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 Stock market V21, Huge Stimulus Age

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kb2005
post Feb 17 2009, 08:52 PM

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QUOTE(Junior83 @ Feb 17 2009, 08:45 PM)
3 months later, gov will admit recession no longer can be avoid  doh.gif

Hopefully that won't happen....

Is it possible Bank Negara decide cut to interest in coming months?  hmm.gif
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Cut interest rate won't help that much. People still prefer to keep money in the bank regardless of the interrest rate.
kb2005
post Feb 17 2009, 09:55 PM

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QUOTE(Junior83 @ Feb 17 2009, 08:57 PM)
No, is to reduce the burden of SME finance and spur the consumer spending.
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But it still can't boost up consumer spending. For example, if you have a house loan and you only save about RM100 due to the interest rate cut. But do you think consumer will use that RM100 to spend on other thing ?
kb2005
post Feb 18 2009, 06:51 AM

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QUOTE(David83 @ Feb 17 2009, 11:57 PM)
It's down 200 points now:

7,625.32 -225.09 -2.87%
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-297.881 now. Not sure how about KLSE today ? biggrin.gif
kb2005
post Feb 18 2009, 07:16 AM

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I think today is a good time to buy. biggrin.gif
kb2005
post Feb 18 2009, 09:12 AM

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If want to make quick money (buy and sell on the same day), which counter we should go ? Any recommendation ?
kb2005
post Feb 18 2009, 09:25 AM

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QUOTE(Junior83 @ Feb 18 2009, 09:22 AM)
Genting ar..where got.... dun care la.. buy for long term holding one smile.gif
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i'm still holding 2 lots at higher price! sad.gif
kb2005
post Feb 18 2009, 09:38 AM

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From CNN

NEW YORK (CNNMoney.com) -- China and Japan will stop lending to the United States! The U.S. government won't be able to finance its stimulus and bailout programs!

Those are the concerns that some analysts and investors have voiced over the past few months, as the government unveiled trillions of dollars in economic recovery and financial market liquidity programs and said they will ramp up their Treasury bond issuance to pay for it.

But those worries may be overblown.

"If you can't buy Treasurys, what can you buy?" said Michael Cheah, bond fund manager at AIG SunAmerica. "For the foreseeable future, to the extent that there is no alternative, big holders like Japan and China will continue to buy up U.S. Treasurys."

A report on foreign purchases of Treasurys Tuesday eased concerns that overseas investors would stop buying U.S. debt.

According to the Treasury International Capital (TIC) report released Tuesday, net foreign purchases of long-term Treasurys were $15 billion in December. The report relieved many investors' worries about the TIC data, which showed foreign investors had sold a net $25.8 billion of Treasurys in November.

China continued to lead all foreign nations, buying up an additional $14.3 billion of Treasurys in December. Japan, the second largest U.S. debt holder, bought up another $800 million of U.S. government bonds.

Though one month of data does not indicate a trend, analysts said they believe that the U.S. will continue to attract foreign investors, especially from Asia.

"The Chinese are locked into buying Treasurys," said Cheah. "It's not in their interest to do otherwise - it would kill their exporters and only make things worse."

Furthermore, droves of weak economic data from around the globe continue to hammer financial markets. With stocks floundering and commodity prices in flux, U.S. government debt has remained relatively attractive.

Treasury successfully completed a record $67 billion quarterly refunding last week, including the sale of 3-, 10- and 30-year bonds, attracting more than enough investors to fund the debt offerings.

As a result, investors' fears that the government will have difficulty making up for its escalating budget shortfall have eased somewhat.

The 10-year Treasury yield, which hit 3% for the first time since November on Feb. 6, fell below 2.7% on Tuesday, indicating an influx of bond investors over the past week and a half. Yields and prices move in opposite direction.

Still, with $787 billion it will owe for stimulus, $700 billion for the bank bailout and trillions more in liquidity programs, the Treasury expects to issue between $2.7 trillion - $4.2 trillion of debt over the next two years.

Not all are convinced that investors will continue to demand Treasurys when interest rates are again falling close to uncharted territory.

"The fear of trade is still on, and buyers can't find a better alternative elsewhere," said Kenneth Naehu, managing director at Bel Air Investment Advisors. "But the jury is still out whether the United States' ability to finance at low rates will continue to hold true, assuming the fear of trade tapers off."

Bond prices: U.S. bond markets were closed on Monday for the President's Day holiday.

On Tuesday, the price of the 10-year note rose 1-28/32 to 100-22/32 and its yield fell to 2.67%, down from 2.90% from late Friday. Bond prices and yields move in opposite directions.

The 30-year bond rose 3-9/32 to 100-2/32, and yielded 3.49%, down from 3.69%.

The 2-year note edged up 6/32 to 100-1/32 and its yield fell to 0.88% from 0.97%.

The yield on the 3-month note was unchanged at 0.30%. Demand for the shorter-term note is seen as a gauge for investor confidence.

Lending rates: Bank-to-bank lending rates were little changed. The 3-month Libor rate was 1.25% Tuesday, up from 1.24% Friday, according to data on Bloomberg.com. The overnight Libor rate, meanwhile, rose to 0.31% from 0.30%.

Libor, the London Interbank Offered Rate, is a daily average of rates that 16 different banks charge each other to lend money in London.

Two credit market gauges were showing a decrease in confidence in the lending markets. The "TED" spread widened to 0.95 percentage point from 0.94 percentage point on Friday. The bigger the TED spread, the less willing investors are to take risks.

Another market indicator, the Libor-OIS spread, increased to 0.98 percentage point from 0.97 percentage point the previous day. The wider the spread, the less cash is available for lending.

First Published: February 17, 2009: 11:01 AM ET
kb2005
post Feb 18 2009, 08:47 PM

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QUOTE(kmarc @ Feb 18 2009, 05:54 PM)
I bought LIONIND at 0.665 just before CNY. Want to unload it yesterday if it rallied further but it went south!  doh.gif

I'm glad I unload my SIME.... made 15% profit....  rclxms.gif
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At what price you bought SIME ?
kb2005
post Feb 19 2009, 09:27 PM

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So, will it affect Zelan share tomorrow ?
kb2005
post Feb 20 2009, 06:54 AM

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Dow 7,465.95 -89.68 -1.19%
kb2005
post Feb 22 2009, 10:03 AM

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QUOTE(gogo2 @ Feb 21 2009, 02:43 PM)
Yaya....valuecap and EPF. That's why EPF interest not yet announce. I'm sure free fall after Najib become
Prime Minister and EPF will announce 2% interest last year. Haha!!
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Yesterday newspaper said, EPF is going to announce 5% int for last year. biggrin.gif Still not yet confirm by EPF. biggrin.gif
kb2005
post Feb 25 2009, 08:03 PM

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QUOTE(Neo18 @ Feb 25 2009, 05:00 PM)
just found out BLR is most likely be 5.55
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Which bank announce ?
kb2005
post Feb 26 2009, 08:39 AM

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Hi guys,

What do you think of KNM stock after the announcement ? I just bought it yesterday at 0.41.
kb2005
post Feb 26 2009, 06:29 PM

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QUOTE(sharesa @ Feb 26 2009, 03:15 PM)
just as the interest rates are nearing 0%, now is 2%,
am wondering are you guys thinking of taking out your fixed deposit to buy shares?
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The risk is even higher if buy share!
kb2005
post Feb 26 2009, 09:26 PM

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QUOTE(Freelancer @ Feb 26 2009, 08:39 PM)
Risky indeed. When you get into the boat, the boat sinks.

However, when you miss the boat, the boat keeps afloat higher and higher.  sad.gif
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Quite true! rclxms.gif
kb2005
post Feb 26 2009, 10:54 PM

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QUOTE(kmarc @ Feb 26 2009, 10:50 PM)
Oops..... http://www.thestar.com.my/news/story.asp?f...2045&sec=nation

Related counters gonna give back their gains?  hmm.gif
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Not sure why work minister never ask our PM before the announcement of toll hike! I will defenitely go against the toll hike as our government should help us in this economy situation.

kb2005
post Feb 26 2009, 11:12 PM

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QUOTE(Freelancer @ Feb 26 2009, 11:01 PM)
Hear.. hear..  nod.gif
Europe green and so far US also green. Hopefully our market also green tomorrow.  smile.gif
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Ya, hope Malaysia also green tomorrow. I hope KNM will go up too. biggrin.gif
kb2005
post Feb 26 2009, 11:31 PM

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QUOTE(David83 @ Feb 26 2009, 11:15 PM)
You bought KNM recently? KNM dropped 1 cents today.
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Ya lor! I bought at 0.41! sweat.gif
kb2005
post Feb 27 2009, 08:37 PM

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QUOTE(mo_meng @ Feb 27 2009, 05:22 PM)
yeah knm .. doh.gif no eyes c .. no need think also haha .. just hold as toilet paper haha
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Pls keep it for a while. It should go up to 50cents soon as the COP already up.
kb2005
post Feb 27 2009, 09:18 PM

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QUOTE(chyaw @ Feb 27 2009, 09:09 PM)
Today, didn't really look at stocks! But when I just see my portfolio, my loss widen so much in one day...
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I have the same problem too especially on KNM and Genting! cry.gif

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