could be from 52 week low to 3 years low and then 5 years low 

first time break lower than ipo price

all sifus here is AAX worth to go in these days? it looks already at bot line... assume anyway, will AA raise or drop tgt with AAX?

AIRASIA Analysis:-

http://lcchong.wordpress.com/2014/02/27/ai...is-27-feb-2014/

My View:-

- Market Timing
  – EY%: Buy below 3.25, sell above 4.05
- I believe that while AIRASIA’s growth drivers will be still valid and solid, AIRASIA’s cost saving initiatives will help them to improve net profit in the future. The cost saving initiatives include:
  (i) increasing the use of automation
  (ii) reduce marketing spending
  (iii) renegotiation of engineering contracts
  (iv) route rationalisation
  (v) closure of regional offices
  (vi) disposing old aircraft in order to be more competitive in the market.
- Apart from cost saving initiatives, management will also strive to strike a balance by enhancing its revenue through its "Emirates Project" by introducing more connecting flights with AAX and other AOCS, growing its ancillary income per pax from RM41 to RM50 by introducing Wifi and Duty Free Shopping on plane.
- I believe that FY2014 would be a better year as compared to 2013, with the expectation that yield would recover and its cost savings initiatives would boost earnings.
- On the other hand, MAS and AIRASIA have guided that domestic and intra-ASEAN fares are unlikely to decline further from the already-low levels, but fares are unlikely to rise either, as capacity deployment over the next six months will be kept at present levels and there is no evidence of capacity rationalisation. As the weak 4Q13 fares carry over into 2014, some analysts expect MAA to experience an average 5% underlying yield compression in 2014, leading to a 26% core net profit decline. To make things worse, Thai AirAsia’s profit is likely to shrink and Indonesia AirAsia’s losses expand further this year. Thus, the analysts expect AirAsia’s group core net profit to fall a massive 43% yoy in 2014. The outlook may improve in 2015-16 as the losses are unsustainable for MAS and Malindo. I also conquer with their view.
- Based on Changes in Sub. S-hldr’s Int. (29B), since Jan 2014, EPF has been heavily buying AIRASIA, and Wellington also stopped net selling AIRASIA. Heavy buy by EPF doesn’t guarantee appreciation of AIRASIA’s stock price, but it provides a very strong support from 2.2 to 2.4.
- AirAsia has told Bursa Malaysia that it is proposing to buy up to 10% of its issued and paid-up share capital at any point in time. The proposed share buyback, if implemented, will enable AirAsia and its subsidiaries to utilise any of its surplus financial resources, which are not immediately required for other uses, to purchase its own shares from the market, the company said. The proposed share buyback is expected to stabilise the price of AirAsia shares and to prevent against speculation of the shares, when undervalued, to enhance investors’ confidence. (27 Feb 2014)
- I have accumulated AIRASIA 3 times in Dec 2013 and Jan 2014 in the range from 2.3 to 2.4, so I won’t accumulate AIRASIA in near term or until it formed a new higher support.

Latest Financial – Q4 2013 Financial Report (26 Feb 2014) http://www.bursamalaysia.com/market/listed...cements/1550541

At the time of writing, I owned shares of AIRASIA.

I standby my analysis and coincide the possibility that the dear doctor will not be around then, unless of course with his massive family fortune he can go robocop in tactical black 

How man LCC can Japan support 

These are the existing LCC in Japan:
Skymark
Jetstar Japan
Peach
Vanilla Air (formerly Air Asia Japan, before AA group pulled out)

From what I know, other LCC in Japan use hybrid model. But Tony believes that AA's 'pure LCC' model is the way to go.