QUOTE(prophetjul @ Mar 28 2024, 10:19 AM)
What poll?
Of course EPF
returns will start to diminish. This is primarily due to the order to invest domestically. It has been demonstrated that the foreign investments lend a big weight to the better returns in EPF.
By increasing the domestic investments, it will weight negatively on the returns for sure. Not rocket science.
The investment in MGS will increase. MGS does not exactly increase. It will give a 'guaranteed' return, but no growth.
Any growth will come from the advancing markets. Bursa KLSE is not one. It is a sunset bursa.
So yeah, your returns projection is pretty much spot on.
yeah KWSP is too big for local market. i agree there
but the Poll was asking
do you believe with larger Fund size, return would diminished?
everthing else maintained same,
ie same 30% foreign investment , 52% fixed income etc.
QUOTE(Cubalagi @ Mar 28 2024, 11:43 AM)
Likely it wont decline like that straight down..likely some ups and downs years. Maybe next year still up a bit? Still possible. But average will be lower.
But we wont ever see again numbers like 6.75 or 6.9% from BN times.
You mean even with a larger KWSP Fund size there may be NO definite NEGATIVE effect investment return?
QUOTE(theevilman1909 @ Mar 28 2024, 11:52 AM)
I think EPF rates would hover around 5% range... for next few years.
unless the foreign assets exposure dropped to 15% or lower.
then won't be surprise, if dividend rates drop to even 3% then

maintain that 30% foreign investment
would you say a lower and lower KWSP dividend is acceptable
because they said, as KWSP Fund become bigger, its investment return will fall.
QUOTE(dwRK @ Mar 28 2024, 01:20 PM)
5.5 - 6% probably the new norm...
i probably won't withdraw... continue to work on side hussle to make bank... and topup epf... hahaha
i also dont foresee a significant drop in KWSP dividends too.
You dont think a bigger Fund size would have negative effect on investment return?