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 TMI/Axiata, Trading opportunities

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kimboon
post May 15 2014, 04:26 PM

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Joined: May 2014
QUOTE(lcchong76 @ May 7 2014, 05:53 PM)
AXIATA Analysis:-

http://lcchong.wordpress.com/2014/05/07/ax...sis-7-may-2014/

My View:-

- Fair values:
- Absolute EY%: Buy below 6.67, sell above 8.17 (MOS: 17.60%)
- I am looking for 23% MOS though.
- AXIATA is currently undervalued at 6.73 (6 May 2014)
- I expect Celcom’s earnings to remain stable going forward amid rational competition. XL meanwhile will have to absorb Axis’ losses in the initial years post-merger. The potentially value-accretive tower spin-off exercise is not close to being completed. Besides, AXIATA is still highly leveraged. CROIC and ROIC are just stable, but not improving significantly.
- New acquisition activities are expected, such as Viom Networks Ltd in India. Thus, more funding and gearing will be needed.
- As of now, I do not see new growth catalysts for Axiata in the near term. I won’t accumulate AXIATA in the near term.

Latest Financial – Annual Report 2013 (6 May 2014) http://www.bursamalaysia.com/market/listed...cements/1614929

At the time of writing, I owned shares of AXIATA.
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