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 STOCK MARKET DISCUSSION V98, Celebrating KLCI breach 13xx point

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cherroy
post Sep 26 2011, 02:58 PM

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QUOTE(simonc @ Sep 26 2011, 02:56 PM)
Follow by minor rebound, then continue to slide to 1300..?
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My noob guess, unlikely if market rebounded from here.
Tomorrow may be.

Panic mode calm down already.
cherroy
post Sep 26 2011, 03:09 PM

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QUOTE(primepeng @ Sep 26 2011, 03:04 PM)
Based on past TA, oversold situation hit a few times during major recession.
1997/1998  - ten times below RSI 30
2008          - only five times below RSI 30

Today, the market oversold below RSI 30 for the second time. and historical data also shows that minor recession only took you two time oversold to rebound, especially within the ten year non-major recession period.

Tip: The faster it drops, the earlier we nibble.

boy can't wait.
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Agree. icon_rolleyes.gif

QUOTE(tchtax @ Sep 26 2011, 03:08 PM)
Why is Nymex and Brent  disparity so great, guys?
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Since after the Libya issue, Brent premium is staying like that already.
cherroy
post Sep 26 2011, 03:21 PM

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QUOTE(mopster @ Sep 26 2011, 03:18 PM)
hmm... basically we've a few things to price in...
~EU Debt/Default issue..
~US stagnant growth, possibility stagflation..
~Global Recession.. cooling down of BRIC growth...
~M'sia GE13...

Assuming we've priced in 1/4... we still have 3/4 to price in... hmm.gif
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My noob guess is, at current pricing, we could already pricing in at least more than 1/2 already.
cherroy
post Sep 26 2011, 03:22 PM

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I decided to buy the index, instead individual stock at least for current situation.
cherroy
post Sep 26 2011, 03:25 PM

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QUOTE(gogo2 @ Sep 26 2011, 03:24 PM)
FBM KLCI EA?
*
Futures.
cherroy
post Sep 26 2011, 03:56 PM

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Europe market turn green.
cherroy
post Sep 26 2011, 04:03 PM

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QUOTE(mopster @ Sep 26 2011, 04:00 PM)
very likely FF pull out of Asia and go back to buy their own cheap stocks... that could explain why DJ and Dax never go below 10k and 5k despite falling everyday >2%
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Dj is very strong index, supported by IBM, P&G, Boeing, McD, 3M, Chevron, if they included Apples, even stronger.

As DJ is price weighted index, as long as those high price stock hold up, the index will be holding up well.
cherroy
post Sep 26 2011, 04:06 PM

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QUOTE(gogo2 @ Sep 26 2011, 04:05 PM)
KLCI want to follow DJIA. That's why I don't think KLCI will drop until 1000.
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Coincident KLCI also 30 stocks?? whistling.gif laugh.gif
cherroy
post Sep 26 2011, 04:12 PM

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QUOTE(fergie1100 @ Sep 26 2011, 04:06 PM)
taiko.... anything in mind to shop?  tongue.gif
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I only nibbling index just now.
cherroy
post Sep 26 2011, 04:19 PM

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QUOTE(soul2soul @ Sep 26 2011, 04:16 PM)
sien all the counters I want to buy like maxis and axiata still holding up nicely...

PUblic bank / maybank look cheap....
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Banking/financial stock is always the first and hardest hit whenever economy run into problem.


cherroy
post Sep 26 2011, 04:22 PM

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Futures now 1330 rclxms.gif

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