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 Gold investment corner v4, Will gold price achieve USD2000 by 2012?

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cherroy
post Feb 4 2012, 01:29 AM

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QUOTE(ronnie @ Feb 4 2012, 01:11 AM)
Gold investment... if you wait longer the price goes up... still buy it as it will always go up in the long term
*
FD value also goes up in the long run with compounded interest. Somemore it is guaranteed. laugh.gif

I waited 24 years before, it never went up. 24 years consider long term or not? vmad.gif
cherroy
post Feb 6 2012, 09:36 AM

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QUOTE(CoupD'Etat @ Feb 5 2012, 10:41 PM)
Agreed. dun hold the piece of paper. it's worthless outside the malacca straits country.
gold is good to defense value shrinkage. unfortunately there is no interest if we do saving it.

recently, properties are increasing the value. my apartment bought 10 yrs ago in 80k, last 3-4 years value is 100k.
these 2 years can go up to 150k or higher.

invest earlier , the better return. biggrin.gif so do for gold and property. 

FD is a joke. especially RHB. we need to renew the FD every 3 years, else they wont provide further interest > 3 years if there is no renewal.
one more good thing is.... u cant renew it earlier.
*
Not only gold, a lot of hard asset can also, properties, silver, copper etc.

FD is not a joke for 24 years compared head to head with gold, it won with miles ahead from 1980~2004.
While if one invested in properties in Japan earlier like 1980's or US during 2006-2007, FD still won miles ahead.

Cash is not as bad as many think (yes keep cash forever is bad), cash let you to pounce and invest asset in bad time, or the asset price at distress time, capture opportunity, which can make your decent profit afterwards.

cherroy
post Feb 12 2012, 03:37 PM

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1gm physical is meaningless or not any economical and investment wise, if one want to invest in gold.
No offence. smile.gif
cherroy
post Feb 28 2012, 02:25 PM

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QUOTE(prophetjul @ Feb 28 2012, 08:08 AM)
Good points.

Plus hes a crony of their Yankee Fiat system.
Gold is anti US fiat system.

He cant go against the system and make $$$$ from it, can he?   hmm.gif


Added on February 28, 2012, 8:13 am
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Fiat system is going to stay very long time.
There is no better alternative even if the system has flaws. (at least at the moment)

Live in fiat system, then play the fiat system game. Adapting is the survivor skill.

Gold pricing at USD1770, or RM173/g also a fiat system game only.


Added on February 28, 2012, 2:31 pm
QUOTE(prophetjul @ Feb 28 2012, 10:45 AM)
Tells you WB is a pure fiat luver...........where gold is its antitype

Where was 'fear' from 2002 to 2008?  rolleyes.gif


Added on February 28, 2012, 10:48 am
He doesnt want to mention it......fear of collapse of the Financial system that he(WB) believes and
thrives in..........

He has mentioned many times........USA will be better.......Oil at $105 is no problem for US economics.
Unemployment will improve..........blah blah spin
*
The fear on inflation, the interest rate is at historical low at that period of time, (after dotcom bubble burst), and inflation start to spike, everything rise at the period of time, oil also spike from USD 10~20 to USD>100
The low interest rate has fueled the inflation, with inflation fear, people start to look for hard asset, and gold particularly as traditional believe.

Financial system is just a money game around, as long as liquidity is injected, and confidence being restored, the fiat system party continue again.

This post has been edited by cherroy: Feb 28 2012, 02:31 PM
cherroy
post Feb 28 2012, 03:28 PM

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QUOTE(prophetjul @ Feb 28 2012, 03:01 PM)
Of couse fiat system will be there. As long as you have greedy Feds and globalists, you will have
fiat which they can MANIpulate.

We are playing the game alrite.........by buying gold as the trust in fiat wanes......

After the dotcom burst they had to create an environment of easy money/credit.
Otherwise recession would have come, thereby the low interest.
By extending this easy environment, they failed to see the many bubbles to follow
plus the manipulations of the fiat system, ie CDS, etc.
Many of these went below the regulatory radar, if any.

Came the subprimes till today. Started with commercial subprimes and now we see sovereign subprimes
like Greece..........the bubbles are still slowly bursting slowly and painfully with more soveriegn downgrades
to come......stay in fiat at yer own risk    nod.gif
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We are in fiat system since first day we are born.
Whether one own gold, hard asset, stocks, all just a parcel of fiat system.

Gold doesn't have a value without money, at current system.
Gold has a value become the existence of money.
cherroy
post Feb 28 2012, 04:16 PM

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QUOTE(ben3003 @ Feb 28 2012, 04:02 PM)
u mean they earn alot from u, but they give u the dividen very low rate? Cos from what i've heard, u get 1.8% to 2.5% interest per month for 6 months.. then after 6 months u can opt to sell back at the SAME price u buy it, meaning u are not losing anything at all. Need clarification rather than bashing tho.
So you mean if now there arent any issue with it, only when in the future they will face problem? Because as i said on top, you are not losing anything at all. I am not Genneva seller, i am a new to investment and i wanna do investment, so need to do some research.
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Genuine gold investment doesn't give you interest nor dividend one.
Please get the first basic right on gold.

Gold cannot grow, cannot yield, cannot give you interest, cannot give you dividend.
cherroy
post Feb 28 2012, 04:43 PM

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QUOTE(ben3003 @ Feb 28 2012, 04:27 PM)
oh ok.. so this is more to a MLM gold investment hybrid la.. cos actually my father is into this Genneva thingy and the whole idea of it is kinda interesting to me, but i think alot ppl saying it is a scam, which i felt like u are not losing anything when u buy their gold cos in the end of the day they gonna pay u the dividen and sell back at the price u buy. Perhaps the concept is different, that's why ppl are arguing on it.
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The concept of gold investment is buy gold and own it. End of story.

Gold is not MLM.

Gold is about buy RM173/g today, and if future price is RM200, you earn the money from it.
As simple as that.

Gold is not stock market or company, unless one invests in gold company shares, gold is not yielding any interest or dividend one.
cherroy
post Feb 28 2012, 09:30 PM

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QUOTE(loongchai @ Feb 28 2012, 05:52 PM)
You can't equate gold or properties (hard assets) with fiat money. Money is just a denomination of value, it has no intrinsic value. If one day, ringgit drops by 90% of its value, would you still be able to buy a RM500k house at the same price?

By the way, fiat system was only introduced by the United States since 1971. I am sure some of the forumers here were born before that.

Added on February 28, 2012, 5:53 pm

Unlimited money is good? Ever thought of the negative effects of inflation?
*
USD just removed gold backed policy during 70's.
It has nothing to do with fiat.
And none of other currency being gold backed before, only USD did.
Gold backed just means, people can exchange the USD to equivalent of gold amount.
Which indirectly means, you limit the currency that can be printed only by the amount of gold you have. Nothing to do with fiat system, it is more like self control mechanism and instill confidence on your money.

Fiat system already exist before the gold backed removing.

Money has no intrinsic value, so does properties, and gold.
Any value we given, like
RM 1 is RM1,
1 gram of gold is Rm175,
1 house worth RM500k

is given and perception by human kind in the fiat system.

Rm1 is just a paper printed RM1 that we have confidence people willing to exchange goods with us.
Gold is value, because people perceive it has a value by human kind due to scarcity of the metal. If not, it is an AU yellow metal and good conductor metal.
Properties, is cement, rock, sand that make a space for human to live in.

Whatever value a gold, a property, a paper money, is given by us. Itself has no value, until everyone agree so.

Just like 2000, people agreed gold not worth much, only USD300, so gold value at USD 300 and can exchange goods equivalent to USD300.

Until one day, gold is constantly value like 1kg will forever let one to exchange a property or 100 tons of rice, or something like that, then may be it has some intrinsic value. But we know, it never happened before.


Added on February 28, 2012, 9:38 pmYou may not old enough to know gold lose its value in the loss decades of gold from 1980 to 2002.
So there is no such thing of intrinsic value, the value changed due to people perception all the time.

Yes, one may not lose entirely like fiat money (if defaulted or devalue) with gold. But gold can lose its value as well. Last time you can buy a bowl of mee with 0.01 g, but now you cannot buy the same bowl of mee with 0.01g now. So gold lose the value until now, (at least until now, after 25 years or so). In the future, it may gain you, I don't know, but this is a reality and facts, that whatever value is constant changing due to people perception.

This post has been edited by cherroy: Feb 28 2012, 09:43 PM
cherroy
post Feb 29 2012, 11:26 AM

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QUOTE(loongchai @ Feb 29 2012, 12:19 AM)
Fiat currency is directly related to the removal of the gold standard. If property or tangible assets does not have intrinsic value, what has?
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Nothing.
Value is always given by mankind and mass perception.

The removal of gold standard only let the Fiat system more freely.
It is not the start of Fiat system. It exist way before.
Just last time, economy is rather smaller, and has abundant of gold to used by US to back the currency.
But soon after WWII ended, economy expand rapidly, and way exceed gold production and available gold, gold backed become non-viable mechanism only.

And only USD has gold backed, none of other currency has gold backed before.
The gold backed only about USD, not related to GBP, RM, or the rest, so they are not Fiat

Just like GoldChan said, resources like oil and water is more valuable than gold. Gold is little use Au metal apart of its super conductivity which is rather niche market and application.
Gold is just medium of exchange. Itself only value when we perceive it is value.
cherroy
post Feb 29 2012, 02:38 PM

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QUOTE(loongchai @ Feb 29 2012, 12:37 PM)
I spotted contradictions all over your post. First you claim Nothing has intrinsic value, then you go on and claim resources like oil and water is more valuable than gold. You said the Fiat system exist way before the removal of the gold standard, then you go on and say GBP and RM are not Fiat currency. So please enlighten me what exactly is your definition of Fiat currency? rclxub.gif

The  scarcity of gold is no excuse to remove the gold standard. If anything, currency should be backed by a reserve (i.e. gold) to prevent over printing. If you don't have reserves, don't go printing (electronic) money out of thin air!

Just look at the chart below, inflation is almost non-existence prior to the 1970s (i.e. removal of gold standard):

user posted image
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There is no contradiction.

GBP, RM, or whatever currency in the world never being backed by gold.
Since when I said they are not fiat currency? rclxub.gif

Only USD was gold backed, and you claimed fiat currency only exist after the removing of USD gold backed. This is not true at all.
Fiat currency already exist way before USD gold backed.

Oil and water is more valuable, means they are useful. Gold is not.

Valuable /= intrinsic value. My definition of intrinsic value means they have a fixed value.

I claimed or my definition of no intrinsic value, means they do not store a fixed value. Value is constantly changing all the time, it can be more value, it can become less value.
Gold today value at RM175, 1980's time was RM30, future may be RM300.
So after lecturing to your kids that gold has intrinsic value,
Kids: what is the gold intrinsic value?
You : 1980's time, the answer is RM30, now RM175, future RM300 (the kid asked in 3 different time.
Kids : (Recall back the answer), you told me gold has an intrinsic value, how come you give me 3 answer?
You : ???

Fiat currency means you can print the money out of thin air, and define what is the value of it, aka print the note that write RM1, and become legal tender for RM1 equivalent of goods.

Even when USD being backed by gold time, they can print as their wish, as long as there is enough gold, which enable (if) someone want to exchange the USD to gold. Gold is just mechanism to self control on the creation of money.

Gold backed has a big flaw and cannot co-exist with modern banking system, as gold is scarce in the first place which hinder the economy growth, money growth. Just you bank cannot loan you money and charge you interest, as your "gold" is not digged out or enough yet to pay the interest. Money cannot become more due to gold scarcity.
Yes, it will prevent inflation to happen in the process.

Inflation spike because of money growth, yes removing gold backed give freedom to print more money, no doubt it somehow contribute to inflation. But from 1970's onwards, we have economy booming around the world, new tech, new stuff created. For the last 20-30 years, the world economy has changed so much, size of economy become larger, the amount of money circulating become more.

I also wish inflation being tamed.
Fiat currency if self controlled properly is the key. Gold backed just instill the self controlled mechanism. But gold backed has major flaw as it can hinder growth of economy, as you need to dig more gold before someone has extra money.
cherroy
post Feb 29 2012, 09:36 PM

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QUOTE(prophetjul @ Feb 29 2012, 06:26 PM)
You assumed intrinsic value has to be fiat related. It does not.
i told you before: an ounce of gold is an ounce of gold
i can also tell my kids.......an ounce of gold bought a suit in 1920.........an ounce of gold buys a suit in 2012

i agree that gold cannot co exist with the modern fiat system. As you have mentioned it regulates the fiat system
so the Powers cannot have that and manipulate the system like they can nowadays by creating out of thin air.
But gold backing s not a flaw as we have seen the troubles unregulated printing does.
Hyperinflation and misery to the common people while the Powers can laugh and control at their whims.

self control of fiat currency is a pipe dream where the purpose of fiat is ensure NO CONTROL.
i think we missunderstood you there.

BTW Sterling pounds was backed by gold and silver.
Thus the term sterling.........
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Unless we change to gold as medium of trade/exchange.
Yes, I agree with you an ounce of gold is an ounce.

But
kid : Father what is the use of an ounce of gold? Can I use it to buy sweet, toy, Ipad?
Father : No, they don't accept gold as payment.
kid : Then what is the use of an ounce of gold? Can I chew them? biggrin.gif
Father : Gold is valuable, you can buy toy, Ipad by selling the gold to get the fiat money the pat for it.
kid : Oic, cannot buy with an ounce of gold, but can only buy with fiat money. Gold never to convert to fiat money term/value before can buy.


Added on February 29, 2012, 9:37 pm
QUOTE(potenza10 @ Feb 29 2012, 08:19 PM)
Back in 2001, 1oz of KE can buy me 217 plate of chicken rice at RM4.

Now in 2012, 1 oz of KE can buy me 710 plate of chicken rice at RM8!  flex.gif

Start buying gold and stock up guys!
*
Yes, it is true, but my bowl of mee on 1980's still missing half a bowl. cry.gif

This post has been edited by cherroy: Feb 29 2012, 09:37 PM
cherroy
post Mar 1 2012, 10:04 AM

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QUOTE(berdorki @ Mar 1 2012, 09:52 AM)
But just curious...why is it that when the world price for gold is high, UOB's price didn't rise. When world price drop, UOB fall.

I'm thinking to invest some now, but possible to drop even lower?
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You need to take into account of USD-RM exchange rate as well.

Gold price rise, but USD-RM exchange rate fall then you won't see much increment in term of gold price in RM. Yesterday, USD-RM once fell below Rm3.00.


cherroy
post Mar 1 2012, 02:58 PM

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QUOTE(klthor @ Mar 1 2012, 12:46 PM)
i think gold vs Us share market is related. when share market doing well, investor buy shares and let go of gold. but when eco doing bad, share doing bad, investor all run back to gold. so DJ now green wrold, gold would be falling. thats what i know
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Not actually.

Gold react towards QE, and cheap interest rate, loosely monetory policy.
Share market is not the one influence the gold generally.
Share market money generally or mostly don't go into gold one, if people scared about share market and sell, majority of those money flocked to treasuries and gov bond one, not primary into gold.
Gold market is way smaller than stock market and bond market.

When economy is doing badly, everything drop, see how gold price dropped during 2008 crisis time.
It is after Fed adopted loosely monetory policy and massive QE, then gold rose back up again.

DJ was dropping yesterday, when gold has one of biggest plunge that we see in recent years.
Both stock market and gold are performing quite well for the last 2 years or so.

When Fed or central banks said want to print money or QE, then you see gold shoot up like rocket.
When said economy is good and don't need QE and want to hike interest rate time, gold price is going nowhere or dropping. This is what happened yesterday.
cherroy
post Mar 2 2012, 03:13 PM

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QUOTE(hackwire @ Mar 2 2012, 01:04 AM)
in this chart, what it tell me is that the gold price can drop and maintain at low value for couple of years and the gold price may soon reaching it's peak . in year 2000 not far away, price actually stood at 400 ..
*
Couple of years?

I need to wait 2 decade! cry.gif
cherroy
post Mar 2 2012, 05:34 PM

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QUOTE(daedalus @ Mar 2 2012, 04:08 PM)
I don't know if you guys realize but the value of gold has been the same for a long long time.
I wait for 2 decades and yet the value is not the same yet. cry.gif
cherroy
post Mar 7 2012, 12:59 PM

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QUOTE(ronnie @ Mar 7 2012, 12:52 PM)
Perhaps US stock market doing well.... let's wait for it to drop further  drool.gif  drool.gif  drool.gif
*
Yesterday DJ plunged 200 points. tongue.gif
cherroy
post Mar 9 2012, 12:20 AM

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QUOTE(positiva @ Mar 8 2012, 09:02 PM)
physical safer and value preserved. Paper is dependent on the institution that gives it out. Banks can close anytime, better to put money into physical. Safer. Like buying land/houses
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Yes, I agreed.
But please give us real example that bank can close at anytime, instead spreading this kind of fear (I knew this risk does exist, but this kind of word can be deem as irresponsible comment aka bank can close down anytime)
We have hundred and thousand banks around the globe, even Malaysia has 10+ banks around (after many merger round), please tell us which bank has closed down simply.

Physical safer?
The chance of getting being robbed or stolen is less than banks close down? I first time knew it.
I only knew land and house cannot be stolen, buy physical gold can.

Value preserved? I did it 30 years ago, it never preserve, who lie to me? cry.gif
cherroy
post Mar 9 2012, 10:34 AM

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QUOTE(prophetjul @ Mar 9 2012, 08:23 AM)
http://www.fdic.gov/bank/individual/failed/banklist.html

Some may say thats US.
Well, it may never happen in Msia. BUT there will be bailouts if
there is a CURRENCY crisis.....GloBALLY.  To this, never say never.
Bailout would mean CEntral Bank printing money to gear up the
balance sheets like what the ECB is doing..........printing out of thin air.

Hyperinflasi, anyone?  biggrin.gif

http://www.zerohedge.com/news/switzerland-...ck-new-york-fed
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Bingo, central banks and gov would rather print money for bail out the banks and financial system instead let the banks failed that could have catastrophic consequence to the economy.
So the risk of banks unfolding or so called "close shop at anytime" is minimal, (I never say never or won't smile.gif )

I would worry about inflation instead of worry "banks can close shop anytime"

cherroy
post Mar 9 2012, 10:48 AM

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QUOTE(prophetjul @ Mar 9 2012, 10:41 AM)
Technically the banks have ALREADY FAILED.............  thats why they need intervention.
How come they always save the TOO BIG TOO FAIL and not the small ones?    rolleyes.gif

Printing the money basically is a legalised thievery used by the Central Banks.
It means your 1USD in your savings account is slowly/hastily diluted to maybe 30 to 50% of its value or more
depending on the issue of M2.
AND this is through NO FAULT off the depositor! 

SO INflation is Thievery........ the institution may not close shop, but your
savings is diminishing slowly...... 

So back to your contention that theres more likely theft of physical gold........
well theres your legalised theft of paper in your savings account    biggrin.gif
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Bro, we are talking banks fail or not in the previous statement.
Whether technically the bank has failed or not, doesn't matter for ordinary folks that invested in paper gold with the bank.
The ultimate question is the bank still open?
Yes.
The bank fulfill the the gold price according the Comex futures gold pricing/movement?
Yes.

End of story. rclxms.gif
cherroy
post Mar 9 2012, 11:21 AM

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QUOTE(prophetjul @ Mar 9 2012, 10:59 AM)
Simple minds fed by simply manipulated media create simply foolish public........

You talked about theft as well...

The banks have failed......one fine  day the failure will be so big that in one day
they might find that their Rm1 becoming 30 sen IN ONE DAY like the Argie peso in the 90s.  nod.gif
*
I am simple person, I am not sophisticated as you.
I only know everyday I go to bank for the last 40 years, all banks open, never fail.
I only banks fulfill their promise every cent and my paper gold is according to gold market price.

One day? Which day?
I cannot even know next month or next week event.
One day? Never mind, as I may no longer exist already. biggrin.gif

Rm1 become 30 cent?
I experienced before RM2.50 USD within months become RM4.30.
I experienced how a bowl of mee come from RM0.20 to now RM4.00.

I taught previously said print money can bail out already, why now said banks failed again?
I am really confused now. biggrin.gif

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