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 Are property prices going to up further? V3

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kidmad
post Sep 29 2011, 05:07 PM

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QUOTE(TheDoer @ Sep 29 2011, 04:13 PM)
Actually, "good cash flow" is subjective.

I think it all adds up.  How much cash you have, your current debts, your assets, your debt clearance history, amount being borrowed, collateral estimated price.

Not many people realise this but, Credit cards are considered debt as well.

If you have 2 or 3 CC, with 5K, 10K limit, each.   It's potential debt.

Another thing is, bonuses and commissions should not be considered as cash flow as they may caese at a blink of an eye.

This is how banks are suppose to evaluate.  If anyone says their loan agent falsified this info, or that the bank doesn't consider this.  Then I'd be seriously concerned about our banks.
*
Bro, have you taken any housing loan before? You know on top of your document for verification they will go through your CCRISS records right?

All your bad debts, your credit card info, your credit card limit.. everything would be there. there is no where for you to hide la. Your agent want to falsified? I don't think so he can do that.


Added on September 29, 2011, 5:14 pm
QUOTE(bearbearhong @ Sep 29 2011, 02:34 PM)
bro, got ur 2nd property? where? mind to share


Added on September 29, 2011, 2:35 pm
will it be lower?
*
Bro i got a Condo in Batu 3 Shah Alam (Puri Ayu). opposite of CSR. Rental there is high drool.gif drool.gif now still thinking to rent it out or stay my own. lol. Andalam beside of this condo is building up haha. U1 price already naik to 300k liao leasehold. Anyway i've been scouting for this condo for the past 3 years at the end i really think it's damn strategic, that is the reason why i bought there.

My mistake for the word all time low. haha listen too much to the boy band d la i think that's why.


Added on September 29, 2011, 5:24 pm
QUOTE(GangHo @ Sep 29 2011, 05:01 PM)
Agree. We need to lay out the criteria and define and thus making "good cash flow "objective"

In my own term and criteria, good cash flow means 0% of default within the brackets of the predicted & firm happenings.

In case of emergency, contingency fund has to be allocated.

Although we could not find any statistic to show whether any banker/agent falsify any information during application, it is evident that lots of ppl over-leveraged and unable to pay their loan during a crisis. Whether this is a reflection of falsifying information, it is up to individual judgement.

Moreover, there is also tonne of easy money waiting for you to tap. And the ironic part is the bankers hope that you only pay the minimum so that they could earn interest out of you. This is encouraging ppl to have more debts and bad debts in the making. Personally, I feel that this is a flaw in the system and a product of greed. Why can't we spend according to what we have and not what we yet to have(too much future money)?
*
Just to add on bro, a "good cash flow" to me is:
i pay my installment credit card debt rm600 per month
i pay my car installment rm600 per month
i pay my housing loan rm1.2k per month
i pay for makan makan everyday rm800 per month
at the list goes on. After deducting all this liability and you still have left. That is only consider a "good cash flow". If after deducting everything and it's 0 that is what we call no cash flow. haha

*Just a tip, if you want to convince the bank Just open a long term FD which can cover donkey years of your house installment. I'm pretty sure you can get the housing loan despite you are on maternity leave. (banks need your latest 3 month payslip which sometimes you might not able to provide)

This post has been edited by kidmad: Sep 29 2011, 05:24 PM
kidmad
post Sep 29 2011, 11:22 PM

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QUOTE(kh8668 @ Sep 29 2011, 11:11 PM)
30m ppl. 220k had declared bankrupt lor. i think tongue.gif
kidmad
post Sep 30 2011, 12:00 AM

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QUOTE(Fazab @ Sep 29 2011, 11:42 PM)
I think so too.

But not 30 million ppl.

Not many people can take up loan, not pay and get bankrupted. (Babies, too old, indigenous, etc)

Maybe only max 40%? = 12 million people?

Point is : there are people out there who borrowed beyond their means.
When they can't pay back, a lot of parties are affected.

True, a lot due to credit card and car loans, b'cos these are debts that catch up with you very fast.
Have mentioned this many time in this thread.

Now, are there those who borrowed beyond their means to buy houses? What happen if they can't pay?
This will only show up when most of the DIBS props comes VP in the next two years.

The consequence is logical and clear. Maybe that why nobody here wanted to even talk about it.

OK just me being dumb and repeating something obvious. Sorry. sorry sorry.  laugh.gif
*
why 12? I think they benchmark the entire pop of Malaysia la thats how they come out with debt crisis. The possibility if bankrupt because of home is so much lower compared to cc debt. Car. Personal loan and so on. Btw ptptn is also a debt I think if u have not paid u might have a bad ccriss record.

A vw polo can basically cover 9 years house loan. Main factor why I did not change to a better car.
kidmad
post Oct 3 2011, 02:15 PM

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QUOTE(bearbearhong @ Oct 3 2011, 12:33 PM)
heard of Puri Ayu, good that you have gotten ur 2nd property.

looking at the good cash flow, every month i left 0 after deducting certain % of saving and insurance payment  blush.gif
I do not have personal insurance yet bro, only gotten property to cover myself touch wood if anything happen to me, my gurl and my family would still have something left from me.

This post has been edited by kidmad: Oct 3 2011, 02:16 PM
kidmad
post Oct 3 2011, 11:12 PM

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QUOTE(twincharger07 @ Oct 3 2011, 10:34 PM)
one dun hav to die... just critical illness and disable or paralyze is enough to exhaust all the financial..
it is better to die and pass down the asset...
but the most fearful part is.. what if just cant die and cant sustain at the same time.. end up use up all the asset for hospitalization, and finally die but left nothing for the family...

those who has no insurance and no asset is even worst....
*
Haha no worries i have not purchase myself anything yet up to date but going soon. lol I understand the part of having critical illness thus i am moving towards it. I can't be doing everything at 1 go. Property 1st, some insurance to cover here and there. hospitalization and so on were all covered now my only concern if illness. guess need to get the 36 illness coverage for myself. biggrin.gif
kidmad
post Oct 4 2011, 12:25 AM

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QUOTE(twincharger07 @ Oct 3 2011, 11:16 PM)
better get 1 policy asap man...

usually, basic insurance comes first before anything thing else (investment, prop, etc)
*
i have the basic and lifetime insurance already. insurance company is really making hell load of money with all this extra packages.

QUOTE(phoenix69 @ Oct 3 2011, 11:29 PM)
Sigh... For the past 15 years I have been waiting for property price to go down in USJ. It never did. doh.gif
I waited and waited until I am bent and crooked.  cry.gif 
I surrender  notworthy.gif  and finally bought a place there this year .  sweat.gif
Wanted to enjoy having my own house in USJ before I die liao.  tongue.gif
*
grats! yeah no point waiting. To be honest. Even if next year it drop by 20% most likely the year after will shoot up again. Raw material prices keep increasing and once our petroleum depleted. Good Luck to all of us.
kidmad
post Oct 4 2011, 11:39 AM

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QUOTE(venven81 @ Oct 4 2011, 10:12 AM)
it's absolutely spot on there. the very fundamental to financial planning is to have insurance/protection first before anything else. when mishap happens at least we will be compensated for partially if not fully. what's the point of having damn lot of investment here and there (with no insurance) but one day got diagnosed with critical illness then need to use damn lot of moolah to get treatment. there goes all your so-called investment and provided the investment is liquid assets. if one day you pass on and left your family with no emergency fund coz all your so-called investment is not liquid assets, then how? let your family members suffer? plan it properly la bro!
*
I don't agree with that. But then this is a wrong section to discuss on this topic, i do hope we do not continue on here. You do not even have enough to feed yourself you go and buy insurance? I'll rather get a place stop renting and paying for others 1st. When everything is being settled down then only i start looking into protection. You what also don't have want to protect what?
kidmad
post Oct 4 2011, 03:15 PM

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QUOTE(bearbearhong @ Oct 4 2011, 03:01 PM)
7/10


Added on October 4, 2011, 3:03 pm

good point!

we should be curbing rising of Property price, at least to slow it down...

u r right, higher RPGT may got the seller to incorporate the cost into their selling price.  Meanwhile, the Developers may got affected too as ppl may not be in BBB mode so much when they think of the high RPGT.

imho, they should impose it on foreigner, and a lower RPGT on locals. perhaps they shud increase stamp duty instead of RPGT, the former will not affect transactions and also generate more $ for gomen
*
Bro i think that's not good enough, the rich ones would not give a damn. Increase in stamp duty 1 or 2%? they just pay upfront whatever their lawyer needs. This would only burden the lower income group and the middle income group. The government should curb the rising/buying of those who are cash load free.

Even with getting ppl to pay 30% deposit for 3rd property i still see people buying without any issue. Geram.
kidmad
post Oct 4 2011, 07:41 PM

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QUOTE(bearbearhong @ Oct 4 2011, 05:20 PM)
bro, thats the reality. most rich ppl are connected/linked...u know what i mean...

now they said coming budget to help low income group..sound scary to me, i was thinking what about those fall outside low income group  blink.gif
*
Well that's sad but true man. Can't agree more. Somehow this system really does not work to our favor. Houses are bought by some insiders even before they were open. Ppl are buying even without the need to apply for a bank loan. Haihz. As long as they do not control ppl from buying there is no way the house prices will go down.
kidmad
post Oct 9 2011, 01:31 PM

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QUOTE(bearbearhong @ Oct 9 2011, 01:14 PM)
Thats the prOblem, they didn't solve te problem bit add salt on the wound.

Helping seller to maintain or even pull up price of their property. Imagine, those first house scheme project are planned outskirts, price range rm220-400k, that of course 'encourage' higher price for subsale with better location.

Further to that, they allowed 100% financing, pay for 40yrs... Soon they may even say, ask yr next of kin to get involved as 2nd gen borrower.

The root of problem not rectified, or perhaps they didn't wan to...
*
Moving forward in order for us to solve our own problem, it's the best that we purchase as early as possible. It's hard to change the current government as it's not within our control the only thing we can do is to capitalize the current situation. Make it being favourable to ourselves and for our next generation.


kidmad
post Oct 11 2011, 07:08 AM

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QUOTE(cranx @ Oct 11 2011, 02:40 AM)
Rental and utility bill is expensive, other than that dollar to dollar, almost everything is cheaper.
*
Yeah not only that, buying power is higher. Cloths, Gadgets, transportation and yada yada. Everything seems cheaper by 2.3 if you are working there. Going into ikea for shopping is like heaven if i am earning dollar to dollar there. cry.gif
kidmad
post Oct 11 2011, 07:58 PM

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QUOTE(debtismoney @ Oct 11 2011, 06:26 PM)
http://youtu.be/IXXMSduH6YE?t=5m53s

http://youtu.be/R55IuZArAcY?t=12m56s

http://youtu.be/krhgH8D6rdI?t=48s
Have a look the videos, something not relevant again - "Our money is just paper, it's based on faith and nothing else. Every paper currency system (unbacked currency) that ever existed in human history had failed"

Guys, I hope you don't take this lightly, educate yourself and prepare for it.
*
Money is just paper so invest in property la. as simple as that. I seriously do not understand what is your problem...
kidmad
post Oct 11 2011, 08:25 PM

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QUOTE(Gary1981 @ Oct 11 2011, 08:20 PM)
Not invest in GOLD meh?
*
Only he will invest in Gold. biggrin.gif biggrin.gif biggrin.gif
kidmad
post Oct 11 2011, 11:25 PM

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QUOTE(debtismoney @ Oct 11 2011, 09:17 PM)
No one will be stopping you to invest in property, go get your second or third or fourth mortgage. Houses won’t go to zero but they will correct, every boom is followed by a bust.

My problem is I can't stop myself spreading the message, If you can't see the writing on the wall today, you will not see it tomorrow either, because you never tried to study it or simply cannot understand the current situation...
Bank of England announced another round of QE experiment (money printing) a few days ago...

I'm telling people what may be coming in the near future - world currency crisis, it's entirely up to you to sit back, think about it and take action, or continue to be ignorant or see me this useless advisor as a threat or competition in this forum...

http://www.ft.com/intl/cms/s/0/43e34a42-f0...l#axzz1aTgUnk6n
Australian housing bubble pops pops pops, 40% drop forecast?!

http://youtu.be/tJB4frVnilQ
*
Again. rclxub.gif rclxub.gif rclxub.gif seriously do you really think you can overthrown a government? raw materials most likely will shoot up due to shortage in MY and yet you were babbling about continuous currency printing in other countries?? Budget 2012 is increasing the borrowing power of the younger gen... What makes you think they would not try to attempt to get their 1st home? I was not as lucky as they were given the chance to get a 100% loan... But if today i were to know of that news, i am definitely going to go for it.

What's happening in Euro and US atm is a fact know by most of us. Does it relate back to the situation here in bolehland? Before replying, sit down, ponder abit and start thinking. Do you really think the Western will just be some sitting ducks and wait for the crisis to happen? laugh.gif Seriously? Property in MY is dirt CHEAP. you can still easily find condo at 250k - 400k. You call that expensive? It's either you are not cut fit for it because you have not earned enough or your just living in your own world trying to compare the properties here to the ones in GB, US, AU.


Added on October 11, 2011, 11:31 pm
QUOTE(debtismoney @ Oct 11 2011, 09:18 PM)
I believe he was talking about me wink.gif but not dare to call my name.
*
Seriously don't make me ask the question to you again. Someone at your level should be discussing on alternative to let our money continue growing instead of pumping all our cash into gold. the Investment corner is the other side of the forum not here. If you wanna keep talking about GOLD, please go there. There is a GOLD Investment corner specifically for this. Please post something constructive, stop taking article, clips and all sorts of funny news from tom d*** and harry. Continuous speculation is those who want the easy way out. What makes you think if the economy crumble you could stand a better chance to those who already establish their empire here in MY?

This post has been edited by kidmad: Oct 11 2011, 11:31 PM
kidmad
post Oct 12 2011, 08:04 PM

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@shaquenator

i think you miss the point here. I am saying it's still dirt CHEAP compared to the mentioned country by the guy. A 3 bedroom apartment in london will easily cost you 1M... Pound.. not RM. I am not the guy who took the comparison mind you.

And i do hope you think straight. Why should i invest in some other ppl's country when i can do the same in my own country? and since when i said that i am rich? In my opinion the properties here are still relatively cheap compared to our neighbours in Singapore which i think if you have a chance you should get your own unit yourself.

Now that the government is giving out 100% loan why not take the opportunity? Again, don't give yourselves 101 reason not to buy and continue renting. If you are staying with your parents then no hurry but if you are still renting? Why not use the money to pay for your own instalment instead of others?

This post has been edited by kidmad: Oct 12 2011, 08:05 PM
kidmad
post Oct 13 2011, 04:54 PM

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QUOTE(debtismoney @ Oct 12 2011, 09:38 PM)
Your logic is you can compared with other countries because properties in bolehland are still DIRT CHEAP, but when talking about housing bubble burst we cannot compared with other countries because we are so FAR AWAY?
You can but we are no where near to the mentioned countries in your statement.

Income of the people in the particular country is the key factor, yes we are DIRT CHEAP compared to Singapore/Australia, but how much Singaporean/Aussie are making? 3 times income of an ordinary Joe in KL?
Singapore making 3 times more? Do a dollar to dollar comparison. Don't come and tell me that ppl are making 3 times more money than me because the currency exchange is 3 times more higher. How much is HDB flat in Singapore compared to a Condo in Old Klang Road? What i am earning here in Malaysia if i convert them to SGD using dollar to dollar comparison, i would not even be able to purchase their condo in SG.

I'm not saying 250k-400k is not affordable, but investors are talking about 1k-2k psf these days, this is the bubble not the 250k-400k properties.
We are living in Klang Valley and most of the places are not @ 1k - 2k psf.

Trust me, the government guaranteed 100% loan will not do us any good! It will cause speculation frenzy and a false boom, follow by a greater crash! The US and Australian governments had done it, but all failed in tears.
Who doesn't know that? But the government still doing so for a certain reason. Btw if i am a freshie and in need of a home i will still go for the 100% of loan instead of renting from others.

Whoever wants to buy a house, save for the down payment, still can't afford it? Save until you can afford it, don't ever try to use credit cards and 0% balance transfer to pay for the down payment like some speculators do.
Again are you speculating yourself? Already told you to read more local news, those who went bankrupt most of them were because of personal loan, hire purchase and etc.
*
At the end of the day you are really contradicting yourselves. Initially all invest in GOLD. Start comparing properties from other countries. Talking about continuous printing of money. What's next? To me you are just giving me 101 reason not to buy a home but you still did not give us any solid argument on why the property price will drop.

Tell us something we do not know, i do wish the property prices will restructure with this i have a better buying power honestly, but base on facts that:
1) Not enough raw material for our so called MEGA Projects
2) Recession in other countries, which most likely lead quite alot of investors to SEA countries.
3) Natural Disaster in other countries, which most likely attract loads of ppl to Malaysia for their retirement age.
4) Knowing that there would be a couple of Huge Giant MNC will be opening operation offices in Malaysia. Even Top Glove would be expending their business and soon they would have mass hiring.
5) The increase of buying power due to gross wages, 3 years back Job & Career Section is debating on 2k as a fresh graduate salary, now all talking about 2.5k and above
6) ... yada yada. I do not wish to elobrate more but this are personal views on the current situation in Malaysia.

Personally i think Malaysia had a bright future ahead, IF we have a better management to our own economy.

This post has been edited by kidmad: Oct 13 2011, 04:56 PM
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post Oct 17 2011, 10:03 AM

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QUOTE(hazairi @ Oct 16 2011, 10:23 PM)
Don't just count on savings.
Try look at the stat of GDP.

FYI:

GDP per capita:

2007 - RM14.5k
2008 - RM15.2k
2009 - RM13.8k
2010 - RM14.7k

Total Household debt:

2007 - roughly RM400 Billion
2010 - roughly RM550 Billion

Our GDP is not increasing, but household debt is increasing. Even BNM is quite worried now.

The simple facts has spoken. Either you live with it or live in denial.. smile.gif
*
1) Again, that is overall in Malaysia. How many are contributing to salary tax atm? only 10% of the people, it means the living standard is still FREAKING LOW! So you tell me, the other 90% of the people with such high living cost now days and yet such puny pays, is there anyway they can live without a debt around them?

2) Most of those who went into bankruptcy, it's not due to Home Loan repayment. The percentage had spoken, those with personal loan, credit card, hire purchase and business loan are the contributing factor. cool2.gif

*You should choose to fix the problem in the first place. Bringing down the property prices will still leave us in denial.


Added on October 17, 2011, 10:12 am
QUOTE(hazairi @ Oct 17 2011, 01:56 AM)
If the interest rate goes high, there will be a few who won't afford to pay the monthly installment. They were paying $500 a month. Now they have to pay $1,000 a month because interest rates are 12 percent. What happens? They can't make the payment. What do they do? They sell the house, or they try to hang in there for a while until the house gets repossessed, and the bank sells it. Either way, the house is getting sold. The house then goes on the market, adding to the supply glut of homes for sale. It's not just this one family that's affected, because interest rates affect everyone. Suddenly, a large group of homeowners can't make the payments all at once.
*
GREAT, in this case we can join the others who go bankrupt! oh wait i forgotten to tell you, i am only paying 1/5 of my current nett income to serve my home loan repayment. I guess it's not a problem for me if it goes up to 12%. But what happen if i lose my job? Well.. if it really happen most likely you would lose yours as well. Let's plan together to curb this issue.

"!!!Wait... my job opportunity to wash the toilet and clean the rubbish had been taken by the foreign workers... God Damn!"

*This is one exact example if we do not do the right thing. Now that foreign workers are filling all the spot, i am expecting the employment rate to go down as well for the locals. disappointed with the government management.

Face the fact bro, everyone needs to plan for themselves. If you fail to plan you plan to fail. As simple as that. Those who are doing good in such situation what makes you think that you would be better than them when time comes? I believe most of us who are capable had already planned for the worst to make sure if there is anything happen, i would still have a backup plan. Question is.. Do you have one?

Paper money value is dropping everyday, your RM1 might be RM0.10 next day you know. By the time with 12% interest most likely my net income will be much higher compared to what i have now.

*No one is that dumb, % of interest will increase gradually if it really happen like what you've said, the government is asking for trouble. from 6.5 >>> 12??? well they are asking for RIOTS in whole nation if they do so.
*Those who are renting will not have a place to rent, those who are still serving their loan most likely will just bite on to 1 property and work their ass off in repayment.

This post has been edited by kidmad: Oct 17 2011, 10:12 AM
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post Oct 17 2011, 10:39 AM

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Another add on, while some of us are speculating the prices will go down further have you failed to notice that most of us who are posting in property section is still looking for a property, nearly all the new development in KV had been post up in lyn and i can still see loads of ppl buying.

This post has been edited by kidmad: Oct 17 2011, 12:13 PM
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post Oct 19 2011, 10:38 AM

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How come so many of us are speculating that the flippers are definitely taking a home loan? haha

There are a couple of person whom i know of who are buying house with cash under other ppl's name? I do believe there are quite a number of people who whom are cash load free.


Added on October 19, 2011, 10:39 amP.S: the housing which i am staying now in setia alam, there is so many empty slots!!! Owners do not even want to rent it out, most of them just put there and waiting for the new shopping mall completion. If they do not have the holding power i guess no one would ever want to do that.

This post has been edited by kidmad: Oct 19 2011, 10:39 AM
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post Oct 19 2011, 12:06 PM

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QUOTE(Fazab @ Oct 19 2011, 11:49 AM)
Repeat :  market is moved by the MASSES. Not one or two people.

(just like what we say here is unlikely to affect market. how many people read LYN anyway. so no need to get excited)

Repeat :  what is VP last/this year was purchased in 2007/2009 - these are the 'first wave' purchasers.
Yes, they have holding power, and we do not expect problem from them.
What is worrying are the 'second wave' purchasers, who jumps in later to flip when they see opportunity 'that must not be missed'.
These are the 'creative borrowers' who may or may not get burn.

repeat : I am hoping there is soft landing, and no one gets burn too badly.

repeat : until someone can provide data that there are no or insignificant number of such reckless borrowers,
perhaps we should not choose to ignore this factor, just because it does not fit our thinking.

We believe what we want. I believe there are many such people that's why I worry.

You can be optimistic. I still respect your stand.
*
You are wrong, Malaysia economy is controlled by a handful of people. Let's talk about Land itself and not more at this point. Myself i am borrowing but those whom i know from my parents generation... Most of them are cash load free. Maybe the community which i am in which gives me a different point of view i guess. hmm.gif hmm.gif

QUOTE(keith_hjinhoh @ Oct 19 2011, 11:49 AM)
lol, because it would be damn stupid to buy a property with cash and hoping for appreciation, taking so much of risk with their own money. and return isn't great either.

50,000 / 350,000 = 14% profit

50,000 / 30,000 (downpayment + interest) = 160% profit
*
.... I'm speechless with the way you calculated. haha i really gotta LOL hard. laugh.gif laugh.gif Where da hell you find 160% profit? hahaha Pay the bank back the money la. and now you have to fork up additional 10% if you are borrowing from the bank.

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