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 Gavin Tee: Malaysia’s Condos Reaching RM5K psf, by 2016. Discuss.

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airline
post Feb 2 2011, 09:13 PM

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pai thought u follow azizi ali. u sold a few no?
spikyz
post Feb 2 2011, 11:25 PM

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his claim is to broad, with no proper details. just like saying,

cow is an animal, cow have 4 legs.

he claim that he predict it will be 5k/sqft, he should list down why, what factor he took into consideration, and what type of condo he is referring.
property101
post Feb 2 2011, 11:30 PM

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QUOTE(spikyz @ Feb 2 2011, 11:25 PM)
his claim is to broad, with no proper details. just like saying,

cow is an animal, cow have 4 legs.

he claim that he predict it will be 5k/sqft, he should list down why, what factor he took into consideration, and what type of condo he is referring.
*
if he tells everything to the public, what is he going to tell in his private seminar? brows.gif
TShidden830726
post Feb 2 2011, 11:35 PM

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QUOTE(spikyz @ Feb 2 2011, 11:25 PM)
his claim is to broad, with no proper details. just like saying,

cow is an animal, cow have 4 legs.

he claim that he predict it will be 5k/sqft, he should list down why, what factor he took into consideration, and what type of condo he is referring.
*
As i mentioned in the first post, im not sure whether he justify his claim or not. maybe he does, or im just no good in finding them.

But ya, without those, we can safely said that property price will up up up, but maybe not as high as 5k psf
Pai
post Feb 3 2011, 01:20 AM

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QUOTE(airline @ Feb 2 2011, 09:13 PM)
pai thought u follow azizi ali. u sold a few no?
*
I only sold some 10%-20% of total holdings recently...........so not same, and have been on buying spree in the past 3 years. And the reason I sold these props :

1. Believe the props I sold has reach max value, gains n rental wise.
2. Proceeds of sale can be optimized n invested higher yielding instruments.
3. Boost cash reserves.
4. Doesnt jeopardize the original plan on why I invest in props......... FINANCIAL FREEDOM!!

I think correction will come in 2012 n 2013........n nothing wrong in optimizing our portfolio, but to go on the extreme to sell off everything simply bcoz of a false interpretation is plain stupid. As long as AA or us have bought anything pre 2010.........doubt if correction comes............. prices will ever drop to pre-2010 levels...........
alanyuppie
post Feb 3 2011, 10:38 AM

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QUOTE(property101 @ Feb 3 2011, 12:30 AM)
if he tells everything to the public, what is he going to tell in his private seminar?  brows.gif
*
he'll be saying . "The free advises are a good 'lesson' to those who are too kiamsap to pay for my seminar. Now, fellow smart participants with thick wallets, let us move on to REAL SOLID projections of mine, which will promise you unlimited riches. "


epie
post Feb 3 2011, 01:52 PM

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QUOTE(Pai @ Feb 3 2011, 01:20 AM)
I only sold some 10%-20% of total holdings recently...........so not same, and have been on buying spree in the past 3 years. And the reason I sold these props :

1. Believe the props I sold has reach max value, gains n rental wise.
2. Proceeds of sale can be optimized n invested higher yielding instruments.
3. Boost cash reserves.
4. Doesnt jeopardize the original plan on why I invest in props......... FINANCIAL FREEDOM!!

I think correction will come in 2012 n 2013........n nothing wrong in optimizing our portfolio, but to go on the extreme to sell off everything simply bcoz of a false interpretation is plain stupid. As long as AA or us have bought anything pre 2010.........doubt if correction comes............. prices will ever drop to pre-2010 levels...........
*
nice 1 bro thumbup.gif
as for me....currently buying some n selling some
we can listen to other people views but at the end we need to make our own decision
a
Pai
post Feb 4 2011, 11:47 AM

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QUOTE(epie @ Feb 3 2011, 01:52 PM)
nice 1 bro thumbup.gif
as for me....currently buying some n selling some
we can listen to other people views but at the end we need to make our own decision
a
*
True. Bottomline so long as long term plans are still intact n gearing is checked.....one should stick to the original plan.........

Btw what r u buying this year?
epie
post Feb 4 2011, 02:28 PM

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QUOTE(Pai @ Feb 4 2011, 11:47 AM)
True. Bottomline so long as long term plans are still intact n gearing is checked.....one should stick to the original plan.........

Btw what r u buying this year?
*
owh bro...i'm small2 fish bilis only
still buying apartment...no money to buy landed property
not really depends on capital aprreciation though...
but i'm buying below market price only

thanks for asking anyway
hope can get advice from u taiko pai notworthy.gif
airline
post Feb 4 2011, 02:31 PM

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Pai, keen to switch to landed properties if the extra cash gained? Before they go up further?
Pai
post Feb 4 2011, 02:39 PM

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QUOTE(epie @ Feb 4 2011, 02:28 PM)
owh bro...i'm small2 fish bilis only
still buying apartment...no money to buy landed property
not really depends on capital aprreciation though...
but i'm buying below market price only

thanks for asking anyway
hope can get advice from u taiko pai notworthy.gif
*
like u i oso small bilis only nia......cant afford to gamble on landed props....... tongue.gif


Added on February 4, 2011, 2:44 pm
QUOTE(airline @ Feb 4 2011, 02:31 PM)
Pai, keen to switch to landed properties if the extra cash gained? Before they go up further?
*
Not really as can also get similar if not better appreciation from highrise as well. I'll stick to what I know best.......... tongue.gif

This post has been edited by Pai: Feb 4 2011, 02:44 PM
bellion
post Feb 4 2011, 03:34 PM

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QUOTE(Pai @ Feb 4 2011, 02:39 PM)
Not really as can also get similar if not better appreciation from highrise as well. I'll stick to what I know best..........  tongue.gif
*
Interesting statement you have there.

Can you share which condo developments have had excellent appreciation over the past couple of years which can match or exceed some of the landed properties?

Thanks.
Pai
post Feb 4 2011, 03:39 PM

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QUOTE(bellion @ Feb 4 2011, 03:34 PM)
Interesting statement you have there.

Can you share which condo developments have had excellent appreciation over the past couple of years which can match or exceed some of the landed properties? 

Thanks.
*
Plenty actually. Give me a landed prop example u think has done well in the past 3 years (appreciation wise) and I'll give the equivalent highrise example wink.gif
bellion
post Feb 4 2011, 03:56 PM

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QUOTE(Pai @ Feb 4 2011, 03:39 PM)
Plenty actually. Give me a landed prop example u think has done well in the past 3 years (appreciation wise) and I'll give the equivalent highrise example  wink.gif
*
Let's see, how about Bangsar Baru? Close to 14% year-on-year according to this report.

http://biz.thestar.com.my/news/story.asp?f...31&sec=business


Pai
post Feb 4 2011, 05:00 PM

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QUOTE(bellion @ Feb 4 2011, 03:56 PM)
Let's see, how about Bangsar Baru?  Close to 14% year-on-year according to this report.

http://biz.thestar.com.my/news/story.asp?f...31&sec=business
*
Chief, since we in an underprecedented boom time since the past 12 months, a 1 year YOY appreciation benchmark is not a good yardstick. Lets do a min 3 year benchmark instead from 2008 to 2010 :

1. Maytower - 2008 -- 500psf, 2010 -- 900psf --------> 80% appreciation
2. RGE - 2008 --250psf, 2010 380psf ----------> 50% appreciation
3. BS - 2008 -- 260psf, 2010 -- 500psf --------> almost 100% appreciation
4. Pantai Panorama - 2008 -- 220psf, 2010 -- 380psf --------> 80% appreciation
5. TS - 2009 -- 240psf, 2010 -- 380psf --------> 60% appreciation
6. Desa Putra - 2008--250psf, 2010 -- 380psf --------> 60% appreciation
7. Axis Ampang - 2008 -220psf, 2010 400psf ---------> 90% appreciation
7. Tropics - 2008 - 350psf min, 2010 570psf ---------> 60% appreciation

These r just few examples. There r at least 10 more others that has done 50% appreciation in a mere 3 years. If we are talking about YOY, I have been fortunate to buy some props that has gone up by 40%-50% within a span of 1 year, give or take a few months. Of course if we used a longer horizon benchmark ( say 10 years) it will look a lot more favorable to landed props............

And we havent even discussed the cashflow u can get out of these highrise props.............. wink.gif


*Not all units in the same dev performs the same rate, bigger sized units normally underperfoirms VS the small sized ones
epie
post Feb 4 2011, 05:09 PM

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nice research n stats bro pai
and i agree wit u, we better stick at wat we know best
as for the others
each person has their own plans n methods
u need to be sure what u r doing and ur goals
prody
post Feb 4 2011, 05:34 PM

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QUOTE(Pai @ Feb 4 2011, 05:00 PM)
Chief, since we in an underprecedented boom time since the past 12 months, a 1 year YOY appreciation benchmark is not a good yardstick. Lets do a min 3 year benchmark instead from 2008 to 2010 :

1. Maytower - 2008 -- 500psf,  2010 -- 900psf -------->              80% appreciation
2. RGE - 2008 --250psf, 2010 380psf ---------->                          50% appreciation
3. BS - 2008 -- 260psf,  2010 -- 500psf -------->                        almost 100% appreciation
4. Pantai Panorama - 2008 -- 220psf,  2010 -- 380psf -------->    80% appreciation
5. TS - 2009 -- 240psf,  2010 -- 380psf -------->                        60% appreciation
6. Desa Putra - 2008--250psf, 2010 -- 380psf -------->                60% appreciation
7. Axis Ampang - 2008 -220psf, 2010 400psf --------->                90% appreciation
7. Tropics - 2008 - 350psf min, 2010 570psf --------->                      60% appreciation

These r just few examples. There r at least 10 more others that has done 50% appreciation in a mere 3 years. If we are talking about YOY, I have been fortunate to buy some props that has gone up by 40%-50% within a span of 1 year, give or take a few months. Of course if we used a longer horizon benchmark ( say 10 years) it will look a lot more favorable to landed props............

And we havent even discussed the cashflow u can get out of these highrise props..............  wink.gif
*Not all units in the same dev performs the same rate, bigger sized units normally underperfoirms VS the small sized ones
*
Let's check this again end of 2011.
webby88
post Feb 4 2011, 06:06 PM

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QUOTE(Pai @ Feb 4 2011, 05:00 PM)
Chief, since we in an underprecedented boom time since the past 12 months, a 1 year YOY appreciation benchmark is not a good yardstick. Lets do a min 3 year benchmark instead from 2008 to 2010 :

1. Maytower - 2008 -- 500psf,  2010 -- 900psf -------->               80% appreciation
2. RGE - 2008 --250psf, 2010 380psf ---------->                          50% appreciation
3. BS - 2008 -- 260psf,  2010 -- 500psf -------->                         almost 100% appreciation
4. Pantai Panorama - 2008 -- 220psf,  2010 -- 380psf -------->     80% appreciation
5. TS - 2009 -- 240psf,  2010 -- 380psf -------->                         60% appreciation
6. Desa Putra - 2008--250psf, 2010 -- 380psf -------->                60% appreciation
7. Axis Ampang - 2008 -220psf, 2010 400psf --------->                90% appreciation
7. Tropics - 2008 - 350psf min, 2010 570psf --------->                       60% appreciation

These r just few examples. There r at least 10 more others that has done 50% appreciation in a mere 3 years. If we are talking about YOY, I have been fortunate to buy some props that has gone up by 40%-50% within a span of 1 year, give or take a few months. Of course if we used a longer horizon benchmark ( say 10 years) it will look a lot more favorable to landed props............

And we havent even discussed the cashflow u can get out of these highrise props..............  wink.gif
*Not all units in the same dev performs the same rate, bigger sized units normally underperfoirms VS the small sized ones
*
Taikor, can share why these properties experience such high appreciation while some others just lag so far behind. Is it location, major development like township, smallish units, or a bargain during purchase time or other catalysts? Want to learn how to spot such properties. Thanks. smile.gif smile.gif

This post has been edited by webby88: Feb 4 2011, 06:08 PM
bellion
post Feb 4 2011, 06:15 PM

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QUOTE(Pai @ Feb 4 2011, 05:00 PM)
Chief, since we in an underprecedented boom time since the past 12 months, a 1 year YOY appreciation benchmark is not a good yardstick. Lets do a min 3 year benchmark instead from 2008 to 2010 :

1. Maytower - 2008 -- 500psf,  2010 -- 900psf -------->               80% appreciation
2. RGE - 2008 --250psf, 2010 380psf ---------->                          50% appreciation
3. BS - 2008 -- 260psf,  2010 -- 500psf -------->                         almost 100% appreciation
4. Pantai Panorama - 2008 -- 220psf,  2010 -- 380psf -------->     80% appreciation
5. TS - 2009 -- 240psf,  2010 -- 380psf -------->                         60% appreciation
6. Desa Putra - 2008--250psf, 2010 -- 380psf -------->                60% appreciation
7. Axis Ampang - 2008 -220psf, 2010 400psf --------->                90% appreciation
7. Tropics - 2008 - 350psf min, 2010 570psf --------->                       60% appreciation

These r just few examples. There r at least 10 more others that has done 50% appreciation in a mere 3 years. If we are talking about YOY, I have been fortunate to buy some props that has gone up by 40%-50% within a span of 1 year, give or take a few months. Of course if we used a longer horizon benchmark ( say 10 years) it will look a lot more favorable to landed props............

And we havent even discussed the cashflow u can get out of these highrise props..............  wink.gif
*Not all units in the same dev performs the same rate, bigger sized units normally underperfoirms VS the small sized ones
*
Thanks for the info, this is interesting stuff.

Going forward, given the glut of condos in the market now, I am not sure if such gains can be maintained over the next couple of years.

This post has been edited by bellion: Feb 4 2011, 06:18 PM
Pai
post Feb 4 2011, 06:34 PM

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QUOTE(prody @ Feb 4 2011, 05:34 PM)
Let's check this again end of 2011.
*
Im betting that u r anticipating a drop? rolleyes.gif


Added on February 4, 2011, 6:36 pm
QUOTE(webby88 @ Feb 4 2011, 06:06 PM)
Taikor, can share why these properties experience such high appreciation while some others just lag so far behind.  Is it location, major development like township, smallish units, or a bargain during purchase time or other catalysts? Want to learn how to spot such properties. Thanks.  smile.gif  smile.gif
*
Others appreciated as well, just not as much. Catalyst comes in various form....... just gotta be extra alert to notice em...... tongue.gif


Added on February 4, 2011, 6:39 pm
QUOTE(bellion @ Feb 4 2011, 06:15 PM)
Thanks for the info, this is interesting stuff.

Going forward, given the glut of condos in the market now, I am not sure if such gains can be maintained over the next couple of years.
*
key here is to choose one's pickings. Just like not all landed register's 10% YOY appreciation, the same applies. If fundamentals r in place, gains will come, its just a matter of WHEN. wink.gif

This post has been edited by Pai: Feb 4 2011, 06:39 PM

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