QUOTE(gsc @ Sep 16 2012, 01:50 AM)
For short term 3-6 months, it looks to me that the promotion interest rate is getting lesser. This is based on the reducing interest rate of OCBC from 4- 4.5% earlier to 4% (effective 3.8%- with 20% FD in saving account) and other banks like UOB and Hong Leong are all offering below 3.8%. Open a 3 months FD now will roughly mature in Dec and close to 2013. My gut feel Jan 2013 will probably can get only 3.3 -3.4% promotion interest rates by a few banks.
MBSB offers 4.7% rate for 5 years FD may be good for those want to lock in a longer period. MBSB plan to become a bank by Nov 2013. Hopefully we will have another good place for musical chair.
gsc,
Thanks. Emailed to my sister who works for a bank. She says the same thing about the lower FD rate trend now. Glad that I have decided on the 4.5% FD for 4 yrs in 2010. Ha.
Thanks for the infor on MBSB 4.7%. Will check it out. But don't know whether we have MBSB here. Big problem living in a small town.
While not trying to be right with the future FD rate trend all the time, my aim is to be 75% right and thus more FD $ for my durians. Still have not tried the infamous Musang Wan durian yet !
My lay-man's view :
* FD rate is now on the decline, inferring that the banks expect a drop in the OPR in the next 12-24 months.
* Local economy is not over-heating that requires govt to increase OPR to "cool" down the markets. Thus no change to the OPR lately.
* But govt wants to dampen the property market with a higher interest rate. Interest rate has an impact on other sectors as well and govt may opt for other instruments specifically on the property market, e.g. higher RPGT, lower allowable bank loan %, etc etc. I think govt will go for this route. Wait for the Budget 2013 and see.
* When will global economy recover ? It has been since 2008, 4 years now. Lasting 2-3 years was my initial thought. My view is, the QE thing is just dragging the problem and not solving the root cause of the problem. A new QE3 has just being announced (US election related ?) and may see signs of "recovery" with higher share indexes around the globe.
* My look forward - another global crash in 2013 and hopefully this will be the start of our real recovery. OPR on the increasing trend from 2015 onwards.
I am not an econmist, accountant, financial planner etc etc. Just an engineer. The economy outside is much more complicated than 1+1 = 2. I may be 100% off the track and so please read it with 1 kg of salt. Ha.
Moderator, if this discussion is not allowed in this thread, please let me know. Thanks.
My 3.8 cents.
Cheerio.