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 US stock discussion v4, Bulls-Bears HUAT AH!! Pigs get slaughter

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danmooncake
post Sep 27 2013, 08:56 PM

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QUOTE(yok70 @ Sep 27 2013, 04:45 PM)
this weekends bring family eat kfc loh, no go 5 stars hotel.  biggrin.gif
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It will be eat-at-home only. No eating out. Kaya and toast bread. wink.gif

This post has been edited by danmooncake: Sep 27 2013, 08:57 PM
danmooncake
post Sep 30 2013, 09:36 PM

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Finally, SP500 dips below 1680, right at 50ma.

US govt going shutdown.. nice dip!! biggrin.gif
yok70
post Sep 30 2013, 11:30 PM

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QUOTE(danmooncake @ Sep 30 2013, 09:36 PM)
Finally, SP500 dips below 1680, right at 50ma.

US govt going shutdown.. nice dip!!  biggrin.gif
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so mild.....so far. biggrin.gif
danmooncake
post Sep 30 2013, 11:59 PM

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QUOTE(yok70 @ Sep 30 2013, 11:30 PM)
so mild.....so far.  biggrin.gif
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Bounce off nicely from 1680 (50ma). Holding here... biggrin.gif
yok70
post Oct 1 2013, 02:52 AM

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confirm shutdown.
market no response..... cool2.gif
danmooncake
post Oct 1 2013, 12:15 PM

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QUOTE(yok70 @ Oct 1 2013, 02:52 AM)
confirm shutdown.
market no response..... cool2.gif
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govt shut - like last time. Non-event... maybe 1-2% pull back.

But, Oct 19. Debt ceiling.. if they ignore this one. then, we'll get 1000 pts drop. brows.gif
mikehwy
post Oct 1 2013, 11:51 PM

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The gradual (but expected short-lived) shutdown

How 'bad' can it be ??

Good reading for statistics lovers, here >>




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Attached File  shutdown.pdf ( 102.48k ) Number of downloads: 28
yok70
post Oct 2 2013, 12:20 AM

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so bullish... tongue.gif
danmooncake
post Oct 2 2013, 12:24 AM

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QUOTE(mikehwy @ Oct 1 2013, 11:51 PM)
How 'bad' can it be ??

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It's not that bad..(nat parks shutdown, non-essential fed agency shutdown, no passports issued) but prolonged it may somewhat affect GDP.

Let say.. the two parties in congress still do not want to budge and the Obama doesn't want to give in either for the next 17 days and they don't care about the debt ceiling (different issue of course), the market could react. However, Uncle Ben still got his PUTs on the market so far.

Let say if Uncle Ben decides to really takes off the 'taper' and remove the PUTs on schedule. and no resolution to both earlier issues, then we'll see a real violent reaction to the downside! I have not see 1000+ points drop for long time. Don't mind see blood again.. (want to bargain hunt here) brows.gif

But, meanwhile, US free market economy could be proven to be decoupled from the govt. When the govt shuts down.. the market actually rallies. tongue.gif

This post has been edited by danmooncake: Oct 2 2013, 02:13 AM
mikehwy
post Oct 2 2013, 08:15 AM

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17/10 could have slightly greater impact on the global economy, i think.
yok70
post Oct 2 2013, 01:13 PM

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QUOTE(mikehwy @ Oct 2 2013, 08:15 AM)
17/10 could have slightly greater impact on the global economy, i think.
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do you think they will reach there?
even now gomen shut down, lots of people already not happy and blaming the parties.
This is a political game. If this game lower your future votes by upsetting the voters, then the politicians are considered stupid. And I don't think they are stupid.
cool2.gif
mikehwy
post Oct 2 2013, 09:59 PM

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QUOTE(yok70 @ Oct 2 2013, 01:13 PM)
do you think they will reach there?
even now gomen shut down, lots of people already not happy and blaming the parties.
This is a political game. If this game lower your future votes by upsetting the voters, then the politicians are considered stupid. And I don't think they are stupid.
cool2.gif
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haha. go tell the republicans...maybe they will listen to you le. we all will thank you alot. serious.

yok70
post Oct 2 2013, 10:10 PM

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QUOTE(mikehwy @ Oct 2 2013, 09:59 PM)
haha. go tell the republicans...maybe they will listen to you le. we all will thank you alot. serious.
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danmooncake won't thank me. He wants to ride the bear to earn abalone breakfast for the family. tongue.gif
mikehwy
post Oct 2 2013, 11:13 PM

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market could rebound. Letta won confidence vote at 3:1.

danmooncake
post Oct 3 2013, 12:04 PM

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QUOTE(yok70 @ Oct 2 2013, 10:10 PM)
danmooncake won't thank me. He wants to ride the bear to earn abalone breakfast for the family.  tongue.gif
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Ya.. family already went on diet last week. So this week, must feed them already. laugh.gif

Come 'mon. Ride it down with me... I want to see SP500 break BELOW 1675.. all the way to 1625 as next wave.
Even bullish people also want bears to come out and take control, so that they can buy cheaper. brows.gif

This post has been edited by danmooncake: Oct 3 2013, 12:05 PM
mikehwy
post Oct 3 2013, 11:11 PM

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lets hope j boehner can find a way out to allow a clean bill to cease shutdown.



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yok70
post Oct 3 2013, 11:25 PM

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on its way to 1675..... brows.gif
danmooncake
post Oct 4 2013, 10:03 AM

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QUOTE(yok70 @ Oct 3 2013, 11:25 PM)
on its way to 1675..... brows.gif
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Hee haw!!! biggrin.gif
mikehwy
post Oct 4 2013, 11:31 PM

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anyone saw tat begger j boehner in the US cnn mews interview? so funny and blow empty words until newsen were laughing at the back openly. there was even a spyshot of secret chat between two republicans about what to damand shd obama agrees to a discussion. haha.mm so strange

yok70
post Oct 5 2013, 02:56 AM

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QUOTE(mikehwy @ Oct 4 2013, 11:31 PM)
anyone saw tat begger j boehner in the US cnn mews interview? so funny and blow empty words until newsen were laughing at the back openly. there was even a spyshot of secret chat between two republicans about what to damand shd obama agrees to a discussion. haha.mm so strange
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please share the link. notworthy.gif

btw, market so bullish!! 2013 is really a bad year for bears. cool2.gif

This post has been edited by yok70: Oct 5 2013, 02:56 AM

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