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 Stock market V21, Huge Stimulus Age

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sythian
post Feb 16 2009, 01:21 AM

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QUOTE(dreams_achiever @ Feb 14 2009, 12:11 PM)
Wow..so fast version 21.
Well as usual, dreams_achiever reporting in biggrin.gif
Senate has given their approval.
Waiting for Obama to sign the bill. Monday will be good day to load some stocks for week long rally. (hope so)
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That also means signal printing dollar and flood the economy with huge amount Of USD, Gold is aprreciated 4.5% for the last three week. In the longer run US stock price will goes up because of devaluation of USD. However, current quater investor is US still looking at risk aversion and still 'fear' factor. DJI friday closing is the lowest in 2009, will it go for 2008 low?
Current SPY market price is USD 82.76 and a lot more awaiting put below strike 82 and large open interest low prob of expiring.
sythian
post Feb 16 2009, 01:49 AM

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From recession to depression?

http://www.morganstanley.com/views/gef/index.html#anchor7467

"Money matters. Hence, no depression this time. The key lesson from the Great Depression is that policy, and especially monetary policy, matters a lot. Central bankers around the world have learned that lesson and have not only cut rates early and aggressively, but have also engaged in quantitative easing and are, together with governments, stabilising the banking system. Thus, money supply is expanding rather than contracting. This, together with the coming fiscal expansion, is the reason why we think that the widespread Depression angst is just that – angst."


sythian
post Feb 18 2009, 12:07 AM

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QUOTE(panasonic88 @ Feb 17 2009, 02:52 PM)
wow that's dangerous.  hmm.gif
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Coming Friday is the third week of the month option expiring and also with the poor Empire State Manufacturing Index -34.7 vs forecast -23. Wait for test $DJI 7500. Money now flow to precious metal gold, silver, copper.
sythian
post Feb 18 2009, 12:37 AM

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QUOTE(Singh_Kalan @ Feb 18 2009, 12:15 AM)
Looking at current condition, its not impossible for DJIA to drop below 5000pts.  Its a economic plague now.  The next level of bad news may be credit card default rate.  As ppl had a hard time to pay off their homeloan, credit card would be the only option left.  sad.gif
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Both the US and UK govt have deflation problem now, BOE and FED already in the money printing mode (buy govt bond). They may not want to see equtities market free fall and the market is indecisived. The good news is both Baltic Dried Index and copper future are moving up.

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