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Financial Is property going to drop?, General property price discussion

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TheDoer
post Jan 7 2011, 05:16 PM

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QUOTE(sulifeisgreat @ Jan 7 2011, 03:23 PM)
icic, thanx for the tip  brows.gif
but wat abt those who call me when i advertise for fun in mudah or iproperty?
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Don't get corky... nothing is forever. You may have found a piece of property you like and you wish to grow into, if you can afford that's fine.. But if you intend it as an investment don't expect the demand to be there always.

Sounds like a girl who dress alluringly to get the attraction of guys. When guys make cat calls then she reject them. Doing it just to reassure herself of own worth.

But actually, the girl isn't the best looking around. It's just that she appears the easiest.
TheDoer
post Jan 10 2011, 09:38 AM

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QUOTE(Onemorething @ Jan 10 2011, 08:10 AM)
Agreed but what we have is a bubble anyhow and it's going to pop in those areas who have seen unrealistic increases.  Markets like ours always lag by 18-24 months and the more stimulus thrown just prolongs the inevitable.
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thumbup.gif

Yes. If anything, measures taken to slow down the bubble should be an indicator that the experts know it is imminent.

I say let property prices rise faster, so it will burst faster.


Added on

I've heard it all. "Bought the property for xxx" now it's xx% more". But has anyone considered, that you aren't rich until you actually cash out? Despite the value on paper or in theory, it is worthless unless you can get the property off your hands.

And even for those who are successful at selling their houses, they tend to buy new ones, so their back in the game.

It's like gamblers who go to genting. You can win and win and win all day long,
but a majority always ends up, going home with their tails between their legs. People say it's because Genting has little devils, it's more likely, that the gamblers will never cash out, until they bum out.

If you want to know whether you can really become rich from Gambling, or property speculation, you need to ask 1 question. Where is the money coming from?

Answer: Your own pockets.


Added on

What I see currently, are simply, kids collecting coins on the train tracks. They are picking it up, and waving it around to the other kids. More kids then join in. They believe that when the time comes, they can jump to safety. Well, not everybody will make it.


Added on

While looking for a place to rent for an out of town new colleague. I called a property, and the owner practically begged me to consider buying her property, almost crying. The location of the taman, wasn't half bad. and yet, nobody wants to buy her house, for ages.

Lately I passed by the house again, it has been overrun by weeds, the forsale/rent sign has deteriorated into nothing. The owner has obviously either died, or given up on it. A money sink hole I say that one.

Not everyone gets rich.


Added on January 10, 2011, 9:47 am
QUOTE(Veda @ Jan 7 2011, 08:07 PM)
And for those who are afraid of investment ..... you dunno what your are missing .... I'm having the time of my life speculating/investing in shares and property  rclxm9.gif
Stocks are having a bull run now ..... and already people are discussing where to move their money to when the bull runs out of breath, as it will one day. And the popular choice is property. So u see, there is the possibilty of fresh money flowing into property in the near future, pushing prices up further. Those who wait too long may regret then ....
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There was a time, when many of the people around me were involved with stocks.

I remembered plenty of times, when we were treated to good stuff when prices were up. Then the smiles rclxm9.gif turned to frowns sad.gif.

Now none of them are involved, accept for one of my young friend.

This post has been edited by TheDoer: Jan 10 2011, 09:47 AM
TheDoer
post Jan 10 2011, 10:10 AM

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QUOTE(sulifeisgreat @ Jan 7 2011, 01:05 PM)
similarities between pyramid/ponzi schemes and property speculation?
>property backed up by real hard asset which the bank can foreclose when u bet wrong. how is ponzi similar? its backed up by wat? ponzi real hard arse? not forcloseable leh
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It's practically the same thing, the price of the property is the perceived price. Even if it is in a completely worthless area, and nobody ligit (non speculator willing to buy it) it will still be sold to other speculators at a higher price, simply because everyone is optimistic.

It is the same as membership to a pyramid scheme. It is guaranteed returns, as long there are other people who are willing to take part.

With property/hard asset, it is only as valuable as what people are willing to pay for them. If you bought property that turns into a ghost town, what good is foreclosure?

QUOTE(sulifeisgreat @ Jan 7 2011, 01:05 PM)
>rule no.1 of invest property is location, location & location. if i not selling it, would all the others who owns it wan to sell? (they keep on dropping flyers in my mailbox, saying got interested purchaser & agent fee no need pay)
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You failed to realise, that even though there are many willing buyers there are also many willing sellers.Just as there are joke sellers, there are also joke buyers out there, just want to "test market".

Number of soft ask, is not the same as actual sale. And is not an indicator of where one will end up, if one continues speculating on property.

QUOTE(sulifeisgreat @ Jan 7 2011, 01:05 PM)
>coz got holding power & location goodie. there will alwiz be buyers like u. but there r not much sellers. u wil hav to up the price 40-80% but still I won't let go. unless can find those haunted units  hmm.gif
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If you've got holding power, that's good for you. What about those who take up lots of loans and are struggling to make ends meet. Simply to join the "game".

You can put the demand as high as you want. But if nobody can afford it, you still can't sell it.

QUOTE(sulifeisgreat @ Jan 7 2011, 01:05 PM)
>the saturation point will come once nobody wants to F & produce rakyat. then less rakyat, means more empty properties. supply more than demand. but dunno need to wait till wat year? 999 years?
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Yes. If there are lots of people, and people still can't afford homes, they will pay you in blood...

This post has been edited by TheDoer: Jan 10 2011, 10:12 AM
TheDoer
post Jan 10 2011, 03:24 PM

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QUOTE(Veda @ Jan 10 2011, 11:52 AM)
But you know who is the Automatic Loser? Someone who refuses to take any calculated risk or action to change his life ....someone who fears this and that ..... someone who is content to keep all his money in FD and slog to make The Boss rich  rolleyes.gif 

But nvm, society is being divided into "the haves" and "the have nots", with the middle class being squeezed out. I'm determined to join "the haves" but if someone insists on remaining with "the have nots" in the name of moral superiority etc, it's his choice.
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Well, you make it sound like everybody who takes a risk will automatically belong to the haves?

If everybody starts doing it, then you won't be the haves anymore would you.

I think the question, comes back to, whose money are you actually making from property speculation?
Answer: "Yours". Money transfers from hand to hand, names are replaced on mortgages, inflation goes up, but as a whole, no one really gets richer.


Added on January 10, 2011, 3:26 pmHere's an idea. Since property is a sure win investment. Why don't banks just buy up all this property themselves, then rent them to us? Rather than offer us a loan, and let us make the real profit.

This post has been edited by TheDoer: Jan 10 2011, 03:26 PM
TheDoer
post Jan 13 2011, 10:44 AM

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QUOTE(cherroy @ Jan 12 2011, 10:02 PM)
If gov seriously want to control escalating properties price, the most effective way to fence off speculator is always RPGT.
I advocate RPGT very much.
It hurt nobody at all, except affecting the greed one only.

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thumbup.gif Thumbs up!

This post has been edited by TheDoer: Jan 13 2011, 10:58 AM
TheDoer
post Jan 13 2011, 02:37 PM

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QUOTE(AVFAN @ Jan 13 2011, 01:53 PM)
oh, that dumpsite one - yep, looks very much like a trap for the waterfish!
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It really doesn't matter as long as someone else is willing to take it off ones hands.


Added on January 13, 2011, 2:42 pm
QUOTE(Veda @ Jan 13 2011, 02:30 PM)
Now, the impression I get is those waiting for a property price drop are targeting 2. and 3. But if prices of 2. and 3. refuses to drop, will they buy 1. or 4.?  hmm.gif
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Can't say for the rest, but for myself, I guess, it's quite alright. The problem is paying and arm and a leg, for a lousy place.

This post has been edited by TheDoer: Jan 13 2011, 02:42 PM
TheDoer
post Jan 18 2011, 03:49 PM

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QUOTE(teoanne @ Jan 18 2011, 02:33 PM)
exactly. So to those who think that property prices will drop in the near future, dream on. it may undergo a correction (10 to 20%) at worst or stagnate, but unlikely to drop. Even if it corrects 10-20%, early buyers would already have made more than 50% from their purchase. :-)
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As you said early buyers.

And where does the money come from exactly? From late buyers. Someone has to lose in this game.

Then when you at the Gamblers regambling analogy I gave earlier, you will see that it doesn't matter whether you made profit earlier on. The question is, how much do you have invested when the market sees an adjustment?

All this talk about foreigners buying malaysian properties, only raises and eye brow. So we are welcoming this because we believe we will get rich from selling our property?

Lol... that's funny.
Will end up, 1.) Malaysians have to rent houses from foreigners, because they can't afford it anymore.
2.) they can't get people to rent it, and eventually the bubble burst.

This post has been edited by TheDoer: Jan 18 2011, 03:52 PM
TheDoer
post Jan 18 2011, 06:05 PM

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QUOTE(lucerne @ Jan 18 2011, 04:24 PM)
exactly, I hv many foreigner fren (SG, HK, SH, TW) asking me to look for KLCC area. they will come during CNY to view properties.
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That's because everybody is interested in making money off each other.

If it is anything, all this should be indicators to us, that laws are needed to safeguard the interest of it's citizens. Not just those who are staring at the ever increasing house prices, but also those who will lose when the bubble burst.

As it was mentioned many times in the forum. A buble burst, may be devastating to everyones way of life, and it is not what we want.

So the question is, what are we doing about it?

I think a more serious rpgt needs to be drawn out.
TheDoer
post Jan 25 2011, 10:33 AM

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Not refering to the whole prop market. But refering to something which I saw:

A miracle! Aunty and Uncle, which just a few months back said BBB! Now throwing caution on the wind, Don't B! Don't B! don't B!, Even before their loans have been processed completely.
TheDoer
post Jan 25 2011, 10:44 AM

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QUOTE(epie @ Jan 25 2011, 10:34 AM)
buy in some areas, sell in some areas
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The thing is that this aunty and uncle speculators, what they do is they simply follow the crowd. And simply because they own a property or 2, they are deemed the experts, and consult other aunty and uncles.

I can't help but feel irk by the whole thing. Uncle and Aunty, if you want to gamble, please go to genting. cool2.gif

Then there's this uncle & aunty's son, who is so optimistic that he's trying to get a loan for a home that is more than he can chew. Lol....

Sad.. but funny man.

This post has been edited by TheDoer: Jan 25 2011, 10:47 AM
TheDoer
post Jan 25 2011, 01:24 PM

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QUOTE(sulifeisgreat @ Jan 25 2011, 11:22 AM)
then it will show up in the auction list, take a look at it & see wat is being offered there
alwiz buy within ur affordable means, if can't aim for the moon, sky or tree oso ok la  flex.gif
how come no one go and answer the k residence thread question?  brows.gif
wonder how was their investment there on location3  blink.gif 

if life hands u a lemon, u can either open a lemonade stall
or stare at the lemon & be complain king
or go find where the supply of lemon came from
or say F the lemon, I gonna get myself a pomelo instead  nod.gif

most will just eat the lemon & finds it taste bitter. yup! life is never fair, wat u wan to do next abt it matters!  rolleyes.gif
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What you didn't realise is. What happens when everyone starts openning a lemonade stall? @.@

My above post was not complaining. Was just saying it's a tragedy when some people speculate but without knowing anything. I find it sad for that person, and funny at the same time. Not saying that there aren't real investors out there.

The thing about location is, well, you can make a prediction, but only time will tell whether you're correct. Over the next guys prediction. Some people know their stuff, some people are just guessing. It's not as simple as telling people hey, check location, and everybody starts becoming rich.
TheDoer
post Jan 25 2011, 04:33 PM

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QUOTE(sulifeisgreat @ Jan 25 2011, 02:16 PM)
haha... not everyone wants to open lemonade stall, coz its similar to running a business & its not easy, most went bust!
most rakyat just eat lemon & finds it taste bitter, but they think life is unfair & they hav a right to an easy life  rclxub.gif 
since its a free world, they do hav a right to voice out

no need sympathy for those who eat more than can chew, everyone need to go thru some hard knock in life  nod.gif
agree 'it's not as simple as telling people hey, check location, and everybody starts becoming rich'
look at those who bought those high end condo around klcc, pavilion & etc  hmm.gif
since u hav got ur plan ready to invest while waiting for a crash, stick to it

our experience differs & its difficult for a fish to tell a bird how nice it is to live underwater  laugh.gif  
my target market for tenant r not the high end expats, due to bolehland policies on fdi & etc, most mnc will go elsewhere
I like those local tenant who just started work & wan to stay a nice comfortable location for a short while
students r ok too, coz they hav sponsors who r willing to pay more, so tat they hav a comfy place to study
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nod.gif

FYI
"when most will just eat the lemon & finds it taste bitter" was not from my quote, I think you added it when replying to my quote.

This post has been edited by TheDoer: Jan 25 2011, 04:37 PM
TheDoer
post Jan 28 2011, 03:35 PM

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2 generation loan is crazy.

If our parents did not give us any burden and already we need to apply for a 2 generation loan, then what about our kids? Ask them get a 3 generation loan? lol.


Added on January 28, 2011, 3:44 pmand yes. Never count the bonuses and future income. The bank doesn't and for a reason. You are only taking a risk. What if things do not turn out the way you planned it?

And as sampool mentioned, there are alot of unforseen cost of living, I such as child support, (milk, clothes, toys, school accessories, school fees) even if you don't have children now, you can't say for certain you won't have one within 10 years time. It happens even if you're trying not to have. tongue.gif

This post has been edited by TheDoer: Jan 28 2011, 04:03 PM
TheDoer
post Jan 31 2011, 10:33 AM

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QUOTE(epie @ Jan 30 2011, 09:46 AM)
maybe they afraid 2nd generation home loan will drive the property price higher shocking.gif
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It's not just about the price going higher.

I'm not sure whether you guys realise what's happening.

Do you remember back in the days when you were a child, and you played with imaginary money? "Here's $10 for that fish". "Here's $100 for that bus ticket" We keep raising the sum, because it doesn't really matter. It's not real.

Now what does a 2 generation loan mean? It means that there will never be a threshold of what people can afford. So what if prices go up beyond the reach of 1 generation? Upgrade to the next. and the next... and the next... what is to stop a 3 generation, 4 generation or 10 generation loan?
TheDoer
post Jan 31 2011, 01:43 PM

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Maybe their measuring success with property prices. tongue.gif
TheDoer
post Feb 1 2011, 10:39 AM

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QUOTE(Ambang2 @ Feb 1 2011, 12:55 AM)
Better grab property now or you will regret otherwise
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If everybody took this advice, and developers keep building to meet the demand.

What will happen actually?
TheDoer
post Feb 8 2011, 09:44 AM

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QUOTE(lucerne @ Feb 2 2011, 02:15 PM)
as someone has mentioned, the property price will up again after crisis, so people just dun care and continue jump into property market.  when there is slight drop eg 97, 08,  more people will go in (think it is cheap) and push the price up even higher.
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The same can be said of the stock market, and yet it plummets.
TheDoer
post Feb 8 2011, 10:51 AM

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QUOTE(cybermaster98 @ Feb 7 2011, 09:28 AM)
Even if the loan is approved, why are u even considering such an expensive buy with such a salary? Don't you know the golden rule bout not having loan debts of more than 40% of your income?

I bought my first property costing 470K in 2009 and i have been on a 5 figure salary since 2006 and ure targetting a 400K investment with 3500++?  shocking.gif
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Awhile back I mentioned about this guy I knew who was making 2K salary, and purchasing a 400K home in KV.

He failed at first, but combined loan with a pensioner and was able to get a 40 year loan, with 1K+ repayment.

Sounds awefully dodgy to me.

Let's say he is 30 years of age. This means the bank expects him to pay years after his retirement.

Signs of runaway lending?

This post has been edited by TheDoer: Feb 8 2011, 10:52 AM
TheDoer
post Feb 10 2011, 05:18 PM

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QUOTE(sampool @ Feb 10 2011, 02:40 PM)
for the genuine home-owners........with current property price, provided they are going to get marrige to force them to buy, if not they will rather hold 1st....my opinion only..
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I agree. The plane seems to have left the carrier. It will require us to jump in order to hope on.

I don't think I'm gambling by not buying. but will be gambling if I purchase at the cost of an arm and a leg.


Added on February 10, 2011, 5:25 pmhumm... this talk about lowering our expectations. Well, unfortunately the houses being developed in my area are medium-high range homes.

I may not be rich, but I'm a working graduate. Don't tell me I need to buy a low cost house? Where my male and female children have to share the same room.

Meanwhile, there's this bungalow collecting weeds across of my low cost house.

This post has been edited by TheDoer: Feb 10 2011, 05:25 PM
TheDoer
post Feb 10 2011, 07:32 PM

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QUOTE(hidden830726 @ Feb 10 2011, 05:35 PM)
Everybody like Airasia, But,

Too bad Airasia doesn't come too often and very hard to get your hands on them.

Moreover, Airasia do not cover many important routes. Even if they do, the travel is not as pleasant as MAS.

If u have a destination, lets fly MAS first while trying to get Airasia. MAS aint that bad.

The earlier u buy the ticket, the cheaper it is.
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erm. I don't think you can compare buying a home with riding on Airasia. If you missed the chance, and the ticket is beyond what you can afford you wait next year.

You can't afford airasia then you jump to Mas? That's very unlikely.

Now, in the case of a home. If the price goes beyond our reach... then what? Wait for next life?



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