ASTROS 2020: Brazil Moves to Revive AvibrasSep 05, 2011 20:03 EDT
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At the end of August 2011, Brazil’s Ministerio da Defesa announced the beginning of a BRL 1.09 billion (about $685 million) project to update Avibras’ ASTROS (Artillery SaTuration ROcket System) multiple rocket launcher system to ASTROS 2020 configuration. It will also develop an AV-TM missile option, giving the new system a 300 km strike range that’s similar to the USA’s MLRS/ATACMS combination.
The initial BRL 45 million (about $28 million) in funding belies the importance of this contract, on 2 levels. One is industrial. The other is the future spread of advanced precision strike technologies…
On the technology front, ASTROS 2020 is a step forward for a globally competitive platform. In contrast to the 227mm American MLRS/HIMARS system, ASTROS has always allowed a range of rocket calibers. Customers could load ASTROS with a pod carrying up to 32 of the 127mm SS-300s, 16 of the 180mm SS-40s, or 4 300mm SS-60/80s with 90km range, depending on how they wanted to balance range and barrage capacity at any given time.
Recent advances in competitive systems like MLRS have changed the landscape, by adding GPS guidance to create the “GMLRS” precision attack rocket. At the same time, the option to swap 6 MLRS rockets for a 300 km, GPS-guided M-140 ATACMS ballistic missile has vastly extended those systems’ threat reach. Lockheed also continues to improve their 227mm rockets, and recently completed a 120km firing of their new GMLRS+ offering.
ASTROS rockets remain unguided so far, but the AV-TM would add a long-range, precision strike option that has been missing. Photos from Avibras appear to confirm the MdD’s description of AV-TM as a “missil de cruzeiro”, rather than a ballistic missile like the M-140. The tactical consequence is that strikes will take much longer to arrive. On the other hand, successful development is likely to be easier. With long range precision strike added, existing ASTROS customers might be more inclined to keep their existing systems, even as Brazil looks for new markets abroad.
On the industrial front, the government is trying to revive Avibras, whose ASTROS system remains one of Brazil’s most successful weapon export programs ever. During the Cold War, Brazil worked to develop a significant military-industrial complex of its own, and developed a variety of ground vehicles including tanks and APCs. Exports were very difficult in an environment dominated by the Cold War superpowers and their clients, but Avibras’ ASTROS was one of the few exceptions. It sold extremely well in the Middle East, with clients that included Saddam Hussein’s Iraq, and the gulf states of Bahrain, Saudi Arabia, and Qatar.
Recent decades have been even less kind to Brazil’s military industrial base, beyond the considerable civil success of Embraer. Military ground vehicle industrial capacity must be completely rebuilt, in the wake of Engesa SA’s 1993 bankruptcy. Even Avibras applied for bankruptcy protection in July 2008. A financial restructuring took place, with help from Brazil’s Federal Government, but the ASTROS 2020 project is Avibras’ first big step back toward future viability.
It also continues a wider push to restore Brazil’s defense-industrial base, often in cooperation with foreign partners. From Cougar medium helicopters (Eurocopter) to new VBTP wheeled APCs (Iveco), to aerial missiles like A-Darter (Denel), to its own KC-390 aerial transport design, Brazil is pushing ahead on a number of fronts.
As it pushes ahead, the international landscape for defense buys changes. The sale of Mectron’s MAR-1 radar-killer missiles to Pakistan caused a bit of a kerfuffle, even as it may open new markets for Brazilian exports. Avibras’ ASTROS 2020 MLRS would add a new entrant of its own to the global market, alongside the American M270 MLRS/ M142 HIMARS family, and Russia’s popular Grad (122mm), Urugan (220mm) and SMERCH-M (300mm) systems. ASTROS 2020 Buyers would acquire a long-range, precision attack system, and as the number of available sellers for such systems expands in the global marketplace, it becomes more difficult to block disfavored countries from acquiring them. The future points to such systems as an expected presence in military planning.
The 1 billion Real question is whether even a successful ASTROS 2020 development project will enable Avibras to field a renewed export success, and capture an appreciable slice of that market.
Contracts & Key Events
Aug 26/11: Brazil’s Ministerio do Defesa announces the launch of the ASTROS 2020 project, which could rise to BRL 1.09 billion, but is beginning with a BRL 45 million (about $28 million) contract.
Brazil intends to buy 3 ASTROS 2020 batteries: a total of 18 launch vehicles, 18 ammunition resupply vehicles, 3 fire control units, 3 weather stations, 3 recovery vehicles and 3 armored command and control vehicles. The 49th vehicle will handle integrated command and control. Brazil’s MdD [in Portuguese]
http://www.defenseindustrydaily.com/ASTROS...-Avibras-07069/