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Financial Is property going to drop?, General property price discussion

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sulifeisgreat
post Jan 7 2011, 01:46 PM

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bistari, even though migrant workers illegal or non illegal. they need place to stay. the bosses wan cheap place. start from somewhere & dun look too far, target the achivable, think out of the box. but those who are super negative. good luck again ya nod.gif will drop by & see ur wet dream cuming

lucky I not read lyn during 1998/99, otherwise still waiting for the bigger crash. I see, I like, location good, affordable, I buy. learn to use leverage lah, tats what banks & opm are for. but dun overstretch la doh.gif use all ur resources available coz other than ur 2 balls, they r all u have! start early & see the effects of compounding. start late & get ready to answer ur anak2 silly soalan on inflation. tips, refer popo & grandpopo, go ask them on price of bak kut teh

I hv zero confident with our government ability to lift up our economy, 30 yrs back wat is the exchange rate against Sing $? Now? And 30 yrs fr now? if anything wrong like Zimbabwe, those who own clean real estate (without loan) are safe
>tat y I oso invest overseas, shares r the most liquid & can lari anytime. mus hav overall view & not just tempurung, chavez of venezuela likes socialsim, of coz if u r there, start to lari early when he was voted. if u wait he implement taking over private co & nationalize them, then its too late, coz too many sellers & no buyers. we no have such problem


QUOTE(yeowa @ Jan 7 2011, 01:24 PM)
Flat in damansara perdana? You are refering to flora damansara or condos at damansara perdana?
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Added on January 7, 2011, 1:55 pmno offence at all, just want to say base on fats, in long run, price goes up. buy, hold & repeat process (location is no.1)
but if u wanna wait, then up to u lo nod.gif its ur choice, we r here to debate on tis thread
coz if stand on ur side, nothing to debate liao, thread yawn.gif might as well stand the other side & fight cool2.gif
must look hard to find good deals, pay the prop agent better as he look out for u, no such thing as easy money doh.gif

QUOTE(godutch @ Jan 7 2011, 01:43 PM)
I don't quite understand why you are trying so hard to convince people here to buy (price won't drop) and saying no matter what you will not sell.?? no offence.  smile.gif


Added on January 7, 2011, 1:44 pm

Cant agree more that consumers are being consumed by debt  biggrin.gif
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This post has been edited by sulifeisgreat: Jan 7 2011, 01:55 PM
sulifeisgreat
post Jan 7 2011, 02:54 PM

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aisayman, I just check property price in iproperty.com & cross check my agent. sometimes advertise in mudah. then potential buyers call & ask. then i keep updated on price lo. I rather spend time looking for opportunities than getting statistics to prove it. how often are the statistics printed? by time printed, too late liao

well then, we can argue back & forth. no offense but there r only 2 camp in this debate. I not talking theory coz experiencing it & enjoying it at same time. wat next? u wan me show property title & etc ah? aiyo?! have u bought any properties or in the waiting camp? otherwise u wanna ask for more proof? but for wat? save urself 1st la

understand some of u r finding it hard to manage with everything increasing except salary. was once there & sympathise with u all. but u need to think positive. as time goes by salary increase. but ur property value will increase even more. if u got balls, refinance it & use the leverage wisely. all ur bonus & increments dun spent it on aksyen stuff

some of my fren buy then sell & repeat process, but tat is not my style. flipping is for some, not all. hmm... ok la, enjoy ur waiting for property price to drop. pls continue the doom & gloom. alredi say wat I wanna say, good luck waiting & beating inflation thumbup.gif

QUOTE(godutch @ Jan 7 2011, 01:43 PM)
I don't quite understand why you are trying so hard to convince people here to buy (price won't drop) and saying no matter what you will not sell.?? no offence.  smile.gif BTW, the point that there are always many buyers vs few sellers, can provide statistics to prove or not? what make you think that people will wanna pay you 40-80% more to buy your property?? are you the only one owning properties in this country?  hmm.gif


Added on January 7, 2011, 1:44 pm

Cant agree more that consumers are being consumed by debt  biggrin.gif
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Added on January 7, 2011, 2:54 pm

This post has been edited by sulifeisgreat: Jan 7 2011, 02:56 PM
sulifeisgreat
post Jan 7 2011, 03:23 PM

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icic, thanx for the tip brows.gif
but wat abt those who call me when i advertise for fun in mudah or iproperty?

QUOTE(wwwcomment @ Jan 7 2011, 03:09 PM)
this remind me the time i helped my newbie RE agent to put exactly the same kind of flyers into mail box and also sneak into condo to put in mail box.

this is to get more property listings.
nothing to do with potentail buyers laugh.gif
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sulifeisgreat
post Jan 7 2011, 04:17 PM

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not bad, all calling each other for fun, I m luvin it cool2.gif time to invest in telekom, maxis, axiata & digi shares rclxms.gif

QUOTE(cloudwan0 @ Jan 7 2011, 04:12 PM)
some ppl like me ask the price for market research, compare selling price around that area and also the actual market value and rental
find the better potential place for investment. laugh.gif
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sulifeisgreat
post Jan 7 2011, 05:15 PM

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u r right, way off topic, r u investing in shares too? didn't see u in klse thread
anyway, just to answer ur question cool.gif
I no plans sell those high dividend defensive shares. either short it or get puts options or cover call, nyum nyum wub.gif
anyway, minor correction is normal, crash is a decade kind of thingy, but tat topic belongs to shares thread
ok, jokes aside, time to hand tis thread back to u guys, happy debating thumbup.gif

QUOTE(TheDoer @ Jan 7 2011, 05:05 PM)
This is out of topic but.  what you said sounds just so wrong.

It's no secret that stocks crash. and when they crash, who do you think lose money? Anybody but yourself? It's always a risk.

You probably will try to call in to sell, but can't get through.
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sulifeisgreat
post Jan 8 2011, 11:16 PM

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I agree, but got forumer imagine tat those billionaire lyn, who can buy k residence, got time to drop by lyn & chat here laugh.gif
most forumers want middle to upper class ambience & look down on those easy to get steady rental
my tenants r young family & students, they just getting the hang of kv, after 2-3 years they'll usually pack & go
coz young grads need place to stay 1st while they new at work, at same time researching where to buy, so they won't pay rent for fun in long run wink.gif
seek & u shall find! ie. seek pessimism, ur wish will be granted & vice versa nod.gif

QUOTE(Veda @ Jan 8 2011, 10:57 PM)
I think many in this thread underestimated how good the rental is, in good locations in Klang Valley. A small room in a good location can fetch RM400-RM700 per month. A studio unit can fetch RM1500-RM2000. And the tenants are young locals, not expats. And when a tenant leaves, a replacement can be found within days. With good rental, there is a huge margin of safety against interest rate hikes. With good demand, an owner can hike up the rent when necessary.


Added on January 8, 2011, 11:08 pm

What can one do with a tulip  doh.gif

But with a property, one can stay inside .... and a roof over one's head is a basic need.

So yours is an apple and an orange comparison  wink.gif
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sulifeisgreat
post Jan 9 2011, 01:14 AM

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I dun disagree on ur premise bust cycle, but is there any other bust in mind? tongue.gif
anyway, mentioning about cycles, oil crisis 1975, asia crisis 1997/ dot com 2000, financial crisis 2008 & etc
high interest rate by usa fed reserve paul volcker 1983 (the after effect kena us 1984/5), coz he want to kill inflation, he killed the world laugh.gif
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Paul_Volcker
thanx to him, jimmy carter not reelected & tat is y obama oso dun dare to keep him nearby, even though volcker offer willingly to help doh.gif

if see from share market pov, indexes will kena 1st, then followed by property & etc, so its better step out from tempurung
also, notice those crisis is 'about' a decade apart, coz tat is the average time needed for the newbies start coming out to join the work force
with their new unspent money & untested idea, they r perfect victims to be sucked into a bubble, coz they got no actual experience of the last one
since the last crisis was 2008, when do u think the next crisis will be? yr 2009/2010? ie. when ts started the question? whistling.gif
but majority in tis thread is on the other side, DO pray harder tat property prices will drop nod.gif

QUOTE(maxforce @ Jan 9 2011, 12:37 AM)
Tulip has its value - ie decoration LOLz
Anyway, the tulip story had other side of it, ie, demand from the royal family, rare breed etc. They have their hype.
Property wise indeed has an intrinsic value - ie shelter.
However, when its trumped up hype, etc. then there is a danger.

Property risk is that it is long term ie liquidity risk. One cannot just dispose it as easy as stocks. Paperwork, finding the right buyer, etc. Perhaps more like those illiquid counters some which do not even have any shares traded for days/weeks. One cannot say such counter = 0 value. The value is there. Just need to hold on, put queue, wait for the bait to be eaten.

The tulip is a good lesson for mania herd mentality. Thats about it. Replace tulip with dot com. You get the dot com boom and bust. And while tulip never regained its past glory, some dot com company did survive. New ones like Google & Facebook did emerge.

So what about property? My opinion, some are really hyped up.
Location x3? Yeah indeed. Prime area vs non prime vs "future" prime. This may be the distinguishing factor. When the bust cycle comes, future prime may be really a distant future. One may be stuck with it with no gains in the future (inflation adjusted and taking into consideration of interest payments).
Prime areas wont be affected? Or only slightly affected? Doubt so. A bust cycle will bust everything. Only the degree. Perhaps prime area would not be affected as much as other non prime but even this is uncertain. Prime today, may not be prime tomorrow.
2 yrs since this thread started, any drop ar, someone commented. Timing is another uncertain point. That said, once again, the fear is the illiquid part of it. If a bust cycle does come, all the gains which are not locked are merely paper gains. That said, no one knows when the bust cycle would indeed come.
Current property market if using stock terminology - overbought.
Can it be even more overbought? Can, why not? Often happen in stocks, dont see why not in properties. But speculating in stocks in a sense is easier due to the liquidity. That said, if several session of limit downs, tu pening jugak. LOLz!
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sulifeisgreat
post Jan 9 2011, 02:39 PM

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risk management means betting on when the trend will end too & not jus use ignorance is bliss concept, otheriwse sure kantoi
ben says it'll take 5 years for the unemployment to start getting better , now all in control & easy money is keeping inflation under control hmm.gif
got abt 5 years more to party drool.gif before the us fed increase int rate

then its a matter of time before the music stop, coz it can't stop suddenly cool.gif
of coz in between, there'll be minor pullback, its all part & parcel of investing
& y the counter u buy keep limit down, play saag/ penny share izit? mus be positive, buy goodie fa & keep a nice bust next to u as companion laugh.gif

QUOTE(maxforce @ Jan 9 2011, 12:48 PM)
Nah, I didnt say the bust is now tongue.gif
Only mentioned its overbought.
And yes, its about risk management due to the liquidity issue.

Say, bull run trend.
At beginning of the trend, its weak.
Its strongest in mid of the trend.
At end of the trend is begins to weaken again.

Has the trend ended? Nope.
Did I say it ll end soon? Nope.
When will it end? Well, once again I didnt say when.
LOLz!

Only mentioning that caution is to be taken since this is comparable to illiquid counter. Its easier to execute exit/stops with liquid counters compared to illiquid counters even when bust cycle comes.
Again, I reiterate - the difference in risk management biggrin.gif
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sulifeisgreat
post Jan 11 2011, 02:28 PM

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lol shakehead.gif tis thread is on property price going to drop? so far, the fats speaks for it whistling.gif
previously cover on world macroeconomics, now we'll go into basic simple positive mindset laugh.gif
just for reading pleasure & no need get so uptight nod.gif

http://www.bloggersbase.com/philosophy/mil...e-manage-money/

http://money-making-online.myddnetwork.com...ich-dad-lesson/

this forum got those who do business & those who invest in shares & etc
go read them up & ask. ask rite question, get rite answer, ask wrong question, get wrong answer
but up to u guys la hmm.gif imo stay in tempurung not healthy

there r those developers who develop property & left it abandon
of coz, some developer r smart enough, tat they still living the good life
while some buyers left in the lurch

we alwiz take a risk in life, crossing the road is oso risk. who knows? a snatch thief can appear out of nowhere
driving is oso a risk, some speed maniac who suddenly kenot brake will bang u
even if u not risk taker, u put savings in bank, inflation erodes it, so wan stay in tempurung, up to u

I got frens dun wan invest in phillipines coz too many holidays
http://www.medindia.net/news/Businesses-Sa...nes-77935-1.htm

QUOTE(zuiko407 @ Jan 11 2011, 10:50 AM)
the complain king (forumers) also got risk, they keep on complain and in the same time price keep on increase.
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sulifeisgreat
post Jan 11 2011, 05:04 PM

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No problem! keep up the good sharing too, remember the journey of a thousand miles begin with a single step. biar sikit, lama lama jadi bukit. no need so suddenly must have big house, big bust.. err big car & etc. hav fun! laugh.gif

QUOTE(Bobby C @ Jan 11 2011, 04:38 PM)
Great sharing sulifeisgreat! Have to read and reread make sure sink into sub-conscious mind.

Very easy to forget what we read cause 95% of herd follow the same path. All seek bigger salary, bigger houses and the story never ends.

Tat's why one wise man once told me straight, 'please don't ever mention the word UPGRADING!'. It is a famous word in Spore. Think closely, think longer, think further. There are plenty of truth in it. Don't con by the developers/bankers ---->politicians. Plenty of marketing gimmick now esp new launch projects with pretty showrooms, buyers like fishes get caught in the net. Just see what happen after GE, whether will lose steam esp the new launch.

Think many who are complaining also looking for either landed or bigger houses. The story never ends....  smile.gif
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sulifeisgreat
post Jan 17 2011, 05:08 PM

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sure boh? some forumers say bubble will pop as whole universe experience RE
better dun buy, wait bubble meletup whistling.gif
after 5 years, prop value up 500% as per news report
once bubble blow, will it drop 50%? izit means 500-50=450% rclxub.gif
then, it is a very good choice to wait bubble burst brows.gif


sulifeisgreat
post Jan 24 2011, 09:15 PM

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You may have heard about a legendary exchange between the American novelists F. Scott Fitzgerald (1896-1940) and Ernest Hemingway (1899-1961).

Fitzgerald had said, “The rich are different from you and me.” And, Hemingway replied, “Yes, they have more money."



sulifeisgreat
post Jan 25 2011, 11:22 AM

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then it will show up in the auction list, take a look at it & see wat is being offered there
alwiz buy within ur affordable means, if can't aim for the moon, sky or tree oso ok la flex.gif
how come no one go and answer the k residence thread question? brows.gif
wonder how was their investment there on location3 blink.gif

if life hands u a lemon, u can either open a lemonade stall
or stare at the lemon & be complain king
or go find where the supply of lemon came from
or say F the lemon, I gonna get myself a pomelo instead nod.gif

most will just eat the lemon & finds it taste bitter. yup! life is never fair, wat u wan to do next abt it matters! rolleyes.gif

This post has been edited by sulifeisgreat: Jan 25 2011, 11:43 AM
sulifeisgreat
post Jan 25 2011, 02:16 PM

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haha... not everyone wants to open lemonade stall, coz its similar to running a business & its not easy, most went bust!
most rakyat just eat lemon & finds it taste bitter, but they think life is unfair & they hav a right to an easy life rclxub.gif
since its a free world, they do hav a right to voice out

no need sympathy for those who eat more than can chew, everyone need to go thru some hard knock in life nod.gif
agree 'it's not as simple as telling people hey, check location, and everybody starts becoming rich'
look at those who bought those high end condo around klcc, pavilion & etc hmm.gif
since u hav got ur plan ready to invest while waiting for a crash, stick to it

our experience differs & its difficult for a fish to tell a bird how nice it is to live underwater laugh.gif
my target market for tenant r not the high end expats, due to bolehland policies on fdi & etc, most mnc will go elsewhere
I like those local tenant who just started work & wan to stay a nice comfortable location for a short while
students r ok too, coz they hav sponsors who r willing to pay more, so tat they hav a comfy place to study

QUOTE(TheDoer @ Jan 25 2011, 01:24 PM)
What you didn't realise is. What happens when everyone starts openning a lemonade stall?  @.@

My above post was not complaining.  Was just saying it's a tragedy when most will just eat the lemon & finds it taste bitter I find it sad for that person, and funny at the same time. Not saying that there aren't real investors out there.

The thing about location is, well, you can make a prediction, but only time will tell whether you're correct. Over the next guys prediction. Some people know their stuff, some people are just guessing. It's not as simple as telling people hey, check location, and everybody starts becoming rich.
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sulifeisgreat
post Jan 28 2011, 11:03 AM

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izit war started when a forumer said 'You must be joking man! grow up please' rclxub.gif
cherry response is consider too mild liao laugh.gif we need war to entertain the thread

QUOTE(Bobby C @ Jan 28 2011, 10:57 AM)
Don't call people stupit company lah, you have to ask why having so much cash in the co.

Quick check on YTL, they have nearly RM10 bil cash. So YTL also 'stupit' izzit?

Or Si Hoi Chan. Building 3 pineapple shape condo near The Curve. Total units ~999 all each >$1.5 mil with cash! Yup, built and sell. Not even 10% deposit and progress payment from purchasers. Just imagine how much cash they have in bank. But, my limited insight think they might get into trouble this time. May be also due to wat they did near Persiaran Torpicana, trying to sabo closing the road. Beware, God watching. Harvest what you reap.  icon_idea.gif
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sulifeisgreat
post Jan 28 2011, 11:23 AM

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y no war sad.gif fight la! ok la, since its cny, wish all forumers Gong Xi Fa Cai & may your wish come true this rabbit year

QUOTE(Bobby C @ Jan 28 2011, 11:08 AM)
No war war lah.

CNY coming to town. Wanna play war, buy fire crackers, go to the street or your own tamans and go shoot one another biggrin.gif. LOL
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sulifeisgreat
post Jan 28 2011, 11:59 AM

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I agree with 2 generation loans coz not all the rakyat is rich. sumore their salary will never keep up with inflation
dun all of u insured ur baby when he born first day nod.gif the earlier start the better, otherwise premium is mahal!
presuming u & ur spouse oso insured, most likely u all wun last till the next2 generation, once u expire, then the kid get the insurance la

if u can't beat the share market, if u takut to invest in property, then at least let those 'professional handle it for u'
eg. endowment, once it matures, it is normally double, but u lose the opportunity cost to get higher return
but if u dun even know how to extract higher return, then better dun do it, can u even beat ur ins co endowment performance?

if u want a combination of both, there is the inv link, less headache, but tis 'inv link' word is a magnet for war brows.gif
if u got some excess funds, can let other professional handle for u, ot liao
https://www.poems.com.my/

anyway, tis 2 generation loan is use to buy those fancy show off aksyen house / rental income?
since the loan amount is fixed, the property value got chance to ride inflation better & rental charges can be increased




sulifeisgreat
post Jan 28 2011, 04:14 PM

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since the fren is indecisive, means he expect prop price drop & not a risk taker, better put in fd, less stress nod.gif
after 3-5 years, can come back here to update us which was the right decision brows.gif
there r 2 camps here & await further opinions from next camp yawn.gif

of coz got lots of unforseen cost of living, tat is y live within ur means & aim for the tree, not sky

QUOTE(lucerne @ Jan 28 2011, 03:47 PM)
he can either
1. buy a low cost apartment/condo (mostly subsales) and collect rental with good yield , some can earn >10%
2. invest in unit trusts. (buy REITs if he like property)

option 1 is harder work but u can see return ($) immediatly.
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sulifeisgreat
post Feb 11 2011, 03:00 PM

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rules r meant to be broken, to conserve & grow wealth beyond 3rd/4th generation, for fun reading
http://www.osktrustees.com.my/OSKSignet/pr...ntent.jsp?id=33

So, how did some of the richest people in the early 1900s, such as John D Rockefeller, Henry Ford and the Carnegies, successfully pass on their fortunes to their present-day descendants? Rockefeller, reported by the New York Times as America's first billionaire, for example, created as many as 70 trusts for his descendants before his death in 1937. Nelson Rockefeller and his generation are believed to be reducing their personal holdings via the creation of still more trusts for their grandchildren and great grandchildren. According to one source, there are "well over 100 and perhaps 250 individual Rockefeller trusts" now. The living descendants of Rockefeller are apparently worth only a little over US$1 billion. The bulk of the Rockefellers' wealth, reported to be some US$70 billion, is in trusts, which holds, among other things, stocks in Exxon, Mobil Oil, Standard of Indiana, Standard of California, Chevron, Quaker Oats, IBM, Chase Manhattan Bank, Eastman Kodak, General Electric, Texas Instruments and Minnesota Mining and Manufacturing





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