Since the electricity bills will be increase soon , I think most of us had noticed the price of Tenaga's share was increase many in 2 days . How do u think ? Will increase from time to time ?
TENAGA
TENAGA
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Jun 9 2008, 08:36 AM, updated 18y ago
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#1
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Senior Member
1,382 posts Joined: Nov 2006 |
Since the electricity bills will be increase soon , I think most of us had noticed the price of Tenaga's share was increase many in 2 days . How do u think ? Will increase from time to time ?
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Jun 9 2008, 09:33 AM
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#2
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Senior Member
1,523 posts Joined: Dec 2007 From: Puchong... |
today RED... |
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Jun 9 2008, 10:56 AM
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#3
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All Stars
52,874 posts Joined: Jan 2003 |
Upon announcing the hike in petrol price, TENAGA surged RM 1.70
I believe it has potential to go up. Today's RED is mainly due to weak US market last Friday and global sentiments. |
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Jun 9 2008, 06:19 PM
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#4
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1,382 posts Joined: Nov 2006 |
Can anyone tell me when will TENAGA pay dividen ?
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Jun 9 2008, 10:58 PM
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#5
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Elite
5,626 posts Joined: Nov 2004 From: Klang, Selangor |
I have managed to sell my TENAGA at RM9 on Friday.
The surge in price was mainly due to speculation play. In actual fact, considering that the increases of over 100% in gas and coal, which consist most of TNB's cost, the 18% increase on residential and 26% increase in commecial buildings will not be sufficient to put it back on track. TNB will still have trimmed profits for the coming years, but over the longer term, when the gas and coal prices are stable, then we can see TNB back to beat its earnings. So, do not expect TENAGA's price to go up further, unless there are more developments in the company on ways it can cut its cost further. This is just my 2 cents worth of opinion. Your opinion may differ from mine |
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Jun 9 2008, 11:14 PM
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#6
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4,030 posts Joined: Apr 2008 |
Buy Tenaga once its back at 6-7 ringgit. Now still too expensive due to its poor cashflow.
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Jun 9 2008, 11:19 PM
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#7
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QUOTE(Jordy @ Jun 9 2008, 10:58 PM) I have managed to sell my TENAGA at RM9 on Friday. I had bought it at RM8.50 last friday , but now is 8.25 ... The surge in price was mainly due to speculation play. In actual fact, considering that the increases of over 100% in gas and coal, which consist most of TNB's cost, the 18% increase on residential and 26% increase in commecial buildings will not be sufficient to put it back on track. TNB will still have trimmed profits for the coming years, but over the longer term, when the gas and coal prices are stable, then we can see TNB back to beat its earnings. So, do not expect TENAGA's price to go up further, unless there are more developments in the company on ways it can cut its cost further. This is just my 2 cents worth of opinion. Your opinion may differ from mine Guys , any opinion can give me ? |
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Jun 9 2008, 11:21 PM
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#8
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QUOTE(YuNGSeNG @ Jun 9 2008, 08:19 AM) I am pretty sure Tenaga will head south. Tenaga doesn't have an efficient business model, it's all politically linked. Don't forget IPPS might sell their power generation assets so they can pass the Windfall tax to Tenaga. |
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Jun 9 2008, 11:25 PM
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#9
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QUOTE(AdamG1981 @ Jun 9 2008, 11:21 PM) I am pretty sure Tenaga will head south. Tenaga doesn't have an efficient business model, it's all politically linked. Don't forget IPPS might sell their power generation assets so they can pass the Windfall tax to Tenaga. If tomorrow early morning , the price is drop again , do u think I have to sell all or how ? |
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Jun 10 2008, 12:11 AM
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4,030 posts Joined: Apr 2008 |
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Jun 10 2008, 12:42 AM
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663 posts Joined: Apr 2005 |
TA Securities has downgraded its call on Malaysia’s dominant power distributor Tenaga Nasional Bhd to sell, saying price pressures would hurt demand for energy. It did not say what its previous recommendation on the stock was. The stock fell as investors judged last week’s 28 per cent jump was out of proportion to the company’s earnings prospects. The shares ended lower by 75 sen, or 8.3 per cent, to RM8.25, its biggest decline since March 10. On June 6, it leapt 23 per cent, the most in almost a decade after winning government approval to raise electricity prices. - Agencies source : http://www.btimes.com.my/Current_News/BTIM...091846/Article/ |
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Jun 10 2008, 01:51 AM
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Elite
5,626 posts Joined: Nov 2004 From: Klang, Selangor |
QUOTE(YuNGSeNG @ Jun 9 2008, 11:19 PM) If I were you, I wouldn't have bought the share when I know it was speculated, but since you have bought it, you could either hold on to it and see if TNB is going to get another tariff hike next year, or sell now to cut loss.Remember, TENAGA surged RM2 in 2 trading days, all based on speculation. Imagine if PNB and Khazanah sell more of their stake in TENAGA in the open market, how low would the price go? It could be back to around RM7 or RM7.50, where it is more sustainable, until further developments. This is just my point of view. You should do your due diligence when deciding. |
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Jun 10 2008, 02:05 AM
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4,030 posts Joined: Apr 2008 |
QUOTE(Jordy @ Jun 9 2008, 10:51 AM) If I were you, I wouldn't have bought the share when I know it was speculated, but since you have bought it, you could either hold on to it and see if TNB is going to get another tariff hike next year, or sell now to cut loss. I think you shouldn't be so harsh on him. Greed is a very hard human trait to overcome; and i am sure he wouldn't "chase" a stock when it has run off next time. Remember, TENAGA surged RM2 in 2 trading days, all based on speculation. Imagine if PNB and Khazanah sell more of their stake in TENAGA in the open market, how low would the price go? It could be back to around RM7 or RM7.50, where it is more sustainable, until further developments. This is just my point of view. You should do your due diligence when deciding. Again, with US equities being so cheap, you might see foreign funds dumping their emerging market holdings to reap better rate of return back in the states. Target for Tenaga: RM 6.50 This post has been edited by AdamG1981: Jun 10 2008, 02:06 AM |
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Jun 10 2008, 09:38 AM
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3,037 posts Joined: Jun 2007 |
QUOTE(AdamG1981 @ Jun 10 2008, 02:05 AM) I think you shouldn't be so harsh on him. Greed is a very hard human trait to overcome; and i am sure he wouldn't "chase" a stock when it has run off next time. I don't think his answer was harsh, just direct. And it's better for someone to be harsh to you rather than the market to be harsh to you. Again, with US equities being so cheap, you might see foreign funds dumping their emerging market holdings to reap better rate of return back in the states. Target for Tenaga: RM 6.50 |
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Jun 10 2008, 10:36 AM
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Junior Member
296 posts Joined: Nov 2005 From: Kepong |
QUOTE(Jordy @ Jun 10 2008, 01:51 AM) If I were you, I wouldn't have bought the share when I know it was speculated, but since you have bought it, you could either hold on to it and see if TNB is going to get another tariff hike next year, or sell now to cut loss. SELL is better as price of this stock is surged due to good news announced by government.Remember, TENAGA surged RM2 in 2 trading days, all based on speculation. Imagine if PNB and Khazanah sell more of their stake in TENAGA in the open market, how low would the price go? It could be back to around RM7 or RM7.50, where it is more sustainable, until further developments. This is just my point of view. You should do your due diligence when deciding. Imagine although it might gain more profit, actually just to cover raising cost. in fact, dun hv much cash flow gained. |
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Jun 10 2008, 10:53 AM
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Elite
5,626 posts Joined: Nov 2004 From: Klang, Selangor |
QUOTE(skiddtrader @ Jun 10 2008, 09:38 AM) I don't think his answer was harsh, just direct. And it's better for someone to be harsh to you rather than the market to be harsh to you. That is right, though I wasn't harsh. People have to face the fact. I learned it the hard way though.This morning TENAGA hit a high of RM8.45, if you have seized the opportunity, then it's alright. If you missed the opportunity, maybe there will be another round up later in the day, but don't count on it. Do not hold government-linked or losing stocks too long at this time, because you will have to wait very long to recoup your capital. |
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Jun 16 2008, 12:05 PM
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1,382 posts Joined: Nov 2006 |
Recently the price consistency at 8.40 - 8.50 , if i sell now , will lose broker fees ...
Guys , based on ur knowledge , after few day , do u think the price will up or down ? I'm doing short term invest only so dun wan keep this stock so long . Added on June 16, 2008, 9:50 pmToday afternoon session , hv 30000 Q at MYR8.500 buyer side . Anyone know what happen ? This post has been edited by YuNGSeNG: Jun 16 2008, 09:50 PM |
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Jun 23 2008, 09:20 AM
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1,523 posts Joined: Dec 2007 From: Puchong... |
seek like no more 6.++ story... |
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Jun 25 2008, 11:57 PM
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Junior Member
23 posts Joined: Jun 2008 |
i speculate tomorrow will go up
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Jul 21 2008, 07:58 PM
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3,944 posts Joined: Jul 2008 |
seek like no more 6.++ story...
RM 6.00 is the support level . If it go to RM 6.00 can buy and keep for long term to wait for it go up RM 9.00++ As tenaga will get electricity supply from Sarawak (bakun hydrodam) which i think will benefit tenaga. As they don need to invest on the hydro dam which cost 4 - 6 billion. With the EPS of 0.80sen *( which means rm 6.00 we get PE of 8 which is very good). |
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