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 Are property prices going to up further? V3

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kidmad
post Sep 21 2011, 02:11 PM

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QUOTE(Fazab @ Sep 21 2011, 12:35 PM)
I was just re-reading this article from the Star last year
http://thestar.com.my/news/story.asp?sec=n.../nation/6900694
Sunday August 22, 2010
Car loan takers top bankruptcy list
By LEE YUK PENG
yukpeng@thestar.com.my

PETALING JAYA: At least 500 people who take out hire-purchase loans for vehicles are declared bankrupt every month.

The majority, comprising 37% (950) of the 2,565 cases in the first five months of this year, were aged between 35 and 44 years. (See Table)

.......
Ok, car loan not same as housing loan. But, worrying trend?
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Usually younger generations who drive pretty cars would not have a home on their own yet. tongue.gif well i'm just being biased but i am also part of the younger generation. If you compare ppl who take home loan and went bankrupt compared to those who took personal loan, business loan and hire purchase i think it gives you a slight idea on regards with our so called alarming household debt.

QUOTE(tchtax @ Sep 21 2011, 01:40 PM)
People will only throw properties if there's massive unemployment ala Greece and US. Last year , 80,000 business closed shop in Greece. If they don;t turn it around, they expect 180,000 businesses to go bust in the coming year. Could be another Zimbabwe in the making.
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Exactly, i do hope other ppl do see this point. Taking notice that our employment rate is still considered low and there are more investors coming in the chances of our property sector to go down is pretty slim. Well somehow i'm thinking of investing in seberang perai / kulim area. The amount of MNC going in is huge. shocking.gif

kidmad
post Sep 21 2011, 03:05 PM

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QUOTE(terzam @ Sep 21 2011, 02:46 PM)
2 alarm bells.

First alarm bell - Loan consultant?!

Second tinkle - more buying power now compare to the previous generation - how does one explain the exponential growth of household debt? Yes, I admit there are many hidden treasures/ dragons in MYS - but still, explain the high household debt?
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Household debt is not only from Home Loan. You still have tons of loan out there which contributes to the factor. Go and check out those ppl who went bankrupt. Did they take a home loan and went bankrupt or other loans instead? Again, the household debt is consist of the whole Malaysia. but can you actually compare KV and Kota Bahru?


Added on September 21, 2011, 3:12 pm
QUOTE(Gary1981 @ Sep 21 2011, 03:02 PM)
Everyone is just guessing, but the one that holding may not have good sleep these days. The greatest kl project is on going and awarded. So are we going to face crisis soon?Government boosting the economy with mega projects, developer growing with new mega project launching. I saw these projects @ Ecocity, kelana jaya, opposite western digital(mah sing), IRDA, ROL, do we have sufficient fund to loan these projects???
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Well good question, but if you are the project manager for this project do you handle projects with allocated funds or ask for funds as an when is required? Well if they really failed because of lack of fund... i guess all these ppl need to kena goreng ady.

This post has been edited by kidmad: Sep 21 2011, 03:12 PM
kidmad
post Sep 21 2011, 08:46 PM

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QUOTE(Gary1981 @ Sep 21 2011, 07:54 PM)
Then why some listed company at PN17 status which debt is abt hundred millions!!!these so called the project director do not cater their funds? No funds, some authority still can call for tender. Not sufficient funds also can get loans because they claimed my company is big mah, instead empty shell inside...
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you should know how loan and debt happen right? Before you have the allocated fund you think your project can start kicking? Simple process, when you wanna buka kedai, you need a fund for it. You head off to the bank try to propose to them on your BIG PLAN, they go through it, they think it can be done there you go your money to kick off your business. Do you really think you can go rent a shop without paying and say i owe you ah? buy stocks in the shop and again tell them i owe you ah? Even if there is credit, there is so call credit days which is usually 45 days after giving you the stock you have to pay them. It's the same goes to project, without an allocated fund you as a project manager you dare to kick start?
kidmad
post Sep 21 2011, 10:22 PM

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QUOTE(Gary1981 @ Sep 21 2011, 10:14 PM)
Wondering then why got abundant building with yet completed? I presume the procedure follows as what u mentioned, then why?
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Well i hope you know what do they mean by sell first then build. This is the problem which our government created just because they wanted to aid the smaller companies in development. They did not strengthen the rule for this. Alot of them will collect booking fee from all the owners, secure the loan with the bank for the funds. Build a few pillar to convince ppl that the development will be going on soon. VIOLA gone just like that after that.

I believe if you did follow the development in Penang, this had been an issue seriously being looked at by the state government. Multi million dollars being paid out to developer but all also ran off with the money. At the end there is no one accountable for this. When LGE ask Koh Tsu Koon about it, what's his reply? Again all this leads back to money in and out to the same pocket.
kidmad
post Sep 23 2011, 01:51 PM

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QUOTE(nelsontan_8383 @ Sep 23 2011, 11:55 AM)
http://www.cnbc.com/id/42794269/Low_Intere...ubble_Economist

Some analysts are crying for bubble in SG even though their household debt is quite low (relatively to the rest of ASEAN country) in our region. His argument is, 1% rise in interest rate will increase debt-to-income ration by 3.5%. Just wonder, if SG is considered to be in bubble, what about us in general ? Maybe time to invest in SG property instead ... haha
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Siao meh. HDB Flat already 600k leh. Their Condo all > 1m. their 1% increase would cost a bomb. Our condo here is still relatively cheaper and it's in ringgit. haha drool.gif drool.gif
kidmad
post Sep 23 2011, 03:26 PM

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QUOTE(22222222 @ Sep 23 2011, 03:02 PM)
Depend to area, some area still can get below 400k... tongue.gif
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If you buy 2nd hand i think can still get. haha anyway we are in KV no point comparing with SG. It's like comparing Apple and Durian.
kidmad
post Sep 24 2011, 10:52 PM

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QUOTE(debtismoney @ Sep 24 2011, 01:33 PM)
Wow, Mr. Sulifeisgreat, appreciate your lengthy research!

When the 30-year old US treasury bond bull market collapses, follow by the collapse of the US dollar system, you will see the money flow to the tangible commodities, gold and silver. We had a similar scenario in the 70s, but the US dollar survived by raising interest rate to 20%. They can't raise the rate to 20% now without defaulting their government debt.

I told you the precious metal market is rigged, Comex just raised the margin requirement for gold and silver in order to smash the price. Just pull out a 10 year chart for gold and silver, then you will know they have lost control.

In the short term, everyone is rushing to the "safe heaven" US dollar and treasury. But look at their balance sheet, without printing money, there is simply not enough money flowing around to buy the US treasury bond.

Throughout history (last 5000 years), every fiat paper currency will return to its intrinsic value, which is zero. This paper money system has been around for 40 years, this time is different? When it will collapse? Nobody knows, maybe 5 or 10 years, at that time you will rather hold tangible gold, silver and commodities.

We can see the sign of world currency chaos... it will lead us to currency crisis... and if history is any guide gold standard is the only way to solve it .
Seriously, I'm not sure why you keep saying the privately owned Federal Reserve is a conspiracy theory. The FED was created in 1913, and the largest shareholder is the private bank JP Morgan Chase... we would all be sheeple if we chose to believe the official story.
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If the economy really collapse what makes you think ppl will be rushing out buying gold instead of rations?
kidmad
post Sep 25 2011, 10:02 AM

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QUOTE(debtismoney @ Sep 25 2011, 09:50 AM)
I think we are having solvency problems. What if PIIGS default (they will eventually, if we are bankrupt we can't borrow more to fix the problem, they are just buying time), and what if the EU disintegrates?

People will be rushing to US dollar/bond for sure in the short term, but if you included the US government's unfunded liabilities such as social security, medicare and medicaid, the US debt to GDP would be well over 300%! The US government is borrowing 40 cents for every dollar their spend, the Federal Reserve is buying over 50% of the US government bond.

Countries with trade surplus are reducing their exposure to the US bond, that's why the FED has to step in and fill the gap.

The central banks of the US and EU are printing funny money to buy their own government bonds. It they stop printing, they will default, world depression/deflation, US dollar and Euro collapse. If they keep printing, tremendous inflation if not hyperinflation worldwide, US dollar and Euro will lose their purchasing power significantly. They are more likely to print...

There is no shelter for the collapse of paper money other than gold/silver and tangible commodities in the longer term. Say if ringgit had become worthless, you would be better off to stockpile some rice or sugar (commodities) at home, at least rice or sugar can hold its value until it rots...
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bro, common sense la. If such situation really do happen you think everyone would care bout GOLD or you and me? No one will give a damn until that moment. It would all go back to back to basis, survival of the fittest. Everything will go haywire. Ppl will be protesting on streets, robbing and steeling just to feed their kids.

You have been hoping that it would fall to such a stage but to be honest it's disastrous. This forum initially we are talking about property price in KV but somehow EU, US, and SEA countries were brought into discussion, which i don't understand what the hell. Then someone talking about Debt level... which malaysia economy is actually controlled by only 10% of the population, you know that? you think they care about the 80% and ever high increase of debt level? They will just continue to roll the ball and ppl like us will just have to try pick any along the way. Look at where we are going? Talking about the well being of US government? Does it concern you that much on whether you will be or not buying a property in KV?

A downfall of another nation is a rising of another nation. What goes up must come down, that's one of the physics in economy but you do know if there is someone who is going down... it means someone else is coming up.

This post has been edited by kidmad: Sep 25 2011, 10:20 AM
kidmad
post Sep 25 2011, 10:09 PM

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QUOTE(sampool @ Sep 25 2011, 09:13 PM)
cn rich ppl is very rich... poor ppl is very poor.... once usa cut spending next year... really dun know what will happen to cn factory... middle class will be  sad.gif ...

i think their bubble is still under control and not as serious as in my.. hehe..  biggrin.gif
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bro, i think will be otherwise. Unlike CN, MY do not depend that much on US. We are more dependant on our neighbours, JP and a couple of middle east countries. Unlike CN, their factory are mostly supplying to the US market. Wall Mart itself is one of the biggest contributor to CN Factory industry.
kidmad
post Sep 27 2011, 05:21 PM

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Gold plunge yesterday to all time low right? Well i hope no one had invested on it. tongue.gif let's see what debtismoney have to say with this.
kidmad
post Sep 27 2011, 08:08 PM

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QUOTE(ngaisteve1 @ Sep 27 2011, 10:22 AM)
maybe another few more months later will be cheaper..as i heard that property sales not so good recently...bank also more strict to approve loan...
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urmm seriously which area no good? man, you guys gotta give more info, like example area, condo/landed.. etc. Leaving such remark as "i heard property sales not so good recently" is just foolish. Bank strict approve loan? i just got 3 offer 90% from UOB, HL, and PBB for my 2nd home. To me it's still damn loose imo.

*Those who offered me the housing loan is bankers who offered their services in THIS FORUM itself.

BTW, why are we talking about fresh grad? i don't think they would buy a house la. Most likely their 1st and 2nd year of working will go to a ride, gadget, and enjoyment. Benchmark working adult which is in their mid 20's and early 30's. You guys have not count in the factor working adult who are in their 40's and 50's who are cash load free. remember.. only 12% of the people is paying tax.. Where the other 88% of the money went?


Added on September 27, 2011, 8:27 pm
QUOTE(keithcky @ Sep 27 2011, 05:21 PM)
Received this email from an agent!!See how sad is MK now  shakehead.gif  shakehead.gif

Co Broke Unit:-

Urgent Sale !!

    Kiara 3 Condominium, Mont Kiara
    Built-up: 1597sf
    2 carparks.
    Purchase price from developer is RM608psf
    Asking sale price: RM620psf neg (Offer To Purchase)
    Asking rental: RM4,000 neg (Offer To Rent)
    The unit is brand new
    Key can be picked up from me anytime.

Don't miss the opportunity !!
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I would recommend you to drive down and have a look at Kiara3 then you would know what's the problem with this condo and the townhouse opposite of it. I wonder who would buy them.
Anyway i pay a visit to MK last week seems like lotta shop close down in KL Soho area. Not too sure with the property there though. Not too interested.

This post has been edited by kidmad: Sep 27 2011, 08:27 PM
kidmad
post Sep 28 2011, 06:50 AM

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QUOTE(ngaisteve1 @ Sep 27 2011, 11:16 PM)
One real example is my friend who is applying for this first house, an apartment and he got rejected by some banks already. He is a professional and earn decent monthly income and has been working for many years. Maybe the reason is that project not 'good'. But, I think could be due to the market sentiment also.
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Your friend CCRISS got problem issit? Usually loan will get rejected when the person got issue. Project not good and so on? i don't think so. Need to also know how much he earn and how much he apply. earn 3k but apply for 400k loan of course tak boleh.
kidmad
post Sep 28 2011, 10:00 AM

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QUOTE(sampool @ Sep 28 2011, 08:52 AM)
bank is very sensitive... if u got pending h/p n tel bill, water n electric bill, cc bill... for more then 2 months unpaid... all kind of loan will be rejected!!!
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Wow, this i did not know it. Got such thing one ka. owe 2 months also all reject? lucky i got no such issue when it comes to this.
kidmad
post Sep 28 2011, 10:37 AM

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QUOTE(Luthaine @ Sep 28 2011, 10:30 AM)
Not all time low, but very significant drop.
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haha, my bad. grammatically error with what i meant. tongue.gif
kidmad
post Sep 28 2011, 01:59 PM

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QUOTE(ngaisteve1 @ Sep 28 2011, 01:37 PM)
no la, he got no credit card one.
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Bro, to purchase a 300k property your buddy would need to have at least 3.8k gross salary. blacklisted could be the reason as well. I guess the best is to check CCRISS. if you earn decent is between 2 - 3k i'm afraid it's quite tough. 1/4 salary or 1/3 salary? i cant recall. haha
kidmad
post Sep 28 2011, 02:52 PM

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QUOTE(debtismoney @ Sep 28 2011, 02:09 PM)
Buy GOLD with your both hands now! It's a gift at this price. The west can drive down $200-$300 with paper naked short in few short days, they have done this for so many times in the past.

In the long run, they simply can't manipulate the price.

Pull out a 10 year chart then you will know what I'm talking about, average 20%/year gains in the past 10 years.

If we don't understand the currency crisis we are headed, we will simply look at GOLD as useless lump of metal.

I've been saying this for a while, our paper currency system is collapsing. It's up to you to act now or not to act...
"Gold plunge yesterday to all time low right?" It was US$250/oz back in 2000, US$35/oz back in 1970, and today is US$1640/oz... all time low?
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If you are going to compare that way it would be the same as well for property. Man i do hope you prove your words in few months time. No matter how i see it if i were to bet my money in somewhere that would definitely go to a property instead of GOLD.
kidmad
post Sep 28 2011, 07:04 PM

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QUOTE(debtismoney @ Sep 28 2011, 06:11 PM)
Bro, I'm not trying to argue with you guys, and I'm not asking you guys to accept my views either.

Property market based only on borrowed money but not income in the economy won't be sustainable... nobody would stop anyone to buy property if he/she wanted to, everyone makes their own decisions.

We have had so many paper currency collapses in the past, have a look the link below,
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hyperinflation
The world reserve US dollar is headed to this path (go google the US money supply chart), and the whole world currencies are based on the US dollar system... where are people going to seek shelter to protect their wealth? It's up to you to act now or to be ignorance.

I believe we are heading to world deflation - stocks, properties, commodities would go down from now, and then the central planners will step in and launch huge money printing program... just my 2 cents
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i think time will tell, we would not need to argue. Simple question for you to ponder around. When everything went upside down, ration isn't enough, everywhere went haywire... what would you do? Will you sell your home? or will you sell your GOLD? think about it. In the past gold was being used as part of a trade but for today... There are all sorts of trading which you can think off. Which to me in the end, gold is not important anymore, it just a piece of metal with a high price tag on it hmm.gif hmm.gif hmm.gif . If it's not important i will just sell them off when it still has the value. Just to feed my family.

MY Government already announce raw material prices will be increasing due to shortage, i guess that is already a guarantee to property owners. Seriously, the article from your post is not important. I will rather focus on my own circle of influence instead of pondering around what will happen to US tomorrow. Whole world depending on US dollar? Don't make me continue laughing. This is some shit the US officials would have to sort it out, not you or me.


Added on September 28, 2011, 7:10 pm
QUOTE(ngaisteve1 @ Sep 28 2011, 06:07 PM)
His prop is below 300k and salary more than 3.8k for sure.
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Aiseh no need play the guessing game la. His prop below 300k? Location kat mana? Landed or high rise? Salary guarantee more than 3.8k? how u know? You got his pay slip ka? If bank reject his loan request i am pretty sure there must be some problem with his record. If you say the bank had tighten the ruling to get a loan then i would not agree with it definitely. Usually when they would tighten it bank negara will announce them. Eg: 80% loan for 3rd prop! vmad.gif vmad.gif vmad.gif

This post has been edited by kidmad: Sep 28 2011, 07:10 PM
kidmad
post Sep 29 2011, 11:20 AM

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QUOTE(ngaisteve1 @ Sep 29 2011, 09:35 AM)
It is an apartment in KL.

Yesterday my friend who work for bank loan also said the sales rate people apply loan also lower recently and bank tighten the approval, fear or bubble.
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Well bro, i think it's not good to speculate just base on a single POV. I do not know whether there is less or more ppl who are applying but there are quite a number of ppl around me who are applying which i know off. I even introduce them to the guy who handled my case. tongue.gif
kidmad
post Sep 29 2011, 12:37 PM

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QUOTE(TheDoer @ Sep 29 2011, 11:44 AM)
Do update us, if it was approved/rejected.
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Sign liao lor. UOB, PBB, and HL all came back but UOB is giving me the best rate. Maybank.... shakehead.gif shakehead.gif shakehead.gif shakehead.gif submit same time, yesterday only call me whether i wanna proceed or not. The fellow must be this month quota hit liao la. Going to reach month end need new quota only call me. damn...
kidmad
post Sep 29 2011, 01:59 PM

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They are now waiting for the guy who I introduce to give them an offer let me update u then u might want his contact as well. So far pbb and ocbc had given them an offer ady.

btw they are all family member not friends. We are going back to the same lawyer and we apply to the same agent. Seriously if your loan got rejected maybe you would want to share some thoughts from the banker.

for myself hl and pbb do not let me finance my lawyer fee because its my 2nd property but somehow uob given me that offer thus I take that. Simple as that.

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