go down???? I mean I want to hear from people who say that property is going to go down camp. Is it possible for property going down?

IMO this is infaltion at its best. Property is going up because of cost push inflation AND combine with demand pull inflation, be realistic.

Chicken goes up, fish goes up, vegetables go up, sugar go up and only property goes down?

Hmmh another point talking about economy, during the 2008 crisis in the US, interest rates went down to almost 0%. But some of us here are arguing that property price will go down because we cant service the loan due to increase interest rates, therefore more default.Learn from US, Japan etc..but really? Let say the economy is really in a bad shape in Malaysia, are we going to increase intrest rates? But then US didn't do that.

My take is always, Malaysia is different from the rest of the world. But the negative thinking people will say...just wait, Malaysia will crash soon. Dont buy anyhthing yet, learn from US, detroit, japan..bla..bla..bla. Well, they can keep on waiting.

SUSAmayaBumibuyer
post Jul 29 2013, 01:35 PM

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QUOTE(katijar @ Jul 29 2013, 01:29 PM)
so, i guess, time to increase interest rate to control inflation
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only if the FED does that. Dont think it will be soon. And for a cost push inflation, I doubt it will work. The best thing to control the inflation is to reduce oil price. But of course this government will never do such thing.
SUSAmayaBumibuyer
post Jul 29 2013, 06:54 PM

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QUOTE(mIssfROGY @ Jul 29 2013, 06:43 PM)
but if u only have so much money left, will u buy house or buy food to survive?

in the US interest rates almost 0%...but ppl are losing jobs on a daily basis in 2008 and cant service loan, so props of coz go down lo.
U think in Msia if interest rates down to 0% and ppl are losing jobs but props still can sell at 1000sf?? yeah...rich ppl still can buy this no doubt smile.gif
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Then we hav 1998 for us as a benchmark. KLCI went down to just 200++ only but did we hear any property firesales? They were people who lost property due to bankruptcy of course but not because interetst rate increase or interets rate went down.

This is to the fact like iceman said, we hav a different economic theory cant compare wit US. If ever interest rate went close to 0% here, i believe property investor would rejoice. And we still hav huge KWSP to bailout anybody, as what we went through 1998. There will never be the lehman brothers incident here.

This post has been edited by AmayaBumibuyer: Jul 29 2013, 06:55 PM
SUSAmayaBumibuyer
post Jul 29 2013, 07:14 PM

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QUOTE(AVFAN @ Jul 29 2013, 07:08 PM)
think u already know the diff between 1998 and now is additional >rm500billion in debt, private and gomen combined.

world bank, imf, adb have been warning msia there is little room left to play in the event of a crisis with with such debt levels.

well, if u say msia can take it, can take another 500bn, no diff, then there is nothing more to say.
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Thats why i said. We still hav epf as a safeguard. I was imagining the cyprus incident happening here. And if it is that bad, our epf that is in trillions, can still save us. No doubt are epf saving might slash 50%, but better than when Malaysia really in deep shit. Again for this to happen is very small chance.

This post has been edited by AmayaBumibuyer: Jul 29 2013, 07:16 PM
SUSAmayaBumibuyer
post Jul 29 2013, 08:08 PM

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QUOTE(AVFAN @ Jul 29 2013, 07:21 PM)
if it is about epf to save us...

the suspicion is >60% of epf funds already loaned out to bn aligned outfits, i.e. cronies big and small with questionable performance.

if the condo-cow thing is examplary, you can decide how much or what epf can or will do.

one can dispel all this rumurs, but me, i like to err on my side to think there is already enough evidence that epf wun do ziltch except bailing out the greedy in a next crisis.
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Yes i understand. My thought d same, but opposition is almost half in d parliament, they cant use epf for their personal use anymore without anybody knowing it. Becuase any kind of wrong bailout signals will depress the market. Gov should know this. BNM cant play hanky panky, believe they will be stern because financial institution is govern by international law, with basel and stuff.
SUSAmayaBumibuyer
post Jul 30 2013, 12:53 PM

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QUOTE(mIssfROGY @ Jul 30 2013, 11:52 AM)
oh i tot danaharta came to save the day back in 1998?
I tot there were few lehman brothers incidents back in 1998? They had to merge the banks .....i assumes it same as lehman brothers on a smaller scale.....haha
KWSP....seriously? really.....hopefully then..
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Yeah. I am talking epf can still be used, gov can just say..yeah we will use epf to nationalize banks and all income from the bank after that will be rakyats income. Same as what happened in US. EPF fund is huge. Cyprus slash deposits in banks to save their country. And we hav EPF.

US admitted that they made a mistake by not bailing out lehman. Watched "too big to fail" movie.
SUSAmayaBumibuyer
post Jul 30 2013, 01:01 PM

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QUOTE(icemanfx @ Jul 30 2013, 11:56 AM)
In other countries, car price is about 3 to 12 months of income and house price is about 7 years of household income. Most household debt in Malaysia are property, car and credit cards.

Believe real inflation rate is higher than official inflation rate and the most effective way to curb inflation rate is to increase bank interest rate. If U.S. QE is tapering off, bank interest rate is almost certain will rise.

High household debt is vulnerable to hike in bank interest rate. If real income doesn't keep up with inflation rate and there is a rise in interest rate, those with high household debt will face a double whammy.
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Yeah malaysia is different. House is actually quite comparable but cars are just crazy. Instead or complaining about property, all of us should band together and complain about car price in malaysia.
I was sitting having bukak puase with frens las week , talking about cars. One saying he wante to buy 200k worth of car. Yup, never complain about cars. Malaysians hav accepted this. Just complain about property. We should change the peoples mindset.


Cheap cars can help everybody.
SUSAmayaBumibuyer
post Jul 30 2013, 01:04 PM

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Real Estate Home Appreciation - Last 12 Months
Last Updated: 7/17/2013

Home prices continued to skyrocket all around the country in May. The Northeast saw its median price rise to $269,600, up from $245,100 and up 12.3 percent from the year before.

Home prices in the Midwest increased to a median of $159,800 in May, up from $148,700 in April. Compared with May 2012, the median there was up 8.2 percent.


In the South, the median home price rose to $183,300 from $167,800 in April and jumped 15.0 percent from the previous year.


The median home price in the West climbed to $276,400 in May from $265,400 the month before. It was up 19.9 percent from one year earlier.

SUSAmayaBumibuyer
post Jul 30 2013, 01:15 PM

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The above article refers to housing price in the US.

Now i am doing car comparison. Bear with me here.

Let's say a house in US is 200k usd. A toyoto camry is around 20k usd. You need to exchange 10 toyota for 1 house.

Let's say malaysia. A house is 500k RM. A toyoto camry is 100k RM. You need to exchange 5 toyota for 1 house.

You guys see what i am getting here? People still buy cars even cars in malaysia are exorbitantly priced.

And foe expat who wants to live in malaysia as 2nd housing scheme.
Goverment of malaysia hav this policy that this expat can buy car in malaysia tax free.
Can u believe it? They like to torture their own citizens but the gwailos can have it cheap. Our government are just idiots.

This post has been edited by AmayaBumibuyer: Jul 30 2013, 01:19 PM
SUSAmayaBumibuyer
post Jul 30 2013, 01:18 PM

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QUOTE(icemanfx @ Jul 30 2013, 01:09 PM)
Comparatively, landed property in Malaysia is more expensive than in the U.S, means higher standard living than the U.S  rclxms.gif  rclxm9.gif  icon_rolleyes.gif  thumbup.gif
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I think this is the whole of US. If you want to compare klang valley, then maybe u hav to compate with new york. And new york prices are crazy. You guys can google it urself.

I mean u hav to in malaysia, we still hav affordable ones in kedah, kelantan, terengganu etc etc..
SUSAmayaBumibuyer
post Jul 30 2013, 02:32 PM

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QUOTE(mIssfROGY @ Jul 30 2013, 01:38 PM)
if epf comes n save the day and lets say sailang all $$$ in there...who going save us when we retire (or the current ones that are going to retire)?  cry.gif
Btw i tot epf $$ cannot simply use geh?
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Of course cannot but if gov wants we cant do much and if it there is no choice, what to do.
SUSAmayaBumibuyer
post Jul 30 2013, 02:45 PM

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QUOTE(kurtkob78 @ Jul 30 2013, 01:41 PM)
you can always buy 2nd hand card under 20k. you have the choice to do that. If still cannot afford one can buy motobike. pay 4k installment for 10 years.

But do you have a choice to buy a house say under 100k?. No because we cannot find this price anymore. developers also seems only build and targetting high end market. Now 1000psf seem to be the normal price for the developers.

So i dont think cars price is the issue now. The issue is the house price
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Car loan forms a bulk of household debts. A used car for 20k is still expensive when in US we can get for a couple of thousand. Remember how much did sam witwicki bought bumblebee in transformers 1? U think we can get such car in malaysia at dat price?

And lots of malaysians do buy car 1st hand. And i hav given example of a 100k rundown flat in d middle of KL that many younsters dont want to buy. There are choices of flats at 100k 600sq ft. Check back my past posts.

I believe car price is an issue. People go bankrupt because of this. cannot pay for their car more than cannot pay for the house. I mean thats waht i see from the list of bankruptcy reason, anybody can prove me wrong?

An excerpt from an article

Malaysia Insolvency Department (MID) state director Zalina Yacob said yesterday that the main cause for bankruptcy was failure to fulfil hire-purchase agreements.


Read more: http://www.theborneopost.com/2013/05/16/24.../#ixzz2aVbX1Z7b
SUSAmayaBumibuyer
post Jul 30 2013, 03:25 PM

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QUOTE(Anon_1986 @ Jul 30 2013, 03:14 PM)
I do agree with you on that car prices are stupid. Nevertheless, it is a false comparison. Mortgage debt is seldom a cause of bankruptcy during a rising market, as the debtor can simply sell off his house for a price higher than his mortgage debt in lieu of defaulting. On the other hand, in a falling market, your house depreciates in the same way as your car. A rising market obscures the flaws, and a falling market exposes them all. That's precisely why nobody knew about the dangers of the subprime problem in the US - it simply wasn't leading to significant levels of defaults until prices stopped appreciating.
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Correct, but if car price are cheaper then probaby a bulk of your income can be put on property. And the reason subprime reason is more complicated than just a simple defaulting. They call it subprime because they are giving out people who cannot afford to buy. In Malaysia that is not the case. Controls are there to manage these. We can go many angles here, but believe evrybody made up their minds already. And there are cheap rundown homes out there, look around, you'll find it. It is just that people want to buy a Ferrari instead of a rundown proton.


SUSAmayaBumibuyer
post Jul 30 2013, 03:28 PM

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QUOTE(Nomos @ Jul 30 2013, 03:19 PM)
Hire purchase bankruptcies my guess is due to loose lending practices of banks, and not much to do with car prices per se. Many lower income workers aspire to own cars at great sacrifice to quality of life (an attitude that is not sustainable in the long run). Again my guess - a large bulk of bankruptcies comprise this group, who are also not likely to own a mortgage or property in the first place. So its not exactly fair to compare house purchasing habits to car purchasing statistics imho.
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It doesnt matter if loose lending is the case, if they were cheap, we will always have extra disposable income that can go to other places.
SUSAmayaBumibuyer
post Jul 30 2013, 04:01 PM

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QUOTE(all blacks @ Jul 30 2013, 03:43 PM)
Why do u think thats nt the case in Malaysia? There was once nt long ago, just couple of months before GE a couple of banks offered loan at 90% margin up to 50-70%% of my gross income... If I accepted the loan, I would definitely end up eating roti daily.. Luckily the deal fell through though... BNM have to play hardball on this matter n should constantly monitor these so called "controls".. 

I am afraid there will be more bankruptcy cases if the interest rate is increased, as I can observe that there has been irregularities in bank practices which allowed too many people to leverage on cheap credit and push it to the max.. The slightest increase could push them out of window n we need to bear in mind, it's easier to sell a car but nt a house..

House transaction takes a very long time, thus for someone to bail out within a short period of time is quite challenging.. Luckily not many lock-in type of loans anymore..
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Well that is actually not bad all blacks. But US case was much worst, they believe that house will just increase that you dont need to go and prove to them how much you actually make. some banks just say, o u wanna buy a house? Ok sign here and your loan is approved. If u hav trouble getting loan becuase of ur income is low. we can give u loan but at a high interest. That was the practice in US and i think UK too. At least malaysia check your income. I feel it coz it was so hard for me to get the second loan approve. But i know i can pay up.
SUSAmayaBumibuyer
post Jul 30 2013, 05:29 PM

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QUOTE(all blacks @ Jul 30 2013, 04:25 PM)
Thats crazy.. doh.gif
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Yes, that is how bad the practice was.
SUSAmayaBumibuyer
post Jul 31 2013, 12:35 PM

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QUOTE(all blacks @ Jul 31 2013, 12:13 PM)
What I meant was, some bank willing to offer up to 50% of my gross salary n some were up to 70% of my gross salary.. If I accepted the one with 70% of my gross salary I sure makan roti la.. If my gross salary is 5K, juz imagine paying up to 3.5K housing loan.. Remember I still havent include my car monthly installment.. Another RM600..  Do u think u can have a decent life? if u can then bravo..
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I believe your story about this banks 70% margin is in your total loan, which includes the car loan too. Right? That 3.5k should have include your car loan. I mean bank checks your total loan not just the loan on the house that you are applying.

And your story is if the salary is 5k. If the salary is 10k, then you hav balance 3k. If salary 20k, then balance 6k. A reasonable margin by all accounts. And seriously, if you are at 5k salary, who would want to buy a house that has to pay 3.5k monthly?

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