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 YTL power, Well managed company

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skiddtrader
post Nov 22 2009, 10:21 PM

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QUOTE(SKY 1809 @ Nov 22 2009, 09:57 PM)
Trading and hedging are quite diff:-

1) You hedge the costs of your materials ahead ( maybe 1 to 2 years just an example ) . You may just reflect the gain or loss .

2) Trading of oil of in Billion  could be  volatile and speculative. Even Shell or Esso could lose money by writing off high cost of stocks to market price.

3) Long term Investors prefer Operating Profit than trading ( could be speculative in nature  ) and may not in line with the core business.

4) Surprisingly, No forumer had mentioned this kind of trading before.

Just my personal view.
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1) Yup, according to the quarterly results, Seraya hedges their fuel because of their fuel requirements. They also do some currency hedges and interest swaps.

2) Edit: Corrected my earlier assumption on how oil trading started. A better explanation is in this link.


3) Yes you are right, it's actually quite a new business for them. I believe less than 5 years of trading. Totally unlike utilities.

4) Yup, not much discussion was concentrated on their oil trading business because their yearly report only shows small contributions of profit from the trading. More like a sideline business.

This post has been edited by skiddtrader: Nov 22 2009, 10:27 PM
skiddtrader
post Nov 24 2009, 10:33 AM

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QUOTE(protonw @ Nov 24 2009, 09:40 AM)
Aiyor, yet to get one.  laugh.gif
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Wah let us know how the AGM goes then. At least we can hear some 1st hand account.

I remember last AGM, Junellk went for it and clarified a few things.
skiddtrader
post Nov 26 2009, 06:06 PM

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QUOTE(June_llk @ Nov 26 2009, 04:30 PM)
5 yrs final tariff for water and sewage by Ofwat finally out...

Wessex is still one of the best sewage company with tariff increase much better than the draft determination...

Another smooth sail for wessex for next 5 yrs. smile.gif

Can download here: http://www.ofwat.gov.uk/pricereview/pr09ph...9_finalfull.pdf
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WOW that is very good news indeed then.

Trying to read the report but can't understand their terms. Anyone got a summary?

This post has been edited by skiddtrader: Nov 26 2009, 06:23 PM
skiddtrader
post Nov 27 2009, 10:58 AM

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QUOTE(darkknight81 @ Nov 26 2009, 09:20 PM)
Trying to figure it out too but surrender also  sad.gif
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Sigh... we both fail. icon_question.gif
skiddtrader
post Nov 29 2009, 01:28 PM

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QUOTE(calmwater @ Nov 28 2009, 08:31 PM)

Hope this answers your query.
Thank you very much. Exactly what I was looking for.
skiddtrader
post Dec 1 2009, 03:54 PM

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QUOTE(June_llk @ Dec 1 2009, 03:27 PM)
AGM Update

1. Dividend moving forward is positive
2. Wimax will contribute significantly to the group
3. Deferred tax is accounting issue (Non cash item)
4. Seraya acquisition was abt S$140mil cheaper (due to completion adjustment)
5. Expect to continue with strong cashflow, not likely ask for rights issue.

Till next year:)
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Thanks for the update Junellk.
skiddtrader
post Dec 1 2009, 04:31 PM

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QUOTE(darkknight81 @ Dec 1 2009, 04:30 PM)
Haiz i may sell off all my bjtoto and enter 100% into ytl power  icon_rolleyes.gif
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Huh why want to do that? Just hold your BJTOTO lar, if not wasted the brokerages when you jump around.
skiddtrader
post Dec 2 2009, 11:38 AM

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QUOTE(protonw @ Dec 1 2009, 11:04 PM)
oops.gif Thanks, seraya sounds like a nice Malay girl's name... laugh.gif
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The name Seraya is actually taken from the island the Power station is situated which is Pulau Seraya.

5 Islands including Pulau Seraya was combined through reclamation to form 1 big Jurong Island.

So it's correct that Seraya is actually a nice Malay name for the island.

This post has been edited by skiddtrader: Dec 2 2009, 11:39 AM
skiddtrader
post Dec 2 2009, 08:27 PM

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QUOTE(htt @ Dec 2 2009, 04:29 PM)
YTLPOWR-(I) EXCHANGE OF YTL POWER FINANCE (CAYMAN) LIMITED'S 5 -YEAR ZERO COUPON GUARANTEED EXCHANGEABLE BONDS 2005/2010 INTO 9,010,308 NEW ORDINARY SHARES ("EXCHANGE OF BONDS")

(II) EMPLOYEES’ SHARE OPTION SCHEME (“SCHEME”)

(III) EXERCISE OF 727,626,506 WARRANTS 2000/2010 AND 4,004,195 WARRANTS 2008/2018 (“EXERCISE”)

http://announcements.bursamalaysia.com/EDM...AC?OpenDocument

Who is behind that? hmm.gif
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Should be the YTL family. They hold the biggest shares in the WA warrants. That I think would be the last big conversion of the WA. Almost all are converted already. Balance in Nov was about 800 mil un-converted warrants.
skiddtrader
post Dec 3 2009, 02:54 AM

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QUOTE(simplesmile @ Dec 2 2009, 11:58 PM)
could there be a selldown on Friday?
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Well I wouldn't call it a sell-down. But the dilution effect like what darkknight81 mentioned will naturally happen. This is already expected in the market so I don't think there will be any reaction.
skiddtrader
post Dec 3 2009, 03:31 AM

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QUOTE(darkknight81 @ Dec 3 2009, 03:21 AM)
Can anyone interprete this?
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I suppose they meant paying RM340 mil lesser for the acquisition, but I don't see any notes regarding it in their previous reports.
skiddtrader
post Dec 3 2009, 09:34 PM

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QUOTE(darkknight81 @ Dec 3 2009, 08:55 PM)
Maybe tomolo i will buy another 19,000 units  biggrin.gif
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Tomorrow will see it open at about RM2.00. So its a good chance to buy some for your average price if you plan to. I'm tempted of adding a tiny bit as well but then it'll be against my plan for now.

This post has been edited by skiddtrader: Dec 3 2009, 09:35 PM
skiddtrader
post Dec 3 2009, 09:40 PM

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QUOTE(darkknight81 @ Dec 3 2009, 09:36 PM)
Yup absolutely right  nod.gif if you see today closing there is a heavy selling.  icon_rolleyes.gif

Don know why lar... i keep cannot invest into other counter after i understand them further as i will always compare with ytl power... then i will switch them back to ytl power again.... After tomolo top up my portfolio will be 100% ytl power  rclxub.gif
Don know is it call crazy or not of stupid  doh.gif
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I think maybe YTLPOWER become your comfort zone, since you are quite aware of how the business works. So other counters might be too new for you to appreciate as yet. I do recommend you start small with other counters and slowly build up. And try not to jump out and jump back bro, waste of brokerages.

Oh and I think WB holders will suffer a bit for the dilution. Hopefully the market will push the price up again.

This post has been edited by skiddtrader: Dec 3 2009, 09:42 PM
skiddtrader
post Dec 3 2009, 09:55 PM

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QUOTE(darkknight81 @ Dec 3 2009, 09:44 PM)
I never jump out of ytl power. never sell off. Just that i always use my money from my asx fund to go other divdend stocks and thereafter i switch to ytl power again. I am quite calculative and i am aware of the brokerage fee thats y i think tmolo is a good chance for me to do some magic trick  tongue.gif

Yup agree with you i promise this is my last time to top up ytl power  wink.gif After i receive my dividend i will go for new counter i promise  icon_rolleyes.gif. I will be holding 139,000 units of ytl power after this  thumbup.gif For annual dividend of 15 sen per share. I will get around RM 20850 PER annum. Will try to get at RM 2.10 if possible then may get 20,000 unit of ytl power instead of 19,000 units.
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Fwah, thats a lot. rclxms.gif

I think you are one of the big holders here in LYN for YTLPOWER.


skiddtrader
post Dec 3 2009, 10:23 PM

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QUOTE(mopster @ Dec 3 2009, 10:01 PM)
100% ytlp ? u dumped Bjtoto already ?

tomorrow's op price should be 2.22 if my calculation is correct..
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RM2.22? Hmm I calculated about RM2.00 or lower.
skiddtrader
post Dec 3 2009, 10:39 PM

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QUOTE(darkknight81 @ Dec 3 2009, 10:31 PM)
Base on dilution of more than 10%? So minus 20 sen right?
 
But we have to consider the reduce in their borrowings. So might not be so low eventhough i do hope that this will happened.
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Well, 800 mil new shares expected to hit the market by January 2010. Thats about 13% of current total. So the EPS will also be diluted by 13%.

NTA will increase due to RM950 mil received from the WA conversions. So that will negate some price decrease. Maybe it won't drop until RM2.00 la, I'm just guessing.
skiddtrader
post Dec 3 2009, 11:13 PM

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QUOTE(mopster @ Dec 3 2009, 11:09 PM)
oops.gif i forgot about the massive amount of new shares from warrants exercise  doh.gif
usually the amount of new shares is small and hardly noticeable... but this time is a whopping 800M new shares..

one of the warrants will expire next month.. so we should expect more warrants exercise coming in this month ?  hmm.gif
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Nah, next month January 8th is the expiry of the WA warrants. The bulk which has been exercise will be quoted tomorrow. No more big exercise after that until 2018 for WB warrants.
skiddtrader
post Dec 4 2009, 05:03 PM

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HAHA yeah I think we think too much already.

Good for us I suppose. rclxms.gif
skiddtrader
post Dec 7 2009, 03:47 PM

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QUOTE(andrewckj @ Dec 7 2009, 03:45 PM)
Time for YtlPwr to move into v2. Any taker?Let's move =))
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Still a bit too early. Normally once the thread pass 125 pages only need to create new one.
skiddtrader
post Dec 7 2009, 04:11 PM

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QUOTE(darkknight81 @ Dec 7 2009, 04:09 PM)
Ok thank you  notworthy.gif

I tot there will be only single tier dividend effective from 1 January 2014?


Added on December 7, 2009, 4:10 pm

Not much ppl can tahan this ferry lar... Even me sometimes feel want to jump to other boat also  doh.gif
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Slow like ferry? Hehe sometimes I feel it's slow like sampan. biggrin.gif

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