Recession will be affect stock market as well, as USA's Congress and White House
will cut Budget spending and hike taxes.. Hence Ppls will reluctant to spend, and GDP/Big Companies Earnings will slump..

Expects poor companies Earnings, as ppls will save more $$$ and spend less..

( Source CNBC.COM ==>>> http://www.cnbc.com/id/49898014 ) Negative outlook for 1st 3qrtrs in year 2013??
Just for reference and sharing purpose.

Morgan Stanley’s Doom Scenario: Major Recession in 2013

The global economy is likely to be stuck in the “twilight zone” of sluggish growth in 2013, Morgan Stanley has warned, but if policymakers fail to act, it could get a lot worse.

The bank’s economics team forecasts a full-blown recession next year, under a pessimistic scenario, with global gross domestic product (GDP) likely to plunge 2 percent.

“More than ever, the economic outlook hinges upon the actions taken or not taken by governments and central banks,” Morgan Stanley said in a report.

Under the bank’s more gloomy scenario, the U.S. would go over the “fiscal cliff” leading to a contraction in U.S. GDP for the first three quarters of 2013. In Europe, the bank’s pessimistic scenario assumes a failure of the European Central Bank (ECB) in cutting rates and a delay of its bond-buying program.

But the bank says investors should also be nimble, in case policy action is “convincing and decisive,” leading to a big uptick in growth.

“Importantly, investors should keep an open mind and be prepared to switch between the scenarios as policy developments unfold.”

The bank’s most optimistic scenario forecasts GDP growth of 4 percent in 2012 compared to around 3.1 percent this year.

Morgan Stanley isn’t alone in warning about a recession next year. Noted bear, Nouriel Roubini warned on Monday that certain key developments would exacerbate the downside risks to global growth in 2013.

“Until now, the recessionary fiscal drag has been concentrated in the euro zone periphery and the U.K.. But now it is permeating the euro zone’s core,” Roubini wrote. “And in the U.S., even if President Barack Obama and the Republicans in Congress agree on a budget plan that avoids the looming “fiscal cliff,” spending cuts and tax increases will invariably lead to some drag on growth in 2013 – at least 1 percent of GDP.”

Roubini said the rally in global markets that begun in July was now running out of steam as global growth slows and valuations look stretched.

“Price/earnings ratios are now high, while growth in earnings per share is slackening, and will be subject to further negative surprises as growth and inflation remain low. With uncertainty, volatility, and tail risks on the rise again, the correction could accelerate quickly.”

Technical Chart Analysis = Hypothesis ??

Academics's Eugene Fama say the evidence for technical analysis is sparse and is inconsistent with the weak form of the efficient-market hypothesis. Users hold that even if technical analysis cannot predict the future, it helps to identify trading opportunities. In finance, technical analysis is a security analysis discipline used for forecasting the direction of prices through the study of past market data, primarily price and volume. Behavioral economics and quantitative analysis use many of the same tools of technical analysis, which, being an aspect of active management, stands in contradiction to much of modern portfolio theory. Stock market prices are essentially unpredictable.

For further information on above quote, click ===>> http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Technical_analysis E.g MACD, RSI, Elliott wave, Fibonacci, Stochastic oscillator ..etc

I think, the real HEALTH of the companies are the qrtrly financial statements/earnings reporting or financial ratios like current/debt/quick ratio, EPS, PEG, ROA, EV/EBITDA, ROE, P/E, ..etc..etc http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Financial_ratio

All the best.

Greetings + G'Day,

Las Vegas Sands(LVS) special dividend of usd 2.75 (about usd 2.26B) to its shareholders
on 18th Dec 2012 (per record on 10th December).

With qrtrly dividends, it will be huge Return Of Investment(ROI).

http://investor.lasvegassands.com/released...eleaseID=723215

Have a great day.

Greetings + G'Day,

Special Dividend = usd2.75 , Qrtrly Dividend = 25 cents = Year 2012.

Year 2013 = Qrtrly Dividend 35 cents and special dividend = ??

Republican hate tax hike in year 2013 and Sheldon prefer to have dividend this year ..

Have a great day.

Greetings + G'day,

Year to Date Yield in ( + / - %)

DJIA = 6.61%
S&P 500 = 12.62%
Nasdaq = 15.55%
Russell 2000 = 10.93%

Let see the last month of the year(Dec) performs ?

Have a great day.

This post has been edited by netmask8: Dec 1 2012, 08:41 AM

Greetings + G'Day,

Citigroup ( C ) will cut 11,000 jobs as part of restructuring actions in an aim to further lower expenses and improve efficiency.
Additionally, the bank said its fourth quarter pre-tax charges will total approximately $1 billion and projected annual expense savings
will exceed $1.1 billion starting in 2014.

Bank of America ( BAC ) is on 52 weeks price high.

Have a great day.

This post has been edited by netmask8: Dec 5 2012, 11:28 PM

Greetings + G'Day,

Apple(AAPL) tumbled more than 6 percent, pushed the Nasdaq into negative territory, logging its worst one-day decline in four years, following news that the company's margin requirements were being raised to 60 percent from 30 percent by COR Clearing.

Apple is down more than 20 percent from its record high of $705 in September 2012. Apple's chart is close to forming a 'death cross' , where the stock's 50-day moving average(MA) falls below the 200-day moving average(MA). People usually see the sign as a cue to sell.

AAPL closed at usd538 .Have a great day.

Bank of America Corp. (BAC), the second- biggest U.S. bank by assets, eclipsed $10 a share for the first time since July 2011, cementing its status as this year’s best performer in the Dow Jones Industrial Average.

Bank stocks rallied today as Citigroup ( C ) , the third-biggest U.S. lender, announced plans to cut more than 11,000 jobs and pull back in some markets, saving more than $1.1 billion annually.

Bank of America has boosted capital, sold more than $60 billion in assets and set a target of $8 billion a year in expense cuts. The lender’s quarterly dividend (BAC) remains stuck at a token 1 cent, where it has been since early 2009 after Bank of America took $45 billion in federal bailouts. The U.S. was repaid at the end of that year. JPMorgan Chase (JPM), the biggest bank by assets, and Wells Fargo (WFC), the biggest home lender, offer dividends of more than 2.6 percent annually.

Boosting the dividend “will be on the table” after the Federal Reserve stress tests in March, CEO Moynihan told employees in October. Regulators run the tests to see how well banks can withstand recessions and economic shocks, and the results help determine whether banks get permission for dividend increases and stock buybacks.

This post has been edited by netmask8: Dec 6 2012, 09:33 AM

MGM Resorts International ( MGM ) up ==>>

National Bank of Greece ( NBG ) ===>>

This post has been edited by netmask8: Dec 6 2012, 11:34 PM

Las Vegas Sands (LVS) ex-dividend date of December 06, 2012 and a cash dividend payment of $2.75 per share scheduled for December 18, 2012.

The board of directors of Las Vegas Sands is pleased to increase the quarterly dividend by 40% to $0.35 per common share, or $1.40 per common share per year, beginning in the first quarter of 2013. The company also declared its fourth consecutive quarterly dividend of $0.25 per common share to be paid on December 28, 2012 to shareholders of record as of December 20, 2012."

Shareholders who purchased LVS stock prior to the ex-dividend date are eligible for the cash dividend payment.

Year End 2012 = $ 2.75 plus 0.25 = $ 3 per unit, minus (Govt dividend tax 15%)
Convert to RM= "Ang Pow" for CNY 2013 ..

Sirius XM Radio ( SIRI ) announced its Board has approved a $2 billion common stock repurchase program. Liberty Media Corporation, the beneficial owner of approximately 49.8% of the company's stock, has indicated that it will participate in the company's share repurchases on a pro rata basis so that its relative ownership interest will not be affected by the program.

Sirius Board also declared a special cash dividend of $0.05 per share of common stock, payable on December 28, 2012 to stockholders of record as of the close of business on December 18, 2012. The company's preferred stock will participate in the dividend on an as-converted basis in accordance with its terms. The total amount of the cash dividend is expected to be approximately $325 million.

The U.S. economy created 146,000 new jobs and the unemployment rate slid to 7.7 percent.
The Labor Department's initial report for October showed a gain of 171,000 jobs.

Economy is gradually better, i think Fiscal Cliff = not a big problem, as auto tax hike + expenses cut agreed in year 2011.

Debt Ceiling is the main concern. Rating Agencies may downgrade its long-term prospect.

Have a great day.

Bank of America ( BAC ) and Lloyds Banking Group ( LYG ) are in 52 weeks price high .

For banking/financial company, got strong Gov 's support and hardly will close shop..

National Bank of Greece ( NBG ) ==>> Citigroup ( C )

This post has been edited by netmask8: Dec 8 2012, 07:50 AM

US Major Index Performance Year To Date

DJIA 7.67%
Russell 2000 10.98%
Nasdaq 14.31%
S & P 500 12.76%

Let see how month of Dec and whole year of 2012 will be ended.

---

Added on December 8, 2012, 3:59 pmAAPL stock is already down 20 percent for the quarter, but it's still up nearly 32 percent for the year.

AAPL still okay with 32% gained at the moment and able to beat many hedge funds/Warren Buffett 's ROI .



This post has been edited by netmask8: Dec 8 2012, 03:59 PM

Bank of America ( BAC ) touch 52 weeks price high.

X'Mas and Year-End Holidays .. Many leisure and gaming stocks are uptrend.
Bank/Financial stocks are hopeful for QE4 after FOMC.

MGM, LVS, MPEL, WYNN, C, BAC ..

Equity : Bond : Cash ratios == 60, 20, 20

Hope to reduce equity and bond ratios down by 5% each before X'Mas.

MPEL price is in 52 weeks high.

Year-End Window Dressing ==>> To make accounting/financial matter looks great for year 2012,
as well as for future/next year growth forecast/estimation.

It's a pleasure to share info with each of you – LYN is a company of people who not only are good at their knowledge and skills, but also are good to share info with(if they knew it). I look forward to 2013 with LYN viewers.

Patience is bitter, but its fruit is sweet ==> LongTerm Investment.

Time to have relax mind and go for holiday.