Most small cap are already at the lowest in 52 weeks already
US stock discussion v3, Double Bottom coming?
US stock discussion v3, Double Bottom coming?
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Jul 1 2010, 11:50 PM
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Senior Member
502 posts Joined: Jan 2005 From: Klang / Cyberjaya |
Most small cap are already at the lowest in 52 weeks already
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Jul 1 2010, 11:56 PM
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Senior Member
8,510 posts Joined: Dec 2004 From: KayEL |
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Jul 2 2010, 12:05 AM
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Senior Member
502 posts Joined: Jan 2005 From: Klang / Cyberjaya |
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Jul 2 2010, 12:19 AM
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Senior Member
8,510 posts Joined: Dec 2004 From: KayEL |
Look at GOLD, it that a sign that the pipe is about to burst?
Gold Price Change due to Weakening of US Dollar+17.20 Gold Price Change due to Predominant Selling-50.00 Gold Price: Total Change-32.80 Jul 01, 2010 12:15 NY Time Bid/Ask 1209.60 - 1210.60 Low/High 1206.10 - 1245.10 |
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Jul 2 2010, 12:26 AM
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Senior Member
1,345 posts Joined: Sep 2009 |
-200 points is on-going..
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Jul 2 2010, 02:06 AM
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All Stars
10,123 posts Joined: Aug 2007 |
QUOTE(epalbee3 @ Jul 2 2010, 12:26 AM) Nice, I've covered some shorts positions here.Closing update: Dow 9732.53 -41.49 -0.42% Nasdaq 2101.36 -7.88 -0.37% S&P500 1027.37 -3.34 -0.32% We have a bit of a reversal here after SPX hit 1010 (that's the support line). Not green but good enough until we get the job numbers on Friday. This is the big one, let see how the market reacts. Remember, market expects 9.8% (which is already bad). If it comes in worse than this, then it is KABOOM!! This post has been edited by danmooncake: Jul 2 2010, 06:59 AM |
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Jul 2 2010, 07:47 AM
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Senior Member
534 posts Joined: Dec 2006 |
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Jul 2 2010, 08:08 AM
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Junior Member
144 posts Joined: Aug 2008 |
QUOTE(danmooncake @ Jul 2 2010, 02:06 AM) Nice, I've covered some shorts positions here. Reporting in! Closing update: Dow 9732.53 -41.49 -0.42% Nasdaq 2101.36 -7.88 -0.37% S&P500 1027.37 -3.34 -0.32% We have a bit of a reversal here after SPX hit 1010 (that's the support line). Not green but good enough until we get the job numbers on Friday. This is the big one, let see how the market reacts. Remember, market expects 9.8% (which is already bad). If it comes in worse than this, then it is KABOOM!! Nice reversal! Jobs jobs jobs tonight... if it unexpectedly beats expectation for the better, I am gonna be expecting a lot of short squeezing! Be prepared to cover shorts in pre market if that happens (notes to self too!) Goood luck to all ! |
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Jul 2 2010, 01:10 PM
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Senior Member
1,345 posts Joined: Sep 2009 |
Don't worry, good job result will also dump the market..
there are other news like china and europe.. But I do see the immediate support point at 9.7k.. We need to break this tonight or we have to bounce a little back.. I am holding long term short.. |
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Jul 2 2010, 01:44 PM
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Senior Member
4,305 posts Joined: Sep 2008 |
Check in.
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Jul 2 2010, 04:27 PM
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Senior Member
8,510 posts Joined: Dec 2004 From: KayEL |
Today, we have the mother of news :
Unemployment Rate Market is going to be very volatile.... |
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Jul 2 2010, 08:31 PM
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All Stars
10,123 posts Joined: Aug 2007 |
Jobs numbers are better than expected than last month...!!
http://stats.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm Unemployment rate: 9.5m (June) versus 9.7m (May) (this is good) Private sector increases: +83k versus 33k (last month), ok but higher than 100k is expected Opps.. the details on the hourly worked aren't too good here. Non-farm payroll: -125k (June) vs. +431k (May) Hourly worked: -0.1 (June) vs +0.2 (May) Overall numbers seems okay here with the layoff the census bureau.. private sector picked up some but not as much as expected (100K or higher). Update I'm going to close out my shorts tonight. Not going to hold out for 3 days weekend. Keeping some longs on the table because I think we're oversold a bit and more than price in and should go back up some for next week. Next week: I think the stress tests for the European banks should be watched. This post has been edited by danmooncake: Jul 2 2010, 09:10 PM |
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Jul 2 2010, 10:00 PM
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Senior Member
1,345 posts Joined: Sep 2009 |
I will see the dip tonight because this big news cannot drive the market up..
somemore, people do not know which number to look at, so I will hold on short.. Enjoy today ride.. |
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Jul 2 2010, 10:01 PM
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Senior Member
4,966 posts Joined: Nov 2008 |
Direction less after 30 mins.
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Jul 2 2010, 10:32 PM
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All Stars
10,123 posts Joined: Aug 2007 |
QUOTE(GregPG01 @ Jul 2 2010, 10:01 PM) It will stay flat for tonight till next week. The job numbers (in the details) aren't really glory but they are not armageddon either. If the market didn't tank earlier this week expecting this bad job number, it could have tanked today.Factory orders in May also show slow down: -1.4 vs. +1.2 (April) Longer term trend still down. This post has been edited by danmooncake: Jul 2 2010, 10:36 PM |
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Jul 2 2010, 10:56 PM
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Senior Member
1,345 posts Joined: Sep 2009 |
seems like DOW is trying very hard to break 9.7k..
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Jul 2 2010, 11:12 PM
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All Stars
10,123 posts Joined: Aug 2007 |
Decided to stay out longs all together. I'm out for now.
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Jul 2 2010, 11:54 PM
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Senior Member
1,345 posts Joined: Sep 2009 |
All in for short here.. brazil lose the ball..
Added on July 3, 2010, 12:42 amquiet there? Added on July 3, 2010, 12:43 amit is going below 9.6k tonight.. Added on July 3, 2010, 9:02 amjust dip like 40 points at the end. now 9686.48. US is enjoying the independent day, then people will forget about the market and go for shopping and travelling. This week China has led the dip by it HangSeng, ShangZheng and ShenZhen in a few consequtive days. Europe bank stress test will be on next week.. US has no market on Monday, so anything happens will be reflected only on Tuesday night. On the other hand, California state governor Arnold has ordered to pay only minimum wages to the government staffs since they cannot balance the financial situation. So, for next week, there will be push and pull by bull and bear. Bear will still have bigger chance to win. Remember, theoretically the market now is already -15% from the top. Then people said it is entering into bear which will dip another 20-30%, overall. What is your outlook for next week? This post has been edited by epalbee3: Jul 3 2010, 09:02 AM |
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Jul 3 2010, 09:18 PM
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All Stars
10,123 posts Joined: Aug 2007 |
Good evening,
Had to take off early yesterday - close shop early. Didn't post any update. I guess we all know what's the score anyway. Bears won! There are no bulls in sight and I'm afraid none will appear for a while. The path has been carved out for more bears for now. You are correct, we actually have exceeded the -15% from the top for this correction (Dow -15.6%, SPX -18%, Nas -20%). Once reached or exceeded 20%, we're officially in bear market territory. Nasdaq already reached that target. The "death cross" (50MA below 200MA) for SPX has occurred. Dow will be next, followed by Nasdaq. Once all three confirmed, then more heavy selling. Selling will accelerate even faster if that happens because large funds won't tolerate that and they will dump. Hence, we may see -40% to -50% from the top. The only saving grace will be earnings and even if there are good earnings, the bounce won't be high. People will take opportunities to sell into the pop. Then, we will clearly see Double Dip is in the works here. |
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Jul 4 2010, 12:46 AM
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Senior Member
1,345 posts Joined: Sep 2009 |
50% means 5500 points..
don't worry, it won't go there straight; if it goes, we always have some chance to sell into pop.. I guess next week DOW has the potential to go to 9.2k. But be careful, last two days we have small dips. If the real dip ever come, it will not be a few tens points; usually 200-400 points. watch out and plan properly what you think it should be: bear or bull, once it moves, no chance to invert it.. I am still full in bear. In fact, what I worry is the fundamental US economy, you all know what is the situation, can't really find a good news except pres. obama said to build the broadband for rural areas. Then, judge yourselves, market is unpredictable, but please play protectively.. Added on July 4, 2010, 1:17 ambut DOW needs 9k points to reach 20% dip from its top.. will this be achieved next week? This post has been edited by epalbee3: Jul 4 2010, 01:17 AM |
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