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 US stock discussion v3, Double Bottom coming?

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kelynn
post Jun 13 2011, 08:49 PM

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QUOTE(danmooncake @ Jun 8 2011, 08:56 PM)
It was FUQI. It was completely FUcQ'ed now. Nothing but OTC pink sheet. It was a nice short after accounting shortfall.  smile.gif
Don't INVEST in any of the speculative Chinese stocks especially if they've been listed only the last 2-3 years.
Only use them as short term trading vehicle.

Yes, that article highlights the big issues about reverse-merger technique used by many Chinese companies seeking listing in major market like NYSE but can't cope up with the strict accounting standards resulting in reinstatement that could shock many investors. Their bookkeeping in China is totally different from the world GAAP.  Perhaps only big companies like BIDU perhaps able to hire enough accountants or auditors to keep two different systems in check.
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FUQI help me made money ,but now the chinese stock r dangerous,ironically i am shorting chinese stock now...smile.gif))
kelynn
post Jun 14 2011, 09:51 AM

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QUOTE(ronn77 @ Jun 13 2011, 11:45 PM)
I'm looking into China's Amazon  biggrin.gif
"DANG" which right now is only $12.00.
However a bit worried that despite looks attractive but next few weeks it may become either $20 or $2.
Does it worth the risks?
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hello,u want to buy or short the stock?
kelynn
post Jun 14 2011, 09:55 AM

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QUOTE(zamans98 @ Jun 14 2011, 09:53 AM)
Slowly but still seems doubtful.
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agree with zaman!!
kelynn
post Jun 15 2011, 12:57 PM

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hey guys,anyone noticed WNR?it is now at 15.86,just above the support at 15,now its crack spread is nearing $32,all time high...good to buy into this stock since the bull are back...any thought?
kelynn
post Jun 15 2011, 05:24 PM

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[quote=zamans98,Jun 15 2011, 01:02 PM]
Don;t understand. All time high is 50++ in 2008. And now only $16, from $6 in early Jan 2011.

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crack spread is the margin the refiner garner by selling the refined product,it is up 5 % yesterday and it is all time high,i am not meaning the price of the stock..there is good risk to reward ratio...


Added on June 15, 2011, 5:29 pm[quote=danmooncake,Jun 15 2011, 09:08 AM]
Closing update for June 14th

Dow 12076.11 +123.14 +1.03%
Nasdaq 2678.72 +39.03 +1.48%
S&P500 1287.87 +16.04 +1.26%

The bulls came back and took back Dow 12K but I don't think we're out of the woods yet.
Still got plenty of supply to chew through here on this oversold rally.

Took my shot at AAPL July/June calls spread. Let see how high it can go. smile.gif
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[/quote]

u must gain quite handsomely today...aapl is up $5.84...too bad i am late...waiting for pullback and it might not happen at all... sad.gif

This post has been edited by kelynn: Jun 15 2011, 05:29 PM
kelynn
post Jun 15 2011, 09:52 PM

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just bought aapl july call at 330:)hope it will bounce...
kelynn
post Jun 16 2011, 09:32 AM

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QUOTE(danmooncake @ Jun 15 2011, 10:24 PM)
AAPL will be in tight trading range between now and end of the month.
I'm holding on my July calls spread too from around 326 area. I've sold June 340 calls which will expire this Friday.

Let's hope 325 hold and bounce up only after the quad witching this Friday.  brows.gif
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my aapl option was red,when bought it thought i will bounce but end up lower...now look for to spread my call option to cover some of my premium paid.

it seems like a intermediate correction to me,right now sitting nicely just above the trendline in SPX weekly chart,if break it,then the we r going down...
kelynn
post Jun 16 2011, 10:38 AM

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QUOTE(danmooncake @ Jun 16 2011, 10:27 AM)
Yes, those options will decay especially when the market goes against you in the other direction.
Given even one day, a roundtrip back to the same price, can also decay. Therefore, one must be very careful when playing with options. That's why sometimes you've to play both sides (both calls and puts) and hedge with the underlying stocks as well.  nod.gif
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well said smile.gif appreciate it!!!
kelynn
post Jun 17 2011, 10:18 AM

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QUOTE(danmooncake @ Jun 17 2011, 05:26 AM)
Closing for Thursday
Dow 11961.52 +64.25 +0.54%
Nasdaq 2623.70 -7.76 -0.29%
S&P500 1267.64 +2.22 +0.18%

Don't be fooled by the green shoots in Dow and SP500. There were some massive algo selling to trigger stop losses during the last 2 hours. Basically most of them recovered.  The next trading session is going to be really interesting.

I'm playing AAPL bulls calls spread again:  Bought 320 July Sold 330 June when AAPL was around 320.
It was huge bargain.  drool.gif  Looking to sell in the pop again perhaps the next trading session.

After Hours:
RIMM drops 15% after yet another disappointing quarter.
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i should sold my appl when it is green...u have a nice play on aapl,now ctct and crox is the position i own still green...the rally in the morning always fade in the evening...should be day trade instead!!
AAII bullish sentiment is the lowest since august 2010,this is a contrarian indicator,but should trade based on price and volume,just take note..
kelynn
post Jun 17 2011, 09:52 PM

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QUOTE(danmooncake @ Jun 17 2011, 10:23 AM)
It has been like this for the past weeks... all rallies are sold into or just fade away by end of the day.

Yes, it may not make sense because AAPL now is below their stellar Q1 and Q2 earnings.
Their forward PE is incredible cheap!

IMO, long term investors do not have to worry too much, just keep accumulating it when it dips.
But, if you play with options.. watch out!
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market participants are bias,not based on the facts,if not,fundamental will work all the time..and i reload my aapl call option again,how about u?hope i won run into red again...
kelynn
post Jun 18 2011, 10:00 AM

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QUOTE(danmooncake @ Jun 17 2011, 10:04 PM)
I've dumped all my AAPL right at open to take advantage of the pop. Now looking at reload opportunity.

Looking at around low 321~322 area.. for possibility.  MM are in control today with option expiration.
I think they're going to pin this below 325 to make sure June expire worthless.


Added on June 17, 2011, 10:22 pmI got my AAPL 322.. reloading some here. 
Keeping an eye out for 320 as well.


Added on June 17, 2011, 10:30 pm
Adding at 320.50.  smile.gif


Added on June 17, 2011, 10:43 pmKa-ching.. I'm out 323... good enough for this weekend!  biggrin.gif
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after i bought for not more than half an hour i sold,the tape isn't right...so i sold it...loss a bit but feel lucky i din loss more afterward...ic,that's why 325 level cant hold...now going to 320.this stock like roller coster...swing up and down...sold all my stock due to stop loss...so what u guys think about the greeks debt?
kelynn
post Jun 21 2011, 10:19 PM

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I bought TDC,SGEN which barely move,and on hold to LOW...what stock u guys bought?or stil waiting for greeks vote?
kelynn
post Jun 22 2011, 09:57 AM

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QUOTE(danmooncake @ Jun 22 2011, 02:30 AM)
I'm up over 202% on my AAPL $320 weekly calls!! Just bought this at market open.
biggrin.gif Freaking awesome!   I'm cashing out now.

Since we're waiting on the Greece thingy, I'm not waiting for SELL the news.
I'll re-buy if it looks safe later.  laugh.gif
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congrates rclxms.gif ,ya...it was up very fast....i dare not play aapl again...can u teach me how to play aapl ?i burned a few times when i touch it,need to find a sifu to teach me smile.gif

This post has been edited by kelynn: Jun 22 2011, 09:58 AM
kelynn
post Jun 22 2011, 09:13 PM

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QUOTE(danmooncake @ Jun 22 2011, 10:50 AM)
Market got more juice!

Dow 12190.01 +109.63 +0.91%
Nasdaq 2687.26 +57.60 +2.19%
S&P500 1295.52 +17.16 +1.34%
Playing AAPL option is not for the faint of heart here.
AAPL is nice trading range (310-365)... it moves like a clockwork over the past 6 months.
It is still in a downtrend (since Jan highs).. but when it is below 325, it is buy. But, keep selling (go to PUTs) when it is
around 345 or higher.

It moves very fast especially the weeklies.  The trick here is to buy in small batches,
and load up as underlying price moves up.. I found by using the 15m chart with
20ema and 50ema line works best for AAPL during intra-day trading. As long as price remains over
the 20ema, 50ema, you're good to go. I never keep overnight when playing weeklies options. 

For swing trade over several days, monthly options, better scale in using wider spread and
always sell the front month or out-of-money options to offset the premiums.
When playing front month, I never keep over 5 days and if still underwater by 5th day..
that's means it working against you. I would cut loss.

I'm just for trading AAPL options now and waiting for more opportunity to load up on the commons.

I guess that's the same for any other stocks. You must know its price pattern and trading range.
Once you got a good handle on its underlying price action, you can manage the options part later.

Now, we'll see if the market can break up the resistance level or not.. SP500 - 1300, Dow 12250.
By the way, the summer of fear isn't over yet.  brows.gif
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thanks sifu biggrin.gif ...ur info are invaluable,i don have access to intraday chart,where can i found a free intraday chart?
kelynn
post Jun 22 2011, 10:09 PM

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QUOTE(danmooncake @ Jun 22 2011, 09:51 PM)
That's usually your broker. Use the real time chart offered by your broker.

Anyway, I'm back in AAPL for another trade today.

In 325 for calls spread.. looking for 4-5 pts out today.
Everyone waiting for Bernanke speech. I'm hope to be out by then.

Got to day trade this market until sentiments improve.
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sold all my calls before the fed's speech,don want to take the risk in case market gets disappointment..wish u can get out before the speech with a profit:)
kelynn
post Jun 23 2011, 11:11 AM

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the road down is expected to be rocky...no QE3,but the interest rate the will keep the same for about 3 FOMC meeting,expect the unemployment rate to be high and remained much longer and inflation rate be high than they estimate before...but the tape isn;'t that bad since the spx daily chart,today it doesnt give back half of its gain yesterday,and traders has been pessimistic these few weeks,and today trading volume isn't high,now SPX is sitting in key area,if it break down lower,then should respect the tape...now come the tug of wars between bull and bear,once victory belongs to one side,i will embrace the winner:)
kelynn
post Jun 30 2011, 12:29 PM

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wow...my CLF already up 8 dollars...big gain for call option smile.gif)hope continue to rise..
kelynn
post Jun 30 2011, 09:32 PM

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QUOTE(danmooncake @ Jun 30 2011, 08:27 PM)
Same as those copper mining stocks that I've trading: TCK and FCX.

Up up up.. looks like they're expecting Greece issue to temporarily go away for now for the bulls to come out and play.  Q2 ending, market wants to be positive for this quarter ending June 30. Could be another window dressing at play.

Going to meet up or test the resistance level (50MA) - SP500 1316-18 area soon.
Keeping those tight stops in place.  smile.gif

Btw, looks like the financials are coming back. Looking at C, BAC, JPM, etc.. Both V and MA skyrocket because of debit card fees fears are overblown.  If financials truly coming, we could see a pretty good rally soon.
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yup,financial are coming back smile.gif
kelynn
post Jun 30 2011, 09:41 PM

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QUOTE(zamans98 @ Jun 30 2011, 09:34 PM)
Are u getting any?

XLF  is a good bet now eh?
Buy XLF x 300 @ 15.27 done
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i am not buying any,nice pick,XLF is technically good,but remember to determine ur exit point and set stop loss..good luck:)
kelynn
post Jul 2 2011, 10:47 AM

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my portfolio is up 28%, smile.gif,currently holding CLF,WNR,LVS,raise my stop loss to lock in profit...how is everyone portfolio so far?dan,ur aapl shooting up like crazy,had u buy it?

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