QUOTE(GoldChan @ Dec 16 2011, 08:35 AM)
paper gold will collapse one day lah.
for something that is virtual traded 50x more than physical. It will be gone soon.
just like you take chances with paper gold some take chances on physical.
bank default is a big event affecting a lot of people. if it comes almost everybddy will kena.
theft, flood, fire is small event affecting few people thus it occur more often.
thus, statistic is not applicable for this scenario.
It 's just like saying/comparing how many people kill by accident vs Tsunami 2004 in Indonesia.
5-10 years is a long 2 time agree. Average insurance policy lasted 20-30 years, some protect up to 70 yrs old
Thus if you compare 5-10 years for insurance + presevation of wealth purchasing power then it's not long. it just short
in any financial planning, you should have some cash + insurance in hand any time. in case anything happen just used your cash.
I believe 20 years ago for average citizen, 1991 one may have 10K cash in hand for emergency, now maybe 20K in hand for emergency and
insurance policy protection up to 100K to 1 million.
the insurance can be in the form of gold, in 1991 you may get at USD400.oz x RM2.5 = RM1000 per oz.
if you keep 10 oz in 1991. then now it is RM50,000.
so it;s a form of insurance base on your saving.
thus, it an saving insurance. when you need $ just sell it.
whether paper gold can achieve that integrity and commitment for the next 10 - 30 years remain a big Question with lot of bank default in USA, europe, etc in recent years.
Added on December 16, 2011, 8:41 amindeed fiat do solved our problem for 98 years but creating many2 more indirect problems which one wish not to encounter.
such as unaffordable housing in SG, Taiwan, HK and also malaysia.
when USA use gold as currency prior to 1913, there was no inflation for 200 years 1700s - 1913 with some exception during the civil war.
paper money also created War.
with unlimited ability to print $$$, government can go to War , e.g WW2.
the indirect;y steal the saving from public by massive printing press, to fund their political agenda war, social program U name it.
if all $ is limited by gold, the war will lasted less than 3 month after that no more $ to fund everything else.
WORLd peace.

Paper gold will collapse one day?
Ok, I wait, but I don't have another 98 years to wait.
Flood, Tsunami, fire, house collapse is small event?
Ya, for macro sense, small, but if your entire saving is in physical gold, and your stored gone due to those "small" event, it is BIG event for you.
But others don't care whether you loss entire saving in those small event.
But if bank default, it affects everyone on the street, everyone, gov, will try to prevent those happen.
Everyone can kena means good thing to have. Everyone will resort whatever measure to stop it happen.
See how 2008 global crisis, everyone try to prevent bank from collapsing, same with current Europe crisis.
So which has higher chance to happen,
disaster or so called small event happen all the time, which can result in loss in entire saving in physical,
or
Bank default?
Lot of bank default in USA/Europe?
Who? Where got?
May be except Lehman which is investment bank, not ordinary consumer/retail bank.
Those go under are not defaulting but under receivership or taken over by FDIC, or locally, BNM taking over those financial institution that having problem. It doesn't mean directly bank defaulting and customer saving/account with the bank gone.
No one can deny fiat money has been working for 98 years, or even more.
Value of currency drop?
I am not comparing cash vs gold, I am comparing paper vs physical, if paper gold is not collapse, and bank doesn't default, both are the same aka gain you the same amount of money, forgot physical all the while since gold futures exist, physical gold pricing is following paper gold. Not the other way round.
Don't need keep on stressing how good gold is, I am comparing paper gold vs physical gold, not cash vs gold.
If not because of fiat money, and money is limited by gold, we don't type and discuss gold here already.
Economy is hindered by limited amount of gold.
Ya, world surely more peace, no internet, no economy grow, everyone plant their own rice, better life-style. I also support.
See the difference of economy grow between 1700-1913 and 1974 to 2011, the chance is enormous due to fiat money system.
OK I wait another 98 years...