QUOTE(cruzzie73 @ Nov 24 2011, 10:33 AM)
Nobody (not us retail investors) knows what exactly is happening to gold and silver but technical analysis tells that both metals are still trapped with the bear. The return of the bull can only be confirmed when their prices break the resistance at 1750 and 35 and able to stay beyond there for at least 2-3 days. Till then, we may be seeing further drop. For silver, if it does drop, next strong support will be at 29, if that's broken, it will test 25.5, and if that's broken, it will test the level where lots of silver investors have been longing for, 23.5 (this is the latest updated level from the earlier targetted 22.5).
Disclaimer: This is what I see from technical analysis, this does not serve as an investment advice. Do not make your investment decision based on this piece of opinion without further research on your own. As mentioned earlier, nobody really knows what's going to happen.
Just sharing,
Cheers.
I think we are in short supply of analysis like this for a long time. And no need to put in disclaimer lah, we are here to share our point of view and if anyone really take your word for it, well they are just too lazy to do their homework and finding someone to blame for mis-management of their investment.
Like I was sharing with someone, there was mention of another round of margin call soon, not sure when, but like your analysis, the price was aiming at below USD 30 and a possible of USD 25 as the final resting place, before rising to heaven. ha ha....
Yet, market are just not so predictable, if anyone have such info, please share.

Good luck guys!!
chef
Added on November 24, 2011, 6:52 pmQUOTE(chrischin @ Nov 24 2011, 01:37 PM)
Cruizzie73, thanks for the technical readings. Do post them more often.
Taurus, thanks for continuing the 2nd part of the story. After some long hard look, finally got myself into what chef called the "poor man's gold".
I have a slightly different method of investing in silver. From what i could get currently, the 1oz bars is not much different from the 5oz or 10oz bars (in terms of pricing per oz). So, for that reason, i do not mind investing in just the 1oz bars. For storage, the 10oz bars are good - keeping things neat and tidy, even in small space. The 100oz is just cumbersome. Too rectangle to be used as a dumb-bell and maybe difficult to dispose off in the future. So, for the time being, i am still sticking to the 1oz bars and maybe some more 10oz ... until a time when i can find really cheap source of 100oz bars (a very minimal premium above spot).
Nevertheless, i am of the view that the gold to silver "investment" ratio ideally is 2 to 1. For every dollar of silver, the investment portfolio should hold 2 dollars in gold. And out of this, two-third in physical and one-third in paper. Reason? In case i need to liquidate/sell, paper has very low spread and is extremely liquid. Physical pm is simple for long term investment. How long? Probably a very long term.
Just sharing my personal investment view point.
Added on November 24, 2011, 1:54 pmOh and Chef,
Mysmartgold is quite ok to deal with, though parking there is a bit of a struggle and they are perpetually running out of the 50g pamp bars.
And no and yes, i do know people who always has a 10g pamp in their wallet. Well, just like people wearing a Rolex except much cheaper and easily traded for $ when needs arises,
If you happen to be around mysmartgold area, give me a buzz and we can go for a drink, (and no, i dont work for them).
I'm hoping to graduate to gold someday. Like what you said, silver really takes up a lot of space. True, we all know from long ago posting, silver is undervalue, no doubt about it, and that one day it will rise to lower ratio in relation to gold (as taurusbull recently reminded us about it) But keeping them is becoming a hassle. I sure hope one day I can go jogging with a few bars of gold like you, ha ha...
Then we have the other discussion about paper investment and physical, never ending discussion also. But I have recently come to realise what you said is very true, as long as we don't go back to stone age, paper investment for silver IS VERY LIQUID. No need to advertise, haggle and deliver, just walk to the counter and say "sell it, update my book" and that's it! money in the pocket. Or if done online, just click click and money in your bank. By the way, can recommend where and how you trade paper silver? can give some pointers? Would like to study it.
Sure, I'll look you up, I was around there but not looking for mysmartgold though, went to some old building nearby to meet a customer. Are you walking distant to his shop? I hate looking for parking space, especially those triple parking area.
chef
Added on November 24, 2011, 7:10 pmQUOTE(kakiayam @ Nov 23 2011, 07:48 PM)
guys, dont know whether you guys facing this kind of problems. As we see the gold price raise up to 1900+ and suddenly drop to 1500+, its 1700 now but your parents especially father will say something beside your ears. Normally they will say the gold price is unstable now, it is keep dropping and dont buy it now until it stable. For me i think its really nonsense because how could someone without any knowledge in gold/silver
is asking you not to buy it now. The above case also happen for those who trade in stock market or forex.
Well, I do face this problem too, people telling me not to buy gold, price is high, wait till it's stable or manageable.
Then gold price will be around USD 2,500 per oz. AND THEN you buy.

( I am kidding....)
Your future is in your hand, how you live your next hour, day or weeks, are based on the decision you make yourself, people around you can only advise. You should not blame anyone if you take the wrong advise, because in the end, you make the decision to follow the advise, so it is still your own decision what you should do, and you live the consequences of your decision.
buy or sell? study the market, listen to market expert, or common people like us here, who just share our thoughts about gold and silver. But I think the general sentiments is, gold and silver will appreciate in value in years to come. At least everyone here believe that. So if you need re-enforcement of your believe in Precious Metal, just come here and talk to us.

we will boost your confident level.
On the other hand, I have talked to my friends about silver, nobody is interested. Gold, people think I'm growing old already. ha ha.... Anyway, still the same advise from everyone here, buy with your spare cash, gold or silver. keep it to yourself. On the other hand, if you are borrowing money from your dad to buy, then well, you really have to explain your way out...

chef
This post has been edited by chef: Nov 24 2011, 07:10 PM