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 US stock discussion v3, Double Bottom coming?

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sulifeisgreat
post Dec 8 2010, 01:18 AM

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buy the rumor, sell the news laugh.gif
so izit going to gostan & stay within the channel? will the fun asst manager follow the instruction on the desk of fund manager to dun rock the boat?
oh well, just enjoy the trend ride & not adding any new position in usa stocks. my bet is it will break out of the channel sweat.gif
until they can manufacture/ recycle some scary monster stories & spook the weak holders, can't short sad.gif

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QUOTE(danmooncake @ Dec 8 2010, 01:10 AM)
Did you see that they sell into opening rally?  Gold/Silver/Metals stocks all sold into it.
I'm guessing tomorrow, they'll probably give it one more day of up and then hit it with bad news
to pull money out by weekend.  brows.gif
*
This post has been edited by sulifeisgreat: Dec 8 2010, 01:21 AM
sulifeisgreat
post Dec 9 2010, 08:48 PM

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close position as reversal sighted doh.gif balance watchlist remain for riding

10/11/10 wti 15.23 17.28 +13%
10/11/10 puda 12.05 12.04 -0% win some, lose some (note to self, dun greedy, sell at 25% gain in future, when price was $16, 2 days ago)
10/11/10 hl 8.32 10.23 +22%
14/10/10 ico 6.05 7.98 +31

10/11/10 hl Options Expiring Friday, June 17, 2011, call strike price $8 is $1.87
currently $2.93 for +56%

10/11/10 puda Options Expiring Friday, May 20, 2011, call strike price $12.5 is $2.05
currently $2.15 for -0%

10/11/10 wti Options Expiring Friday, April 15, 2011, call strike price $15 is $2.1
currently $3.4 for +61%

17/11/10 puts options sure bakar, zero value here we come since january is next month laugh.gif
vphm put Options Expiring Friday, January 21, 2011 strike price $15 is 0.75, currently $0.35 negative value
crox put Options Expiring Friday, March 18, 2011 strike price $16 is 2.4, currently $1.47 negative value
lvs put Options Expiring Friday, March 18, 2011 strike price $46 is 5.85, currently $5.5 negative value
ten put Options Expiring Friday, January 21, 2011 strike price $34 is 2.2, currently $0.41 negative value
wti put Options Expiring Friday, January 21, 2011 strike price $15 is 0.95, currently $0.45 negative value

Chinese stocks suffered some of the biggest hits lately among U.S.-traded stocks. Fresh fears of more interest-rate hikes in inflation-plagued China
sent a chill through some of its hottest stocks this week. The China Banking Regulatory Commission instructed lenders to tighten standards for loans to real estate developers. Hong Kong’s Hang Seng index on Wednesday dived 1.4%, logging its seventh distribution day in recent weeks.
The Shanghai composite fell 0.9%, though it didn’t mark a distribution day. That bourse shows just three distribution days in the past few weeks.

Coal producer Puda Coal PUDA dived 18% in frantic trade Wednesday. Puda announced a secondary offering of 7.85 million shares.
That supply increase come to 71% of the float (11 million shares) and 37% of total shares (21 million). Puda’s gap-down came rushing toward
its 10-week moving average, but missed it by 34cents. Note, though, this decline is appearing with monster volume. That’s not at all the ideal retreat
you’d want to see.

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sulifeisgreat
post Dec 10 2010, 02:15 PM

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I wonder why within 2 weeks, stock price action auto force me out from half my gambling positions hmm.gif remaining

8/10/10 pol 12.94 12.85 -0% riding ®
8/10/10 mscc 19.8 24.3 +22% ®
8/10/10 gol 17.23 15.40 (12%) potong sweat.gif
8/10/10 crox 14.72 17.46 +20% ®
12/11/10 ten 35.79 41.54 +16% ®
19/11/10 atml 10.22 11.93 +16% ®
puts option still negative value & gambling for the heck of it laugh.gif

Stocks had opened higher on news of a bigger-than-expected drop in weekly jobless claims, but soon faded. They spent the remainder of the session slowly crawling back. The NYSE composite and S&P 500 both rose 0.4%. The Nasdaq climbed 0.3%, extending its recent win streak to seven sessions. But the Dow slipped a fraction. Volume rose on Nasdaq and fell on NYSE. The Dow was fractionally lower, but only because it's a price-weighted index. Blue chips that rose the most were lower-priced; those that fell the most were higher-priced. The other major indexes are weighted by market cap.

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sulifeisgreat
post Dec 10 2010, 10:25 PM

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its good to come out from the forest & test ur ideas rclxms.gif whether it works or not is another issue altogether
after hundreds of trades, u will get the hang of it & acquire some gut feelings ie. 6 cents tongue.gif
as long as ur winners outnumber ur losers, u r on ur way thumbup.gif
below is not a cid investigation, its just a for fun query cool2.gif

well then, how do u define youku potential against tudou? any facts & figures to back up?
coz when trade is with or against u & ur emotions go haywire! u need to ask urself y u enter & wat was ur exit plan? any change to it?
imo forget about how much u lose or gain, do not look at the amount, convert it to % to keep ur emotion in balance wink.gif
at the end of the year, u can go count the money physically after tt back to bolehland brows.gif

for gambling play, can hang on la, but I not buying anything new since indexes near resistance, just riding positions
sell before earnings report is ok, but if indexes gostan, everyone follows
shorting it before the earnings report is quite an adventure for a stock with momentum brows.gif
buy on dips is practical, but how u define it? rclxub.gif

QUOTE(honglun @ Dec 10 2010, 08:33 PM)
I just have a small stake in it unlike some big guns here that can trade at multiple times of mine. I was in on almost the opening price on the 2nd that it trade. My strategy is to sell my base stake once it has some weakness and then let the profit ride itself OR sell before its first quarter earnings. Then, short it before the results and then buy on the dips? I think Youku has the most potential in online video distributorship compared to Tudou.

Well, I don't know much as so many in house experts here like danmooncake, sulifeisgreat and zamans98. What'd ya guys think? I'm in because of the speculative play.
*
sulifeisgreat
post Dec 11 2010, 12:44 AM

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lvs sinking & atml flying, I luv being on both sides of the fence cool2.gif sink baby sink! & fly baby fly!!
sulifeisgreat
post Dec 11 2010, 09:18 AM

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8/10/10 pol 12.94 12.91 -0% riding ®
8/10/10 mscc 19.8 24.52 +22% ®
8/10/10 crox 14.72 17.74 +20% ®
12/11/10 ten 35.79 41.34 +16% ®
19/11/10 atml 10.22 12.41 +21% ®
17/11/10 vphm put Options Expiring Friday, January 21, 2011 strike price $15 is 0.75, currently $0.35 negative value
17/11/10 ten put Options Expiring Friday, January 21, 2011 strike price $34 is 2.2, currently $0.35 negative value
17/11/10 wti put Options Expiring Friday, January 21, 2011 strike price $15 is 0.95, currently $0.5 negative value
17/11/10 crox put Options Expiring Friday, March 18, 2011 strike price $16 is 2.4, currently $1.30 negative value
17/11/10 lvs put Options Expiring Friday, March 18, 2011 strike price $46 is 5.85, currently $5.4 negative value

1) The Nasdaq rose for an eighth day in a row Friday as stocks closed near session highs. The tech-tinged index popped 0.8%, while the S&P 500 added 0.6%. The NYSE composite rose 0.5% and the Dow 0.4%. Volume fell across the board.

Among industry groups, the day's best performers were a mix of the classy and the trashy. Top-rated groups such as computer networking and Internet networks did well. But so did laggards like hospitals and RV makers. About a dozen groups fell, but most not by much. Top-rated stocks are behaving well. Few leaders are crumbling.

Yet the indexes haven't climbed with the greatest strength. Although the Nasdaq rose for eight straight days, six came in declining volume. And Tuesday's session, which had a tiny gain in up volume, constituted stalling. When an index makes little price progress in heavier volume, it's a sign that funds are selling into the day's strength.

On the plus side, the Nasdaq has now strolled past its November and April highs. The next big test is its 2007 Halloween high. The Nasdaq is 8% off that peak. Except for the Dow, the major indexes are at new highs for the year. The NYSE made its highest close since September 2008.

No economic releases are scheduled for Monday. But key reports next week include a Fed decision (Tues.), producer prices (Tues.), retail sales (Tues.), Consumer prices (Wed.), Empire State factory index (Wed.), jobless claims (Thurs.), housing starts (Thurs.) and the Philly Fed index (Fri.).

2) Robust Chinese imports and exports data helped spur Beijing to put the screws on the country's banks yet again Friday to combat rising inflation, but the report also eased investor concerns of a hard landing next year. "Markets are worried about liquidity tightening, not really economic growth," said UBS economist Tao Wang.

While some analysts point to rising food prices as the main source of China's creeping inflation, more worried ones point to the economy's soaring money supply, which may be harder to tame. Property investment is still buoyant in China. Housing starts and sales remain at record highs, says Wang. And bank loans are above Beijing's targets.

After China's markets closed Friday, the central bank ordered banks to cut back on lending for the sixth time this year and the third time in a month. The People's Bank of China hiked required reserves by 50 basis points to 18.5%, another record high. Stronger-than-expected exports and imports in November fueled expectations that more tightening is on the way.

China's exports jumped 35% in November to $153.3 billion from a year earlier while imports rose 37% to $130.4 billion. Holiday-season demand from the U.S. and Europe boosted China's exports of clothing, mobile phones and high-tech products, Nomura analyst Tomo Kinoshita said in a research note. "If China starts to weaken, the prime culprit likely will be the overseas economies feeding their weakness back to China," said Don Straszheim, ISI Group's head of China Research.











sulifeisgreat
post Dec 16 2010, 02:24 PM

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the 5 stocks still within acceptable parameters & gambling it'll up for the heck of it flex.gif too bad exited vphm
Attached Image

17/11/10 vphm put Options Expiring Friday, January 21, 2011 strike price $15 is 0.75, currently $0.15 negative value
17/11/10 ten put Options Expiring Friday, January 21, 2011 strike price $34 is 2.2, currently $0.3 negative value
17/11/10 wti put Options Expiring Friday, January 21, 2011 strike price $15 is 0.95, currently $0.3 negative value
17/11/10 crox put Options Expiring Friday, March 18, 2011 strike price $16 is 2.4, currently $1.25 negative value

options r highly risky & its for gambling purpose, place a small bet & shake hard laugh.gif
holding stocks much safer, coz market can gostan anytime & less worry on becuming zero value
17/11/10 lvs put Options Expiring Friday, March 18, 2011 strike price $46 is 5.85
close position liao as almost closing the gap, currently $7.1 for +21% within 1 month cool2.gif I m luvin it

Attached Image
sulifeisgreat
post Dec 16 2010, 09:18 PM

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still riding since stocks & options r not the same characteristics, wonder wat other puts options to enter hmm.gif
reserves on standby & waiting for swing trade positions which can cum sooner or later yawn.gif wonder when it starts? must exercise patience

8/10/10 pol 12.94 12.83 -0% riding ®
8/10/10 mscc 19.8 23.2 +17% ®
8/10/10 crox 14.72 17.48 +20% ®
12/11/10 ten 35.79 40.54 +13% ®
19/11/10 atml 10.22 11.82 +15% ®

QUOTE(zamans98 @ Dec 16 2010, 04:01 PM)
I'm in with ATML. Where is yours?

I think there is a small confusion.

Choose : MBTR - Flat Rate
# 00 shares = $4.95
# 1,000 shares = $4.95
# 5,000 shares = $4.95
# 10,000 shares = $4.95

I NEVER goes beyond 5,000.
*
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sulifeisgreat
post Dec 23 2010, 10:24 PM

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investors intelligence bull bear ratio 58.8 vs 20.6 thumbup.gif close position
8/10/10 pol 12.94 13.27 +0%
8/10/10 crox 14.72 18.69 +26%
8/10/10 mscc 19.8 23.01 +16%

earlier puts options are sure gone with the wind unless market suddenly gostan, then can save it cool.gif remaining positions
12/11/10 ten 35.79 42.26 +18% ®
19/11/10 atml 10.22 12.2 +19% ®

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sulifeisgreat
post Dec 24 2010, 09:09 AM

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QUOTE(danmooncake @ Dec 24 2010, 12:52 AM)
Hey sulife,
You still hanging on to those CROX calls?

Thanks to Zms for bring CROX to my attention.
CROX got puked.. because of CFO. 

Those Jan premiums aren't looking good.
But, I'll nimble some calls when it gets to 16.50  laugh.gif
*
no calls option, hanging on to puts laugh.gif
when market gostan, crox can do a swing trade
for now, Merry X'mas & Happy New Year 2011 to all! biggrin.gif
sulifeisgreat
post Dec 28 2010, 10:44 PM

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for stocks, still holding long position to ride any cuming rollercoaster biggrin.gif puts option, can market gostan to save it?

Attached Image Attached Image

considering to enter, but await timing, indexes & chart action cool.gif

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sulifeisgreat
post Dec 28 2010, 11:18 PM

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earnings season coming soon late jan2011 for those year end dec, wonder will go higher or gostan to happen hmm.gif
tis more interesting! they are far apart!! soon, they must meet again!!! & bring the bull bear investor intelligence ratio back to equilibrium thumbup.gif
then can load up on stocks & long call positions brows.gif
must have patience yawn.gif

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QUOTE(zamans98 @ Dec 28 2010, 11:03 PM)
Look at that chart!!
*
sulifeisgreat
post Dec 28 2010, 11:48 PM

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got roket fuel, if u not scare market gostan, enter & gamble for fun whistling.gif
if takut, then the late bird catch no worm laugh.gif
its ur call at the end of the day, to me, looks ok cool.gif

QUOTE(zamans98 @ Dec 28 2010, 11:42 PM)
sulif,
How about MOT?

My STX sold so early, trailing stop hit yesterday. Very tight stop...
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sulifeisgreat
post Jan 6 2011, 10:29 PM

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fully aware indexes r very high, so treading with caution
enter armh $21.88. buy high, sell higher icon_rolleyes.gif wah! look atml & ten icon_idea.gif
Attached Image


sulifeisgreat
post Jan 6 2011, 11:00 PM

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u can enter nvda & crus, then let us know the outcome rclxms.gif
top up c at 5.05 as it finally clears resistance sweat.gif any sign of problem, potong laugh.gif
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QUOTE(zamans98 @ Jan 6 2011, 10:49 PM)
Look at NVDA, CRUS, ATML
*
sulifeisgreat
post Jan 6 2011, 11:35 PM

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means we have a battle in c! cool2.gif short term, u may win. long term, hmm...
haha! we r together in the atml sampan, wonder y no roket fuel for full blast off yet, hav patience cool.gif
indexes pullback would be better, but not sighted yet, so do cautious trend riding

QUOTE(zamans98 @ Jan 6 2011, 11:07 PM)
TOP UP, means LONG? I short!

NVDA waiting for cool off then will enter. Still have MU, ATML and AMD in hand.
*
sulifeisgreat
post Jan 7 2011, 12:06 AM

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had entered many moons ago $2-3 this is additional top up. which other big banks r going for a song? its fa is so-so, at least making money wink.gif
the chart informs on the resistance & support, resistance is around $5. suspek it'll hover & then find a newer range to trade
next resistance is 7.50 then 17.50. if make profit, can easily go there, my cucu will be very happy. loaded up jan2013 calls too sweat.gif
too bad no sell armh when it spike up sad.gif but targeting better profit & price during earnings season, expect it to range trade soon doh.gif

QUOTE(zamans98 @ Jan 6 2011, 11:54 PM)
I still don't understand. Why enter at 5 and go long? Why not at 4.50 or whatever the price was?   rclxub.gif
U can't just follow the chart fully, rite?

Technical aside, C is more likely be speculative play.
*
when I first drop by tis forum, here all proFA, no chart players & not much talking on TA nod.gif
its good to see progress for the usa & klse players, since now u guys getting the hang of charts, reading volume & etc. i'll talk less abt chart
in year 2009, show u guys about swing trade & basic TA eg. 50ma & 200ma
in year 2010, show u guys about buy high, sell higher & basic FA eg. forward PE>10
for year 2011, we'll talk abt options & see how u guys r progressing, but it seems only zamans98 is doing the hard work laugh.gif

to answer ur soalan about c, recall a long time ago we talked abt pyramiding, here's something to read & is atml doing it? hmm.gif
Pyramiding Is Best Way To Enter Position

We learn new lessons as we begin to trade larger sums of money. Tax strategies start to matter more. Trade commissions matter less. And the advantage of pyramiding into stocks — which involves averaging up, rather than down — starts to make real sense.

To pyramid means to move into a stock in at least two or three progressively smaller purchases. The technique was made popular by Jesse Livermore, a history-making trader who operated in the first half of the 20th century.

A typical pyramiding strategy might apply a 50% portion of capital to a stock as it passes a buy point in heavy trading. If the stock rises 2% from that mark, a pyramider may add another 30% of his position. The final 20% piece is placed if and when the stock makes a 4% to 5% gain.

The strategy minimizes risk in the event the stock stalls before hitting the 5% mark. If it does make it that far, you have a full position laid in for whatever comes next.

Averaging up goes hand in hand with pyramiding.

It essentially means you buy a smaller number of shares at key points as the stock rises. The first purchases occur within the 5% range. Beyond that, you buy at follow opportunities, things like pullbacks, three-weeks-tight patterns and second-stage bases.

MercadoLibre's (MELI) July 2009 breakout gave a good chance to pyramid. The stock cracked a 27.52 buy point on a cup-with-handle in big volume July 15. 1 It was a good day to buy. Other quality stocks like Baidu (BIDU), Interactive Intelligence (ININ) and Fuqi International (FUQI) were also staging big-volume advances.

This just two days after the market returned to confirmed uptrend status.

An alert investor would have grabbed a 50% position as MercadoLibre passed the buy mark.

The stock continued more than 2% higher. Trading volume held firm. Those are the signals to apply another 30% of the assigned capital. Shares ended the day just shy of the 4% mark, leaving investors with 80% of their opening position in place.

On Day 2, shares traded between 27.72 and 29.65 2 You may have laid down the remaining 20% of your position when it rose 4% above the ideal buy point. Or, you may have seen that volume was weak for the day and decided to hold off until the stock decided to make a more confident statement.

Day 3: Shares pulled back more than 6% in strong trade, ending near the bottom of the day's trading range. That dents your bliss and leaves good cause to be cautious. But it's not an unusual move for a stock about to make a winning run.

Why not use this opportunity to buy more shares at a bargain?

Because that would be averaging down. Just like the 6% pullback, you don't know what will happen next.

Either you buy when the stock is moving higher, or you lock in a higher degree of risk. If you are patient, leading stocks nearly always provide additional chances to expand your position while minimizing your risk.

MercadoLibre offered follow-on opportunities with pullbacks in September and November. 3

Stick to the pyramiding strategy and make smaller buys each time around. You want to average up, but at the same time keep your cost from spiraling too high. As a general rule of thumb, keep your average cost a minimum 20% to 30% below the current price of the stock


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sulifeisgreat
post Jan 8 2011, 11:27 PM

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hehe now the atml sampan engine revving up cool2.gif
12/11/10 ten 35.79 41.91 +17% ®
19/11/10 atml 10.22 13.49 +32% ®
5/1/11 armh 21.88 22.18 +0% ®

y u put a tight stop loss for a stock with roket fuel rclxub.gif anyway, u shorted c, mine is to keep in freezer for cucu
since my puts option r gone with the wind, no use complaining about woulda, coulda or shoulda, all part of gambling
its time to gamble with call option in anticipation of goodie earnings. if it spikes after earnings, I'll close the position, if drop, gone lo laugh.gif

xom July 16, 2011 Calls strike $75 at $3.95
vmw July 16, 2011 Calls strike $95 at $10.9
tdc July 16, 2011 Calls strike $45 at $3.6
mro July 16, 2011 Calls strike $38 at $2.92
bx June 18, 2011 Calls strike $14 at $1.75
amzn July 16, 2011 Calls strike $185 at $19.15
aapl July 16, 2011 Calls strike $340 at $27.79

QUOTE(zamans98 @ Jan 7 2011, 11:10 PM)
oh no, my ATML hit stop loss yesterday and today she's up nearing 6%!
*
sulifeisgreat
post Jan 10 2011, 03:32 PM

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those who are usa resident, is subject to tax & etc. they do not seem to enjoy benefit with those who are non resident
ensure got margin & drip is allowed too, reinvest dividend for those forever stocks or mutual funds

https://us.etrade.com/e/t/investingandtrading/globaltrading

https://us.etrade.com/e/t/investingandtrading/newtoinvesting

https://us.etrade.com/e/t/jumppage/viewjump..._mvt&SC=S047401

https://us.etrade.com/e/t/welcome/whychooseetrade

https://us.etrade.com/e/t/pricingandrates

https://search.etrade.com/e/t/search/prospe...t=inactive+fees

https://us.etrade.com/e/t/jumppage/viewjump..._mvt&SC=S047401

https://us.etrade.com/e/t/welcome/generalfutures





sulifeisgreat
post Jan 12 2011, 12:35 AM

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once c reclear $5, suspek is the new range its gonna trade, roket riding when indexes r so high is almost so fun sweat.gif
when announce earnings then can lari call options! those 3 stocks r hitting new high again, means further breakout drool.gif is earnings tat good?

12/11/10 ten 35.79 44.68 +19%
19/11/10 atml 10.22 13.8 +32%
5/1/11 armh 21.88 23.52 +7%
8/1/11 bx June 18, 2011 Calls strike $14 at $1.75 1.83 +0%
8/1/11 xom July 16, 2011 Calls strike $75 at $3.95 3.95 -0%
8/1/11 vmw July 16, 2011 Calls strike $95 at $10.9 11.6 +6%
8/1/11 tdc July 16, 2011 Calls strike $45 at $3.6 3.7 +0%
8/1/11 mro July 16, 2011 Calls strike $38 at $2.92 3.3 +13%
8/1/11 amzn July 16, 2011 Calls strike $185 at $19.15 18.6 -2%
8/1/11 aapl July 16, 2011 Calls strike $340 at $27.79 30.85 +11%



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